Summoning the Peak of the Three Kingdoms

Chapter 2951 Those who do not consider the overall situation are not qualified to consider a specific area

Chapter 2947: Those who do not consider the overall situation are not qualified to consider a specific area

The Qin Dynasty's maritime trade is undoubtedly a piece of cake that all forces covet. After all, relying solely on porcelain, silk, weapons, and some useless sundries, it can trade a large amount of materials for development. The huge profits are simply robbing.

However, whether it is opening up new routes or adding to old routes, it requires huge manpower, material and financial resources, which is obviously not something that the current Central Plains countries can handle. Before those prerequisites are completed, they can only watch the Qin Dynasty make money with envy and jealousy.

After Liu Yu learned that Daqin had made a fortune through maritime trade, he naturally placed spies in Daqin's maritime trade department as soon as possible. One purpose was to gather intelligence and understand the specific process, and the other was to prepare for the future maritime trade of Shu Han.

Although Ying Hao had anticipated this, the hostile spies were like leeks, which could be harvested one after another. Unless the unification was completely completed, no matter how many were killed, more would be sent. And there would always be one or two lucky ones who would escape the interrogation of the Black Ice Platform.

According to the intelligence sent back by the Shu Han spies, Liu Yu learned that the transactions between Annan and Daqin were settled with minerals, jewelry, furs, and herbs, and the proportion of real gold and silver was very low.

This is enough to prove that Annan is not as wealthy as Yingzhou. After all, if it were really rich, how could the two countries of Nguyen and Vietnam not use gold and silver to trade with Daqin?
Without real money, there would not be enough benefits to impress Liu Xiu, which is why Liu Yu said that Annan was a barren land.

"Your Majesty, the value of a place does not necessarily rely on gold and silver. Take Annan for example. This area actually has a lot of hidden value."

Hearing Su Qin's words, Liu Yu quickly asked: "For example?"

"Annan has a mild climate and fertile land. As long as it can be fully developed, it will become a natural granary..."

Before Su Qin finished speaking, Liu Yu interrupted him with a disappointed look on his face: "Military Advisor, you also said that the premise of turning Annan into a granary is to develop it thoroughly. However, if you want to develop this wild land, you will not only need to invest a huge amount of manpower and material resources, but also a lot of time to develop it. But now is different from the past."

Liu Yu thought Su Qin had some profound ideas, but he didn't expect that he just wanted Liu Xiu to develop Annan.

Regardless of whether Liu Xiu would invest resources to develop Annan, even if he did, Ying Hao would not give Liu Xiu time to develop it.

The Qin Dynasty will not stop its pace of unification, and the decisive battle between Qin and Han is imminent. Wasting resources to develop Annan at this time is tantamount to seeking death.

Liu Yu didn't believe that Su Qin didn't understand this principle, but what he didn't expect was that Su Qin smiled calmly and said, "Your Majesty, the granary is only one of the values ​​of Annan. This place has a more important value, and it is this value that Liu Yu cannot refuse."

"What's the value?"

"The retreat."

Liu Yu certainly knew the power of the word "retreat", but his face became extremely ugly. After all, if you win the decisive battle, you naturally don't need a retreat, and you only need a retreat if you can't win. Su Qin's words are obviously full of pessimism about the future decisive battle.

In fact, not only Su Qin, but even Liu Yu himself did not have much confidence, but he would not give up. All he could do was rack his brains and try to improve his winning rate at all costs.

Before Su Qin proposed the theory of retreat, Liu Yu had thought about going into exile overseas after his defeat, slowly making plans overseas and eventually making a comeback, but he eventually gave up this idea for two reasons:
First, in Liu Yu's view, even with the wealth of Yizhou, it was still impossible to defeat the Qin Dynasty, and exile to a barren overseas country was even more impossible. There was no point in lingering on like this.

Second, Liu Yu did not want to be buried in a foreign land after his death, and even his soul could not return to his hometown.

Therefore, rather than struggling to survive overseas in an undignified manner, it would be better to die heroically in a decisive battle, which might leave a better evaluation in history books.

If he really gave his all but still lost, Liu Yu could accept such a result. After all, it was not shameful to lose to Ying Hao. But he could not accept that his strategist Su Qin lost confidence before the decisive battle even started.

Seeing Liu Yu's grim expression, Su Qin knew that his words had touched upon him. On the surface, he said that Annan was the retreat of Chu, but in fact, he was using Chu to attack Liu Yu.
The Chu State still has a way out, but if it fails to destroy the Southern Barbarians, the Shu Han will have no way out.

Su Qin did this for two purposes. First, to increase Liu Yu's sense of urgency, and second, to make him change his attitude towards exile abroad, or at least not be so resistant to it.

Su Qin had always known that as a warrior, Liu Yu's attitude towards a decisive battle was to die if he didn't win. This was indeed a relief for him, but as a scholar, he didn't want Liu Yu to die like this.

After Ye Qingmei opened the Age of Discovery, the widespread dissemination of the geomancy maps of all nations made Su Qin realize that the world outside of China was equally vast. At the same time, he also realized that they were experiencing a great era that had not been seen in a thousand years, so naturally he was unwilling to exit hastily in this era.

The reason why Liu Yu was unwilling to go into exile overseas was because he saw no hope of making a comeback, but in Su Qin's view, although the possibility of fighting back was low, there was still hope.

As long as there is hope, we must fight for it. Besides, isn’t the current Qin Dynasty the spark preserved by the pre-Qin Dynasty that spread across the prairie four hundred years later?
Therefore, while Su Qin was helping Liu Yu plan to destroy the Southern Barbarians and prepare for the decisive battle between Qin and Han, he was also preparing to go into exile overseas after his defeat in order to preserve the spark for the future revival of the Han Dynasty.

In his view, Shu Han could perish, but the anti-Qin cause had to continue, and the spark had to be preserved. And if it really came to the point where they had to withdraw from China and go into exile overseas, then Liu Yu, the backbone, would be indispensable.

Therefore, Su Qin had to dispel Liu Yu's idea of ​​dying in order to ensure that Shu Han, after being defeated, could re-establish a country overseas and preserve the spark of revival.

Liu Yu actually understood Su Qin's painstaking efforts, but he was a man whose heart was already broken. For him, dying to protect the country was the best relief. Shamelessly lingering on was a torture. But with Su Qin around, Liu Yu was probably thinking of death as a luxury.

The reason why Su Qin did not point it out directly now was that he hoped Liu Yu could figure it out on his own. Otherwise, he could only use the righteousness of the monarch and the country and the ancestors to carry out moral kidnapping, which was later called PUA. The situation of Shu Han is very good now, and exile abroad is still a bit far away. Moreover, if the Nanman cannot be destroyed, Shu Han, which has no way out, cannot even exile abroad. Therefore, for Shu Han, the top priority is to solve the current trouble of Nanman first.

"Military Advisor, would Liu Xiu really conquer Annan just because of the word 'retreat'?"

Liu Yu believed that he knew Liu Xiu very well. Considering Liu Xiu's contemptuous attitude towards overseas countries, he should have similar ideas as him. Rather than living in exile overseas, it would be better to die bravely in China to win fame during his lifetime and after his death.

It has to be said that Liu Yu's judgment of Liu Xiu was very accurate. Liu Xiu was a man who valued his reputation very much, otherwise he would not have been broken by the rumors about him and Cao Ying. It would be better to let him die than to let him linger in exile overseas after the country was destroyed.

But after hearing Liu Yu's words, Su Qin smiled indifferently. Although he did not make any answer, his silence was more powerful than words. Liu Yu also fell silent.

Yes, just like our side, if the country really fell to the point of destruction, there would definitely be a lot of people under Liu Yu who were unwilling to let them die in the battle, and would tie him up and take him overseas to establish another Chu State.

Liu Yu originally thought that he was forced to endure hardships in order to avenge his humiliation, but until this moment, he had a deeper understanding of the four words "forced to do nothing".

Being passively helpless is one thing, being actively helpless is another.

Liu Yu shook his head violently, and after dispelling the distracting thoughts in his mind, he realized that if it was really as Su Qin said, leaving aside the issue of exile overseas, if the State of Chu really went all out to capture Annan, then the chances of Shu Han destroying the Southern Barbarians would be greatly improved.

As long as Shu Han can destroy the Southern Barbarians, the two major regions of Siam and Hongwasha will completely open their doors to Shu Han. At that time, whether it is trading with them or directly sending troops to plunder, the overall national strength of Shu Han will be greatly enhanced.

If Shu Han really reached this point, and then joined forces with the Chu State that occupied the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, it might be able to compete with the Qin Dynasty that destroyed the Wei, Song and Ming dynasties in the direction of the Yangtze River.

Thinking of this, Liu Yu's eyes became brighter. Although he would rather die than go into exile overseas, if reserving a "back road" could strengthen himself and increase his chances of winning a decisive battle, he naturally wouldn't mind leaving himself a back road that would never be used.

"The military advisor is truly a god. His words have enlightened me."

After that, Liu Yu repeated to Su Qin the plan proposed by Lu Zhi.

After hearing this, Su Qin was overjoyed and said, "This plan of Concubine Lu is very good. If it is improved, it can at least increase our army's chances of victory by 10%."

Even Su Qin had to admit that Lu Zhi directly attacked Chi You's character weaknesses, which even he had not expected.

On the surface, although Lu Zhi's plan was a bit crude and it was uncertain whether it would succeed, if it was actually implemented, Su Qin would definitely improve it in order to maximize the possibility of success.

Hearing Su Qin say this, Liu Yu felt relieved. Now he had at least a 70% chance of winning.

As long as the powerful enemy Chi You was still there, even if the Qin Dynasty did not directly intervene, Liu Yu would only have a 50% chance of destroying the Southern Barbarians.

But if Chu could capture the coast of Annan and cut off Qin's material support, he would have a 60% chance of success.

If we add Lu Zhi's plan, which was improved by Su Qin, and successfully implement it, the chance of winning will increase by another 10%, then it will be 70%.

There has never been a battle in the world that can be won with 100% certainty. A 70% probability is already quite high. If he cannot defeat Chi You and destroy the Nanman, then Liu Yu will not have the face to compete with Ying Hao.

"Chiyou, I won't give you another chance this time."

Looking at Liu Yu with a face full of fighting spirit, Su Qin felt a little guilty. He actually wanted to increase the winning rate of Shu Han, but these were the only cards he could play, so he could only do this much at best.

As the saying goes: Those who do not plan for the overall situation are not qualified to plan for a specific area.

Su Qin was undoubtedly the one who planned the overall situation, but Shu Han had very few cards to use. So even if he took into account the forces of Qin, Chu, Shu and even overseas forces, he could only give Shu Han a 70% chance of winning, and this did not even include the variables after the actual implementation.

Su Qin knew very well that the plan had been perfected, but as long as Ying Hao intervened, there would be variables. However, he had no way to deal with it. All he could do was reduce the risk factor of the variables.

"Your Majesty, the envoy from Cao Wei is about to arrive. Cao Cao has sent another envoy here. I'm afraid he is dissatisfied with us detaining Cao Ying, so he sent people here to protest." Su Qin said with a faint smile.

"Cao Cao is busy with his own affairs now. We don't need to care about him, but it won't sound good if the news of him forcibly marrying someone else's daughter gets out. We should send Cao Ying to Chu before the envoys from Cao Wei arrive."

It has to be said that Liu Yu wanted all the benefits, such as half of the profits from Chu's military expedition to Yingzhou, but he didn't want to get any of the disadvantages, such as withholding the infamy of Wei's envoy Cao Ying.

If he sent Cao Ying away before the envoy of Cao Wei arrived, it would not be Liu Yu's responsibility. In the future, Cao Wei would choose whoever to marry Cao Ying. Even if there would be disputes, all the blame would be borne by Liu Xiu.

Liu Xiu was naturally well aware of this, but the hidden benefits of marrying Cao Ying were too great. Although there might be some hidden dangers, they were nothing to him, so he could only curse Liu Yu in public while cooperating obediently.