Xinshun 1730

Chapter 479 Full set of one-stop service
Abe Masaoku thought he had seen through Liu Yu's hidden purpose, but he didn't think it was a bad thing.

Although Dashun may be here to sell more goods in the future, the benefits brought by the port opening to Japan are enough to offset it.

At the very least, if Dashun buys Japanese rice, the price of Japanese rice can be raised.Samurai are the foundation of the shogunate, and their salary is rice.The price of rice is high, and they have money to spend. Only in this way can they be more loyal to the shogunate, and it is also conducive to the rule of the feudal clans.

If the population is really under control in the future, according to Liu Yu's "ten million population" is enough, Abe Masaoku has already seen a bright future.

At that time, the common people will pay about 10 shi per year for one town, including the "Ermao Law", which is the winter wheat harvested three times in two years in Dashun, and the family will have an average of about 20 shi of food left over each year. .Not only can it ensure that small farmers have sufficient resilience to disasters, but they can also export a large amount of grain to Dashun to balance the outflow of gold and silver.

Japan's military system and political system at this time determined that there were indeed many "superfluous" people other than samurai.

The existence of these people can neither increase food production, because the land determines the upper limit; they eat more food when they are alive, causing social turmoil and riots everywhere; But according to the number of acres of land.

Abe Masaoku very much agrees with Liu Yu's statement: What is the use of redundant people?

After the defeat, reform is imperative.

However, whether it is Abe Masaoku or Tokugawa Yoshimune, the lessons learned from the defeat are at most that firearms are not as good as people.

Japanese public opinion believes that the various vassals have dragged the shogunate's hind legs.If it weren't for the feudal vassals to hold back, the shogunate would have fought the war to the end and established a new king, at least without paying tribute.

Based on this lesson, the direction of reform is basically determined.

Be more radical, as Liu Yu said, try to be a good comprador, save money to encourage Sinology, create a force that can fight against the samurai, and unify the feudal clan in the future.

The point of reaction, as Abe Masaoku thought, is that everything revolves around the stability of the samurai system and samurai laws, and the basis is that the hierarchy, status differences, and small farmers cannot be completely fragmented.

For the former, one must have the courage to die and exterminate the family after failure.

The latter is to reduce the population, maintain the per capita land area, and ensure the small peasant economy to ensure the rule of the samurai.

For Dashun, for the former, there must be those in Japan who are big-minded and self-respecting.

Furthermore, Liu Yu said that he supported the shogunate to cut down the vassal, but Zhang Yi also said that he would give the Chu State five hundred miles of fertile land.

In the latter case, the population of Japan will be locked at around 1000 million. Once the industrial age comes, with a population of [-] million, Hokkaido, which has iron ore and coal mines, will be robbed by Dashun, and Nagasaki, which has coal and iron, will be within the range of gunboats. The lack of raw materials makes it possible for China to become an important grain exporter.

But you can change it as you like, anyway, reform will cost money.From Liu Yu's point of view, the shogunate is in charge of this comprador.As long as you want to reform, whether it is reactionary or radical, it is appropriate.

If you are not reactionary or radical, if you curb consumption and encourage thrift, then you will be beaten again.

Now is the time to teach Masaoku Abe a lesson, and when he returns, he will ask Kang Bushao to concoct a "On Population" that quotes classics and spread it widely in Japan.

It would be best if there was another famine in Japan in the past few years, and the preservation would make Japan know what the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse are, and immediately exclaim that this book is really the way of heaven and earth.

He has never read population theory, but he has never eaten pork, has seen pigs run, and knows Malthus's three famous arguments.

Suppose, forty items are produced, but fifty people demand them.If you don't care about anything, it must be the forty richest people who buy these things.

If there is social welfare and poverty relief, give one yuan to each of the forty people below the top ten richest people.Then the result is that the first forty people will buy the item, but the price of the item will inevitably increase by one yuan.

So social welfare is useless, but will cause people in the middle class to spend more money.

Assuming that 30 items are produced, and the wages paid to the workers are only [-] yuan, plus the factory owner, there must be [-] items that cannot be sold.If it cannot be sold, workers can only be cut, resulting in fewer people who can afford things, and then continue to cut until the society collapses.

However, if there are nineteen nobles, knights, servants, etc., who do not produce, but only buy but not sell, then all fifty items will be sold, and the wages of workers will stabilize.

Also, the United Kingdom has the Poor Law, and too many people in the workhouse would rather die than live. Some members of Parliament suggested that people should be allowed to hire poor people in the workhouse to build houses at a low price.

One is to alleviate the housing problem in the UK, and the other is to promote social employment.

Malthus immediately objected, thinking that it was precisely because of the lack of houses that poor people did not marry and had fewer children.If the Poor Law encourages large-scale house building, the result will be that "having a house will cause the relationship between men and women to happen prematurely, so that more children will be born. These children will enter the labor market, which will inevitably lead to more tension in housing and wage prices. Lower, that is, the more houses are built, the more houses are lacking.”

On the contrary, if houses are not built, people who cannot afford houses will not be born, and there will be fewer and fewer people, and eventually there will be no shortage of houses.

The less you build a house, the less you lack a house.

Likewise, there is the issue of food.

The more expensive the food, the more there is no shortage of food.

These few arguments are very famous. In fact, it is precisely because of these arguments that Malthus's "On Population" is no longer an isolated pamphlet, but has become a set of self-contained political economy. And not just the knowledge of the population.

If it is only the knowledge of the opposite of the population, it will not allow the "knowledge of the Celestial Dynasty" to continue to lead the direction of the surrounding barbarians.After all, with the opening of ports, the old system will continue to disintegrate.

If you want to become a dynasty, you must lead the trend in the tributary system in this era of change and show them the way one by one.

The entire system of Chacha Malthus is not just a matter of population, but involves all aspects of economics and politics, and it almost perfectly fits the various needs of the Japanese ruling class in the era of change.

Just like the views put forward by Malthus in the famous Corn Law Controversy, it will definitely be welcomed by Japan's ruling class.

Namely: the higher the food price, the more wealth people earn from land rent or rice salary, and the more they can buy, thus promoting the stability of industry and commerce.It does not matter whether the rent goes to the landlord, the warrior, or the government.

The higher the price of food, the wages of hired workers will have to increase, so that the wages of workers will also be higher.

Food is expensive, workers' wages are high, farmers are rich in selling food, rentiers and the Milu class are also rich, and everyone is rich, so as long as the price of food is raised, the whole country will prosper and develop.

At the same time, if the price of food is low, the cost of hiring labor will be low, and industry and commerce will prosper for a short time.With the improvement of industry and commerce, the population engaged in non-agricultural industry and commerce will increase, and Malthus concluded: "Excessive industrial population is not conducive to the peace and happiness of the country."

This whole system, now and in the future, will be welcomed by the Japanese ruling class.

In particular, if we want to think far-reaching, we need to consider that one day in the future, with the opening of ports and the impact of the small peasant economy, a debate will inevitably arise when the development of industry and commerce: Is land rent hindering social development?Or curb social development?Does the new era need a food and salary class that does not engage in production?Was the existence of the samurai good or bad for society?

If the foundation had been laid early, then the warrior class would directly take Malthus's theory and angrily denounce those who believed that the development of industrial and commercial warriors was useless.

From the theory of the necessity of the third party, to the fact that land rent promotes social development, and that too much industrial population is not conducive to the peace and happiness of the country, this whole set of things is enough to make the reactionary resistance of the samurai reasonable.

Moreover, Malthus was originally a conservative, and he believed that the traditional culture of Great Britain lay in nobles and landlords.The development of industry and commerce will destroy the traditional culture of Great Britain.

Traditional culture is in nobles and warriors, which itself is also a very "powerful" argumentation direction.

In the early stage, it was used to reduce the population, and in the later stage, it was used to support the samurai's reactionary counterattack as a theoretical support, with a full set of services.

Dashun is keeping an eye on the feudal vassals and forbidding them to use small victories to carry out a campaign to bring down the curtain. Some of the ruling class will be very stable, and if there is a stable ruling class, the reform cannot be successful.

If the shogunate really intends to unify the vassals and abolish the samurai, it will take at least 30 to [-] years to prepare.

If Dashun didn't complete the steam revolution and didn't get the raw material base in India, he would directly follow the example of Zhang Yi to deceive Chu, talk like fart, support the feudal clans to resist the shogunate, and directly bombard Edo.

If the completion of the steam revolution urgently needs a unified Japanese market that abolishes the land rent class, then sit back and watch the show.

If your own internal affairs are also in chaos, then incite the warriors to rebel against the Malthusianism that upholds the magic reform, and shout that the orthodoxy of the He clan is in the warrior system, and the existence of warriors who eat and pay instead of production can promote the development of industry and commerce.

If you feel that Japan is a bit difficult to control, then just roll up your sleeves and do it yourself, armed intervention, divide and conquer, pull one faction to fight the other, and dismember Japan into Kyushu Island, Shikoku Island, Kanto, and Kansai.

Blocking several possibilities, even if you don't know the whole picture of "On Population", you have heard of the famous Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse of Malthus.

Around this kind of thinking, considering where Malthus's butt is sitting, and the extension of this kind of thinking, it is easy to concoct a skill to curb the growth of Japan's population; theory is fine.

It’s just that my cultural level is relatively low, so I can replace the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse with the Four Evil Ones, so as to avoid this book being confiscated by the Japanese customs——"The Scenery of the Imperial Capital" just because it introduced the Catholic Church in the capital of the Ming Dynasty by the way. Banned for 100 years.

He can't do it, but Kang Bushao's cultural level is sufficient, and he is not an orthodox Confucian student but is quite close to Huang Lao. It should be enough to spread in Japan if the meaning of "Tiandao" is changed.

This can also be regarded as a kind of "radiation effect of the Celestial Dynasty on the cultural circle". Anyway, Japan cannot learn from the idea of ​​the Celestial Dynasty's transformation; the possibility of Japan's transformation cannot be copied by the Celestial Dynasty.The two countries seem to have the same language, but the economic foundation and political system are very different. If you want to continue to exert influence on Japan, you can only "customize" it.

(End of this chapter)