Xinshun 1730

Chapter 633 The Mediator

Mediation is not an end, but a means.

The essence of the "mediation" this time is to attribute to oneself the great merit of being greedy for the right time, place, and people, and to make things that are obviously natural according to Taoism into an illusion that Liu Yu has contributed a lot of effort to mediate.

The main thing is to get the form right and make the movement bigger.

The trade between the Danish East India Company and Dashun was only an entry point for mediation, not a key factor.

He wanted to pretend that it was through his mediation and Dashun's influence that Denmark gave up its qualification as Crown Prince of Sweden.

To make an inappropriate analogy, Liu Yu pretended to push the train while the train was moving forward, and then told the whole world that he pushed the train away.

Judging from geopolitics and the contradictions of several major European countries, Denmark is at best too addicted and dare not really go to war.

It's not that Denmark is afraid of Russia. The army may not be able to beat it, but the navy of Tsarist Russia may not be able to beat Denmark.

The real reason is another reason.This can be deduced.

Once the Austrian succession war continues as it is now, the rise of Prussia will become inevitable after Dashun decides to declare war on the Netherlands.

Then, the top priority of European diplomacy in the future will be Russia.

It can be said that the Russian-British alliance, or the Russian-French alliance, will be the most critical link in the future European diplomatic situation.

Although it sounds confusing, it is true that Britain can only pull Prussia if it first pulls to Russia.

Britain can only scare Prussia by pulling it to Russia, thereby disintegrating the Franco-Prussian alliance.

The basis of the Anglo-Prussian alliance is that Russia and Britain seem close, which can prompt Prussia and France to break the alliance and vote for Britain.

Prussia and France have no direct conflicts at this time, and what they are most worried about is being caught between Austria and Russia.

Otherwise, the United Kingdom will not be able to pull Prussia directly.

Because Prussia knows very well that being pulled by Britain means being enemies of France and Austria at the same time.Prussia is not stupid.The reason why Prussia voted to Britain was to join the Anglo-Prussian alliance and avoid fighting on two fronts, because it is definitely impossible for Austria to stand on the side of Prussia.

On the French side, although they are not consistent, they are almost the same. Russia must first.

Russia, a huge country, is so far away from France.As the overlord of the European continent, France is absolutely qualified to talk about "distance and near attack".

What France wants is a weak Germany, and neither Austria nor Prussia can be too strong.The more chaotic and fragmented Germany is, the happier France is.

The feud between Britain and France, the internal chaos in Germany, and the scum in Poland, so the important pawn that affects the balance of Europe is of course Russia on the border.

Even if the French-Russian alliance cannot be drawn, Russia and France must not be allowed to become too hostile.

Especially under the background that the Marquis of La Schettadi participated in the coup and Elizabeth, a pro-French faction, came to power, it is entirely possible to realize the French-Russian alliance.

Britain and France, the two major powers, are going to pull Russia at this time.

So, if there is a dispute between Denmark and Russia over the Crown Prince of Sweden, will Britain and France support Denmark?Britain and France do not support Denmark, they are trying to curry favor with Russia, and Denmark relies on Mao to start a war?
Liu Yu has already seen the British style.

Appeasement, betraying the interests of other countries.

Silesia in Austria is an example.

The United Kingdom directly mediated from the very beginning, allowing Austria to cede Silesia to Prussia in exchange for peace in Europe, in exchange for Britain not having to fulfill its obligations under the Basic Law of Austrian Succession to the Throne.

Liu Yu has also seen the consistent style of France.

Lipstick but not reality.

It is agreed that Sweden will go to war against Russia, and Mao will not give money to guns.Now that Russia may be pro-French again, why is there a big conflict with Russia because of the issue of a Swedish heir?
As for the remaining big country, Austria.

As long as Russia does not officially join the Franco-Prussian Union, Austria must maintain a good relationship with Russia, and it is impossible to offend Russia just because of a Denmark.

Calculated in such a way, it is impossible for Austria, France, and Britain to support Denmark and offend Russia... As long as the Danish monarch's brain is not rusted and a little bit rational, it is impossible to really go to war.

As for the trade between Dashun and Denmark, it was just Liu Yu's illusion to show that "Dashun is influential".

It was as if he knew that the swallows were flying low and it was going to rain, so he stood on the ground and pointed at the sky, and the sky was raining, which had nothing to do with his pointing to the sky, but he wanted people to think that the rain was directed by him.

Of course, it is beneficial to do so. Dashun's appearance in the Russian coup was amazing, and it is necessary to make persistent efforts and expand its influence.

As for the intrinsic benefits, more so.

At least there is a question of diplomatic credibility, cooperating with Dashun will not suffer.Even if they are not allies, as long as they cooperate and need help, Dashun will help.Not like Britain and France.

This diplomatic reputation is not the same as Dashun's reputation for declaring war on the Netherlands in the future "there is no excuse for crimes".

Declaring war does not involve credibility.

In fact, in Liu Yu's view, the Swedish ambassador's concerns are very problematic.

If Russia is willing to accept a pro-Russian Swedish royal family, then Russia will not make extra troubles and enter Stockholm under the pretext of preventing Danish interference, but will really protect the smooth succession.

If Russia is unwilling to accept a pro-Russian Swedish royal family, but chooses to cut off all of Finland, then it is impossible for Russia and Denmark to confront the Crown Prince issue.

But since the Swedish ambassador said it, Liu Yu also borrowed the slope to get off the donkey.

"Mr. Ambassador, I can mediate about the Danish matter. You also know about the Danish East India Company, and now that it is cooperating with Sweden to form a trading company, the Danes have to listen to my attitude, at least they will exert extreme force." A lot of pressure."

"I can use my personal credibility to guarantee that I will mediate the Danish side. However, it is inconvenient for me to say too much about the Swedish side. After all, this matter still needs to be discussed by the Swedish Parliament itself to come up with a response plan."

"Of course, it's a pity that you are pinning your hopes on miracles on the battlefield, annihilating the Russian troops that entered Finland and forcing Russia to make peace unconditionally. You should also be aware that the talk of capturing Petersburg is just to incite the emotions of the people in the country. In fact, politicians We know very well that it cannot be done at all, at least not when the Fourth Russo-Turkish War is over, don't we?"

"A miracle on the battlefield is, at most, unconditional peace."

The Swedish ambassador said sadly that the politicians knew the end very well, but the matter has come to this point and they have to do it.

As for the complete annihilation of the Russian army in Finland, that is simply a joke.

The leader of the Russian army was Marshal Rasi, who shined brilliantly in the War of Polish Succession, captured the siege of Warsaw and Danzig, and then achieved excellent results in the Fourth Russo-Turkish War. It can be said that Russia at this time The most capable marshal...or it can be said that the only marshal in Russia who can fight at this time.

The tactical style is changeable, especially good at siege warfare, sea and land cooperation operations, naval landing interspersed, etc.And he is a standard chief of staff style marshal, especially in organizing marches, camping, training and reforming the tactical system.

There is no one in Sweden who can fight now. Politicians are yelling that they are about to go to war, but when it comes to the battlefield, 7000 people have been sent this year, and it is obvious that they will not be able to fight next year.

At the beginning of the war, people in the military asked the politicians what they thought, and the Swedish politicians answered very simply: attack Petersburg as quickly as possible, and force Russia to sue for peace.

This is tantamount to talking nonsense.Now the military can't clean the politicians' buttocks, so they can only rely on diplomacy.

There must be no hope for France, and the Swedish ambassador can only pin his hopes on Liu Yu now.

He understood that Liu Yu went to mediate in Denmark to use one of the few trade cards that Dashun could play.

Because Dashun has a cooperative trading company with Sweden, and the Swedish East India Company used to sell dog meat under false pretenses. It was clearly a Chinese trading company and insisted on using the name East India, but in fact it had no share in India at all.

The Swedish and Danish "East India Companies" are absolutely in conflict.

The main direction of the two purchases is Dashun.

The purchase categories of the two are tea, silk, and porcelain.

The two main smuggling directions are the UK and North America.

Now China is cooperating with Sweden, and Dashun has an absolute monopoly on the supply of goods.Therefore, in the view of the Swedish ambassador, if Liu Yu really intervenes, it is conceivable that the Danish side will definitely give in.

Because looking at Dashun's mediation from the perspective of Denmark, it is not mediation, but an excuse for a trade embargo.

For Dashun, since it has cooperated with Sweden, it can get the greatest benefit by cutting off the supply of goods from Denmark.By cutting off the supply of goods, the Sino-Swiss United Trading Company quickly seized the market of the Danish East India Company.

Considering this, Denmark felt that it was best to agree to Dashun's mediation and not let Dashun find an excuse for the trade embargo.

Maybe, from Denmark's point of view, the essence of this mediation is not for mediation, but for Sino-Swiss United Trading Company.

A qualified diplomat must at least be able to predict to be predicted by others, and to be suspicious by others. This is the basic passing line.

The Swedish ambassador believed that Liu Yu's mediation was useful, and the last hidden worry of the whole matter would be resolved.

He neither daydreamed about miracles on the battlefield, the entire Russian army was annihilated in Finland, nor considered that the French mediation could achieve results.

Or the method Liu Yu said is the most appropriate and the most compromised.

Moreover, it seems that Sweden is going to become a vassal state, but in fact, it is the most beneficial to Sweden.

Because, the King of Sweden is a fart, a rubber stamp, and it doesn't matter who he is.

If you want to speak well, you must first fight against the parliament, kill the two parties, and fight against the industrial and commercial bourgeoisie and the emerging class. This is not to say impossible in Sweden, a place where the feudal foundation is not deep, and the difficulty is also heaven-defying.

It seems that Sweden has changed to a king who is "pro-Russian" or has a close relationship with Russia, but in fact, if it can be used in exchange for Russia not occupying Finland, Sweden will simply make a lot of money.

The biggest worry of the Swedish ambassador is that Denmark also stupidly demanded the right to inherit the throne, causing Russia to send troops to Stockholm in the name of "protection", and it would be ruined.When a scholar meets a soldier, he can't explain why.

But as long as Russia does not send troops, the parliament and the two parties can kill the foreign king who has no foundation at all.

In war, the top hat party cannot do it; in business, the hat party cannot do it.

You can play political struggles, fight against dissidents, limit monarchy, incite emotions, and create political correctness. These two parties can play well.

(End of this chapter)