Kingdom of Heaven and Han

Chapter 852 Expansion of the Army
After finishing speaking, Wang Xiaolie drank a glass of wine, then lowered his head to eat the food to calm down his excited mood.

Making a strategic decision like this and having the conviction that the strategy will succeed is very exciting.Zhao Gou asked both the east and west fronts to attack at the same time. It was not until today that Wang Xiaolie firmly believed that he was sure of victory on the west front.

Others were thinking while drinking and eating, discussing quietly from time to time.

Such a strategy not only has high requirements on Jiang Min's troops, but also has high requirements on the frontline troops in Jinzhou.How many troops are stationed in Jinzhou, how they are stationed, and how they move are all related to the overall situation.How many troops the Longde Mansion needs, when and how to move are also crucial.

After resting for a while, Wang Xiaolie stood up, raised his glass and said, "Let's have a drink. Next, I will explain in detail a big detour strategy and what problems to pay attention to. What should you do and how should you do it."

Drink it with everyone.Wang Xiaolie put down his wine glass and said, "A few days ago, the officials handed down an edict ordering me to pacify Guanzhong. In autumn, the East and West Roads marched northward at the same time. The officials on the East Road marched in person, commanding Han Shizhong, Zhang Jun, Liu Guangshi, Yue Fei and other ministries. In addition, the Central Forbidden Army in the imperial court will take Huaiyang Army, Xuzhou, and Yingtian Mansion. On the west road, we will go north from Jinzhou and Longde Mansion to take Taiyuan. If we succeed, the situation between us and the Jin Army will be completely changed."

"We know that the Jin army has always been divided into east and west, and there are even two Privy Councils, Datong Mansion and Yanjing Mansion. The leader of the West Route Army is Nianhan, and the most important general under him is Gu Shen, and Yin Shuke and others In the local area, there are Gao Qingyi, Xiao Qing and other party members. The East Route Army was originally headed by Wolibu, and after Wulibu died, it was led by Eriduo. The generals under his command, such as Wushu and Tarlan, are mostly clan. Officials The so-called Northern Expedition is actually attacking the Eastern Route Army and the Puppet Qi with the Jianghuai armies, and we are attacking the West Route Army. We have wiped out the Balisu and Salihe armies of the West Route Army. Now their Jurchen army It is far worse than before. However, Nianhan is in power, and Liao and the Central Plains are under his control. To attack the West Route Army, we must consider the surrender of the Khitan army that Yeluyu saw."

Zhang Jundao: "The puppet Qi's army, whose orders do they obey? Taking the Jurchens as an example, is he the East Route Army or the West Route Army?"

Wang Xiaolie said: "When the puppet Qi was established at the beginning, the laziness of the Eastern Route Army played a vital role. At that time, it was natural to listen to the Eastern Route Army. However, later, the affairs of the Central Plains were all taken care of, so we We have defected to the West Route Army again. We are attacking north, and we must guard against counterfeiting and attack from behind."

Seeing that everyone was silent, Wang Xiaolie said again: "Since last year, the gold lord Wu Qimai has been seriously ill—that is, he has suffered a stroke and has difficulty moving. Now there are endless debates within Jin Kingdom about who should be the crown prince, especially the east and west. The two routes are particularly fiercely contested. The Northern Expedition at this time can be said to be a good opportunity."

"I decided to strengthen the strength of Jiang Min's first army and expand the army appropriately. In this Shaanxi campaign, we obtained a large number of horses, which can strengthen the cavalry force. Jiang Min's subordinates were expanded into three cavalry regiments, which formed a separate army. The remaining five regiments were not formed. In addition, each regiment strengthens a cavalry battalion to increase mobile strength. Under the division headquarters, there is an engineering regiment, an artillery regiment, three supply regiments, and three cavalry regiments. The remaining reconnaissance battalions, communication battalions, guard battalions, There will be no change in medical camps, etc.”

Jiang Min heard this, and hurriedly said: "If this is the case, my division headquarters is too huge!"

Wang Xiaolie said: "Attacking Datong Mansion is no different than an ordinary combat mission. The following infantry regiments require each regiment to have the ability to fight alone and be able to occupy the prefecture and county. And your division headquarters must be able to attack Datong alone. And carry out the occupation task. Your total force is about 5000 people."

Hearing this number, the rest of the people couldn't help being greatly astonished.The total strength of 5000 troops greatly exceeds that of a division.

Wang Xiaolie continued: "We have made such a strategic decision. In addition to making various internal preparations, we also have to strategically deceive the Jin Army. Judging from the current situation, the Jin Army does not think that Ningwuguan can pass through the army. Defense. The strategic deception of the Jin army must be carried out around this point. Specifically, in the Ningwu Pass area, the surrounding area must be completely controlled. Except for the army and road construction personnel, everyone else must be controlled. Internal management , the news cannot be leaked out. What to do is left to Jiang Min and Zhang Jun’s decision.”

Jiang Min said: "It's not easy to keep the news completely secret."

Wang Xiaolie said: "We should have a clear understanding of what the world looks like. The world is not made up of points, lines, and planes. For one thing, I can't succeed if I do something, or I can't if I don't do anything." Success. The world is probabilistic and conforms to statistical laws. Statistical laws are not accidents or coincidences, but the way the world is made up. When we do things, we must use statistical laws to think, not the way we used to think.”

"Strategic deception, to put it bluntly, may or may not succeed. If you draw a picture, you can draw a curve based on the probability. You should have such a curve in your mind now. The probability of success is How high and how high the probability of failure is, know it in your heart. Your job is to make the probability of success higher and the probability of failure lower. You must understand in your heart that no matter what you do, the probability of failure always exists. However, this is by no means a reason to slack off at work. Try to make the probability of success as high as possible and the probability of unsuccessfulness as low as possible.”

Hearing this, Jiang Min's heart trembled.This is not the first time Wang Xiaolie has said that officials must know statistics, nor is it the first time he has talked about the probability of events.Officials began to understand slowly, but when analyzing things, they often forgot.

This is the understanding of the world, that is, epistemology.The epistemology we often talk about, following the tradition inherited from Europe, mainly talks about the difference and struggle between materialism and idealism, and the difference and struggle between knowing and agnosticism.A discourse system has been formed, and it is difficult to break free when talking about ideas.

Of course Wang Xiaolie doesn't have to follow these rules, these rules are useless to him.Europeans talk about epistemology that way, maybe their history is like that, and thus their understanding of the world is like that.China has a different historical tradition, and of course has a different understanding of the world.

Traditionally, there is no opposition between materialism and idealism, gnosticism and agnosticism.To a large extent, this is a philosophical reflection of monotheistic thought.So, to look at a kind of thought, you have to go to the end of time to see if there is a god standing there.The traditional Chinese thought is that there is no god standing at the end of time, either Tao or Heaven.

What Wang Xiaolie cares about is whether the world is continuous or quantized?Is it probabilistic or deterministic?Does the world follow certain objective laws or statistical laws?
After careful observation and much thought, Wang Xiaolie's answer is that the world is quantized and probabilistic, following certain statistical laws.Rather than continuous, nor deterministic.The so-called objective law is, in most cases, just a special case.For example, Newton's law, if people are on the earth, this is correct.It is not true when humans look into the depths of the sky.Just like the theory of relativity, when human beings study gravity, it is correct.And when people study the microscopic quantum, it conforms to quantum mechanics.

Human beings have always hoped to establish a physical theory that includes all physical phenomena.This may be unrealistic, and the so-called truth probably does not exist in this world.The real world may just follow statistical laws rather than general objective laws.

For example, how heavy is a weight?Using different scales and different units of measurement will have different results.But the weight is there, and it has a definite weight.The world known by human beings and the world described are not the same thing.

This is especially true of human society.It's not that our understanding is insufficient, our knowledge is not enough, or our methods are not enough, but our understanding of the world is flawed.The existence of individual phenomena and the occurrence of some unexpected things are not due to accidents, but because the world is inherently in line with statistical laws.

If the world is really like this, it would be another way for the government to govern society.It is no longer necessary to formulate rules and regulations according to the ideal society, and have to make compromises under the social reality.I no longer think that society has not developed to that point and have to compromise on ideals.Instead, they believe that society is like this, and we must find out the statistical laws of this kind of society.The focus of governance is statistical laws rather than specific things.Also understand that while society conforms to statistical laws, there are always surprises.Dealing with the relationship between regularity and accident is an important ability of officials.

In the early days of human society, governance was inseparable from gods.There is a kind of person who communicates between gods and humans, called witches.As long as witches completely abandon their personal thoughts and accept the will of gods, the rule will be relatively stable.When witches found that God's will was vague, between existence and non-existence, when they added their own thoughts, the rule gradually collapsed.Wu later became an official, and later, they did exactly what they wanted.

Officials are actually a kind of person between witches and people.On one side are ideals and regulations, and on the other side are their own desires.Between ideals and desires, it actually conforms to statistical laws.Some people prefer ideals, while others prefer their own desires.Wang Xiaolie would rather believe that he is biased towards ideals to the extreme, or that he is what an ideal official should be like, that is, a god.And when one's own desires have reached the extreme, they shouldn't exist.

Returning to Luoyang this time, Wang Xiaolie will change the management method and do it according to his own understanding.But right now, the most important thing is the war on gold.How to prepare and win the first battle in Taiyuan.

(End of this chapter)