Shu Chen

Midsummer in June.

Nearly a year old, Guanzhong, which has no drums and horns, appears to be very peaceful.

Regardless of the Han army occupying more than half of Youfufeng, or Wei's Yongliang and Luoyang Central Army, they did not invade each other and broke out conflicts. Both sides strictly ordered and restrained soldiers not to approach the buffer zone between the two armies, just like Weishui and Jing. The confluence of water is generally clear and clear, and each is safe.

But everyone knows that the peace is short-lived.

As enemies of life and death, the Han and Wei Dynasties had no possibility of making peace at all.

Today's tranquility is nothing more than accumulating energy for a future battle that will determine the fate of the country.

The only difference is that the Han army is looking forward to the early arrival of this day, while the Wei army, who is also eager to return to the pass, is delaying time.

Yes, wasting time.

Since the Han army dispatched more than [-] troops to attack Wu and was trapped in the war in the three eastern counties for nearly a year, everyone in the state of Wei felt that the time was ripe to expel the Han army from Guanzhong and recover Longdong.

Even the vulgar soldiers, who had no chance to read, had a vague sense of the approaching war.

However, Sima Yi, the governor of Yongliang who had absolute decision-making power over the Guanzhong War, felt that the time was not yet ripe, and the reason was not to wait for the autumn grain to be put into storage in August.

Gein felt that the chance of "Wei Kequan returning to Guanzhong" seemed to be deliberately done by the Han army.

There is no solid reason.

But whenever he planned to press all the troops in Guanzhong, he would always feel uneasy; there was always a vague voice reminding him that the decision to launch a decisive battle was wrong.

At first, he laughed at himself, thinking that he had suffered too many defeats against Nishu in recent years, and his mentality was the same as that of "fearing Shu like a tiger" who was slandered before.

But as this kind of restlessness has been repeated many times, he feels that he must have neglected something.

Sima Yi, who was wary, temporarily let himself ignore the Jiji camp in Fuguan, and ordered all the generals not to come to ask for a battle. He regarded himself as an "outsider" and explained what happened in the battle of the Han army against Wu. , Thinking over every detail several times, trying to find out the reason for my uneasiness.

Perhaps, the person who knows you best will always be your enemy.

Sima Yi's caution also made him discover two doubts.

First, the purpose of the Han army's attack on Wu is puzzling.

It's not that the Han army shouldn't attack Wu, but that the Han army didn't take the opportunity to expand the results of the war after they had gained the upper hand in both the north and the south.

When the army goes out, it must seek profit.

If it is said that after occupying the three counties in the west of Jiaozhou, the southern line stopped to appease the newly acquired land, then why didn't the Han army on the northern line pursue after the defeat of Lu Xun and Zhu Ran's troops?
For example, if you go south along Jingshan Mountain to occupy Dangyang and Maicheng, you can attack back and forth to capture Xiling Gorge; and if you capture Xiling Gorge, you can go east to surround Jiangling City to fight for aid, and cross the south of the Yangtze River to recover the counties in Jingnan!
In this way, the Jiangdong monarchs and ministers who have suffered consecutive defeats and lost countless soldiers will not be able to eat and sleep at night, right?

Can the enmity between Xiangfan and Yiling in the past be restored?
Moreover, Wei Guo could not cope with such a tactic.

The Han army only needs to give up the three eastern counties and hold on to the golden siege of Hanzhong County, so that the Wei army can't rescue Jiangdong.

After all, it is impossible for the Wei army to cross Xiangyang and rush to Jiangling to fight fiercely.

But it was so strange!
The Han army really missed the opportunity and stopped!

Sima Yi didn't think that Zhuge Liang and Ba Pu, Prime Ministers against Shu, were such reckless people.

If it is said that the Han army's attack on Wu was just to vent hatred and had no intention of occupying Jingzhou, it also cannot withstand scrutiny.

After the battle of Yiling in the past, Zhuge Liang, the prime minister against Shu, did not hesitate to let go of his hatred, but also to promote the alliance between Shu and Wu, which shows that he has a clear understanding of the general trend of the world.And Jiangdong just abandoned the covenant, and has not yet helped Wei to attack Bashu, so he abandoned Chang'an, the old capital of the Han Dynasty, and turned to attack Wu?

How unwise and wicked to waste the merits of the country just to vent hatred!
Taking a step back, Jiangdong betrayed the alliance and made peace with Wei, which did not pose much threat to Ni Shu!

After the disastrous defeat in the Battle of Shouchun and the Liao-style rebellion, Jiangdong, who is more than a year old, still has the strength to attack Bashu from Yong'an Kuimen or Hanzhong Golden Gorge!

Therefore, Sima Yi felt that the Han army's move to attack Wu must have the intention of plotting against Wei.

The other is the development of the current situation, which is too smooth for Wei Guo.

As soon as Wei Guo made peace with Jiangdong, the Han army turned to attack Jiangdong as he wished; when Jiangdong was defeated and Wei Guo wanted to invite Sun Quan to return to the army, the Han army forced Jiangdong to do as Wei Guo asked; Zheng Pu, the "big trouble for Wei", was restrained in the three eastern counties, so that when Wei Guoneng had a chance to return to Guanzhong, Ni Shu also got his wish!
Obviously Wei Guo has already sent troops, and it was Pu who formed a camp in the Dushui River Valley. Why did Shu Prime Minister Zhuge Liang stay in Xicheng instead of rushing back to Guanzhong to sit in town?
Could it be that he couldn't even foresee the danger that Wei Guo's more than [-] troops could take the opportunity to return to the pass?

Sima Yi couldn't believe it.

These coincidences were too many, as if Wei Guo had been favored by the gods, it made him terrified when he thought about it.

Therefore, he suddenly felt that the Han army was trying to lure him into a decisive battle in Guanzhong.

Otherwise, it is impossible to explain why the Han army is so confident!

But as soon as he came to a conclusion, he fell into a new doubt-where did the Han army's confidence come from?

The Han army attacked Wu, and the number of troops entering Jiaozhou on the southern line was beyond Jiangdong's expectations; the [-] troops on the northern line lingering in the three eastern counties proved their combat effectiveness in the battle of defeating Jiangdong, and they were not recruited just for battle. Pretending to be a customer or a military household is the undoubted main force!

In this way, even if the Han army had the heart to seek Wei in Guanzhong, where did the troops come from?
Just relying on Wei Yan, Wu Ban, and Jiang Wei who are currently guarding Guanzhong, with about [-] soldiers and horses, are they going to start an all-out battle with Wei State to bet on the fate of the country?

Before this doubt was solved, Sima Yi also could not refuse the urging battle from the ruling and opposition parties of Wei State.

Therefore, he recorded all these inferences and doubts in a book, and passed them on to his eldest son, Sima Shi, who is now accompanying him in Wancheng, and asked him to pass them on to the emperor Cao Rui in private.

There are many people who avoid the princes in the temple, and they discuss with Cao Rui in private.

Gein, as long as Cao Rui supports his speculation, other people's demands for war or verbal criticism will not affect his scheduling.

And Cao Rui, who had learned the lesson of insisting on pushing soldiers to encircle the city of Yuyin and paid a heavy price, also lived up to his expectations, allowing him to decide everything by himself.

No matter whether the time for dispatching troops is postponed or changed, there is no need to write a letter to report.

Yes, Sima Yi intends to stay dormant for a while, waiting to see how the war in the three eastern counties goes or if he clears up his doubts before launching the decisive battle in Guanzhong.For example, winter and December, when the mountains are blocked by heavy snow and the Qinling Valley Road is difficult to pass, is a very good time for Wei to send troops.