Set sail1992

Chapter 1209 The situation is not that bad, we still have a chance

After thinking for a while, Tang Changhao said to Song Yuehua: "Comrade Yuehua, if it is really like what Xiao Zhang said, there will be an economic crisis sweeping the world, among other things, our exports will be greatly affected. .”

"I think so too," Song Yuehua nodded and said, "Last year, our province's total exports amounted to 686.44 billion U.S. dollars. I just saw our import and export trade data for the first half of this year, and the export value was 420 billion U.S. dollars. According to the past Based on our experience, the export share in the second half of the year will be larger than that in the first half of the year. It is estimated that the total export trade volume for the whole of this year is expected to exceed 870 billion US dollars, and we may even try to hit 900 billion US dollars.”

Speaking of this, Song Yuehua took a look at Zhang Qihang, and then continued: "If the situation is really as Comrade Qihang said, then our province's import and export trade is facing a very serious situation."

Following Song Yuehua, Tang Changhao also took a look at Zhang Qihang, with a gloomy and resentful look in his eyes.

This is also understandable. Originally, the province's economic situation was improving, and everyone was gearing up for a big fight. Everyone was even full of optimistic expectations for the province's total import and export trade next year, and believed that it was very sure to break through 1000. billion U.S. dollars—the total export trade volume of a province can exceed 1000 billion U.S. dollars, which is a remarkable achievement!
But now...

Although both Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao knew that this had nothing to do with Zhang Qihang, just like people who are awakened from a dream would have some resentment, at this moment Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao also had some resentment.

Zhang Qihang naturally also felt this emotion. He thought for a while and said to the two of them: "Both leaders, I am not so pessimistic about the export trade situation of our province this year. I think the export situation in the second half of this year should be stable." Can continue to maintain a relatively high growth rate.

In addition, I think we still have enough time to adjust the province's economy to face and adapt to the impact of this economic crisis to the greatest extent. "

"Oh?"

Hearing what Zhang Qihang said, Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao were immediately refreshed, and Song Yuehua asked quickly, "Tell me your reasons and basis."

What Zhang Qihang said is what Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao want to hear the most. If the export situation this year is still optimistic, and there is still enough time to adapt and adjust to face the impact of this economic crisis, then it is simply The most ideal situation, after all, at this point, both of them have understood that the coming of this economic crisis is inevitable.

Zhang Qihang said: "It's very simple. Any kind of phenomenon must follow the three stages of germination, outbreak, and diffusion in the early stage, and these all take time, and the economic crisis is no exception; in addition, the economy has inertia. It can be stopped immediately after the foot brakes..."

I don’t need Zhang Qihang to talk about it, Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao have already reacted: Yes, an economic crisis does not mean that it will sweep the world, and it will sweep the world immediately. , it is only in its infancy at best, and it is still far from the outbreak. In addition to the economic inertia that Zhang Qihang just mentioned, the final situation will really be as he said, and the export situation this year will not be affected. Too much impact, the province still has plenty of time to make adjustments.

Only then did the two realize that they were a little too nervous before, so after realizing this, the whole person obviously relaxed a lot.

Tang Changhao said with satisfaction: "That's right. With this time, we can deal with it more calmly...Xiao Zhang, what else do you need to add?"

Zhang Qihang subconsciously wanted to evade, he had already said this, and if he said something else, wouldn't it appear that the leader was incompetent?But before he could open his mouth, Tang Changhao stared at him, and said honestly, "Don't be sloppy with me, I don't believe that you have studied this economic crisis to this extent, and you never thought about how to do it better for us. favorable?"

Song Yuehua also nodded with a smile: "Boy, don't hide it, just speak up if you have any ideas."

Now that this is all said and done, what else can Zhang Qihang say?It is definitely not appropriate to shirk.

With a wry smile, he said, "You two leaders, please don't say that. Although I have some ideas, they are all immature ideas." "I think that this economic crisis has indeed had a considerable impact on our foreign trade, but in the long run, there are actually more opportunities for our industrial transformation and becoming bigger and stronger."

Ok?
Hearing Zhang Qihang's words, Tang Changhao and Song Yuehua sat up straight subconsciously, and their expressions became serious: "Comrade Qihang, tell me carefully."

Even the title of Zhang Qihang has changed, from "Little Zhang" to "Comrade Qihang". Obviously, at this moment, neither Tang Changhao nor Song Yuehua regards Zhang Qihang as a junior.

"Okay," Zhang Qihang responded, and said, "To explain why this is an opportunity for us, we must figure out what the American government will do in this economic crisis—first of all, it is certain that the American government will never They will do nothing and sit back and watch this economic crisis continue to deepen, whether it is the capital groups behind them or the public opinion of the society as a whole, they will inevitably require the US government to take action to resolve this crisis."

"That's for sure." Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao nodded together, and Song Yuehua added: "If the American government does not take measures to save the market, the big capitalists and financial groups behind them will not let them go. If the current government does not take measures If there are favorable means and measures to stop the spread of this economic crisis, the guy in the White House should get out."

"I think so too," Zhang Qihang nodded with a smile: "Since it is clear that the American government will definitely save the market, the second question will follow, that is: how to save?
My opinion is that since it is a financial crisis, the best and most reasonable response method for the American government is to use finance to deal with finance.The problem facing the United States is not that there is a problem with the subprime housing loans and related financial derivatives in the United States. The simplest and most effective way is to directly spend a large amount of money from the US government to purchase financial derivatives related to subprime housing loans. Taste.As long as someone takes over these financial derivatives, the problem will be solved. "

Hearing Zhang Qihang's words, Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao's first reaction was: Isn't it?So simple and rude?
But the level and accomplishments of the two of them are here, so immediately, the two of them realized that although it was a bit simple and rude to do so, it seemed to be the most direct and effective way to deal with this economic crisis-don't worry about it Is this method simple, is it simple and rude, you just say whether it can solve the problem?Since you can, then don't say anything, just do it!
Of course, given the piss in the American political arena and the disputes between the two parties, there will definitely be multiple rounds of see-saw negotiations and conflicts of interest during this period, but no matter how they toss and bite the dog, they will definitely be taken over by the government in the end. bailout.

"...That makes sense," Tang Changhao nodded slowly after thinking for a while, and said to Song Yuehua, "Comrade Yuehua, I also think this is the most likely countermeasure that the American government will take."

"Well," Song Yuehua responded, nodded and said, "I think so too. Although conflicts can be diverted by launching external wars, it will take time to divert internal conflicts through external wars. If the scope of this crisis is such With such a huge influence, it is really too late to divert the conflict through external wars. Since this way is not going to work, the best way is to have the US government directly take over as Xiao Zhang said.

only……"

Speaking of this, Song Yuehua frowned and looked at Zhang Qihang: "To resolve such a huge abnormal economic crisis, the amount of funds needed is not a small amount, can the American government pay for it?"

"They must be able to pay!" Zhang Qihang smiled slightly and said, "If they can't afford it, then start the Fed's money printing machine and start printing money. It's nothing more than adding water to the economy. It's not the first time that the US government has done this Twice..."

"Snapped……"

Before Zhang Qihang finished speaking, Song Yuehua and Tang Changhao's slaps were already on the forehead: Why did you forget to print money?

Xiao Zhang is right. It is not the first time that the American government has misbehaved. It is not once or twice to resolve the economic crisis by pouring water into the economy. Since it was possible to do this before, why can’t it be done now?

Song Yuehua frowned and said: "However, this will inevitably cause the depreciation of the US dollar. The depreciation of the US dollar also means that other avoidances will appreciate, including our RMB. Not a small appreciation will inevitably have a big impact on our country's exports."

"Not necessarily," Tang Changhao shook his head and reminded: "Old Song, you have to understand that other countries are not fools. If Lao Mei dares to do this, other countries will inevitably learn from the United States and carry out quantitative easing in order to stabilize their exchange rates. Sometimes there will be a situation of 'you water, I water, and everyone waters together', "

Speaking of this, Tang Changhao sighed: "In this way, it will be a global inflation."

Hearing what Tang Changhao said, Song Yuehua also sighed: "It is indeed the case, but there is no way to do it. You can't just watch the United States pouring water and do nothing yourself? If this is the case, can you Those who are harvested by the financial scythe of the United States are not others, but themselves."

(End of this chapter)