The Kyoto Bubble Era: Starting from the Sale of Hundreds of Millions of Properties

Chapter 139 The Bet with Sister Ning Zi
The three brothers and sisters looked at each other and smiled, and when they spoke, they were embarrassed to find that what everyone was thinking did not come together!
"The Tokyo Commodity Exchange does not list crude oil futures contracts." This sentence comes from Kitahara Reiko.

"Wouldn't it be possible to go to the Gulf to earn a lot of military expenses?" This was Kitahara Ningzi with a mouth full of dessert cream.

"I think we can go short." This is Sosuke Kitahara.

Two pairs of big eyes stared at Kitahara Sosuke.

Gulf War short crude oil?

"Sister, did I not wake up in the morning? Cangjie said he was going to short crude oil in the Gulf War, ahahaha~ I laughed so hard, hahahahaha, I can't do it, tears flowed out, wow~hahaha, Cangsuke is Are you going to be a comedian? Wow Kaka."

Beiyuan Ningzi laughed out loud, and her two long white legs rested on the table again and beat rhythmically.

Kitahara Sosuke, who was sitting across from her, had flashes of gorgeous scenery in his eyes from time to time, and sighed helplessly.

Ningko Kitahara doesn’t know much about finance, but she also knows that the Gulf War was originally started by the United States for oil. Once the war started, the international oil price would rise 100%. The war in Japan will be very long. During the war, the price of crude oil will inevitably rise continuously, which will be a heavy blow to Japan, which is quite dependent on oil.

But as long as you pay money and effort, you can get on the car of the Allies, and maybe you can make a lot of money from it. Oil, which needs to evolve over a long period of time, is one of the most scarce raw materials today, and no country has too much of it.

At this time, if you run to short crude oil, are you looking for death?
Reiko Kitahara works in securities and futures trading. A trace of surprise appeared on her always glamorous cheeks. She looked at Kitahara Sosuke and said quietly: "As of January this year, the proven oil reserves in the Gulf region are about 1. 6 billion barrels, accounting for 517% of the world's proven oil reserves of about 10 billion barrels."

"Iraq accused Kuwait of over-extracting oil and sneaking across the border to extract oil, causing their country's oil revenue to plummet, which is why they launched the war of invasion."

Kitahara Reiko added another sentence.

The implication is very clear. Everyone is fighting for oil. There are so many oil reserves in the Gulf region, and the impact on the situation is self-evident. Isn’t it courting death to go short like this?

"In short, I think the price of oil will definitely fall in a war." Kitahara Sosuke spread his hands, don't ask, it's just his intuition.

"It's the same as your forecast for the stock market and housing market?" Kitahara Reiko tilted her head to look at him.

Kitahara Sosuke nodded slightly.

The smile on Ningko Kitahara's face, who was drinking from a straw, gradually disappeared, replaced by seriousness and prudence.

"So, Cang Jie, aren't you trying to make my sister laugh?"

"of course not."

"Reason, reason, I want to hear the reason!" Kitahara Ningzi retracted her long legs and got up and sat next to him, hooking his shoulder with her right hand and leaning closer, "Come on, tell my sister secretly, if you talk nonsense."

She gently grabbed Kitahara Sosuke's half of the cheek with her hand as she did when she was a child and tugged.

Kitahara Reiko also leaned her body towards him, and a faint orchid breath came over her face.

She was also curious what the reason was.

The so-called futures shorting, simply put, is to predict that the futures price will fall in advance, borrow a bunch of futures from a third-party brokerage company when there is no futures in hand, and then sell them according to the market price, and then buy them to earn the difference when they fall.

The core of short selling is that you can accurately predict that the futures will fall, and you are pessimistic about it when most people are optimistic about it, and you need to judge the time of the decline.

It sounds simple, but it is very difficult to operate in practice, and the risk cost is much higher than the benefit. It is basically difficult to do it without accurate estimation.

"First, the United States will not allow oil prices to rise arbitrarily during the war. It will definitely take action to regulate prices and swallow up international capital."

Kitahara Ningzi gently pulled his cheek, and nodded.

This is predictable, but it is too difficult to control such a large crude oil market. If there is such a method, the United States will not go to the Gulf for the sake of peacekeeping.

After all, it is now a situation of bipolar giants. With the Soviet Union to check and balance the United States, how can it be allowed to manipulate the crude oil market wantonly!

She is more inclined to think that the United States will regulate, but it will only suppress the upward trend of some oil prices, and the overall upward trend will not change.

From the perspective of latecomers, Sosuke Kitahara can understand why the US government successfully controlled oil prices during the Gulf War.

First of all, it is a premeditated control, and it may have been prepared half a year or a year ago. Secondly, the Soviet Union began to disintegrate at the end of the year, and internal problems continued. It is really no effort to compete with the United States.

It's just that these reasons cannot of course be put on the table to showdown with the two sisters.

"What about the second point?" Kitahara Reiko didn't comment on his first reason.

"The war will end soon." Kitahara Sosuke smiled mysteriously.

"Wow Kaka ~ Eldest sister, look at Cangjie, this kid must be sincerely making me happy today~" Kitahara Ningzi hugged him tightly, and couldn't help laughing.

Countless displeased gazes were projected, seeing a table of handsome men and beautiful women, and the one laughing was an extremely beautiful woman, the gaze turned into curiosity.

Kitahara Sosuke could feel the envy and jealousy of the men around him, and he wanted to push the second sister away helplessly, but she hugged her too tightly and had no choice but to give up resistance.

The Gulf War has not yet started, and countless military strategists have begun to analyze and predict who will win between the United States and Iraq, and how long Iraq's million-strong army can last.

The general opinion of military strategists is that the war will last at least one to two years, and a new round of world war is likely to break out.

Where there is war, there will be arms dealers, and the arms business will be extremely hot.

These days, several overseas arms dealers that Ningzi Beiyuan is acquainted with are all eager to make a big purchase and resell in order to make a fortune in the Gulf.

She had been in the Middle East before, and now she is well-known, and she also wanted to get involved. Hearing what Kitahara Sosuke said, she couldn't help but consider the possibility of the Gulf War ending early.

In this way, it will be difficult to sell the large amount of arms acquired.

Beiyuan Ningzi graduated from the military academy, and after her service period expired, she went to overseas war-torn areas to do business as soon as she was discharged. Behind her was the financial support of Beiyuan's family, and the family also had people from the military circle to help make connections.

In the beginning, he was in some fringe areas, and he made a name for himself with his outstanding mind, extraordinary ability, and terrifying methods of killing people without blinking an eye.

The arms industry is a chaotic and excessive field, with huge benefits, but also full of dangers. In order not to be blacked out, she also cultivated a mercenary army with her own hands.

Kitahara Sosuke didn't know much about her experience abroad, only that she came from family persecution and demands. After all, Kitahara Minami and Kitahara Masao were involved with some political leaders.

If there are funds that need to be transferred overseas, there must always be white gloves.

Kitahara Ningzi once complained to Kitahara Sosuke when he was drunk, and he said it was the overseas high-end toilet that Kitahara's family prepared for those behind-the-scenes bosses.

An adopted daughter, not her own. In Tokyo's rich family, where the concept of family status is very serious, only Kitahara Sosuke and Kitahara Reiko have a good relationship with her. Other relatives see her more like a servant of the family.

"So. Are you serious?" Kitahara Ningzi finished laughing, approached him and asked in a low voice, her tone was no longer joking, but more dignified.

"Seriously, Sister Ning Zi, please don't get too involved. I can provide you with some estimates." Kitahara Cangsuke nodded. He has a good sense of the second sister, and he doesn't want her to get hurt by this matter. Somersault.

"That's it." Kitahara Ningzi let go of him, and put his feet on the table again, "It's boring, how about we make a bet?"

"What are you betting on?" Kitahara Sosuke forked a piece of beef into his mouth.

"If your estimate is wrong, you must compensate me for all my losses. If you estimate it correctly." Kitahara Ningzi turned to look at him, "I'll give you a mysterious gift~"

In fact, they have been playing this kind of bet since they were young. In their memory, Kitahara Ningzi always liked to tease the dull and introverted Kitahara Sosuke. When he asked for a gift, he would secretly hide the gift again and let him find it for a long time.

The original body has a lot of memories of Beiyuan Ningzi, probably very lonely when he was a child, the only real sister who is serious and dare not go to play with her, and only this righteous sister who is not liked by the family is willing to be tired of being with him every day, sleeping and bathing Eat, help him beat people and so on.

"Okay, but this time it's not allowed to hide." Kitahara Sosuke laughed.

The three chatted about the crude oil market for a while. Reiko Kitahara didn't agree with Sosuke Kitahara's judgment, but she didn't interfere with his actions. Feeling that he really intended to try short-selling, she agreed to introduce him to a third-party futures trader in the United States. company.

As for the question of the fiancee's blind date, let's wait for the answer over there for the time being.

Kitahara Ningzi is full of confidence. She has a good relationship with Chino Rin, and she doesn't know how they met, but when she thinks that she can be friends with Sister Ningzi, she is probably a very weird girl.

I hope it's not the kind of "only love me, or I'll give you [-] knives and minor injuries".

Anyway, there is a high probability that it will not be successful, Kitahara Sosuke fully agreed, and continued to bury his head in eating. Such an expensive dish, you have to eat enough.

(End of this chapter)