rebirth of change

Chapter 1732 Are You Too Optimistic

Chen Kangjie's circumvention was purposeful. On the one hand, it was to expand the scope and prevent his identity on campus from arousing suspicion.In business universities, in addition to law, there are also various disciplines such as economics, management, engineering, science, education, and art. If you subdivide majors, there are hundreds of them.With such a large area, it is not easy for others to determine who he is.In addition, he answered this way to help Yi Min elicit the following words.

"Hehe, it's not a major in law. As far as I know, there are more than 100 majors in Qianzhou Technology and Business University. You don't have an answer. However, you chose the subject of law. Is there something wrong with it?" Special purpose? Or if you continue your studies in the future, will you choose law?" Yi Min asked.

"Are... are all the hostesses so smart? Hehe, I do have this idea. If I go to graduate school again, I might choose law across majors." Chen Kangjie replied.

"Will you still study law at Qianzhou Technology and Business University? If so, I am afraid that the law school of Qianzhou Technology and Business University will become the most popular law school in China in the next few years. I believe that if many young friends choose law as their study goal , the law school of the University of Technology and Business will become their first choice or an important option." Yi Min said humorously.

"Hahaha, this is not necessarily the case. After all, I still have more than a year to graduate from my undergraduate degree. It is a little bit early to make a decision now." For such a clear question, it is impossible for Chen Kangjie to give a clear answer. answering skills.

"Hehe, it seems that you have carried out the secrecy work to the end. Since you want to keep it secret, we will not break the casserole and ask the end out of respect. I am curious, why do you want to jump to the discipline of law?"

"This is to cater to the development stage of our country. At a certain stage of development, a country has different needs for talent types. For example, ten years ago, our country needed a large number of technical talents, so students studying technical majors are in high demand. But in recent years to the next period of time, with the active business and economic development, there will be a big market for economic and management talents, whether it is a multinational company, a state-owned enterprise, or a private enterprise, including ours. The government departments and research institutes all need these people to stand up and play an economic role. However, if the society continues to develop, we may become very rich in social wealth, but our rules and regulations and laws and regulations will Becoming lagging or unsuitable, not only does not adapt to the development of the economy and society, but also does not adapt to the normal needs of ordinary people, so legal talents will be scarce and especially important at that time. Take the current United States as an example, several presidents They are all lawyers, this is because at their stage of development, the spirit of contract and the protection of various rights have become everyone’s consensus and the guarantee of social order, and we will also enter that stage soon.” Chen Kangjie explained.

"When you say this, let's jump to your other identity. You are a best-selling author. You wrote fantasy novels when you were very young, and later wrote a book with a political nature. From your From the point of view, will our country reach the level of development of the United States soon?" Yi Min wittily made a smooth change of topic.

"Hehe, I haven't written anything for a long time, so I'm not strictly a writer. Those things are just a whim." Chen Kangjie said modestly, "As for you asking me, will our country reach the peak soon? At the stage of development of the United States, it is really difficult to give a definite answer to this question of forecasting tendency. For this question, it must be separated and cannot be generalized. In terms of economy alone, we want to reach the current state of the United States. level, it should not take 15 years..."

"You mean, we can reach the current economic level of the United States within 15 years? Isn't that too optimistic?" Yi Min was a little surprised, and interrupted to ask.

"It's about the same, at least in terms of weight. As for the structure and gold content, there may be a little more time. This has subjective and objective factors. Some are based on the reality of our national conditions, and we will not blindly copy them. But due to the law of social development, some will go in that direction. Although I predict that within 15 years or [-] years, we can achieve the economic achievements of the United States today, but there will still be gaps in the overall national strength of the system, for example There will still be gaps in military capabilities, political influence, fairness of the rule of law, and scientific and technological breakthroughs and reserves. This is a direction that requires more efforts from young people of our generation." Chen Kangjie talked eloquently , appears very confident.

"Aren't you too optimistic? The gap between us is still very large."

"While we see the gap rationally, we must also see our development speed. Since last year, our economic development speed has been maintained at more than 9%. I firmly believe that in the next ten years, this speed will not only increase It will be maintained, or even higher. Based on our current GDP of nearly 12 trillion yuan, if the growth rate in the next 11.00 years is 12.00% or [-]% per year, then imagine that our economic aggregate will be How much will it be. It is almost the same as the current economic aggregate of the United States."

"I didn't calculate how much at the moment, I'm not good at math. The students below should be better at math than me, have they calculated how much?" Yi Min threw the question to the students below.

When Chen Kangjie said it, many people below were already silently calculating.So when Yi Min asked a question, several students immediately raised their hands to express their understanding.

"This classmate, tell me, how much will it be?" Yi Min pointed to a boy who looked thin, wearing a white jacket and wearing glasses.

The boy stood up nervously, "Long, hello, I'm a student at the School of International Economics, Capital University. It's a pleasure to talk to you face to face."

Chen Kangjie smiled and nodded at him, which was regarded as greeting, but also encouragement and encouragement.

"The host asked just now, and I can only come up with a rough answer, because the base and growth rate cannot be determined. If you follow what you said, the total amount will reach more than 50 trillion, a five-fold increase. Such a prediction It is indeed very surprising. I am a student of economics, and frankly speaking, I am also surprised. As a Chinese, we all hope that your prediction is correct, but we have to doubt a little whether such a speed will It really appears for a long time, even if it does appear, the total amount of more than 50 trillion, calculated according to the current exchange rate, is still not close to the level of nearly 60 trillion U.S. dollars in the United States. Last month, a domestic economist Come to think of it, we haven't failed to catch up with the United States in [-] years. I don't doubt you, I just..."

Chen Kangjie reached out his hand to block his next words. Chen Kangjie didn't want to be rude to him, but wanted to protect him, "I understand that you are analyzing based on the spirit and rationality of seeking truth from facts. From this point of view, you are right. But , There are two things you have deviated from. First of all, I have to tell you seriously that there is no need to doubt the speed. I have 90.00% confidence in this speed. It is 60%, not [-]%. Of course, others can also use their own research As for whether it is correct or not, you can see it ten years later. Perhaps there are very few economists who have the same understanding as me, but it doesn't matter. I believe in myself. The two things I want to tell you The point of deviation is, first, the total economic output will exceed [-] trillion by then. I am an optimist, and I adopt a faster growth rate. The second is the exchange rate issue. We must know that the exchange rate is not constant Yes, the exchange rate of rmb to US dollar will not always maintain the current level. Due to various international and domestic considerations, our currency value will rise in the next ten years. If you combine the two, it will be almost the same. By then , our total amount should be around $[-]."

Chen Kangjie's words made the students and most of the people in front of the TV very excited, but not without doubts, some people felt that Chen Kangjie's words were exaggerated and sensational.It has seriously exaggerated the economic capacity of our country, but people who have this idea have not said it now.

Chen Kangjie's estimate is not entirely based on the original historical understanding, he has added his own factors into it.Chen Kangjie himself made a simple evaluation of himself. He thought that his return would increase the country's economy by [-] to [-] point every year.This can be seen from the data of the past three or four years.

"Long, let's wait and see if your prediction today will bring us surprises and excitement ten years from now. Just now you said that you are an optimist, does this have something to do with you being a musician? Because in our impression, music always brings optimism to people, or can relieve depression. Does it have something to do with your identity?" Yi Min acted on his own, and there was no such rehearsal before .

"That's right, yes, music does have the effect you said, but not all musicians are optimistic and cheerful. Some musicians or artists are actually very introverted and depressed, and their music often has more depth. , Of course, many of them also create bitter music. My own optimism is not blind. I have never been a pessimistic character. I have always maintained a positive view on life and the country. There is a saying Yes, earning more money can bring happiness, on the contrary, only being happy can earn more money. Let’s expand a pessimistic person, a person who suffers from deep hatred, and a person who is not positive, and expect him to have good achievements , a little unrealistic. From the perspective of national character, I think our Chinese nation is indomitable and positive no matter what age and environment it is in. This is an important reason why our big nation can continue to reproduce until now. Our Like a person's character, the national character of a country will also be reflected in the country's development and promotion. In a word, character determines destiny, and character also determines vision. Of course, making positive predictions must also be based on rational analysis and judgment. I'm not a childish person, so I like music to a certain extent, most of the music I make is upbeat and uplifting. It's not directly related, I have logic and judgment as the basis."

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