imperial psychologist

Chapter 205 Type III Errors

Chapter 205 Type III Errors

Bai Ling looked at Qinglian in front of him calmly—this was a girl who was planning to sue her.

What she said, apart from the fact that the cause and effect of the matter are diametrically opposite, at present, they are basically in line with the several major events in the dossier.

Bo Ling looked at the tea soup in his hand, "What's the use of approaching me? I'm a small pharmacist, and I can help you reverse the case?"

"Si Yao can't do it, and I never thought of asking Si Yao to help me redress my grievances... But Si Yao not only knows how to make the imperial concubine happy, but also has received several awards from the Holy Majesty. I thought that as long as I stay with Si Yao , I can always learn more things..." Qinglian cried and said, "Xiaolan and I are very light-hearted, we are afraid that if Chengqian Palace has to change people after a while, then we will have the opportunity to turn around after a while. there is none left……"

"Who told you that I have received several awards from the Holy Majesty, Rouge?"

"...Yes." Qinglian nodded reluctantly, "But this has nothing to do with Sister Yanzhi, Xiaolan and I are cousins, and I haven't talked to anyone else since we were born."

Bo Ling gently turned the cup in his hand, without saying anything.

Qinglian's active approach really had a purpose.

Although it is possible to jump from Genggufang to the top, it is possible to completely get rid of the original criminal identity-Genggufang is no longer a place for direct accommodation of criminals like Jiaofangsi, but it is just that palace people are often arrested. Just relegated here.And not every time someone is transferred, someone will check the specific content on the file of the person being transferred in detail, but just find the corresponding file underground and relocate it, so this layer of identity whitewashing is very effective.

If no one who was acquainted with them later identified or exposed them, Qinglian and Chulan would very likely become ordinary court ladies. Unless one day they are blessed by the emperor, as long as they don't mention it, their past will be easy be hidden.

But two girls with no background stepped into the imperial concubine's bedroom from the Genggu room in four years... Can they really do it by themselves?

Considering the closeness of time, Qinglian and Chulan had contacted Lin Jieyu in the Jiaofang Division before, and there was a great possibility that they were slowly brought up;
On the other hand, Rouge, her dossier is unremarkable. She is indeed the daughter of Linxia Yicheng, her original name is Yan Zhi, but this name is too elegant, it sounds more like a master than a maid, so she was changed to Yanzhi.

However, Bai Ling couldn't tell what was wrong, and she always felt that she seemed to have missed something.

A serious divide has arisen between intuition and evidence.

"...I remember last time Chu Lan said that you are from He County, Huizhou Prefecture." Bai Ling put down the teacup, his voice gradually softened, "Why do you have your own fruit forest in the mountains of Donglin Temple?"

……

Qinglian stayed in Dongpian Hall for two hours at a time, even Bai Ling came out to bring in lunch, Chu Lan lay on the small table in the yard, staring at the gate of Dongpian Hall boredly.

Not long after noon, Qinglian finally came out of the room.

Bo Ling kept her in the room until she stopped choking, the redness on her nose and eye sockets faded, and there was no trace of crying at all, and then opened the door to let her go back between Yanzhi and Chulan.

Before leaving, Bo Ling confessed two things to Qinglian.

One is that she intends to cling and hide her identity. Bai Ling can not pursue it for the time being, but correspondingly, as long as she and Chulan are still in Chengqian Palace for a day, they must not have any thoughts of going to the Holy Lord to seek justice.

The second is the conversation in the room today, she can't reveal half of it to anyone, even Chulan and Yanzhi, whom she trusts the most.

Apart from kowtowing repeatedly, Qinglian really didn't know how to be grateful.

Outside, Chulan ran to Qinglian, "Why have you been here for so long!"

"Oh, Bo Siyao told me about the matter at the Imperial Hospital." Qinglian pursed her lips and forced a smile, "By the way, this is Si Yao's leftover manuscript from the day before yesterday. Let's continue working on it." Let's work."

Qinglian's voice faded away, and Bai Ling sat quietly at the table alone, gently holding his forehead.

Is it the right way to raise your hand and let Sister Qinglian go?

If they were really Lin Jieyu's people, then the fact that they had found out the details of the two sisters' Jiaofang Secretary would probably have alarmed the snake.

There are many ways to verify whether what Qinglian said today is true or not.But if this matter is reported directly to Granny Shu, the two sisters may not survive tonight.

There are one hundred and one thousand ways in the palace to make a maid of no rank disappear inexplicably. Maybe a carrion will be found in a certain dry well a few months later, or a deserted little place on the shore of a certain lake or somewhere. When renovating the courtyard, or even the garden a few years later, the bones of the unknown were found.

Both Zheng Shu and Bao Yuan must know that she has returned to the Qian Palace.It's just that as soon as I came back, I first grabbed Qinglian into the room for questioning, so Granny Shu and the others haven't come over to ask about the results of checking the papers.

So, when they came to ask, should I answer truthfully?

Bo Ling inserted his five fingers into his hair and suddenly felt a little embarrassed.

She sat in front of the table, struggling a little bit to think about the report for a while, and stretched out her hand to take out the four or five manuscripts that Chu Lanhua had copied with great effort.

This chapter is exactly the first lesson that Berlin himself intends to teach in Taiyuan Hospital—about the formation and testing of hypotheses.

This point was decided after she discussed with Bai Yi.Rather than imparting those flexible consulting skills and a number of theories based on empirical research, it is more important for apprentices to establish the most basic experimental design thinking and causal reasoning ability, so she mixed some of them at the beginning of the lecture notes The content of psychological statistics and research methods, as the enlightenment of psychology class.

Her eyes fell on the conclusion at the end of the first section——

Hypotheses about something can be divided into null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis;

The null hypothesis always assumes that the parameters of things have not changed, while the alternative hypothesis thinks that the overall parameters of things have changed.For example, if there is a burglary case in the countryside, then the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis for the suspicious object Zhang San are respectively: Zhang San is a good person; Zhang San is a bad person.

When the null hypothesis is established, but the experimenter rejects such a hypothesis, it is a type I error;
When the null hypothesis is wrong, but the experimenter accepts such a hypothesis, it is a type II error;
In experimental design in psychology, we should avoid both errors, but with different priorities.When the experimenter makes a type II error, if he is confident in his hypothesis, he can conduct secondary verification by redesigning the experiment, etc., until he finds the reason for the significant/insignificant data.

However, when the experimenter makes a Type I error, because the phenomenon that does not exist originally is reported, the phenomenon will lead to subsequent research and application, so the harm caused by the Type I error will be immeasurable.

……

Bo Ling slightly loosened his brows.

 Thank you Tsing Yi D, the monthly ticket of the super cute Yue 3 sauce~

  
 
(End of this chapter)

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