imperial psychologist

Chapter 214 Small Class Trial Lecture

"How can there be such a strange thing." Grandma Shu frowned and said, "The two sides can't fight at all..."

Baoyuan smiled and said, "It really is. After a while, the reason will be very clear and reasonable... But mother-in-law, why don't you make a guess first."

"Is there a problem with the identity of the person who sells rock sugar mung bean soup in the city?" Qu asked softly.

"No." Baoyuan said, "These soup sellers are ordinary people who keep their own place."

"So the mung bean dealers in the city are with the thieves?" Zheng Shu also guessed.

"No." Baoyuan continued to shake his head, "Those who buy and sell mung beans, those who grow mung beans...all are fine."

Qu and Zheng Shu made a few more guesses, but they were all rejected by Baoyuan.

"Oh, I can't guess, I can't guess." Zheng Shu shook her head again and again, "I don't know which Javanese country this is absurd, just make up one, and we have to figure out the reason..."

Baoyuan continued, "It's reasonable, Grandma Shu, do you think that the fact that there are more people selling rock candy and mung beans means that the weather is getting hotter?"

Both Qu Shi and Zheng Shu nodded.

"When the weather is hot, more people will sleep with windows open at night; if more people open windows at night, there will naturally be more burglaries." Baoyuan said softly, and at this moment, Qu and Zheng Shu suddenly understood .

Baoyuan went on to say, "The county magistrate has to recognize that there is a correlation between the increase in sales of mung bean soup and the increase in theft, but there is no causal relationship, so that he can come up with a correct solution. Law."

"...What kind of sophistry is this?" Zheng Shu frowned again, "No one would link mung bean soup with the theft."

"Yes, Granny Shu, in this story, it is absurd to treat correlation as causation, but in fact, once the occasion is changed, many people are doing this."

Imitating Bai Ling's tone, Bao Yuan walked up and down the room, "Let's take the sachet of Donglin Temple as an example. Why do people who buy the sachet of Donglin Temple not only get less sick, but also live longer? Is it true that the sachet has a miraculous effect? ​​Not necessarily, the sachet is one or two, and most of the people who can afford it are high-ranking officials. These people eat well, live well, don’t have to work in the fields, and there are still people who are sick. If you are tired, you can still see the best doctor... Then you will definitely live longer than those who can't afford a sachet.

"There is a correlation between buying sachets and living longer and getting less sick, just like selling mung bean soup and theft. The real causal relationship here is that good material living conditions lead to good health." Bao Yuan He said with a smile, "If you mistake correlation for cause and effect, and really believe that the sachet can keep you safe, it will be a good thing for the rich to throw money, but for the poor, it will be nothing."

Just as Zheng Shu wanted to reprimand Baoyuan for being disrespectful to Buddhism, Qu laughed, "That makes sense."

Seeing the smile in Qu's eyes, Baoyuan seemed to be very happy to hear it, and worked harder in acting.

She rolled up her sleeves and said with a smile, "More importantly, if people can't distinguish between correlation and cause and effect, sometimes it is easy to stumble on major events."

Qu Shi laughed, "How can I say that?"

"For example, when the rooster sings, the sky is bright, it is just because the rooster crows just in the early morning. Whether it crows or not, the sky will always be bright; the same is true for people. , A person's achievement depends not only on his personal efforts, but also on the process of history. If you really regard the power of fate as the cause and effect in your own hands, you will be taught to be a man sooner or later."

Qu Shi froze there suddenly, only felt that these words fell on his ears like a thunderbolt.

Zheng Shu also noticed the change in Qu's expression, hurriedly interrupted Baoyuan's words, took a water glass and stepped forward, and said softly, "Mother, Bo Ling is only a child, if he can understand anything, he will be lucky..."

Qu took the teacup, took a sip, handed the water cup back to Zheng Shu, looked at Baoyuan and said, "Is she still talking?"

Baoyuan calmed down and listened, and all three of them heard a faint human voice coming from outside the courtyard. Although they couldn't hear what they were talking about, they could vaguely distinguish that it was Bo Ling's voice.

"Help me up." Qu said with a smile, "I'll go and listen too."

The door curtain of the main hall was lifted, and Zheng Shu and Bao Yuan walked out from inside holding Qu's side.

I saw that in the yard, Bo Ling brought a large wooden board from nowhere, on which rice paper was fixed with nails. She held a candle in one hand and a charcoal stick in the other, and wrote a bunch of dense words on the cardboard. And most of them are numbers, which Qu couldn't see clearly for a while.

In front of Bai Ling, there were seven or eight court ladies and eunuchs, all of whom were sitting on the floor. The few people in the front row held notebooks and pens in their hands, and seemed to be taking notes.

When everyone heard the voice from behind, they all turned their heads and saw that it was the imperial concubine, they all got up and stood up.

"Don't worry about me, you continue." Qu Shi said softly.

Bai Ling bowed slightly, "Ma'am, I'm almost done, I just need a couple of closing words."

"Really..." Qu Shi felt a little pity, and she sighed softly, "Then you finish it."

After Bo Ling heard this, he turned around and looked at himself, who had written a cardboard full of notes. In fact, all that should be said had been said.

"So in today's preface, we have talked a lot, from related causes and effects, some common data indicators, to a few simple experimental design methods... Everyone should have a certain understanding of the so-called experiment. Back to our topic at the beginning of today "Berling stretched out his hand and pointed to the earliest blackboard writing on the upper right corner of the cardboard, "As I said at the beginning, psychology pursues four goals-description, explanation, prediction, and control. All of these require Based on empirical research."

Bo Ling sighed with some emotion. All the methods and means she described today were only focused on description and explanation—and these two things alone have consumed many psychologists' lifetime energy, and even more Not to mention the latter two.

"I believe that everyone now understands why even the simplest conclusions in life can be re-examined after establishing a psychological perspective. A little bit involved, but the way of thinking she brings to you is also far-reaching-at least it can make you less gullible."

Everyone laughed.

"Okay, that's it for today. The next class is the night after tomorrow, and Qinglian will copy tonight's homework for you later." Bo Ling put the candle back on the desk in front of him, "Then... get out of class is over Bar."

Qinglian who was standing in front suddenly shouted "Stand up", and everyone stood up, while Qu's heart beat a few times faster in shock - everyone bowed to Bai Ling, and said "Stand up" in an uncoordinated manner. Goodbye, sir", the gestures and voices were mostly unfamiliar.

Bai Ling coughed lightly. This was a scene she needed to get used to. Fortunately, it was already dark, and others couldn't see clearly the restraint on her face at the moment.

She reached out and fanned out the candles on the table with a crisp sound.

"goodbye students."

　Thanks to rquall for the reward~
　　
　
(End of this chapter)