Great Power Technology.

Chapter 201 What's in the Rabbit's Pocket

On March 20, 3xx, the countdown of the engine ground test was 18 hours.

On the other side of the sea, an urgent enlarged meeting was being held. In addition to everyone in the Strategic Analysis Office, there were also many experts and scholars in related fields who were also invited to participate in the meeting.

Their meeting this time has only one topic, which is to analyze the latest declassified project information of the Huaxia sedan chair project team, formulate countermeasures, and prepare for the upcoming negotiations on the Nantianmen project.

The first speaker was a scholar named Jenny in the expert group. He is over 60 years old and is a veteran expert in the field of aviation development. He is outstanding both in technology and in overall vision. .

"Hey, everyone is clear about the situation. The other party's bridal sedan chair project team has released their latest progress."

"According to the public information, they have completed the first stage goal of the Nantianmen project and the Huajiao project, which is to successfully trial-produce the first commercial aeroengine with a large bypass ratio."

"Currently, we still don't know anything about the parameters and performance of this engine, but inferred from the laws of technological progress and the opponent's inherent technical foundation, I have some judgments as follows."

After finishing a few words, Jenny picked up the coffee cup and took a sip, then continued to speak:
"First of all, I think the opponent's engine is not a superficial project, but a mature industrial product that can actually be used and has even reached mass production. This is beyond doubt."

"I think everyone here may say that it is impossible to manufacture a mature high-bypass ratio engine in such a short period of time with the technical strength of the other party, but what I want to tell you is that our intelligence system It basically has no effect on Huaxia, so we don't know how many bullets they put in the unshown gun hidden in their pocket."

"We should have considered the worst case scenario and assumed they had a high-caliber Colt loaded with six rounds in their pocket."

"Only in this way can we respond with the highest vigilance to unexpected situations that may arise later."

"Do you have any different opinions on this point of view?"

Jenny looked around, as he expected, no one shook his head in the whole venue, which made him feel a little relieved.

In recent years, although our own side's vigilance against the other party has been greatly improved, the contempt for them in technology has not changed. Domestic scientific researchers always think that they still have the most advanced technology in the world. However, they never thought that this situation had been quietly changing a long time ago.

But now, under the impact of the opponent's advanced technology several times in succession, this situation has changed to a certain extent.

This is a good thing.

Only by recognizing your own problems can you continue to move forward.

After a moment, he continued:

"The above is my first inference. This inference is based on a non-technical level. What I will talk about next will be a technical judgment."

"At present, the opponent has several bottlenecks in the field of aero-engines. These bottlenecks are: materials, processing procedures and techniques, assembly technology, and simulation technology."

"As a scholar, from my technical experience, these bottlenecks are most likely to be broken through in two aspects: materials and simulation technology. Breakthroughs in these two aspects will also greatly enhance their capabilities in the field of aviation development. technical level."

"As we all know, the other party currently has a public CJ-1000AX high bypass ratio engine project, and its target thrust is 25 tons."

"Then, after superimposing the impact of technological breakthroughs, I think that the engine thrust of the opponent's project should be between 30 and 50 tons, and the maximum will not exceed 50 tons."

"This is my judgment based on the objective law of technological development. Although this thrust does not seem to be advanced, I also want to remind everyone that our most advanced GE-9X commercial aero engine has a peak thrust of only 80 tons. "

"And it took us only ten years to break through from 40 tons to 80 tons."

"This means that the gap between the opponent's aviation technology and ours has narrowed from 30 years to 10 years, and the actual time they spent is actually less than 5 years."

"So, based on the above two judgments, my suggestion is that we should actively cooperate with each other within a limited range, and don't mind the gains and losses in a short period of time."

"As long as we can reach a cooperation, it means that we can at least develop synchronously with each other, and keep the last ten-year gap from shortening."

"That's my suggestion, is there any disagreement?"

Jenny looked around again, and this time, a hand was raised.

It's Eisen, the current head of the Office of Strategic Analysis.

After confirming that he could speak, Eisen said in a low voice:
"Mr. Jenny, I respect and believe in your professionalism, but, from my intuition, you may have underestimated the other party this time."

"Do you remember the last time we failed on the chip? At that time, we also thought that the other party's technology would not be too far ahead, but in the end? What they came up with was 3nm technology, and we were rejected because of lack of preparation. The opponent was caught off guard."

"How much market we have lost on chips, are we going to make the same mistake again?"

After listening to his words, Jenny sighed.

This Eisen was probably scared stupid by the other party.

He is still too young. After one or two failures, his mentality has changed, and he even started to talk about the so-called intuition in such an important meeting.

This is definitely not something a policymaker should do.

Thinking of this, Jenny said:
"Eisen, I understand your concerns, but at the same time, I also want to remind you that aero engines and chips are completely different. field, absolutely impossible."

"As I said, they may have made a breakthrough in one aspect, but what about other aspects? Turbofan blade design, thermal insulation TBC coating, structural strength design, assembly process, and even tolerance control, thermal element design, All of these can only be achieved with a wealth of experience and technical accumulation.”

"Even if I hand them a drawing now, do you think they can reproduce the engine? Impossible."

"They have to have a cold and hot binary diagram, a manufacturing document, a material distribution document, and a fan blade construction model. In short, there are too many indicators that affect the performance of an engine. I don't believe they can make a breakthrough at once."

"So, I still stick to my point of view, that is, the other party may have made great progress, but this progress will not reach the level that can affect our dominance, so we can't presuppose too much for future negotiations resources and conditions.”

"Like I said, we can imagine the other side has a loaded Colt revolver in his pocket, but we can't imagine an M416 assault rifle in his pocket, because there is no pocket that can fit For rifles, this is an objective law."

After listening to Jenny's words, Eisen shook his head again.

He wanted to say something to refute, but he couldn't find an argument for a while, so he had to say unwillingly:
"Maybe they can pull out not only pistols, rifles, but even anti-tank missiles from their pockets?"

As soon as this was said, everyone in the venue laughed.

No one really listened to his advice. In the eyes of these people, he was like a fool who worried that the stars would fall and the ocean would roll back.

Eisen sighed and fell silent again.

He no longer has the spirit to argue with reason.

What can be said, he has already said in the few words just now.

Since no one listened, he had no other choice.

However, in his heart, he still firmly believed that what these rabbits carried in their pockets was definitely more than just revolvers.

(End of this chapter)