Mage Veja

Chapter 463
How can we know the enemy's battle plan?
It is unrealistic to send war spies first, and since Escal is an extremely confident commander, he will definitely not choose to open the battle plan prematurely. Even if someone asks, he will probably only say half and half.

Vega has a deep understanding of this.

Because he himself did the same thing, he would never tell the whole story in front of everyone, he would only tell his subordinates what to do and what not to do.

Eskar is the same as Veigar.

They don't need officers with strong self-judgment ability, such officers who make their own decisions tend to make the war go to the other extreme, what they need are dolls who can only execute orders.

Therefore, it is unrealistic to choose to steal the battle plan. After all, it is impossible for you to extract information directly from Escal, so there is only one way left——

The overall plan is derived using conventional means.

What are conventional means?
To put it nicely is called empathy, relying on the existing situation to reasonably derive the whole plan, to put it bluntly is called blind guessing.

But this wild guess is not fanciful.

Veigar, as an officer with extremely rich command experience, can guess the enemy's general plan to a certain extent.

Not just Veigar.

But all the famous generals have this ability, the difference lies in who is more able to see through the enemy's heart.

Veigar returned to the sand table again.

To deduce the enemy's combat plan, we must first figure out the enemy's ultimate goal.

For the imperial army, the ultimate goal of this war is already obvious - to defend the city of black gold.

Of course, this is only the minimum goal.

There is a saying that a soldier who does not want to be a general is not a good soldier, and for a general, a general who does not want to maximize the results of the battle is obviously not a good general, so there is a minimum goal and a highest goal.

This highest goal is also easy to guess.

Defeat his 30 army and sound the clarion call to counterattack the middle and lower reaches.

These two goals are relatively realistic at present, and they are also the general goal that can be chosen according to the state of the follow-up war.

War is like doing math.

With the final answer, it is not too difficult to launch the process of solving the problem. This is also a war. First of all, we must find out the reason for the enemy's motivation and purpose.

You don't even know the purpose and motivation of others, so what will you use to win this war?

Passive defense and meaningless active attack are all behaviors of headless chickens. No senior general will be so conceited that he thinks that he has a large number of soldiers and can win by coping with them casually.

Therefore, the ultimate goal is determined, and it becomes easier to roll out the process.

In the end, Veigar spent a day and a night, and probably launched two fairly clear plans.

According to Vega's speculation, Eskar must have a conservative plan and a radical plan.

The conservative plan is to stick to the city of black gold. Even if Veigar's morale is seriously injured in the next attack and the defeat is already certain, Eskar will not step out of the city gate and let Veigar retreat safely.

Another radical plan was different.

If Veigar couldn't attack for a long time, the morale of the army was slackened, and he had to withdraw to the middle reaches due to helplessness.

Then Escal, who is waiting for work, is likely to lead the army out of the Black Gold City to pursue Veigar when he believes that the overall situation is settled, and strive to expand the results of the battle, sound the first horn for the counterattack in the middle and lower reaches, and indirectly wash away his shame. .

Which plan will Escal choose?
This matter cannot be generalized, but refer to Vega's next performance.

If Veigar still maintained the ability to fight a battle when he was preparing to retreat after repeated sieges without success, then Eskar would not dare to take a radical plan to take a risk.

If Veigar was in a war with no morale and would collapse at the first touch, Eskar might adopt a radical plan and go out of the city to pursue Veigar. After all, there is no general who does not like to maximize the results of the battle.

In view of this.

Here we must mention the principle of "lifting the ladder from the house" that Vega will use.

In Veigar's opinion, as long as he can follow Eskar's goal and show that the defeat is over step by step, then when Eskar successfully climbs to the roof, he will have something to do.

Easier said than done.

Although it seems that all you need to do is to deceive Escal, it is precisely this method of deception that is the most difficult to master. If it is not done well, it will reveal its flaws, causing Escal not to take a step out of the city of black gold.

So next, it's time to test your strength.

In the next week, Veigar launched about 5 siege battles. Each siege battle basically cost the lives of more than 3000 soldiers and returned without success. These five battles were directly destroyed. A division.

What about the Imperial Army?

Relying on the complete fortifications of the city, coupled with the leisurely waiting for work, the death toll did not exceed 3000.

Therefore, these five siege battles are called siege battles at a good level, or ordering soldiers to jump into fire pits at a bad level, and indirectly demoralized them. Now the entire army is calling for a retreat.

Continue to fight like this.

I'm afraid that before the imperial army makes a move, Veigar's side will lose control of public opinion, leading the entire army to the brink of collapse.

Don't underestimate things like morale.

An army of 10 people, as long as their morale is high enough, can even defeat a 30 army without morale, because without morale, the 30 army is likely to disperse and flee before fighting for a round .

As the commander-in-chief, doesn't Veigar know the seriousness of the matter?

Of course he knew.

But in Vega's view, if he wanted to deceive Escal's eyes, ordinary means would definitely be useless, and only by doing a fake show could convince Escal.

without any exaggeration.

Veigar is cutting off the wrists of a strong man, sending the lives of soldiers one by one to the opponent, making Eskar feel that everything is going according to his plan, he is stepping up the ladder steadily, as long as he continues to follow this plan, he will Can go from conservative to radical.

Of course, everything happens in case.

If Eskar finally adopts a conservative plan, then Vega will not only lose the lives of tens of thousands of soldiers, but will also deal a fatal blow to the prestige of his commander and the morale of the entire army.

Therefore, this can indeed be described as a strong man breaking his wrist.

If it succeeds, it will take down the city of black gold, and if it fails, it will suffer heavy losses.

This kind of combat method, even if the general commander thinks about it, he will not use it, because the risks taken are too huge, and the variables of the war are beyond the controllable range.

But Veigar did it anyway.

He firmly believed that Escal was a commander who was as proud and confident in the war as he was.

(End of this chapter)