legendary trader

Chapter 15 Changhong Electronics
He is optimistic about the stock of Changhong Electronics. The only thing Chen Fan hesitates now is whether the latest economic data can support the performance.

Although Changhong Electronics' overseas production line has been built, it may take time to actually put it into production. This can be used as the subject of future speculation, and the current rise requires real positive data support.

The highest price in the history of Changhong Electronics was 23.78 yuan, but that was all speculated during the initial period of the stock market.

Last year, the highest market price was only 15.36 yuan, and now the stock price is consolidating around 7.2 yuan. In the latest market rebound, the stock price of Changhong Electronics only reached 7.8 yuan before it died down.

However, when the market quickly fell back to the previous low point, the stock price of Changhong Electronics was relatively independent. It did not fall with the market, but stubbornly defended around 7.5 yuan. With the orderly increase in trading volume, Chen Fan first felt that there was a Funds are coming in.

In fact, after a complete review of the market for the past two months, the trading volume was very active even when it fell below 8 yuan to 7.2 yuan in the early stage. There were a lot of buying orders, but there would be a large number of selling orders at key prices. plate.

Chen Fan also thought of this. The reason why he could see that the dealer bought goods was actually related to his supernatural power. Now that he knew that the stock was going to rise, he could correct some thoughts that he had ignored in the past or might have misunderstood.

If you don’t have the ability, you may feel that the decline is reasonable, and the buying is just a false signal released by the dealer, which makes people feel that someone is protecting the market and attracting retail investors.However, if the dealer smashes the market, it will be misjudged from the lure of the air to the dealer's wanton shipments.

It's hard to judge how much the dealer can buy in two months, and Chen Fan doesn't bother to judge.

As long as you grasp the timing of buying to make money, it is the last word.

Waiting until the market closed, Changhong Electronics finally closed at 7.61 yuan, which seemed a bit unstoppable. In the last half hour, the stock price was bought to 7.65, and it was only in the last few minutes that it was smashed down.

By the way, Chen Fan clicked on Lvtian shares to have a look. The stock price dropped sharply after soaring, but there is a strong support at 20 yuan to 22 yuan. It has been fluctuating here in the past few days. It is estimated that Xinzhuang has already run away. , but the market is still very optimistic about the company's future, so it is best to wait for the news to become clearer in this position before judging the positive impact on the company's performance, and then judging the reasonable price of the stock.

There was nothing wrong with the market closing, so Chen Fan walked out of the securities company and went back to the rental house.

In the evening, Zhang Ping came over and took a few people to the Internet cafe to play games.

Chen Fan took the opportunity to check the information about Changhong Electronics on the Internet, and found that this company was still a wrongly killed stock.

As a large company, the product quality of Changhong Electronics is still good, and it is also well received abroad. However, during that time, the foreign trade orders of several large and well-known home appliance companies such as Xiaoya Electric Appliances and Meicheng Appliances had quality problems. Foreign trade companies were all involved, and more than one company claimed the amount of compensation, which eventually led to the overall stock market crash.

The stock price of Changhong Electronics was also dragged down by the broader market, falling from 15 yuan to 7 or 8 yuan.The current stock price corresponds to the profit of the previous year, and the price-earnings ratio is only 8.3, which shocked Chen Fan. However, after seeing that the stock market earnings ratio of Xiaoya Electric and other home appliances is generally only 6-8, and then reading the analysis report of the home appliance sector, he realized that, Last year's annual report did not fully reflect the "home appliance quality door" incident that broke out last year. It is estimated that the company will not be able to recognize the loss at the beginning of this year, which will affect the financial statement.

Analysts have excluded foreign trade data and estimated possible losses. The current stock price basically corresponds to the expected data and is still maintained at 10 times the price-earnings ratio.

However, if the products of Changhong Electronics are not affected, then its stock price has actually deviated from the reasonable value by about [-]%.

The more Chen Fan thought about it, the more he felt that it was reliable. He greeted the few people who were playing the game, and briefly explained the situation of Changhong Electronics, "I plan to go in tomorrow, and the semi-annual report will be published in a week from this ticket. By then, the situation of being killed by mistake will be very serious." It will be discovered by the market, and time will not wait."

Several people listened to Chen Fan's words and pondered for a long time. Zhang Yang spoke first, "I will also get the ticket tomorrow. I won't apply for the job tomorrow, and I will take two days off. In the past, the recruiting unit was just pretending to be a grandson. It's so frustrating." .”

"Is there a bank in Changhong Electronics? The graph doesn't look very good." Zheng Xiaopang looked at the candlestick chart on the computer for a while, and suddenly said something.

"The graph of this ticket is not good-looking, but if you look at its trading volume, you can't see the daily line. The minute line is very obvious. The support is actually very strong. It's just that the key position was smashed. It should be deliberately suppressed. Since it is deliberately suppressed Then there must be Zhuang." Chen Fan began to talk nonsense, but he couldn't say that his brother was involved.

"How confident do you think it is?" Zheng Xiaopang asked suspiciously.

"I think it's probably [-]%. I'm going to go in and try anyway." After finishing speaking, he didn't want to talk too much, after all, the road is to be walked by himself, so it's enough for a brother to talk to himself.

"Zhang Ping, are you looking around?" Xiaopang asked Zhang Ping again.

Zhang Ping: "Done."

Seeing that they all decided to follow him in buying, Chen Fan briefly talked about what he learned at the job fair that day, and made his own judgment on this stock.

First of all, Changhong Electronics is a wrongly killed stock, and it is necessary to return to value.

Before the semi-annual report comes out, the recent trend is bound to rise. On the way up, you can also use the garbage report data of other home appliance stocks to wash and wash the market. The theme of the subsequent rise is estimated to be overseas expansion to stimulate performance to maintain high-speed growth. Value return plus performance growth The stock price has at least 15% profit, this is just a reasonable price, affected by the market on the way up, Chen Fan estimates that this stock has a high probability of at least [-]%, or even reaches the previous [-] yuan and then slowly sells down.

A few people didn't bother to play games anymore, and started to use the computer to look up information. Zheng Xiaopang was still complaining: "The telecommunications service is too bad, and I don't know when the network will be connected. Then I can use the computer at home."

Zhang Yang answered, "Changhong Electronics has become rich, and I will also buy a computer for use."

The next day, several people came to the sales department of the securities company to watch the stock market open.

At 9:30, the stock price of Changhong Electronics began to fall slightly after opening at 7.60 yuan. At 7.56, the price began to fluctuate back and forth between 7.56-7.6. Zhang Yang couldn't stand it anymore, so he asked, "Should I buy it now?"

Chen Fan actually doesn't know much about the market, and he cheats all by his abilities, but he can't show his timidity this time. After thinking about it, the continuous active buying is a bit like yesterday afternoon. The number of buying orders feels more than yesterday Nod, nod, "Come in, it's only a few cents difference at most, it won't hurt your bones."

A few people immediately went to the trading area to place orders. Although the market fell back to the bottom of the previous period, the newly stimulated popularity has not dissipated, and there are still many people in the trading hall.

As soon as they left the computer, other people came over to check the market on the computer.

Chen Fan entered the market with a full position this time, and directly bought 7.58 shares of Changhong Electronics at 26000 yuan.

Then transfer the remaining more than 2000 yuan back to the bank card. Thinking about it, there should be more than 5000 yuan in the bank card. At least three months of living expenses are enough, and my heart is more stable.

Several people finally found a seat for four consecutive seats in the rest area. Zhang Ping said: "There are not too many people now, but it was crowded at this time last year. It is not easy to watch the market and place an order."

Zhang Yang also sighed and said, "If the market had arrived two or three months earlier, maybe I wouldn't have to look for a job everywhere, and my legs would be broken and I wouldn't be able to find a job."

"At least we are not short of money, the stock market is our ATM." Chen Fan said.

"That's you. You were able to buy good stocks in the past few times. Xiao Pang and I lost money in the two investments." Zhang Yang said directly without embarrassment.

"It will be inconvenient to buy and sell when there are more people in the future. Even if you speculate at home, hey, by the way, you can go to the counter to get a market software, and you can place an order at home." Zheng Xiaopang suddenly interjected.

"I remember senior brother said that there is a trading track, do you know?" Chen Fan asked when he remembered something.

"Yes, that is, big households and institutional trading rooms have the priority to enter the market, but usually it will only be effective when the market opens, and the handling fee is much lower, at most it is half of what we are now." Zheng Xiao Fat said, "Why do you want to enter the big family room, 50."

"I have 20, you should be about the same." Chen Fan looked at Zheng Xiaopang and nodded, and said, "Zhang Yang and Zhang Ping have 10, right?" Seeing everyone nodding, "That's 50, isn't it?" .”

(End of this chapter)