Rebirth 79: I opened a bank in the United States

Chapter 23 Three Demands of the General Aviation Market

"Hehe, even a small plane is impossible. From Savannah to Atlanta, driving is enough, and there is no need for a plane. Carter, you have a lot of ideas, but young people are still a bit too idealistic."

Hearing what Carter said, Paulson smiled, feeling that he might be thinking too much.A child is a child, how can there be any special knowledge
"Maybe that's the case. It can be said that within ten years, no, within thirty years, driving from Savannah to Atlanta will be the first choice for citizens. But the times are developing, and the urban circle will only become larger and larger. Perhaps in the future Maybe Savannah will be included in Atlanta. But as I said, I’m talking about general aviation, not business jets.”

"Oh? Then you continue to talk."

Carter's remarks aroused Paulson's interest.The development of the city is indeed as Carter said, the metropolitan area is getting bigger and bigger, and the urban complex is an almost irreversible development trend.

In the future, China's Shanghai metropolitan area will include Suzhou in Jiangsu, Jiaxing in Zhejiang and other places, and a large number of people, materials, and commodities will flow to Shanghai.It's not just here, Carter in his previous life has been to Ningbo, and there are more than [-] high-speed trains from Ningbo to Shanghai every day, which shows the frequent flow of people.

The same is true in the United States now, and compared with China, the urban expansion of the United States is more unstoppable.Because the administrative system of the United States is completely different from that of China, cities in the United States are more of settlement units formed by the people from the bottom up.In other words, cities in the United States are not administrative divisions delineated by the government at all.So there are often cities that cross counties or even states, such as Kansas, which spans Kansas and Missouri, and St. Louis, Missouri, straddles Illinois.

The top-down administrative division of the United States is state-county (county), and the state-city management model is another line. The county area can be divided by administrative orders.The expansion of the city is completely uncontrolled.Usually there are seven to eight cities under a county in the United States, but there are counties.
For example, New York County, New York County has now completely become a district of New York City, which is Manhattan.The extent of Manhattan and New York County almost completely coincide.Most of the administrative units in the county have become decorations. The county sheriffs (similar to the state police, which are under the jurisdiction of the county) who were supposed to be in charge of the county’s security, sit in their offices and drink tea every day, because there are New Yorkers on the street. The city police don't need them at all.

But since this is the case, it stands to reason that the larger the metropolitan area, the lower the demand for short-distance air transport. Why would Carter say that the market will become larger?
"The reason is simple. The emergence of a metropolitan area will include nearby small and medium-sized cities. It seems that the problem of people flow can be easily solved by passing subways and buses. But when the small and medium-sized cities near these metropolises are included When entering the scope of the metropolis, will the rest of the small cities appear more remote?"

"Cities that only take one or two hours by car can use the subway, but what about cities that take three or four hours, or even five or six hours or more?"

"No! The subway is definitely not available. The cost is too high, and it is impossible to develop like this. If this is the case, is that place called a city or a state? I seem to understand what you mean."

Paulson quickly realized that the subway would definitely not work.However, the siphon of the metropolitan area has allowed a large number of talents and economies to converge to one point.People in remote cities, if they want to earn more money and develop, they have to try their best to move closer to the metropolis.Such as going to a metropolis to work, such as going to a metropolis to find customers and so on.

No matter which one, as long as you don't settle in the metropolis.Then the problem of commuting efficiency will inevitably arise!It takes five or six hours by car, but it takes less than an hour by plane. I can’t afford a house in the city, but can’t afford a house in my hometown?
Live in a small city, work in a metropolis, and earn metropolis money!
This pattern will not only appear in China in the future. As long as the urban circle develops to a certain scale and the housing price rises to the point where most people cannot afford it, it will inevitably appear.And this phenomenon appeared earlier in the United States
Just like what Paulson said just now, it's called the city or the state. It's New York again, it's here again!Speaking of New York in the United States, there are many concepts, one is New York State, the other is New York County, the third is New York City, and the New York metropolitan area.
Just hearing someone say "New York" is hard to understand what he is referring to!

"Understood? The United States has a vast territory, and the per capita density is not high. Building railways, or increasing the size of aircraft to fly this kind of feeder route, is doomed to lose everything. This is the market for small aircraft, one thousand and two hundred meters Small propeller planes can take off and land on the concrete road. It is enough to carry a dozen people at a time. It will not cause waste of resources at all.”

"In addition, small aircraft also have the advantages of small aircraft. For example, it is easier to convert into a special aircraft than a large aircraft, spraying pesticides in the farmland, and extinguishing fires in the fire department. The society is developing, and the productivity of the society will also increase. As people get richer, travel may no longer be satisfied with the park at their doorstep or the playground in the city next door.”

As long as he doesn't say why he is so sure about the future of Gulfstream, Carter can say a lot.With the background of what he has really seen in the future, Carter became more and more excited as he talked, and he sounded quite convincing.

After all, no one has the confidence to say these words like Carter.

"Air travel will definitely appear, and flying is no longer exclusive to the rich. In fact, you should be able to find that more and more people are flying, and it is becoming easier to get a ticket. And when you are satisfied with After civil aviation, will people turn their attention from noisy public planes to private planes with only their own family?"

"I can't afford to buy them, just like I am now. If I can't afford it, can I still afford to rent it? Chartering a private jet and traveling with relatives and friends can cost less than buying civil aviation tickets one by one. How much higher? You know, there will only be more and more planes. And if there are too many things, they are worthless. Business jets don’t necessarily have to be used for business purposes.”

"There are necessary commuting needs, spiritual needs for more advanced enjoyment, and professional needs for special purposes in special industries. With these three market demands, I dare say that the general aviation market in the future will definitely be even bigger. Oh, yes Yes, there is also private flying, people on land always yearn for the sky, if possible, learn to fly a plane, and fly a small plane to the sky by yourself, it is a completely different feeling from flying a plane.”

"Papapa~" Just as Carter's voice fell, Paulson's applause also sounded.

"Wonderful, very exciting! The food is here, let's eat first, let's chat while eating. You haven't said why you are optimistic about our Gulfstream company? The market prospect is the market. No matter how good the market is, our Gulfstream company may not be able to have the last laugh." ? There is also the most critical question, what do you want to do when you know this? What do you want to do when you investigate our Gulfstream?"

(End of this chapter)