Ballistic Silence of Special Years

Chapter 1274 The hidden worries behind superior data

Inside the Red Side Joint Staff Department.

Li Zheng has been reading various briefings these past two days, including those from the blue, red, green and yellow sides.

He needs to clearly see the balance of military power between the parties, and then formulate a targeted attack plan.

As a senior joint operations commander, Li Zheng was faced with massive amounts of data. Although the staff had already reached a conclusion after careful calculations, as the deputy commander-in-chief, he also had to see whether it was reasonable from the data.

Educational background.

His advanced education also gave him this security.

From the current point of view, the situation of several parties is as follows -

The forces that the red side can currently mobilize include: a total of 400 second-generation aircraft such as JH-7A for ground strikes.

除留出部分防御西面以及南面外，可动用100架歼20隐身战机，500架较新的歼11B、歼16、苏35等四代机，制空作战与对地作战的绝对主力。

There are also 200 older third-generation aircraft such as the J-11A and Su-30MKK to assist in air control and ground operations.

300 J-10B/C and other fourth-generation aircraft are responsible for air interceptions.

In addition to reserving some J20s and some J-16s and J-10s that need to be vigilant in the southwest, a fist force is reserved in the north and south directions, and HNA's fighter jets are fully engaged in combat.

In addition, all Y-20, IL-76 transport aircraft regiments and H-6 aircraft regiments, and half of the Air Police-500 may be transferred to the southeast to help complete the campaign objectives.

In terms of theater - base - aviation brigade - group, there are two bases in City H and City F, with a total of 10 fighter brigades, including (10, 11, 16, 20, 30MKK). After being supplemented by dispatched units, the total number of fighter jets that can immediately perform missions is about 600. The peak number on the first day can reach 1200. On the next day, it is conservatively estimated that the offensive capability can be maintained at 500 sorties per day, which is enough to block surrounding airspace and conduct ground attacks. task.

If preparation time is sufficient, the number of fighter aircraft that can be dispatched may increase to 800 to 1000, and the dispatch rate is expected to exceed 2000 sorties.

So, how many blue, green, and yellow fighters can these fighters repel?

For convenience, the exchange ratio between machines of the same generation is set to 1:1, and the combat effectiveness of every other generation is doubled.

Li Zheng took into account the development of modern air-to-air missiles, making it possible for backward fighters to use rear early warning aircraft to lock on more advanced fighters, the so-called "A-launch and B-guide", which is possible.

如果简单套用计兵力质量计算方式来换算，则可以获得以下的结论——216X1+100X8+500X4+200X2+200X1+300X4=4186，4.1K，这是红方能在这次对绿方攻击中投入的战力，而红方的平均单位质量为4186/1516=2.761。

This is a common calculation in pawn pushing.

绿方的兵力如下：F-16A/B/V有120架，IDF有127架，F-5E有100架，幻影-2000能飞的57架。

In addition, the Green side has 55 E transport aircraft, 43 reconnaissance and early warning aircraft, 16 RF-10 aircraft, 5 RF-6R reconnaissance aircraft, 2 E-6T early warning aircraft, 1900 electronic reconnaissance aircraft EBG-2, and electronic aircraft. EC-1301…

其中能参与作战并起到作用的是F-16A/B/V的120架，IDF战斗机的127架，F-5E的100架以及幻影-2000的57架。

兵力总质量计算为120X2+127X2+100X1+57X4=822，绿方平均单位战斗力为：822/404=2.03。

Judging from the set of data in the briefing, the advantage of the red side is overwhelming.

But it's different with the addition of blue.

However, it is impossible for the blue side to mobilize all its naval and air forces to fight a war of extreme attrition with the red side, because the blue side’s main bases here are Miyajima and Huang’s, and their available carrying capacity is the same as the attack capacity. There is an upper limit to ability.

The blue side's aircraft carrier formation will be responsible for guarding other Blue Star waters, so it is estimated that the blue side may only deploy three aircraft carrier battle groups in the early stages of the war. If the war is prolonged, the number of battle groups will not exceed six. . According to intelligence, the blue team can deploy a wing at the Kashou base (the wing unit is 3 aircraft), one wing for Misawa, 6 wings for Anson, and two more aircraft carriers can be equivalent to a wing. A total of 72 squadrons are available.

If the war escalates, we can squeeze in more deployments in Kashou, Misawa, and Ansen, and also deploy fighter jets in Huangtian, Putian, and Shiguo. The total number can be increased to 6 air force wings.

If necessary, two more aircraft carriers can be deployed at sea, which is equivalent to adding another wing. This will bring the total available air force to 8 wings and 576 fighter jets.

But such high-density deployments are very crowded.

And Li Zheng saw a related statement from another blue side think tank analysis. If Anson were to stuff 5 F-22 squadrons (approximately 1.7 wings), it would need the support of 68 tankers. Each tanker occupies at least twice as much space as a fighter jet, leaving Anson no room to deploy bombers, but Anson is an ideal base for deploying B-2s.

Under such a crowded deployment, a large number of open-air parking is inevitable, which is more likely to attract missile strikes from the red side. Especially for Anson, if a large number of tankers parked in the open air are destroyed, the F-22's own range is simply not enough to go out and fight in the green control area.

However, as mentioned before, the blue think tank considers the digital sandbox exercises of air combat over the Taiwan Strait and red missile attacks separately. Therefore, in the analysis here, the dispatch rate is only affected by the base facilities and not by the red missiles.

Of course, the black and yellow air force bases and civilian airports were not taken into account. Considering that the Blue Air Force only has a total of 187 F-22 fighter jets, even if it includes the F-35 that is currently equipped with a large number of equipment, the fifth-generation aircraft wing will not exceed four.

如果剩余战机均是四代机，那么蓝方在演习区里可部署的战力为8X4X72+4X4X72=2392，2.3K，蓝方平均单位质量为2392/576=4.152，在单位质量上较红方强大，但红方的数量优势稳压一头。

In the home field near the red team's sea area, when the red and blue sides go all out to launch an air battle, the exchange ratio between the two sides can reach about 1:5. Even taking into account the blue side's command advantage and avionics advantage, the exchange ratio between the red and blue sides The ratio can also exceed 1:3.

In other words, the red side is fully capable of seizing and maintaining air and sea supremacy over the Taiwan Strait for 3 to 6 weeks without the intervention of the blue side.

A large number of "serviceable" weapons and equipment can overwhelm a small number of "elite" weapons and equipment. This is the dilemma of the blue side. The blue side is different from the red side. The deployable bases and aircraft carriers are limited, and any airport of the red side can become a stage for its combat forces to exert their numerical advantage. In the D sea and N In sea and air battles, the red side has a lot of advantages in attrition warfare. Although the green side has many air bases, once units are deployed to the green side, it means that a large number of elite units are deployed to the red side's long-range ballistic missiles. Underneath.

This data seems very reassuring to the red side.

However, Li Zheng vaguely felt that things were not that simple.

I know these data, and so does the red party.

In today's modern war, it is basically difficult to hide the strength and deployment of each other's troops, and they are basically transparent.

It's like everyone is showing their cards right.

So, how will Wen Zhaohui fight?

How to schedule?

How do you use the resources at hand to suppress yourself?

Li Zheng constantly puts himself into Wen Zhaohui's role. What would he do if he were him?

Maybe……

He came up with a very extreme approach.

Although it is extreme, it must be guarded against.

"Counsel He, come here."

"Chief, please give instructions."

"Gather everyone together, hold a meeting, and notify the comrades in the aerospace field to connect. I need to check some issues with them."

"Yes!"

　Asking for a monthly ticket!

　　(End of this chapter)