After being rejected, I became Shi Yijiao

Chapter 242 You Don't Know the Basic Principles of Statistics

Chapter 242 You Don't Know the Basic Principles of Statistics
To be scored in the last second before entering the half-time break is undoubtedly a real fatal blow for Hyypia and Leverkusen.

What finally breaks the deadlock is still the most powerful defense-breaking weapon in football games-set kicks!

And such a result will affect their deployment in the second half, and it will also affect the team's game mentality in the second half.

This also means that their painstaking defensive counterattack tactics have been cracked by Hamburg.

Because Hamburg with a goal in hand will not be eager to press the formation again, they can even easily pour the ball in their own half, wait for the Leverkusen players to grab, and then pull out the gaps in the formation.

In the locker room of the visiting team during the intermission, Pan Yi also told the players:
"Now that we are leading, we must pay attention to controlling the rhythm of the game. There is no need to press so tightly, but the midfielder still needs to firmly control it, and we still need to pay attention to the counterattack of the opponent's striker."

"Their defensive formation is actually maintained very well. If De Bruyne had a flash of inspiration, they might not be able to tear their defense. So don't be careless in the second half. If they don't press up, we don't need to press. too deep."

"Around the second half, I will replace Mitrovic to strengthen the high-point attack. Our midfielders also need to strengthen long-range shots. This is a regular strategy when facing the bus, so I won't say much."

"In short, win this game and let Leverkusen completely fight for the fourth place!..."

As for the home team, Hyypia decided to continue the tactics of the first half after careful consideration.

He watched Ajax's away game against Hamburg. De Boer didn't hold his breath when the team fell behind, and directly let the team turn from defense to offense, and was defeated by Hamburg in an instant.

He has to learn this lesson.

Continue to hold on and hit the counterattack of Hamburg!

Of course, some changes need to be made in the rhythm of the game.

That is to increase the pressure and fighting strength in the midfield, and see the popularity of the Hamburg bayonet!

Since the technology is not as good as yours, then fight with you for physical fitness and willpower, which is actually a fight for consumption.

This is actually the strategy of many weak teams when they encounter a strong team. Now Hypia is putting himself in the position of a weak team.

And when the opponent collapses, Leverkusen's opportunity will come.

It’s just that Hyypia knows that Hamburg is not a fuel-efficient lamp, and Pan Yi has always attached great importance to physical fitness. It is impossible for Leverkusen to exhaust their physical energy without paying the price.

So Hyypia asked that Leverkusen's players should run to death in the second half!
He once saw a media statistical data. In the Bundesliga players' total personal running distance rankings this season, several of the top players are Leverkusen and Dortmund players.

The players in Hamburg are relatively low.

This gave confidence to Hyypia, who has never used such "high-tech data" to judge the situation.

This shows that Leverkusen should be stronger than Hamburg in terms of the personal physical fitness of the players!

Therefore, he wants to use this strength of the team to completely bring down Hamburg.

……

The time suddenly entered 70 minutes.

In the 25 minutes after the start of the second half, the two sides mainly fought near the center circle, and there were not many shooting opportunities created.

Vardy had a chance to blast a shot from the corner of the penalty area, but unfortunately he failed to hold the ball, and the ball was slightly higher than the crossbar by a few centimeters.

And Leverkusen once used a corner kick to almost equalize the game, but it was a pity that Kruse faced the goalkeeper with a flying header and missed it. This proves that the lack of shooting skills of this team is the main culprit that caused their current ranking to decline. .

Of course, it is undeniable that the backward Leverkusen still showed full resilience.

They still resisted Hamburg's tough attack abruptly, and were able to use the limited opportunities to create threats.

And everyone can see that the consumption of both sides is really high now, and the players on the field are sweating profusely.

This is true of Leverkusen, and so is Hamburg.

But the players on both sides are still continuing and persevering.

In contrast, the Hamburg players seem to be more relaxed, and their footsteps when running are obviously lighter than the Leverkusen players.

This made Hyypia on the sidelines feel slightly inappropriate.

Under normal circumstances, Leverkusen's current defensive formation does not require players to do too many interspersed runs, but only requires the overall formation to be rigorous, and the physical consumption should be lower than that of Hamburg.

After all, Hamburg has to defend and find ways to switch positions to plug in. Obviously, there are more things to do on the court, and the consumption will be greater.

But why do you feel that your players can't outrun the Hamburgers?

At this time, Pan Yi also started to change players.

Mitrovic enters, Vardy exits.

Enter Makoto Hasebe, exit Casemiro.

Paulinho on, De Bruyne off.

In these few substitutions, except Mitrovic came on the field to improve the high point and fulcrum ability of the frontcourt, the other two are to replace players who consume a lot of physical energy and replace them with new forces.

In Pan Yi's 433 formation, based on the same game time, the order of positions from the largest to the smallest energy consumption should be:
1. Two central midfielders: an all-round midfielder and a pseudo-winger, which is where Kanter and De Bruyne play now.Because they often have to play the role of connecting the past and the future, both offense and defense have to be done by themselves, and the consumption is naturally huge.

2. The defensive midfielder is the defensive midfielder in the middle.Casemiro's main task is to defend, but he will also take care of inserting, and the consumption is not small.

3. Two wingers, that is, double inside forwards.Sun Xingmin and Salah are the main hot spots on both sides of the frontcourt. They need to often break through with the ball and use high speed to respond to teammates' passes.Coupled with the need to oppress the opponent's defender, physical energy consumption is naturally indispensable.

4. Two full backs.Similar to wingers, but after all, Robertson and Carvajal can still have "rest moments" such as left and right, and right and left, which consume less than wingers.

5. Center forward.Mainly responsible for fighting for the top and grabbing points in the penalty area, as well as pressing the central defenders.Since the running distance is less than that of the side road, the consumption will be less.

6. Two central defenders.Needless to say, there must be the least amount of running in the audience.

7. Goalkeeper.Even Neuer wouldn't run [-] meters, right?
Therefore, when making substitutions, in addition to some necessary tactical purposes, Pan Yi gave priority to midfielders and wingers, so as to ensure the normal operation of the team's tactics.

After all, when a player's physical strength declines, it will affect the execution of tactics.

Of course, this time Pan Yi changed Casemiro and De Bruyne instead of Kanter, purely because Kanter's physical fitness is great!

Still running on the field.

Shortly after Pan Yi made the substitution, live TV footage was shown on the sidelines.

When he found the home team's command area, Hyypia was already walking around a little manically.

He couldn't hide his anxiety and apprehension.

The game has been close to 80 minutes, that is, it has entered the final stage, but the situation on the court is still so stalemate, and even Hamburg seems to be getting better and better!

What about slamming your opponent after you've agreed to consume them all?
It is agreed that our players can run better than them?
How is this going?

Is the data wrong?

……

Of course, the data is not wrong. In terms of total personal running distance, Leverkusen players are indeed ranked above Hamburg players.

But Hypia just doesn't understand the fundamentals of statistics.

All he sees are individual rankings.

And if he looks at the running data of the whole team, he will find that Hamburg is far ahead!
Pan Yi's rotation rate this season is amazing.

For positions that consume a lot of energy mentioned above, Pan Yi has almost never allowed players to play two or three consecutive games, and he will often replace them to rest when the overall situation is determined during the game.

And there are some players who only play more time in important games in the Champions League, but play less in the league.

Under such circumstances, how can Hamburg compare with other teams in terms of total running distance?
Even compared to the average running distance of the players, the Hamburg players may not necessarily have an advantage.

But if it is a little more detailed and compares the players' running per unit time, then the Hamburg players will immediately dominate the rankings!
Of course, no one would do that.

But the team's running data can already explain everything.

The difference in these data shows how successful Pan Yi has been in the rotation.

There are a total of 26 players in the first team, and everyone has played, and it's not just one or two games, or just go to the garbage time to make fun of it.

That is, the accounts with the fewest chances to play have at least three or four appearances, and there are also goals and assists recorded.

Under the training of Pintus, the excellent physical fitness of the Hamburg players, coupled with such a rotation policy of "even rain and dew", has made Hamburg more comfortable on the three fronts this season, and the two complement each other.

In contrast, although Leverkusen's players can be considered to be able to run, but under the long-term double match in a week, the iron man will also be ground into a needle.

Fight consumption with hamburgers?Think too much!
……

"Goallllllllllllllllllllllllllll!!!!!!!"

"At the 90th minute of the game, Hamburg scored again!"

"This time, Hamburg took advantage of Leverkusen's all-in-one gamble and the opportunity of the defense being empty, and played a beautiful counterattack."

"Paulinho dribbled the ball from the midfield, brought it to the front of the penalty area and then divided it to the right. Salah pushed and shot!"

"This goal completely killed the game!"

"Leverkusen defended the whole game, but conceded a goal each at the last moment of the first and second half. In the end, they could only lose at home!"

In fact, the arrival of this goal should be expected.

When Hyypia realized that his players might really not be able to consume Hamburg, and the game time was running out, he had no choice but to let the players launch a final counterattack.

But now Leverkusen, how can they drag their exhausted bodies after running the whole game, and then attack the fighting Hamburg position?

Instead, he made his originally tight line of defense a little loose.

Hamburg also took advantage of this opportunity to instigate an offensive by the running maniac Violent Bird, which resulted in a goal.

0:2, this score can already allow Hamburg players to celebrate the victory in advance.

……

At the post-match press conference, Leverkusen coach Hyypia finally conceded.

He said: "I have to congratulate Hamburg, they are indeed the better side. I also admit that Hamburg will be the most powerful contender for the Bundesliga championship this season!"

Then Hyypia also said that Leverkusen has not yet given up.

As long as the team performs better from top to bottom, I believe there will be a chance to reverse the situation and return to the forefront.

Because the league has not been halfway through yet, it is too early to talk about giving up winning the championship. The gap of 9 points is indeed large, but it is not so large that it is completely hopeless.

There are too many teams that performed well in the early stages of the league, but collapsed in the later stages, especially in the Bundesliga. There are too many such examples.

It's just that the people in Hypia can say such things, which in itself is enough to prove that Hypia is really convinced of Pan Yi after Hamburg wins the game.

With such a tough defense, Hamburg couldn't stop scoring. Hypia really has nothing to do!
And Pan Yi first praised the excellent performance of the players, and talked about the goal at the last moment of the first half:

"We did a great job with set-pieces. The lads were very smart and the quick free-kick in the first half used some experience from the usual game."

"Actually, this kind of free kick was not rehearsed in our training, but came from the players' own wisdom. De Bruyne even remembered to consult the referee before taking the free kick to prevent the quick goal from being called invalid. "

"It can be seen that it is our witty mind, rich experience and on-the-spot decisions that allowed us to find a breakthrough to crack the opponent's secret defense, thus completely changing the situation on the field!"

"I am very glad that I can have such a group of excellent players, and it is my honor to coach them!"

Then Pan Yi mentioned that this game will be an important node, and winning against Leverkusen will make Hamburg more confident.

"It fully proves that from the beginning of the season to the present, the rotation system we have adhered to, the tactics and strategies we have adopted, and the hard work and sweat put in by all of us are worth it!"

"Scoring goals at the last moment of the two halves also shows that our players have been concentrating and their physical condition has been maintained very well."

"These are all very good qualities. And this kind of quality can take us far!"

……

On the second day of the game, all major media in Germany were also scrambling to praise Hamburg's performance.

In addition to Leverkusen's loss to Hamburg and the gap in points, Dortmund also lost to Wolfsburg 1:2 in this round!There is already a 6-point gap between them and Hamburg.

Only the mighty Bayern defeated Augsburg 3-0 at home, and they still followed Hamburg closely.

But compared with the difficulty of Hamburg's away victory over Leverkusen, Bayern's victory seems to be worth mentioning.

"Hamburg Morning Post" stated, "From this game, it is not difficult to see that Hamburg is the most champion team in the Bundesliga so far this season! The traditional Bundesliga team Leverkusen is facing When I was in Hamburg, I was like a little daughter-in-law who was beaten and scolded, not daring to fart!"

"Bild" said, "Whether it is the process or the result of this game, Hamburg's performance is convincing. Everyone must admit that they are indeed the strongest contender for the Bundesliga championship this season."

Even the "Süddeutsche Zeitung", which has always been out of touch with Hamburg, has to admit this time that this "Northern King" may really be as famous as the "Southern King".For Bayern Munich, this team from the north will become a real threat again!
This is not only an affirmation of Hamburg, but also an affirmation of Pan Yi.

Even bookmakers have revised their Bundesliga title odds for this season.

Now Hamburg's odds of winning the championship have begun to shake off Dortmund and Leverkusen, and are closely approaching Bayern Munich, ranking second.

Although this represents the optimism of the gaming company, it also shows that they still feel that the traditional powerhouse Bayern still has the opportunity to overtake Hamburg in the subsequent schedule and continue to reach the top of the Bundesliga!

……

After playing Leverkusen, Hamburg finally ushered in a respite and got more than a week of rest.

Pan Yi gave everyone in the team two days off in one go, which could be regarded as a reward for their recent outstanding performance.

And for the players in Hamburg with high morale and a good professional attitude, the two-day holiday will not affect their state.

Then they ushered in the challenge of Hannover 96 at home.

Hamburg won this game easily.

In just 8 minutes of the opening, Wu Lei grabbed a point in the penalty area for Hamburg and hit a powerful volley with his left foot against his foot. The ball flew straight to the lower left corner of the goal.

Before the end of the first half, Vardy made another victory, 2:0.

After changing sides to fight again in the second half, Robertson stepped forward with an assist and extended the score to 3:0 with a long shot, which basically killed the suspense of the game.

Hannover 96 only scored a face-saving goal in stoppage time by Hungarian international Justi.

In the end, Hamburg beat Hannover 3 1:96 at home.

The focus of this round of German media and fans is not here in Hamburg.

Because on the second day, the Bundesliga ushered in this season's national derby, Dortmund played against Bayern Munich!
This is also Klopp's first head-to-head confrontation with Guardiola in the Bundesliga.

Pan Yi also specially took Inzaghi and Nargelsman to the stands of the Westfalenstadion to watch the game together.

After all, these two teams, especially Bayern, are the absolute obstacles for Hamburg on the way to the championship!
Watching their games live is always helpful to analyze their tactics and player characteristics.

Besides, regardless of studying opponents, just this wonderful duel is worth "fan" Pan Yi to watch!

Today's Westfalenstadion was full, and more than 8 fans waved yellow flags and raised yellow and black scarves, making the atmosphere here look like a war.

And the fight between the two famous marshals is also very interesting.

Klopp's side is a more conventional 4231.

Forward: Lewandowski.

Frontcourt: Royce, Mkhitaryan, Blaszczykowski.

Defenders: Shaheen, Bender.

Defenders: Durm, Friedrich, Papastathopoulos, Grosskreutz.

Goalkeeper: Weidenfeller.

And Guardiola is a bit interesting here.

He discharges an atypical 4141!

Muller and Robben both went to play wide midfielders, and what is even more surprising is that Lahm also stood in the midfield position and used it as a central midfielder.

It can be said that this is another work by Gua Shuai.

Forward: Mandzukic.

Midfielders: Muller, Kroos, Ram, Robben.

Back midfielder: Harvey Martinez.

Defenders: Alaba, Dante, Boateng, Rafinha.

Goalkeeper: Neuer.

Seeing this starting list, Pan Yi smiled: "As expected of Gua Shuai, he can come up with new tricks every time!"

Nagelsman and Inzaghi also nodded.

Who said no?
Everyone thinks that Guardiola will play against Klopp, and will use his best 433 formation to fight against Dortmund, but now he has chosen a more defensive formation to play.

Moreover, putting Lahm, who has a stronger defensive ability, in the middle of the midfield, and abandoning the more "conventional" Thiago, Gotze and others, I feel that Guashuai must implement the concept of defense to the end.

But the question is, are these Bayern players familiar with this formation?
It is true that Lahm also kicked the midfielder, but now he has moved his front to a position similar to the front midfielder. Is it appropriate?

And the truth is...

It's familiar and appropriate.

Throughout the game, Bayern played steadily and did not give Dortmund too many opportunities.

And Bayern's efforts only started in the second half.

At 55 minutes, Guardiola made his first substitution, with Gotze replacing Mandzukic.

Then Thiago came on and replaced Boateng!

These two somewhat confusing substitutions worked.

Götze's first touch on the pitch slashed past his former club's goal to give Bayern an away lead against Dortmund.

Then Robben and Muller also scored one after another, and finally Bayern beat Dortmund 3:0!

……

"It's really a tactical victory."

After watching the game, Inzaghi couldn't help but praise.

Pan Yi also nodded in agreement. At the same time, he was also relieved that Inzaghi could now see the thoughts of these famous coaches.

Bayern's victory was due to Guardiola's adjustments in the second half.

After consuming Dortmund's more energy and stamina in the first half, they replaced center Mandzukic and central defender Boateng, but replaced them with two midfielders and played without strikers.

At this time, the position of the players in Bayern's original formation has also changed.

Holding midfielder Javi Martinez dropped more, almost a new center back.

And Ram came to Martinez's position to play a single midfielder.

In front of Lahm, Muller, Kroos, Arjen Robben, Thiago, and Gotze used their skilled skills and coordination to firmly control the midfield and began to counterattack Dortmund's hinterland.

Bayern's first goal was after Robben, Thiago, Gotze and others made several exquisite cooperations, Gotze broke into the penalty area and shot easily.

And once the first goal is scored, it will not be too late for Bayern to follow up.

At this time, Klopp has not yet reacted to Bayern's sudden change, nor has he been able to respond in a timely manner.

At least at this time, there is still a certain gap between Klopp and Guardiola!
 Thanks to Henson8905 for the tip and monthly pass!

  
 
(End of this chapter)

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