Werewolf Killer: I am Tianxiu, you lie down and win

Chapter 215: The pufferfish can’t speak too well
[Player No. 10 please speak]

"Yes, yes, I want to recognize the bear as player No. 7. In this way, the number 9 under the police will be a wolf."

"If there are no accidents, there will only be one wolf among 4 and 9. The possibility of them all being wolves is very small, so I want to let player No. 4 go."

"As for why I am so hostile to player No. 9, there are two reasons."

"On the one hand, it's because of the pit position, which is positional science. From my perspective, player No. 5 is Zihu, 6 and 8 are Gold Water, and 7 is Bear. Can I enter the Wolf Pit without clicking 9? I must give He threw the water bag."

"But I won't beat him to death. I just tend to think that the wolf under the police is 9. If his identity can be photographed, it means that it is wrong to trap and kill him. But if he cannot be photographed to reveal his identity, then I'm sorry, trapping and killing him is Trap and kill.”

"On the other hand, my intuition tells me that there are wolves around me in this round, and there are no wolves around the bear, which means that there is a high probability of wolves around other good people, especially if the bear is not around me. I think my There must be wolves on the left and right."

"If there were no wolves around me, this round would probably be three or four consecutive wolves, but this possibility is very low."

"What I'm saying now is not logical, but it's not entirely intuitive either. It still makes some sense. You guys should think about it, right?"

Player No. 10 is more likely to recognize 7 as a bear, because there is nothing wrong with 7's perspective and speech, which makes him have the urge to take sides.

Moreover, he had some doubts that the 9 next to him might be a wolf, so it was natural for the player No. 7 standing next to him to play 9. To a certain extent, this also proved that 7 was a bear.

Logic and Wolf Pit confirm each other. If there are no accidents, 7 is undoubtedly a bear.

"The policeman plays the game according to the three wolves. They are all behind the policeman. There is no wolf in the front position. 5 is Zihu and 8 is Jinshui. They can't be beaten. You don't have to think about it."

"So, from my perspective, there are three wolves among 1, 2, 3, 11, and 12. To be honest, the pit is still very crowded. If you take a picture of your identity, the wolf pit may be locked."

"I have a hunch that player No. 11 is going to jump on the bear, but I don't really want to believe it. Unless No. 11 talks very well, otherwise, I will betray the player No. 7 next to me."

Listening to what Player No. 10 said, Ren Fan couldn't help but rolled his eyes, thinking that this guy's intuition seemed inaccurate.

Because he doesn't know how to jump a bear.

As a great pufferfish, he wants to talk about himself to the point where he looks like a wolf but is not a wolf, and looks like a gangster but is not necessarily a wolf.

This degree is particularly difficult to grasp, and it feels a bit like using an excavator to embroider.

But if the puffer fish wants to exert the effect of its skills, it must work hard in this direction.

If he is a very good conversationalist, neither wolves nor good people can sway him. If no one votes for him, won't his skills be useless?

Similarly, if he is too bad at chatting, the good guys will regard him as a wolf, and all their votes will be hung on him. If he activates his skills, he will not kill all the good guys.

"I don't think we have to choose between the two bears today. We can consider playing in the outside position. It is best to find the wolf beauty."

"The Wolf Beauty on this board cannot activate her skills on the first night, which is equivalent to a window period. If we can seize this window period and release the Wolf Beauty, we will defeat the Wolves."

"Once this window period has passed, unless Zihu can accurately charm Lang Mei, there is a high probability that Lang Mei will kill one person in a row."

"Although we may not lose if Lang Mei kills one person in a row, there is no harm in killing Lang Mei early."

"Of course, this is just a suggestion. The decision lies with player No. 5. If he just wants to play between the two bears, then just pretend I didn't say anything. After all, my method is a bit risky."

"Relatively speaking, it is definitely safer to go out among bears."

Player No. 10 has a good idea, to kill the wolf beauty while she is unable to activate her skills.

And the one who jumps over the bear can only be a little wolf, not a wolf beauty.

This idea is indeed in line with good people maximizing their returns, but the greater the return, the higher the risk.

If you play in the outside position, everyone will be happy if you can play the wolf beauty, but what if you accidentally play a good guy?Especially when you're pregnant, isn't that embarrassing?It's self-defeating.

At this time, it actually depends on the character of the person who holds the right to return votes.

If he is a person who seeks stability and does not like to take radical risks, he will definitely be voted among the bears.

But if the other party is bold and courageous, and likes to show off his skills, show that he is different, and is extremely confident in his own judgment, then it is really possible for him to go out for the wolf beauty he thinks.

"Having said so much, I hope good people can recognize me and believe that I am definitely not a wolf."

"Okay, let's talk so much for now, sir. Player No. 11, please start your performance."

[Player No. 11 please speak]

"What you said is a bit artificial, Player 10. I'm afraid it's not me who needs to perform, but you."

"Aren't you just following the position of player No. 7 and trapping player No. 9? Then I will follow the example and point you into the wolf pit."

"Currently, there is only player No. 7 in the front position who is jumping the bear. It is hard to say whether it is a real bear, but I can stand next to him first. Who knows if there will be a wolf jumping the bear later."

"Normally speaking, there will definitely be jumpers. If they don't jump bravely, there will be no room for survival. But there are no absolutes. What's more, no one knows what the wolf is thinking and what troubles are going to happen."

"So, I can't assume that there will definitely be someone who jumps behind. Since player No. 7 has already jumped the bear and the conversation is going well, it is impossible for me to catch up and beat him for being a wolf."

"And he is a bear, so 5, 6, 7, and 8 are all good people. In this case, 9 and 10 must be wolves, and they cannot be two wolves."

"Because player No. 10 is obviously hostile to 9, and this hostility is not like a wolf stepping on a wolf to pretend to be a wolf. I can hear that 10 really has murderous intentions towards 9. He I want to lead the rhythm and resist pushing the No. 9 player."

"9 was under the police, and I didn't hear what he said, but I didn't feel very good after listening to 10's speech."

"He said he didn't believe me when I danced with bears and wanted to betray him. He also asked me to start performing. These words sounded very artificial. Yes, they were artificial."

"In addition, I don't quite agree with some of his statements."

"For example, he said that today we might consider not playing among the jumping bears, but looking for the wolf beauty from outside to resist the push, and throw him out before the opponent has time to activate his skills."

"This sounds okay at first glance. It is for the sake of good people. When conditions permit, we can maximize the income. If we can produce a beautiful wolf, the income will indeed be much higher than that of a fierce jumping wolf."

"But the question is, do we need to take this risk? There are two cards on this board that can restrain the wolf beauty. Zihu can go to enchant the wolf beauty tonight. As long as he charms the wolf beauty, the opponent's skills will not be used."

"The pufferfish can also restrain the wolf beauty. As long as the wolf kills the pufferfish at night, and the pufferfish flops during the day, the skills of the wolf beauty will be invalid in this round."

"In other words, we have two chances to prevent Wolf Beauty from using her skills. If that's the case, why do we have to risk it on the first day?"

Ren Chaofan has a lot of hostility towards player No. 10. This is normal. No. 10 is throwing water packets at him overtly or covertly in the front position. He has to show something, right?

Although I am not sure whether 10 is a wolf, the opponent must be in his wolf pit. According to the board position, 10 cannot be released. In terms of speech, 10 cannot be released.

In particular, player No. 10 mentioned that he might consider playing with Wolf Beauty in the outside position today. This statement itself is fine, but he felt that No. 10 might be setting the pace to draw the pie for the good guys.

Originally, there was a [-]/[-] chance of a wolf coming out among the bears jumping against each other. Even if something went wrong, the bear would just be pushed back.

However, when it comes to voting in the outside position, the uncertainty is too great, and it might happen to Bai Mao or even him.

So, maybe this is a trap.

Coupled with the fact that 10's speech was a little artificial and he was in a bad position, Ren Chaofan was naturally very suspicious of 10's identity.

“如果10号玩家真的是狼，9就可以放下了，警下4、6、9三个人，6、9都择出去，4号玩家的匪面就很大了。”

"Of course, this is just my preliminary judgment, and the premise is that player No. 7 is a bear. If No. 7 is not a bear, all our logic will have to be reworked."

"There's nothing wrong with Zihu jumping out on the first day. In fact, if you get this card, you should boldly jump out and ask for the police badge. Some people are timid with Zihu, and they have to hide like a white cat pufferfish. This It’s boring.”

"Zihu goes to the wolf to enchant at night, and tries to come out on Christmas Eve. Don't tell us who you enchanted at night."

"If the card you charmed comes out on Christmas Eve, the opponent should be a wolf. If it's not Christmas Eve and you lose the card, just give the police badge to the person who was charmed. He must be a good person."

"The puffer fish can play as he pleases. It doesn't matter whether his identity is exposed or not. But the white cat is different. The white cat must be hidden. This card can only be effective if it lasts until the end."

"If you die too quickly, it's actually of little value. It's just occupying a magical pit. But as long as the white cat survives until the end, it's equivalent to one more round for the good guys."

"This board, the werewolf's first target is the white cat, followed by Zihu, so the white cat must find a way to hide his identity."

What Ren Fan said is absolutely correct.

Even though Zihu can charm a werewolf out on Christmas Eve, in the eyes of the wolf, the biggest threat is the white cat.

This card must be found early, and he must not be allowed to survive until the end, otherwise, the good guy will be equivalent to an extra round out of thin air.

This is determined by the skill mechanism of White Cat.

If the white cat eats the knife on the second day, he can survive until the third day, but this is of no use, because if he does not survive until the third day, the game will not end. After all, there are other magic cards. .

However, once the white cat becomes the last god on the field, and he takes the knife at night, the game will not be over, and the good guys will still have a chance to push.

But if you switch to other cards, the game is over. This is what the white cat can do for good people.

"Player No. 10, you are the most wolf-like speaker in the front seat right now. With all due respect, you'd better have an identity. If you don't have an identity, you'll be far away."

"And I believe that not only will I hit you, but player No. 9 will also hit you later, and the bear in the back position will also hit you."

"Three against one, no identity, do you think you can beat me?"

"Okay, that's all I want to say to the police. The cards are good. I'll recognize player No. 7 as a bear for the time being. That's it. That's it."

[Player No. 12 please speak]

"There are so many people in the front position speaking, but no one jumps in response. It's interesting. The wolf won't give in and dare not come out to jump, right?"

"In this situation, I can only say that player No. 7 has no other choice." "The top police officer should use three wolves, and the police officer should choose two wolves without thinking about it."

“5、7、8都择出去，剩下的10、11当中肯定要出狼。”

"Judging from their speeches, it seems that they are not on the same side. 10 asked 11 to start performing, but 11 got up and fought back, sending 10 into the wolf pit."

"Perhaps most people think that 10 and 11 are opposites. Only one of them can be a wolf."

“但我感觉10、11有可能是双狼互踩做身份呢，尤其是10号玩家对话11请开始表演，我真觉得他是故意踩11拉对立面的。”

"The reason why we do this is actually very simple. Player No. 10 feels that the Wolves' survival space will be very small in this game, and they must draw the opposition in advance."

"When his identity is exposed, the identity of Player 11 will be established. Although it will not be completely recognized by the good guys, the identity is always preferred."

"Similarly, if 11's identity is exposed, his identity will be revealed."

"The most important thing is that if a good person in the outside position clicks into the wolf pit, it is unlikely that they will click into the wolf pit at the same time. In this case, there must be a good person to fill the vacant wolf pit position."

“And that’s exactly what Wolves want in terms of push resistance.”

Player No. 12’s speech surprised everyone.

There is a wolf in 10 and 11. There is nothing wrong with this game. After all, they have already begun to step on each other.

如果10、11都是好人，那1、2、3、12四个人当中就得出三狼，只要不是爱钻牛角尖的人，都不会这么点狼坑。

But player No. 12 actually thought that No. 10 and No. 11 were two wolves, which surprised everyone.

But after hearing his reasons for doubting 10 and 11 wolves, he had to admit that what 12 said was not completely unreasonable.

If the wolf is foresight enough, he will deliberately step on his teammates to draw the opposite side, so as not to be labeled as a double wolf.

As long as the good guys don't care about the 10 or 11 wolves, one of them will survive, and there will always be someone in the good guys camp who joins the wolf trap.

Although player No. 12 has reached this level, it does not mean that good people in the outside positions can think of it.

In fact, even if 12 mentioned that 10 and 11 may be wolf teammates who are stepping on each other, they may not necessarily mean that one wolf and the other are good people. It is up to the outside player to believe it or not.

After all, the game of 12 was based on speculation. It was his own imagination that the player No. 10 deliberately stepped on Ren Fan as his identity. In fact, there was no logic to prove this.

On the contrary, judging from their speeches, 10 and 11 do not look like two wolves.

"Player No. 10 talks to Zihu. When the last position is returned, he can consider placing Wolf Beauty in the outside position. This is a window period for his skills. If he catches it, he will make a profit."

"But Player No. 11 thinks this is wrong. There is no need to catch the wolf beauty on the first day. The risk is too great, and it may be self-defeating."

"Not to mention who is right or wrong between the two of them, from a mentality point of view, I think player No. 10 is more like a good person."

"If the 10th trump card is a wolf, there is no need for him to talk about such eye-catching words. This will easily become the focus, and if Zihu really plays the wolf beauty in the outside position, wouldn't it be embarrassing?"

"As a wolf, he just needs to deal with barbs honestly, maintain his identity, and say good things. There is no need to mention such shocking words."

"Player No. 10 dares to talk directly to Zihu, and he can consider switching the outside position to Wolf Beauty. I think his mentality is good. He wants to take advantage of Wolf Beauty's inability to activate her skills and take Wolf Beauty out. It's a good idea. .”

"However, player No. 11 thinks that he cannot play in the outside position today, so he should play in a normal position between the two bears, and use this to control the rhythm of playing No. 10, who is the wolf."

"From this point of view, I think 11 is more gangster than 10. 11 may be afraid that Wolf Beauty will really be pushed on the first day. If that is the case, the game will collapse."

"So, if I make a mistake and 10 and 11 are not two wolves, and there is only one wolf among them, it should be player No. 11."

After player No. 12 pointed out that 10 and 11 might be two wolves, he made another assumption, that is, if only one wolf appeared among 10 and 11, it would most likely be Ren Fan.

Because Ren Fan's mentality is not good, he doesn't want good people to take advantage of Wolf Beauty's window period to resist the promotion of Wolf Beauty.

Although it is possible that Ren Chaofan had good intentions and was afraid that Zihu would give up his position and return the votes to a good person, or even a god card.

But now that he has to look for wolves among 10 and 11, he is more inclined to think the worst about Ren Fan.

Player No. 10 can think of finding Wolf Beauty during his skill window and killing him. This idea is quite good, which shows that he has a heart to defeat the Wolves.

“如果10是好人，11是狼，那9、11应该就是双狼，因为11打10或许就是在保9号玩家。”

"After listening to 10's statement, I think most people will feel that 9 and 10 are not on the same side. In this case, if 11 wants to make wolf teammates, he can only make 10 a wolf, so that 9 will naturally Be recognized."

"So, I think there is a high probability that 9 and 11 are two wolves. Player No. 4 can be temporarily released, but it does not mean that I recognize him. If he does not talk well with the police, he should enter the wolf pit at the right time." ."

"If 10 and 11 are really two wolves, there will be only one wolf among 1, 2, and 3 behind the police. Otherwise, there will be two wolves among the three of them."

"To be honest, the pit is still very crowded. If someone can take a photo to show their identity, it will be even more crowded."

"However, I don't want to take sides either. Player No. 7's Leap Bear speech is good. I have the urge to side with him, but this does not mean that No. 7 must be a bear. There are many Leap Wolves who make good statements. I Don’t be stubborn.”

"But if you want me to turn back, the bear in the back position must talk a little better. Otherwise, how can I turn back? I can't imagine that it's the wolf who speaks well and the bear who speaks poorly, right?"

"Okay, that's all I want to say, the policeman, you have a good card, so let's do it, it's over."

[Player No. 1 please speak]

"I am the bear brother, don't be fooled by the nonsense of the little wolf cub."

"What I can confirm now is that both 2 and 12 are good people."

"Actually, even if Player No. 12 is not with me, I can still recognize him based on his speech."

"Because wolves will not use 10 or 11 pairs of wolves to step on each other to establish their identity. Only good people would think so."

"The reason why the wolf won't talk like this is because it is easy to attract the hostility of 10 and 11 to him. Originally, 10 and 11 are opposites. This way, they will unanimously talk to the outside world."

"This is not in line with the Wolves' profits, so if player No. 12 is a wolf, he will not compete with 10 or 11 wolves. It is best to divide them."

"I feel it's a pity. If player No. 12 had been outside, I would have recognized him based on his speech. But if he is by my side and takes Jin Shui's speech, he is a good person after all."

"But his idea is indeed very important. 10 and 11 are very likely to be two wolves. We can't see 10 and 11 fighting each other and just think that they don't know each other."

Player No. 1 seems to agree very much with 12's point of view. He also thinks that 10 and 11 may be two wolves.

Although on the surface 10 and 11 are playing against each other, it looks like they don't know each other, but this game should never just take the surface and make your own speculations and assumptions.

There is a saying in science that goes very well: make bold assumptions and verify carefully.

That's how Werewolf kills. After listening to other people's speeches, you boldly assume the other person's purpose, and then confirm it bit by bit.

If there are problems with the verification and it does not make sense logically, it means that the assumption is wrong.

But if it makes sense and fits with other logic or details, then it might be right.

Just looking for wolves based on superficial remarks and situations doesn’t mean that you can’t find them all, but you definitely can’t find them all. If you can find them all, it’s either a ghost or a low-end cute new game with no twists and turns in logic.

"Sir, what I think is the wolf pit is three wolves coming out of 3, 7, 10, and 11."

"Player No. 8 is most likely a good person. If there are two wolves between No. 7 and No. 8, it would be inappropriate for No. 7 to come out and jump like a bear."

"And player No. 8 is not a bear who positions after repeated conversations. Doesn't he want to play wolves 7 or 8? He has already said it for this reason. It seems unreasonable if I don't give him some face."

"But I also want to have a conversation with player No. 8. If you don't speak well as a police officer, or if you are a wolf, then I should point out that you are a wolf. I will definitely point it out."

"Now you are equivalent to receiving the money from player No. 7. I will treat him as if he is trying to win your vote. I want to see your performance."

"The opportunity has been given to you anyway, it just depends on whether you can seize it."

"I have made it very clear why they entered the wolf pit at points 10 and 11. Neither of their speeches were particularly good, and their behavior of stepping on each other was a bit like wolves trying to show their identity."

"If 10 and 11 are two wolves, player 3 can choose to go out. After all, I haven't heard 3's speech yet. I just used the trap method to put him into the wolf pit."

"But if 10 and 11 are not two wolves, then there is nothing we can do. I have to point player No. 3 into the wolf pit. Otherwise, the wolf pit will not be enough."

"So, whether player 3 is a wolf pit depends on whether players 10 and 11 are two wolves."

"Player No. 12 believes that 10 is more of a good person than 11. If there is really only one wolf between them, it would be 11. I agree with this logic."

“警下有4、6、9三个人，从10号玩家对9的态度来看，9、10是不共边的，他们俩做不成双狼。”

"And I clicked player No. 10 into the wolf pit. In this way, I have to temporarily recognize player No. 9."

"Unless I can be sure that player No. 10 is not a wolf, then I can doubt the identity of No. 9. Before that, I definitely cannot put No. 9 and No. 10 into the wolf pit at the same time."

"After player No. 9 chooses to go out, the wolf under the police is among 4 and 6. Either of them may be a wolf. Now without looking at the ticket type or listening to the speech, there is really no way to judge their identities."

"So, for the police, I don't distinguish between those who are close or those who are close. I just choose a wolf among the 4 and 6, and for the police, whose speech will make the person fall into the wolf's trap. Of course, it's best if the identity can be photographed."

"Similarly, if anyone among 3, 10, and 11 can play a magic card, the remaining two will be wolves."

"I hope good people can recognize me and believe that I am the bear. Player No. 7 is a jumping wolf cub. His so-called positional learning may be just to let good people fight each other."

"For this board, it doesn't matter whether I get the police badge or not. Zihu is leading the team anyway, but I really hope you can stand by me and push player No. 7 out of the game. As long as you recognize me, we will win this game. "

"Okay, that's all I want to say, sir. The trump card is the bear. That's it. It's over."

(End of this chapter)