Chapter 189 189. Useless Reasoning
"A week ago, when I was going to school in the morning, I passed by Mihua Park. I saw the back of a person. At that time, I thought he looked like my sister. The person was wearing a bright pink coat. He looked very conspicuous. He walked out of the park anxiously. She ran by. The clothes she wore were very different from the impression that my sister had given me, but when humans compare and identify objects, they usually process a lot of complex information in the subconscious, rather than following specific descriptions. , so I wanted to believe my intuition when I saw that figure. But the location I saw that day did not allow direct access to the park. According to the road I saw outside the park, she should have entered from the southeast entrance first, heading north. Walking sideways, I walked along the road on the south side. You know the terrain in the park, I couldn't catch up immediately, and she was in a hurry, so even though her clothes were very eye-catching, I still Couldn’t catch up with anyone.”

"I think she was in a hurry to go to work that morning, so every morning after that I would go out early and observe near Mihua Park, but I never met anyone like this, so I thought it might be an accident that day and it was not her Yesterday she was unwilling to take the path she had to take to get to and from get off work, so she went to the park to sit for a day to see if there was any chance of meeting her. Since she was walking through the park that day, the park should be near her workplace or residence. There is a large supermarket near Mihua Park, so whether it is a visit to the park or shopping in the supermarket, it is very possible. But obviously, I didn't have any luck, and I didn't see anything yesterday. "

"If you didn't come and say this to me today, I think I might have to give up. But now, I feel that my sister must be near me, so can the detective accept my commission?"

Listening to Haibara Ai's description, Edogawa Conan had already drawn a sketch of the area near Mihua Park with paper, and confirmed to Haibara Ai the route of action she took when she saw the person.

To be honest, this is not an investigative commission that seems easy to start.

Miyano Akemi is a prisoner who has made front-page news. If she dares to start a normal life again, it means that she must have disguised her identity and image, and at the same time received the support of the public security. From this perspective, the outfit that is completely different from Miyano Akemi's image actually increases the possibility that that person is Miyano Akemi.

But this also means that when conducting the investigation, they do not know the name and appearance of the target. The past living habits and personality are obvious and difficult to refer to. Perhaps the most reliable one is Haiyuan's extremely unscientific radars.

But the flaw of this radar is that you can only observe the target within the radar detection range. When the radar's sensing range is very limited, finding people is almost an impossible task.

Edogawa Conan can only analyze the most likely place where Miyano Akemi will appear based on her behavioral logic.

"In this direction of action, I actually most doubt that her destination is the ward office, because at a time like 8 o'clock in the morning, she is not working but is very anxious. It is very likely that she has an appointment, so she chose such an early time and is in a hurry. That means it is a relatively formal occasion, a relatively busy department, such as the government affairs department, the judicial department, etc. Since it is on foot, the distance should not be too far. It is very likely that the district office is less than five minutes away from Mihua Park. ." Conan explained his reasoning while putting a five-pointed star on the location of the district office.

Afterwards, by connecting and extending the outer edge of the ward office and Mihua Park, a fan shape can be obtained.

"The closest bus stops and tram stops to the ward office are on the north side of Mihua Park, so she probably walked all the way from her residence. Then it is more likely to be within 15 minutes of the ward office. If it is further away, The possibility of using transportation is higher. At the same time, I remember that there is a bus stop in this area, and the frequency of buses to Mihua Station is very high, so it is unlikely that she lives within five minutes of this bus stop.”

While reasoning and drawing pictures, Edogawa Conan quickly got a possible residential area of ​​​​the target, but he just looked at the picture and sighed, "This range still looks too big. This is smaller than the area." There are only two or three large intermediary companies. It would be easier to investigate if we could obtain their customer information in the recent period, but how to obtain the information is also a problem. Is there anything special about you sisters in this area? There must be a reason for choosing to live here.”

Haibara Ai looked at the picture Conan drew and shook his head, "Actually, I know very little about Tokyo. When I was studying, I was abroad for a long time. After I came back, I spent most of the time in the research institute. It took about a month to get to know Tokyo. When I meet my sister, we just find a quiet place to chat and eat, and then we separate. There are several department stores in this area, so we did go there, but there is nothing particularly attractive, so that’s it. Just been there.”

"If she appears in Tokyo, she will definitely be looking for you, but where will she start? Is there really no place where she has lived or a safe address that she hinted to you? Maybe I didn't draw it This area can be expanded further.”

Huihara Ai still shook her head, "If there was such a place, I would have gone to see it a long time ago. Every time we meet, we won't talk about sensitive topics, because there will always be someone watching, and the organization knows her past address. I won’t go, and I know both of them have this idea.”

The little detective scratched his head, "Then let's search based on this area. If we can't predict her purpose, we can only find someone based on some other more general methods. One is to inquire from the housing agency, but this The operability is not very high, and it is not very safe. If you are moving new, you need to register for water and electricity, but most people should complete these things before going to the district office, and they will not go back until there is no unexpected situation. My suggested starting point is to consider the most frequent daily meals. You said that she cooks well, so she is more likely to cook by herself, because it is safer and more private, and she is less likely to go to the vegetable market. Big, because you are more likely to be remembered by facing the vendors, and the privacy is low." Conan said while marking the large supermarkets he remembered on the simple map he drew, "So it is still a relatively large supermarket, the closest one in this area. These are the three supermarkets that have a wide range of products, are popular, are convenient, and are safe. If you don’t encounter anyone here for a week, you can eliminate them first.”

Looking at this simple map, thanks to being taken out to play with her children during this period, Haihara Ai also knew the addresses marked on the map. She pointed to the supermarket next to Mihua Park, "Start from this store. It’s more appropriate.”

"Well, although judging from the most likely living area and your previous observations, this store should not be on her must-have route to and from get off work. But the distance is very close, and although this supermarket does not have many daily necessities, there are many nearby There is a drug store, which is more convenient than a large supermarket with a full range of products. Moreover, the one by the river is a membership-only supermarket. It is difficult for us to observe if we drive directly into it. The other one is in a large shopping mall, and there are more than one. The entrance is also difficult to observe, so in terms of feasibility, Mihua Park is more convenient. If you want to observe elsewhere, you have to consider the implementation plan. "

"What a useful reasoning. Fortunately, you didn't confiscate my commission fee." Haiyuan Ai clapped his hands perfunctorily while being angry.

"?" Conan felt baffled by this sudden irony, and looked at the picture he drew during his reasoning process. He knew that it was unprofessional to give an uncertain range, but Haiyuan didn't look at the picture she gave. There were so many clues that she could only wait in the park without him...

Uh-huh?

Conan said with some difficulty, "Actually, you were waiting near this supermarket yesterday, right?"

"Yeah, I also think that if I see her here, then the possibility of her coming to this supermarket to shop is very high, because it is very convenient, and I was observing in the park, I have a good view, and it is convenient to hide." Looking at the big The detective looked shocked, and Haihara Ai kindly comforted him for his efforts, "Your reasoning is indeed good, and your explanation is very clear."

"Ah."

Conan nodded numbly and tried hard to use the big move but it came to nothing. No matter what, it still didn't make him happy.

Haihara Ai patted him on the shoulder and tried his best to comfort the childish detective, "It really helped a lot. In this way, I can make up my mind."

"What resolution should you make?" Conan's mind was still a little confused.

"I have some strong intuition that I am about to find my sister, but everything was a vague premonition before. With your reasoning, I can do it more firmly. I will ask for leave tomorrow, and you can tell the children that I It’s influenza. I don’t want to infect them, and don’t let them bump into me at Mihua Park. Please, detective.”

***
The reasoning logic of this chapter is that it is not a place where time is hard to meet. Most people will not rush to do things as much as they rush to work. Generally speaking, the reasoning in this plot point is just for fun. It is quite unfair to sample it based entirely on personal experience. Even very unscientific statistics.

(End of this chapter)

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