American TV series: Start with the little Sheldon's wool

Chapter 38 Probability
Grandma Connie, who was also sitting on the sofa watching the game, seemed more focused than George, and even forgot to drink the beer in her hand.

"Connie is busy, I don't care what the process is, please God bless, let the Longhorns win in the end..." Grandma Connie prayed aloud.

"Mom, have you started gambling again?" Mary, who was knitting a scarf on the side, asked in surprise.

During this time, Grandma Connie saved some money because Mike would cook at home from time to time.

Grandma Connie, who loves to play, naturally used the money to carry out some small entertainment activities.

It's just that her recent luck doesn't seem to be very good.Not only lost all the principal, but also owed some foreign debts.

After hearing Mary's question, Grandma Connie was still stubborn: "No, I haven't."

This time, however, Grandma Connie bet that the Longhorns would win, simply because the name Longhorns sounded better.

Grandma Connie is not good at this kind of pure betting on probability.

Outside the sofa, little Sheldon also sat in front of the TV in order to appear gregarious.However, his attention remained on the science textbook in his hand.

Hearing the heated discussions among the crowd, he took the time to look up at the game on TV.

At this point, the Longhorns' punter was already on the field, preparing to release his big kick.

Seeing this, Little Sheldon thought for a moment and said, "From a statistical point of view, it is very unwise to always choose to punt on the fourth offense..."

In front of the TV, George Jr., who also cared about the Longhorns, felt the same as his father, and felt that the choice of punts was very reasonable at this time.

Hearing Little Sheldon's different opinions, Little George turned around and choked: "Data? I think you are a big fool."

In George Jr.'s view, Sheldon Jr., who has never played football, has no right to speak at all.

However, little Sheldon didn't care about little George's contempt.He carefully analyzed: "The data shows that when a team is attacked by an opponent at its own five-yard line, the opponent has a 92% probability of scoring.

And when this team chooses to punt deep in its own field, the opponent still has a 77% chance of scoring.

But if this team chooses to continue to attack, then they will have a 50% probability (fouling) to get another four offensive opportunities.

Therefore, the data shows that the Longhorns should not have chosen to punt. "

Little Sheldon's analysis was so reasonable that everyone on the sofa was quiet for a moment. Even Little George looked suspicious of life.

Then, grandma Connie looked at the smart and clever little Sheldon, smiled and leaned into her daughter's ear, and whispered, "Mary, tell me quietly who his father is."

Genetically speaking, both George and his son have average IQs, but little Sheldon's IQ is a bit too high.

Hearing Grandma Connie's joke, Mary rolled her eyes and continued knitting the scarf.

On the side, George, the coach of the team, reacted for a while, and said, "Sheldon, I have been playing football all my life, and my experience tells me that what you said is wrong."

"Really? Please wait..." After being questioned, Little Sheldon raised his face and thought for a moment, then affirmed: "I'm right. If the Longhorns lose the ball, it will only make the opponent lose again." Score 6 points…”

Following Sheldon Jr.'s explanation, the Longhorns, who were exchanging the ball for a punt on TV, were indeed scored 6 points by their opponents.

Amidst the wailing, Grandma Connie approached Mary again: "Tell me honestly, is his biological father the dentist with the little glasses?"

"Mom..." Mary stared at her mother speechlessly, expressing that she did not want to speak.

Coach George, who was slapped in the face, was not in the mood to analyze the game for Mike in the following time.

After half an hour, the Longhorns were defeated by a big score.

Grandma Connie cursed loudly and was about to take out the Longhorns' betting receipt and tear it up, but she just looked at Mary's look and she immediately calmed down.

Coach George on the side, since the longhorn punt, he is no longer in the mood to watch the game.

In his mind, he was still thinking about Little Sheldon's words.At the end of the game, George couldn't help but said: "Sheldon, although the Longhorns lost in the end, their choice to punt in the third quarter was absolutely right..."

At this time, Little George also began to denounce Little Sheldon. He attributed all the Longhorns' failure to Little Sheldon.

Little Sheldon, who didn't want to have a meaningless quarrel with the two, set his sights on Mike: "Mike, as the second smartest person in the family, please tell them whether my guess is correct."

Looking at the other person's natural appearance, Mike really wanted to tell Little Sheldon that his IQ would surpass him one day sooner or later.

Then, facing everyone's eyes, Mike thought for a while and said: "Sheldon's analysis is correct, but he didn't take the strength of the players on the field into consideration.

After the first two quarters of the game, it can be seen that the overall strength of the Longhorns is significantly lower than that of their opponents.

The offense in the third quarter, regardless of whether they choose to punt or not, the result is already doomed.

Throughout the game, the Longhorns had a 99.9% chance of losing. "

"Thank you for your addition~" Little Sheldon closed the book and continued: "Next time, I will take other factors into consideration."

After finishing speaking, Little Sheldon walked towards his room with a thick textbook in his arms.

Seeing this, Grandma Connie also touched the spinner receipt in her pocket and followed.

After Little Sheldon left for a while, George organized his words and said to Mike seriously: "I don't think probability can cover up the efforts of the players."

"Of course, this is the charm of sports competition." Mike nodded in agreement.

He had previously guessed that the Longhorns had a 99.9 percent chance of failure, and he left some room for that.

With Mike's approval, Coach George's face looked a lot better.

Then, he said: "Next week, Sam will be back."

Although Sam has an unpleasant personality, he is an old man on the football team after all and has played many games with the team.

If he cannot return to the team on time, Mike may still take the starting running back position.

It's just that, now that Sam chooses to come back at this time, out of human considerations, it's not good for Coach George to directly take him off the starting lineup.

"I see." Mike instantly understood Coach George's difficulties.Looking at the other party's apologetic expression, he added: "I obey the team's arrangement."

Seeing that Mike was so "sensible", Coach George struggled for a while and promised: "Don't worry, Mike. I promise you will have a chance to play during the game."

The rugby team of Melford Middle School is not strong, and in the first knockout round, it is often at the level of the first round.

That's why Coach George didn't dare to put Mike, who had no game experience, on it immediately.

Everything is for better grades.

(End of this chapter)