Chapter 544: Chapter 393-394: The shock of the two leaders! (4000 words)
Gao Huaijun, who was relieved, has been very busy recently.

He hasn't been as busy as he has been in a long time.

The first step was to lay out chip research and development, followed by lithography machines, and then the layout of embodied robots by Hillhouse Capital BU came next.

And now, the layout of driverless taxis is underway.

In fact, his idea is to make a comprehensive and no-dead-angle layout around the Hillhouse ecosystem!

There is a saying in the West called "too big to fail", which means "too big to fail" in Chinese.

The reason why there are "too big to fail" companies in Western University is because of the election system there.

The mutual checks and balances between different parties and institutions have greatly limited the scope of government power.

When a company becomes large enough, it can greatly influence government decisions through lobbying and other means.

The end result is that for the sake of the people, these companies cannot fail.

Gao Huaijun has no intention of letting Hillhouse develop in the direction of becoming too big to fail, but as a technological giant, a giant at the level of the mother of China's technological Cluth, Hillhouse has actually penetrated into almost every corner of the lives of most Chinese people.

Therefore, such a company will actually generate huge social capabilities and effects even if it operates on its own.

However, for the future development of the company, he can only plan for some future industries.

Hillhouse cannot fail!
This is the consensus of the entire Chinese nation and even the higher levels.

The embodied robot project promoted by Hillhouse was naturally promoted by the country against the background of its self-dissolution.

Why were robots not very popular before, but after the government promoted them, humanoid robots also became popular?

Boston has been working on robots for many years, but it has difficulty even supporting itself. Why is that?
Because the most important thing about humanoid robots is versatility.

Today’s specialized robots are indeed very powerful, but every time a new requirement arises, they must be specially designed and programmed.

It's just like woodblock printing in the past.

Then a demand may only last for one or two years before it has to be redesigned.

It would be better to hire manpower instead.

Human resources are like movable type printing, available whenever you need them. For ordinary jobs, a person with only a junior high school education can start working after just one afternoon of training.

The selling point of humanoid robots is not their shape but their intelligence.

Before this, in Boston, no matter how much freedom you have, you still need someone to control you.

So why don't I just hire someone?

Just for those very few high-risk areas?

However, after Hillhouse's large-scale artificial intelligence-related models came out, the underlying logic of embodied intelligence was reshaped, making it possible.

Humanoid robots no longer need remote controls.

In time, it will be possible to give commands to robots directly using voice.

The cost of training a robot is lower than the cost of training a human.

This means that tens of millions or even hundreds of millions of blue-collar workers will all lose their comparative advantages at the same time.

This also means a market worth trillions or even trillions of dollars.

With this prospect, venture capitalists and funds will rush in when they see the profit growth point. This is actually an end-to-end embodied intelligence breakthrough.

In fact, judging from Hillhouse's current layout of artificial intelligence in intelligent big models, our intelligence ceiling has already overflowed, and most embodied intelligence does not require the level of college students.

What is lacking at this time is alignment technology and data.

All of these require money and time.

Therefore, Gao Huaijun feels that the time for embodied intelligence should be approaching.

According to optimistic estimates, the industrial application of embodied intelligence will come within 1-2 years, and commercial operation will be applied within 2-3 years. The final application of embodied intelligence in the home will be shortened to within five years.

Against this backdrop, it is impossible for Hillhouse to fail to see the amazing power of artificial intelligence in empowering various smart products.

Therefore, under the premise that embodied robots cannot play a big advantage for the time being and cannot provide profits on a large scale, Gao Huaijun focused his attention on unmanned driving.

As long as Hillhouse taxis explode in volume in the next two years, the incremental market for taxis alone can directly meet Hillhouse’s vehicle production capacity!
Replacing taxis in major cities is a huge project!

This is the most realistic new quality productivity now!

"Mr. Gao, the leaders of Xicheng City and Sujiang Province have already sent us a confirmation letter regarding the further driverless taxi pilot program you mentioned in Xicheng."

"The opinions above are now in principle agreed!"

"But I have a question, how sure are you? Tell the truth!"

Deputy Leader Zhang of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology looked at Gao Huaijun and asked in a deep voice.

China is now working hard for a new round of industrial upgrades in 2025, and at this point in 2018 there is no employment pressure like in the future. So in this era, the driverless taxis proposed by Hillhouse are actually very interesting.

If the driverless car is not a gimmick but a real land artifact, then in the land transportation field it can be said to be alive!
You know, most of China's taxis and trucks are still powered by gas or oil.

If electrification can be achieved and labor costs can be saved directly, it is very likely to trigger a logistics revolution!

In the past, sending goods from the West to the East has always been popular, and the core reason is that the logistics costs are too high.

If trucks can be unmanned by battery replacement, then this chess game will come alive, whether it is most areas in the northwest such as Xinjiang Province, or large areas in the southwest.

Long-term fiscal transfer subsidies are very tiring.

In fact, the higher-ups also want to drive the development of these backward areas.

The key to achieving this is logistics cost.

They are very interested in Hillhouse's driverless technology.

After all, not all western cities have access to the Yangtze River for logistics transshipment.

"If I'm sure of that, I'd say 90%!"

"Our Gaolingwenjie actually claims to have L2.9 autonomous driving, but in reality it is between L3.5 and L4."

"Within this range, most emergencies can actually be predicted."

"The only thing that cannot be predicted is the other party's active car accident."

"It's hard to predict. In fact, over the past six months, our Hillhouse Ask the World products have also encountered problems of active avoidance one after another."

"But the problem is not too big. Our emergency avoidance function can cause damage to the vehicle body, but it is not fatal."

"Because we will have radar for real-time monitoring."

"In this regard, we have a great advantage compared to ordinary taxis."

Gao Huaijun tells the truth.

In addition, he talked about some advantages of driverless taxis.

According to Gao Huaijun.

The advantages of driverless cars are that they will not be refused, will not take detours, are half the price, are available 24 hours a day, have no emotions, have significantly reduced traffic accidents, and drive in a disciplined manner. Of course, the disadvantage is that the 600 million or so online car-hailing and taxi drivers in the country will gradually have to find other ways out.

It is equivalent to the time when cars replaced horse-drawn carriages and coachmen lost their jobs.

Or the excavators replace the diggers, and the diggers lose their jobs.

The times are constantly progressing, especially the era of artificial intelligence, which will essentially greatly liberate productivity. Humans should be liberated from work.

However, in comparison, Hillhouse Taxi will also increase employment.

One is the operations staff.

The number of various algorithm engineers in the background and general operations personnel will increase.

As well as the on-site emergency contact person, there will be one emergency contact person for every three cars in the early stage, and one emergency contact person for every five to ten cars in the later stage.

These are all incremental employment population.

At the same time, under such an employment logic, driverless online ride-hailing vehicles will come, driverless food delivery vehicles will also come, and artificial intelligence will be popularized to every nerve ending of society. It is really against the will of heaven.

The most important thing is that if you calculate the total cost, the price of using Hillhouse's driverless taxi is half of that of an ordinary taxi.

Gao Huaijun asked Hillhouse to do some calculations: assuming that each car has 20 orders per day, and each order has a net profit of 10 yuan (after deducting charging fees, amortized maintenance costs, etc.), the net profit of each car is 200 yuan per day.

If calculated this way, it would be 6000 yuan per month!
72000 yuan per year!
Assuming that 1000 vehicles are invested in Xicheng, the annual net profit will be 7200 million.

And this is just a very, very conservative estimate.

Because a vehicle operates 24 hours a day, it will definitely handle more than 20 orders.

Conservatively speaking, 30-40 orders are more than enough.

This means that for every 1000 vehicles invested, the annual net profit will exceed million!

You know, the cost of a car, especially a mass-produced car like this, is about 70,000 yuan.

1000 cars would cost about million.

If it is promoted nationwide, the price will be diluted and will be even lower.

Because Hillhouse will use high-precision radar to replace the later-generation Carrot and Carrot Intelligent Driving, the overall cost will be higher.

But even if it is a little higher, this profit is still violence among violence.

at this time.

The online-hailing and ordinary taxi drivers in Xicheng who earn around 2 yuan would be trembling with fear. If Hillhouse Taxi removes the driver costs (assuming a Didi driver earns over 3 yuan a month, the driver's net profit is around 2 to 3 yuan, accounting for /), that is to say, Hillhouse Taxi can achieve the same profit as Didi with / of the cost.

In other words, the original starting price of a taxi was 10 yuan, but now I can get it down to yuan.

That’s it, and there’s profit!
Gao Huaijun explained this in great detail, and it took him nearly half an hour to finish.

The two leaders from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Ministry of Transport were also listening silently without saying anything.

This does not count as not knowing.

I was shocked when I calculated it!

Gao Huaijun could see that both of them were deeply shocked by the prospects of this car.

After Gao Huaijun finished speaking, the leader of the Ministry of Transport couldn't help but sigh, "After hearing what Mr. Gao said, according to market rules, it is only a matter of time before driverless cars replace human drivers. The cost is really too low!"

“Indeed, if it is not taxis that are replaced but truck drivers, then the price of logistics costs will probably undergo a drastic change.” Deputy Leader Zhang of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, who had just recovered from his shock, sighed and said.

According to Gao Huaijun's rough calculation, the profits are so attractive that all state-owned enterprises are scrambling to do the job.

Deputy Leader Zhang could see that the leaders of the Ministry of Transport were already interested.

If Hillhouse's pilot is successful, the Ministry of Transport will definitely set up an unmanned driving-related company.

This big piece of meat is naturally best when it is digested by state-owned enterprises.

Gao Huaijun looked at the two of them with a smile.

In fact, he guessed what the leaders of the Ministry of Transport were thinking.

But it doesn't matter.

It would be best if the operations sector was led by the higher-ups.

If you try to monopolize this kind of thing, you will offend too many people.

If a central enterprise is specially established, it can provide a lot of big profits, and there will also be a lot of practical operational jobs. Gao Huaijun is happy to see this kind of interest bundling.

After all, sharing the pork together will make the relationship between the two closer.

If you always think about having the most out of yourself, your company's future development will not go far.

If the exposed parts were borne by the higher-ups, that would be the best. Gao Huaijun would be willing to do it even if it meant taking 80% of the profits.

There will be a lot of resistance in this matter!
This is comparable to looms replacing small peasant women workers, cars replacing horse-drawn carriages, and excavators replacing diggers. It is a huge undertaking.

There is no end to making money. Hillhouse only makes the easiest part, and that is enough.

"However, I have a question. This is a problem of mismatch between production relations and productivity. The biggest problem is how do you deal with the employment of a huge number of drivers? This is not the unemployment of one or two thousand people, this is the unemployment of several million people!" The leader of the Ministry of Transport said.

It doesn't matter at the macro level, but it's unbearable for each individual.

This will cause social unrest!

It’s just a pilot project in Xicheng, so this aspect really doesn’t matter.

A thousand cars, totally insignificant.

Moreover, the industry in Xicheng is very developed. If a thousand drivers are eliminated, they will be able to find jobs easily.

but. . .

What will you do with millions of people?
Gao Huaijun couldn't help but smile after hearing this.

In the future education and training industry, classes can be ended whenever they want, and there are millions of people there!

"At this stage, economic development is above all else in the policy-making process. When weighing unemployment and the promotion of autonomous driving, as long as one side has greater economic benefits, it will be chosen. As for production relations, they will be corrected and adjusted in a timely manner when they seriously hinder productivity. After all, it is still in the early stages, and there is no problem with suffering a little longer."

"As for the concentrated outbreak of labor problems, this is also easy to solve."

“If Hillhouse’s pilot is successful, we will solve it in batches.”

"First, first tier cities, then second tier cities, and finally prefecture-level cities."

"Let's not go into the county town for now. The number of people employed there is estimated to account for more than half of the millions of people. There is no need to take on this difficult task. Besides, county towns are generally small, and the volume of individual businesses is not that large. It is not cost-effective to increase operating costs."

"This is only enough for a few million people, which is enough for China to digest."

"If reform does not offend some entrenched interests, can it still be called reform?"

At the end, Gao Huaijun looked at the two leaders with a somewhat dull look.

The two leaders looked at each other and nodded in tacit understanding.

(End of this chapter)

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