super energy power
Chapter 329 Planning Committee Report
Sitting in the small conference hall of the Planning Commission, Su Cheng silently looked around at the nearly [-] young Planning Commission cadres in the audience.
In terms of the political structure of [China], these young people have almost reached the innermost runway, which is equivalent to the ancient second-class Jinshi to third-class Jinshi. In other words, the probability of becoming a senior official of a ministry is quite high.
For such a group of proud people, it is very difficult for them to collectively admire a certain person.On the contrary, the proud ones will treat the superiors with a more critical attitude, just like the ancient non-commissioned officers.
Su Cheng gently took off his watch and put it on the upper left corner of the table to remind himself of the time for the report.
There is a date on the upper left of the watch, reflecting the small words of November 11th.
When the second hand reached the direction of 0 o'clock, Su Cheng coughed lightly and said, "The report I gave today is about the status of [China] under the new situation. First, I want to talk about the Soviet Union. Why is the Baltic Sea The republics along the coast became independent first, and I think there is a tendency that creates centrifugality. The republics, especially the wealthy republics, think that they have contributed more to the USSR than the USSR gave them. On this issue, they will not Consider how Stalin helped them set up many factories in the past...Now the USSR, has fallen into such a rhythm that when the republics cannot solve their problems by themselves, they will blame the entire USSR, but if a certain republic does something Okay, then it only belongs to this republic. The same problem actually occurs within the state-owned enterprises, or localities, or ministries and commissions of [China] country..."
Now that Su Cheng has boarded the Zhongnan shortcut, he will continue to do it seriously.For this report, he synthesized the trends he knew, and then ordered more than a dozen people in the Dahua Strategy Department to use the existing research content as a blueprint and refer to domestic and foreign published publications to write.
Correct arguments and sound arguments form a self-contained structure, and the meeting room quickly fell silent.
When Sioux City said that "political struggles, ethnic issues and social issues led to the disintegration of the Soviet Union", many people nodded frequently.
The Planning Committee prides itself on being the designer of 〖China〗, and its young people are full of self-confidence. They naturally have their own thinking about real world problems.But after listening to Sioux City's report, many people's thoughts became clear.
Sioux City is a standard hindsight strategy.Pushing from the back to the front, knowing that the Soviet Union is going to collapse, looking for the reason, knowing that the Soviet Union is going to be privatized, looking for arguments...
This approach is natural, smooth and clear.
Immediately someone raised their hand to ask a question.
Su Cheng saw it on the top, and stopped with his hand: "What I am talking about today is not the theory of the cause of the Soviet Union's problem-solving. Now it is just a preface, and I will not accept questions for the time being. Next, I will talk about the status of [China] The question is, what can we gain from the collapse of the Soviet Union and how to do it."
He picked up his glass and drank it.Shui noticed that a group of people were all staring at him with wide-eyed eyes, no different from the workers in the Dahua factory.
Without the halo of status, the young people of the Planning Committee are nothing more than young people.
While Su Cheng was feeling emotional, he slowly opened his mouth: "Since the disintegration of the Soviet Union cannot be prevented, we must make more use of the good side and avoid the bad side. The good side is that the disintegration of the Soviet Union will destroy our own industrial existence and thus destroy the [China] country. Unleashed the industrial capabilities of the industry. Some people can exchange hundreds of cars of light industrial products for aircraft, and some people make a fortune by being a swindler. This kind of barter transaction method can indeed make a lot of money, but I don’t know What I want to say is that the collapsed Soviet industry will form a huge demand market, which can greatly increase our country’s exports.”
"The ruble is not worth much anymore. It's just that it's very troublesome to trade in terms of barter. As long as I know that the contract that cannot be fulfilled is a big trouble." Finally someone below couldn't help but speak, and the voice of approval sounded at the same time.
Su Cheng nodded slightly, and said: "We can provide loans to the Soviet Union, in the name of the government, to provide loans to the Soviet Union specifically, so that they can buy our industrial products, just like the Marshall Plan after World War II.
On the one hand, we gain international morality, and on the other hand, we also have actual profits. "
"Where does the profit come from? Our country's own foreign exchange is not enough."
"We don't need the country to use foreign exchange. In fact, we only need to start a name, and we don't even need to pay much." Under the surprised faces of everyone, Su Cheng came up with his long-planned plan, saying: "We will start with a In the name of the bank, apply for a loan from the Bank of the Soviet Union, the Bank of Russia, or the national banks of other republics. Then, at a higher loan interest rate, loan the money to the Soviets and ask them to use the money to buy [Chinese] products , In fact, there is no real payment, as long as [China] country pays in RMB to buy goods from [China] country, and then settles in rubles."
This time, not only the young people from the planning committee, but even the leaders who were sitting in the back were stunned.
Compared with usual, the financial operation that Sioux City mentioned is actually a little more esoteric.For example, isn't it the cost of [Chinese] products purchased by the Chinese side in RMB?In fact, for a fiat currency country like 〖China〗, the cost of the renminbi itself is very limited. Using this method, in the medium and long term, it will definitely be profitable, even exceeding the short-term fast line.But the downside is that it cannot be realized quickly, and it takes 10 years or even longer for excess profits to emerge.But it is most suitable for the country.
Most of the staff of the Planning Commission have corresponding financial understanding skills. It is not necessary for Sioux City to explain too much. He faced the leaders and continued: "The problem of the Soviet Union is not the lack of money, but the ruble has lost credibility, and people are also Lost confidence in using it. So, as long as we have [real] things to buy for the Soviet Union, they don't care about lending to us. Because they pay rubles and we pay rubles back. It's just an empty pair An empty numbers game. On this basis, the prices of our products can be higher, the interest on loans from the Soviet Union can be lower, and the interest on loans to Soviet businessmen can be higher.”
Sioux City’s point of view has already been used by others.Modern Russian consortiums have basically risen during the financial turmoil of about 10 years. They have made a lot of profits through this empty-handed white wolf method.
For people who are snapping up Soviet assets, it doesn't matter how much the loan interest is, as long as they can get a loan to buy a factory, that would be great.However, the state-owned banks in the Soviet Union did not dare to lend easily, so they used the intermediary channels of private banks to complete the payment of the entire financial system.
By 1991, the interest rate of Soviet state-owned banks had risen to 100%, but the interest rate of commercial banks was even more exaggerated, reaching 0%. What's more, the money of commercial banks was loaned from Soviet state-owned banks.
也就是说不管卢布怎么跌,商业银行最少要赚100%的利润。100万卢布就赚100万卢布,100亿卢布就赚100亿卢布。
In the end, inflation can only determine the issue of earning more and earning less. No matter how much its value changes, the extra 100% cannot be lost.
It can be said that commercial banks are exchanging risks for money, while state-owned banks have to reduce risks in order to maintain the domestic financial system...
Sioux City is more willing to use financial means to solicit money than to make large purchases in the Soviet Union.This method is not obvious, but the profit is definitely more than 100 industrial companies.
Someone below asked: "The current Soviet economy is not good. What if the loan cannot be repaid?"
"We use mortgage loans and use the current price as collateral. If the other party fails to repay the loan, we will confiscate the collateral." Sioux Cheng said very naturally.
Xie Weiwei was dumbfounded, and said: "This is too cruel. Using the current price as a mortgage will reduce the price of the mortgage by dozens of times?"
The prices of houses, land, and factories in the Soviet Union have been greatly reduced, and some of them can be said to be worthless.Of course, the mortgage must be mortgaged at the price at the time of the loan, which may only be [-]% of the peak price.
The reason why most Soviet people apply for loans is to buy their own factories, real estate and other means of production, and their purchase price is often only a few percent of the actual value.However, since the Soviet Union did not allow foreigners to directly purchase these assets, obtaining them through mortgages became an important part of the privatization process after the disintegration of the Soviet Union.
As a bank, if a large number of mortgage loans are released, there will definitely be some loans that cannot be recovered due to various reasons.Therefore, it is inevitable to obtain collateral, and the profits in this area alone are estimated to be able to make up for the value of domestic light industrial products.
Those present are all those who have made plans for the country all the year round, and they often think deeply about things.
Xie Weiwei was surprised to find that Su Cheng's plan was seamlessly linked together.She couldn't help but realize that Su Cheng planned this idea, it was definitely not a temporary idea.Thinking of this, she stood up and asked, "The Soviet Union bank is too busy to take care of itself. If it really disintegrates, it will probably fall apart. In this case, we may not be able to lend money."
Su Cheng looked at his watch, and said: "According to my analysis, Yeltsin will soon announce to take over the financial power that originally belonged to the [Central] Central Bank, and plans such as the [Central] Bank of Russia taking over the Soviet State Bank are estimated to have It is planned and released at any time. Judging by the time, it will happen within this month, maybe in the last few days."
This was inferred by Dahua's Strategic Business Department based on the conditions drawn up by Sioux City.If the Soviet Union disintegrates at the end of December, and the facts are the same, Russia, as the main body, will have to take over financial and financial power at least one month in advance, otherwise, Russia, as a national main body, will not be able to continue to operate.Just like the Soviet Union as a national subject, if it is deprived of financial and financial rights, it cannot continue to operate.
Hearing this, Director Lu couldn't help but said: "Let's stop here today, Director Su, the question you mentioned is thought-provoking, please give us a moment to think about it."
Now everyone knows that Su Cheng doesn't really want to give a report to young people, he uses the form of a report to reach Tian Ting directly.Moreover, after being filtered by the Planning Commission in advance, the gold content of this report has also been greatly improved.
He Tao, who was also in 87, sighed softly and thought to himself: If Sioux City's opinion is valued by the leaders, it will make a big difference to his right to speak in the international situation in the future. (to be continued)
<<.
In terms of the political structure of [China], these young people have almost reached the innermost runway, which is equivalent to the ancient second-class Jinshi to third-class Jinshi. In other words, the probability of becoming a senior official of a ministry is quite high.
For such a group of proud people, it is very difficult for them to collectively admire a certain person.On the contrary, the proud ones will treat the superiors with a more critical attitude, just like the ancient non-commissioned officers.
Su Cheng gently took off his watch and put it on the upper left corner of the table to remind himself of the time for the report.
There is a date on the upper left of the watch, reflecting the small words of November 11th.
When the second hand reached the direction of 0 o'clock, Su Cheng coughed lightly and said, "The report I gave today is about the status of [China] under the new situation. First, I want to talk about the Soviet Union. Why is the Baltic Sea The republics along the coast became independent first, and I think there is a tendency that creates centrifugality. The republics, especially the wealthy republics, think that they have contributed more to the USSR than the USSR gave them. On this issue, they will not Consider how Stalin helped them set up many factories in the past...Now the USSR, has fallen into such a rhythm that when the republics cannot solve their problems by themselves, they will blame the entire USSR, but if a certain republic does something Okay, then it only belongs to this republic. The same problem actually occurs within the state-owned enterprises, or localities, or ministries and commissions of [China] country..."
Now that Su Cheng has boarded the Zhongnan shortcut, he will continue to do it seriously.For this report, he synthesized the trends he knew, and then ordered more than a dozen people in the Dahua Strategy Department to use the existing research content as a blueprint and refer to domestic and foreign published publications to write.
Correct arguments and sound arguments form a self-contained structure, and the meeting room quickly fell silent.
When Sioux City said that "political struggles, ethnic issues and social issues led to the disintegration of the Soviet Union", many people nodded frequently.
The Planning Committee prides itself on being the designer of 〖China〗, and its young people are full of self-confidence. They naturally have their own thinking about real world problems.But after listening to Sioux City's report, many people's thoughts became clear.
Sioux City is a standard hindsight strategy.Pushing from the back to the front, knowing that the Soviet Union is going to collapse, looking for the reason, knowing that the Soviet Union is going to be privatized, looking for arguments...
This approach is natural, smooth and clear.
Immediately someone raised their hand to ask a question.
Su Cheng saw it on the top, and stopped with his hand: "What I am talking about today is not the theory of the cause of the Soviet Union's problem-solving. Now it is just a preface, and I will not accept questions for the time being. Next, I will talk about the status of [China] The question is, what can we gain from the collapse of the Soviet Union and how to do it."
He picked up his glass and drank it.Shui noticed that a group of people were all staring at him with wide-eyed eyes, no different from the workers in the Dahua factory.
Without the halo of status, the young people of the Planning Committee are nothing more than young people.
While Su Cheng was feeling emotional, he slowly opened his mouth: "Since the disintegration of the Soviet Union cannot be prevented, we must make more use of the good side and avoid the bad side. The good side is that the disintegration of the Soviet Union will destroy our own industrial existence and thus destroy the [China] country. Unleashed the industrial capabilities of the industry. Some people can exchange hundreds of cars of light industrial products for aircraft, and some people make a fortune by being a swindler. This kind of barter transaction method can indeed make a lot of money, but I don’t know What I want to say is that the collapsed Soviet industry will form a huge demand market, which can greatly increase our country’s exports.”
"The ruble is not worth much anymore. It's just that it's very troublesome to trade in terms of barter. As long as I know that the contract that cannot be fulfilled is a big trouble." Finally someone below couldn't help but speak, and the voice of approval sounded at the same time.
Su Cheng nodded slightly, and said: "We can provide loans to the Soviet Union, in the name of the government, to provide loans to the Soviet Union specifically, so that they can buy our industrial products, just like the Marshall Plan after World War II.
On the one hand, we gain international morality, and on the other hand, we also have actual profits. "
"Where does the profit come from? Our country's own foreign exchange is not enough."
"We don't need the country to use foreign exchange. In fact, we only need to start a name, and we don't even need to pay much." Under the surprised faces of everyone, Su Cheng came up with his long-planned plan, saying: "We will start with a In the name of the bank, apply for a loan from the Bank of the Soviet Union, the Bank of Russia, or the national banks of other republics. Then, at a higher loan interest rate, loan the money to the Soviets and ask them to use the money to buy [Chinese] products , In fact, there is no real payment, as long as [China] country pays in RMB to buy goods from [China] country, and then settles in rubles."
This time, not only the young people from the planning committee, but even the leaders who were sitting in the back were stunned.
Compared with usual, the financial operation that Sioux City mentioned is actually a little more esoteric.For example, isn't it the cost of [Chinese] products purchased by the Chinese side in RMB?In fact, for a fiat currency country like 〖China〗, the cost of the renminbi itself is very limited. Using this method, in the medium and long term, it will definitely be profitable, even exceeding the short-term fast line.But the downside is that it cannot be realized quickly, and it takes 10 years or even longer for excess profits to emerge.But it is most suitable for the country.
Most of the staff of the Planning Commission have corresponding financial understanding skills. It is not necessary for Sioux City to explain too much. He faced the leaders and continued: "The problem of the Soviet Union is not the lack of money, but the ruble has lost credibility, and people are also Lost confidence in using it. So, as long as we have [real] things to buy for the Soviet Union, they don't care about lending to us. Because they pay rubles and we pay rubles back. It's just an empty pair An empty numbers game. On this basis, the prices of our products can be higher, the interest on loans from the Soviet Union can be lower, and the interest on loans to Soviet businessmen can be higher.”
Sioux City’s point of view has already been used by others.Modern Russian consortiums have basically risen during the financial turmoil of about 10 years. They have made a lot of profits through this empty-handed white wolf method.
For people who are snapping up Soviet assets, it doesn't matter how much the loan interest is, as long as they can get a loan to buy a factory, that would be great.However, the state-owned banks in the Soviet Union did not dare to lend easily, so they used the intermediary channels of private banks to complete the payment of the entire financial system.
By 1991, the interest rate of Soviet state-owned banks had risen to 100%, but the interest rate of commercial banks was even more exaggerated, reaching 0%. What's more, the money of commercial banks was loaned from Soviet state-owned banks.
也就是说不管卢布怎么跌,商业银行最少要赚100%的利润。100万卢布就赚100万卢布,100亿卢布就赚100亿卢布。
In the end, inflation can only determine the issue of earning more and earning less. No matter how much its value changes, the extra 100% cannot be lost.
It can be said that commercial banks are exchanging risks for money, while state-owned banks have to reduce risks in order to maintain the domestic financial system...
Sioux City is more willing to use financial means to solicit money than to make large purchases in the Soviet Union.This method is not obvious, but the profit is definitely more than 100 industrial companies.
Someone below asked: "The current Soviet economy is not good. What if the loan cannot be repaid?"
"We use mortgage loans and use the current price as collateral. If the other party fails to repay the loan, we will confiscate the collateral." Sioux Cheng said very naturally.
Xie Weiwei was dumbfounded, and said: "This is too cruel. Using the current price as a mortgage will reduce the price of the mortgage by dozens of times?"
The prices of houses, land, and factories in the Soviet Union have been greatly reduced, and some of them can be said to be worthless.Of course, the mortgage must be mortgaged at the price at the time of the loan, which may only be [-]% of the peak price.
The reason why most Soviet people apply for loans is to buy their own factories, real estate and other means of production, and their purchase price is often only a few percent of the actual value.However, since the Soviet Union did not allow foreigners to directly purchase these assets, obtaining them through mortgages became an important part of the privatization process after the disintegration of the Soviet Union.
As a bank, if a large number of mortgage loans are released, there will definitely be some loans that cannot be recovered due to various reasons.Therefore, it is inevitable to obtain collateral, and the profits in this area alone are estimated to be able to make up for the value of domestic light industrial products.
Those present are all those who have made plans for the country all the year round, and they often think deeply about things.
Xie Weiwei was surprised to find that Su Cheng's plan was seamlessly linked together.She couldn't help but realize that Su Cheng planned this idea, it was definitely not a temporary idea.Thinking of this, she stood up and asked, "The Soviet Union bank is too busy to take care of itself. If it really disintegrates, it will probably fall apart. In this case, we may not be able to lend money."
Su Cheng looked at his watch, and said: "According to my analysis, Yeltsin will soon announce to take over the financial power that originally belonged to the [Central] Central Bank, and plans such as the [Central] Bank of Russia taking over the Soviet State Bank are estimated to have It is planned and released at any time. Judging by the time, it will happen within this month, maybe in the last few days."
This was inferred by Dahua's Strategic Business Department based on the conditions drawn up by Sioux City.If the Soviet Union disintegrates at the end of December, and the facts are the same, Russia, as the main body, will have to take over financial and financial power at least one month in advance, otherwise, Russia, as a national main body, will not be able to continue to operate.Just like the Soviet Union as a national subject, if it is deprived of financial and financial rights, it cannot continue to operate.
Hearing this, Director Lu couldn't help but said: "Let's stop here today, Director Su, the question you mentioned is thought-provoking, please give us a moment to think about it."
Now everyone knows that Su Cheng doesn't really want to give a report to young people, he uses the form of a report to reach Tian Ting directly.Moreover, after being filtered by the Planning Commission in advance, the gold content of this report has also been greatly improved.
He Tao, who was also in 87, sighed softly and thought to himself: If Sioux City's opinion is valued by the leaders, it will make a big difference to his right to speak in the international situation in the future. (to be continued)
<<.
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