super energy power
Chapter 447 Caspian Sea Oil
Since the reform and opening up, the rapid development of China has often made it difficult for senior leaders to predict. It is often when something happens that they think about the reasons and connections.
The same is true for the issue of oil import and export.
In China before the 90s, oil foreign exchange was the main foreign exchange income, accounting for more than 50% at one time. In contrast, other domestic export products, whether it is handicrafts, porcelain, coal, or agricultural and sideline products, were in millions of dollars. At the top level, there are occasional tens of millions of transactions, and there are bound to be big books and reports all over the world.
Because of this, whether it is the oil contract policy or the opinions of national leaders, oil companies are required to produce as much oil as possible and sell more oil.The annual foreign exchange income of more than USD [-] helped China, which was impoverished at the time, complete the upgrading of its industrial and commercial industries.
"In 1993, there was a dividing line.
This year, China became a net importer of oil. Countries that used to rely on oil to earn foreign exchange suddenly had to use foreign exchange to buy oil, which inevitably made it difficult for policymakers to adapt.At this time, someone carefully examined China's oil consumption, China's oil extraction, and China's oil reserves...
Anyone with a little economic sense will find that China's dependence on oil is so great that importing oil has become an irreversible fact.
For a while, the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Council, which were still counting on oil foreign exchange, all started heated discussions.
As a member of the discussion wave, Qi Meng naturally thought of Sioux City and his Dahua Industry.
To this day, this is the only oil field that China has acquired overseas.Moreover, the more he learned about the world's oil industry, the more Qi Meng realized how difficult it was for Dahua to acquire the Seitan Oilfield, and how lucky he was.
This also made Qi Meng admire Su Cheng's vision.
Today, when he heard about Dahua's achievements in the shipbuilding industry and chemical industry, Qi Meng was in a hurry... He not only wanted to know Dahua's thoughts on oil development, but also worried that Dahua would spend too much energy on These aspects.
Out of urgency, Qi Meng asked Sioux City, "Is there any plan for oil development?"
Su Zhenguo also turned his head curiously.He doesn't need to plan a specific industry issue, but oil as the main energy source affects many people and things.
Su Cheng was slightly taken aback by Qi Meng's sudden question, and smiled: "Of course, Dahua Industry will not give up oil development, but the current oil field competition is becoming increasingly fierce, we must fully understand it before we can take any action. "
His words were a bit like a press conference, but they didn't look like they were giving a report to the leader.
Qi Meng didn't care, he immediately asked: "As far as you know, where would you choose to develop oil first?"
Su Cheng hesitated for a moment, and said, "It will still be the Asian part."
The scope of Asia is wider, the Middle East is considered Asia, and Siberia is also Asia.As a strategic goal, Sioux City will not make it very clear.
Qi Meng focused his attention on the last two words of "Asian part", turned his mind and asked, "Russia?"
"It's one direction." Su Cheng said a little bit incoherently.Dahua is very interested in Russian oil, and there was a discussion about adding funds to Russia.
However, knowing that Putin will be like an emperor and domineering in Russia for many years, how could he spend a lot of time and energy to go to Russia to drill for oil.That is simply to plunge the rest of my life into endless struggle.
The Russian emperor's life's work was probably to eliminate Russia's foreign oil companies and Russia's oil oligarchs.Comrade Putin and his Russia exist on the basis of profits from oil.Anyone who wants to get involved here is shaking Putin's foundation.The ex-judoka will be desperate for it.
An energy company should not be afraid of trouble and politics, not even military turmoil can stop oil companies from making profits.
However, doing what you can is the criterion for everything.Exxon Mobil!Or a company like bp in the UK, some of which are coveted by Russian oil.A Chinese oil company with only five years of experience, it is best to stay away from such things as mining Russian oil.
Therefore, Sioux City has long excluded Russia from the list of targets for oil development.
The so-called direction is just perfunctory to Qi Meng.
However, Qi Mengshen thought it was normal. Dahua Industrial had business in Russia, and it was relatively easy to develop oil fields there.Although Russia's competition is fierce, Russia's oil resources are indeed surprisingly rich.
Fantasizing that hundreds of millions of barrels of oil could solve China's energy problems, Qi Meng smiled and let out the invitation: "We actually have a plan to build an oil pipeline, and we are actively in contact with Russian oil companies. I remember Hua Industrial has a gas company, and it also installs oil pipelines? If you are interested, you can participate."
"Oil pipelines from Russia to the country?"
"Yes." Yu had already talked in depth, and facing his superiors again, Qi Meng said with a smile: "If there is no accident, we plan to build an oil pipeline from Russia's Angarsk oil field to China."
Anda line!
Su Cheng reacted immediately.
This is not the first time he has heard about the Anda Line from domestic officials.
The last time, when he was going to Russia, Su Cheng heard about the planned Anda-Da line from Liu Bing.For this doomed oil pipeline, Sioux City had objected at that time.
Now it seems that either Liu Bing did not pay attention to his opinion, or Liu Bing's level is not enough to stop such a seemingly successful oil pipeline.
In fact, if it weren't for the foresight of the hindsight, judging from the current information, no one would be sure that the Anda line would fail.Furthermore, if it is not for Putin's unplanned strength, in terms of development!The An-Da line should have gone very smoothly.
However, the Russian partner company chosen by China is Yukos, which will be destroyed by Putin, and the failure of this pipeline is doomed.
The failure of this pipeline has wasted more than 8 years in China. It was around 04 that it was determined that the Anda Line could not be completed before it began to try other overseas pipelines.On the other hand, the oil transportation agreement signed after a 10-year delay will also cost a lot of money.
But to stop this oil pipeline, Sioux City doesn't seem to have enough funds.After all, people are in the negotiation stage from beginning to end, and at most it is a waste of opportunity.Sioux City can't even let people talk about it.
In addition, the occasion at this time is not suitable for detailed discussion, Su Cheng only said: "This kind of oil pipeline should be finalized as soon as possible, so as to avoid long nights and dreams."
"It's about to enter the substantive negotiation stage." Qi Meng said with some complacency: "Once the oil pipeline is built, China will not have to worry about oil within 10 years. It would be even better if Chinese companies can enter the East Siberian oil fields. gone."
Su Cheng smiled strangely. China in 03 was China that joined the WTO. The resource consumption at that time could scare the decision-makers in 93 to death.
Qi Meng's eyes were so poisonous, seeing that Su Cheng's face was different, he turned his head to think.
At this time, the officials of CSSC began to entertain the leaders to visit.
Su Zhenguo walked in front with a smile, looking amiable.
Su Cheng couldn't steal the scenery of Jiangnan Shipyard, so he naturally fell behind.
After a while, Qi Meng followed and asked in a low voice: "Su Dong, let's talk in private, what do you think of the Anda Line?"
Su Cheng and him have been in a friendly relationship for several years. He smiled and said, "To be honest, I find it very difficult."
"You, Su Dong, don't seem like a person who is afraid of difficulties." Qi Meng praised him gently.
Su Cheng smiled: "Russia's political situation is unstable, and this kind of difficulty is something I don't want to deal with."
Qi Meng was thoughtful, and said: "If there is no oil pipeline, Russian oil will not be transported into the country."
"Based on domestic consumption, we can buy from the international market."
"That won't work. National energy security cannot be underestimated. To buy oil from the international market, you have to go through the Strait of Malacca. According to our estimates, by 10 years, more than 30% of the oil we need will be transported through the Strait of Malacca. New sources of oil must be opened up."
Su Cheng looked at Qi Meng sympathetically, and thought: It's a good idea, but it's a pity that it's still an underestimate.
No one or any institution can estimate China's steady and rapid development for several years.Even the Chinese government itself cannot guarantee or predict it.
Therefore, Qi Meng and the others made their models according to the so-called high-speed growth rate of 3% or 4%, which is common abroad. The later the estimated time, the more mistakes and omissions will inevitably occur.
By 10, China needs not 30% of the oil transported through the Strait of Malacca, but more than 60%.
Even if Russia's oil pipelines are opened, there will be too much crude oil required, and fundamental changes cannot occur after all.
In 1993, Chinese people would be amazed to see hundreds of workers riding motorcycles.
In the future, employees of central enterprises will all be able to afford a private car, so how much oil consumption will increase.
However, Qi Meng's idea is good, Sioux City also hopes to ensure China's energy security, but judging from the experience of hindsight, in 10 years, no country in the world can guarantee absolute energy security.
The United States can't do it, China can't do it, Japan can't do it.Even the oil-producing countries themselves can't do it... Due to the lack of refining equipment, they often need to transport crude oil abroad and buy refined oil.
The more Su Cheng thought about it, the weirder his expression became.
Qi Meng looked at him, his mind became uncertain, and he didn't ask: "If I asked you to do it, how would you do it?"
Su Cheng couldn't help laughing: "This topic is too big."
Qi Meng thinks so too, even if people know, it's hard to say.So he smirked twice and lowered his head.
At this moment, Sioux City suddenly spoke up, saying, "Not talking about national energy security, but just talking about oil development, I'm leaning towards the Caspian Sea oil circle, and the China-Kazakhstan or China-Arab oil pipelines."
"Caspian Sea?" Qi Meng immediately searched his memory.The Caspian oil circle includes Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, all of which were former Soviet Union states.But unlike Russian oil fields such as Siberia, these countries encourage foreign investment.
"It's just..." Qi Meng asked uncertainly: "Judging from the exploration of the former Soviet Union, the oil in the Caspian Sea is at risk of being depleted."
Hearing what he said, Su Cheng was overjoyed, and said with a smile: "In another 50 years, the oil in the Caspian Sea will not be exhausted."
The same is true for the issue of oil import and export.
In China before the 90s, oil foreign exchange was the main foreign exchange income, accounting for more than 50% at one time. In contrast, other domestic export products, whether it is handicrafts, porcelain, coal, or agricultural and sideline products, were in millions of dollars. At the top level, there are occasional tens of millions of transactions, and there are bound to be big books and reports all over the world.
Because of this, whether it is the oil contract policy or the opinions of national leaders, oil companies are required to produce as much oil as possible and sell more oil.The annual foreign exchange income of more than USD [-] helped China, which was impoverished at the time, complete the upgrading of its industrial and commercial industries.
"In 1993, there was a dividing line.
This year, China became a net importer of oil. Countries that used to rely on oil to earn foreign exchange suddenly had to use foreign exchange to buy oil, which inevitably made it difficult for policymakers to adapt.At this time, someone carefully examined China's oil consumption, China's oil extraction, and China's oil reserves...
Anyone with a little economic sense will find that China's dependence on oil is so great that importing oil has become an irreversible fact.
For a while, the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Council, which were still counting on oil foreign exchange, all started heated discussions.
As a member of the discussion wave, Qi Meng naturally thought of Sioux City and his Dahua Industry.
To this day, this is the only oil field that China has acquired overseas.Moreover, the more he learned about the world's oil industry, the more Qi Meng realized how difficult it was for Dahua to acquire the Seitan Oilfield, and how lucky he was.
This also made Qi Meng admire Su Cheng's vision.
Today, when he heard about Dahua's achievements in the shipbuilding industry and chemical industry, Qi Meng was in a hurry... He not only wanted to know Dahua's thoughts on oil development, but also worried that Dahua would spend too much energy on These aspects.
Out of urgency, Qi Meng asked Sioux City, "Is there any plan for oil development?"
Su Zhenguo also turned his head curiously.He doesn't need to plan a specific industry issue, but oil as the main energy source affects many people and things.
Su Cheng was slightly taken aback by Qi Meng's sudden question, and smiled: "Of course, Dahua Industry will not give up oil development, but the current oil field competition is becoming increasingly fierce, we must fully understand it before we can take any action. "
His words were a bit like a press conference, but they didn't look like they were giving a report to the leader.
Qi Meng didn't care, he immediately asked: "As far as you know, where would you choose to develop oil first?"
Su Cheng hesitated for a moment, and said, "It will still be the Asian part."
The scope of Asia is wider, the Middle East is considered Asia, and Siberia is also Asia.As a strategic goal, Sioux City will not make it very clear.
Qi Meng focused his attention on the last two words of "Asian part", turned his mind and asked, "Russia?"
"It's one direction." Su Cheng said a little bit incoherently.Dahua is very interested in Russian oil, and there was a discussion about adding funds to Russia.
However, knowing that Putin will be like an emperor and domineering in Russia for many years, how could he spend a lot of time and energy to go to Russia to drill for oil.That is simply to plunge the rest of my life into endless struggle.
The Russian emperor's life's work was probably to eliminate Russia's foreign oil companies and Russia's oil oligarchs.Comrade Putin and his Russia exist on the basis of profits from oil.Anyone who wants to get involved here is shaking Putin's foundation.The ex-judoka will be desperate for it.
An energy company should not be afraid of trouble and politics, not even military turmoil can stop oil companies from making profits.
However, doing what you can is the criterion for everything.Exxon Mobil!Or a company like bp in the UK, some of which are coveted by Russian oil.A Chinese oil company with only five years of experience, it is best to stay away from such things as mining Russian oil.
Therefore, Sioux City has long excluded Russia from the list of targets for oil development.
The so-called direction is just perfunctory to Qi Meng.
However, Qi Mengshen thought it was normal. Dahua Industrial had business in Russia, and it was relatively easy to develop oil fields there.Although Russia's competition is fierce, Russia's oil resources are indeed surprisingly rich.
Fantasizing that hundreds of millions of barrels of oil could solve China's energy problems, Qi Meng smiled and let out the invitation: "We actually have a plan to build an oil pipeline, and we are actively in contact with Russian oil companies. I remember Hua Industrial has a gas company, and it also installs oil pipelines? If you are interested, you can participate."
"Oil pipelines from Russia to the country?"
"Yes." Yu had already talked in depth, and facing his superiors again, Qi Meng said with a smile: "If there is no accident, we plan to build an oil pipeline from Russia's Angarsk oil field to China."
Anda line!
Su Cheng reacted immediately.
This is not the first time he has heard about the Anda Line from domestic officials.
The last time, when he was going to Russia, Su Cheng heard about the planned Anda-Da line from Liu Bing.For this doomed oil pipeline, Sioux City had objected at that time.
Now it seems that either Liu Bing did not pay attention to his opinion, or Liu Bing's level is not enough to stop such a seemingly successful oil pipeline.
In fact, if it weren't for the foresight of the hindsight, judging from the current information, no one would be sure that the Anda line would fail.Furthermore, if it is not for Putin's unplanned strength, in terms of development!The An-Da line should have gone very smoothly.
However, the Russian partner company chosen by China is Yukos, which will be destroyed by Putin, and the failure of this pipeline is doomed.
The failure of this pipeline has wasted more than 8 years in China. It was around 04 that it was determined that the Anda Line could not be completed before it began to try other overseas pipelines.On the other hand, the oil transportation agreement signed after a 10-year delay will also cost a lot of money.
But to stop this oil pipeline, Sioux City doesn't seem to have enough funds.After all, people are in the negotiation stage from beginning to end, and at most it is a waste of opportunity.Sioux City can't even let people talk about it.
In addition, the occasion at this time is not suitable for detailed discussion, Su Cheng only said: "This kind of oil pipeline should be finalized as soon as possible, so as to avoid long nights and dreams."
"It's about to enter the substantive negotiation stage." Qi Meng said with some complacency: "Once the oil pipeline is built, China will not have to worry about oil within 10 years. It would be even better if Chinese companies can enter the East Siberian oil fields. gone."
Su Cheng smiled strangely. China in 03 was China that joined the WTO. The resource consumption at that time could scare the decision-makers in 93 to death.
Qi Meng's eyes were so poisonous, seeing that Su Cheng's face was different, he turned his head to think.
At this time, the officials of CSSC began to entertain the leaders to visit.
Su Zhenguo walked in front with a smile, looking amiable.
Su Cheng couldn't steal the scenery of Jiangnan Shipyard, so he naturally fell behind.
After a while, Qi Meng followed and asked in a low voice: "Su Dong, let's talk in private, what do you think of the Anda Line?"
Su Cheng and him have been in a friendly relationship for several years. He smiled and said, "To be honest, I find it very difficult."
"You, Su Dong, don't seem like a person who is afraid of difficulties." Qi Meng praised him gently.
Su Cheng smiled: "Russia's political situation is unstable, and this kind of difficulty is something I don't want to deal with."
Qi Meng was thoughtful, and said: "If there is no oil pipeline, Russian oil will not be transported into the country."
"Based on domestic consumption, we can buy from the international market."
"That won't work. National energy security cannot be underestimated. To buy oil from the international market, you have to go through the Strait of Malacca. According to our estimates, by 10 years, more than 30% of the oil we need will be transported through the Strait of Malacca. New sources of oil must be opened up."
Su Cheng looked at Qi Meng sympathetically, and thought: It's a good idea, but it's a pity that it's still an underestimate.
No one or any institution can estimate China's steady and rapid development for several years.Even the Chinese government itself cannot guarantee or predict it.
Therefore, Qi Meng and the others made their models according to the so-called high-speed growth rate of 3% or 4%, which is common abroad. The later the estimated time, the more mistakes and omissions will inevitably occur.
By 10, China needs not 30% of the oil transported through the Strait of Malacca, but more than 60%.
Even if Russia's oil pipelines are opened, there will be too much crude oil required, and fundamental changes cannot occur after all.
In 1993, Chinese people would be amazed to see hundreds of workers riding motorcycles.
In the future, employees of central enterprises will all be able to afford a private car, so how much oil consumption will increase.
However, Qi Meng's idea is good, Sioux City also hopes to ensure China's energy security, but judging from the experience of hindsight, in 10 years, no country in the world can guarantee absolute energy security.
The United States can't do it, China can't do it, Japan can't do it.Even the oil-producing countries themselves can't do it... Due to the lack of refining equipment, they often need to transport crude oil abroad and buy refined oil.
The more Su Cheng thought about it, the weirder his expression became.
Qi Meng looked at him, his mind became uncertain, and he didn't ask: "If I asked you to do it, how would you do it?"
Su Cheng couldn't help laughing: "This topic is too big."
Qi Meng thinks so too, even if people know, it's hard to say.So he smirked twice and lowered his head.
At this moment, Sioux City suddenly spoke up, saying, "Not talking about national energy security, but just talking about oil development, I'm leaning towards the Caspian Sea oil circle, and the China-Kazakhstan or China-Arab oil pipelines."
"Caspian Sea?" Qi Meng immediately searched his memory.The Caspian oil circle includes Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan, all of which were former Soviet Union states.But unlike Russian oil fields such as Siberia, these countries encourage foreign investment.
"It's just..." Qi Meng asked uncertainly: "Judging from the exploration of the former Soviet Union, the oil in the Caspian Sea is at risk of being depleted."
Hearing what he said, Su Cheng was overjoyed, and said with a smile: "In another 50 years, the oil in the Caspian Sea will not be exhausted."
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