Special Action Team Detective Records
Chapter 7 Bold Assumptions
Seeing Emily's embarrassment, Zhang Zhiguo said: "Don't be too embarrassing. As the saying goes, three cobblers are better than Zhuge Liang. There are so many of us, and they are all smart people. There is no way out. Now it's time for you to experience the collective It's time for wisdom. Of course, if there is something wrong, you still need to correct me, after all, you are an expert in this field."
Zhang Zhiguo invited everyone to sit together, "Everyone understands the situation of this case, the most important thing now is to narrow the scope and catch the murderer as soon as possible, everyone is an elite in this field, if you have any ideas, please share them. "
"I went to the psychological counselor Zhou Guoping with Emily today. Although there was no breakthrough, there was a bold hypothesis." Kerry looked at Emily, and Emily nodded to him to encourage him to continue. "At the very beginning of the case, it was concluded that this was a premeditated murder, and now it has been confirmed that someone was doing hypnotic murder experiments. The murderer did not choose the victim at random, so how did he choose the victim? Now suppose the murderer is from the In Zhou Guoping's consultation room, if the victims were selected from the visitors, the scope of the murderer would be greatly narrowed. What is missing now is the news from Zhou Guoping's side. Once it is confirmed that these victims are all from that consultation room, then arrest It's easy to stop the murderer."
"The assumption is good. The problem is that there is no evidence to prove that the person is in Zhou Guoping's consulting room. If we wait for Zhou Guoping's news, once this assumption is proved to be wrong and we are still analyzing it, I am afraid that there will be more victims. who." Zhang Chao raised a question.For a while, everyone was lost in thought. "I have an idea, everyone can think about it." Emily broke the silence.
"Now we can divide our forces into two groups. One part will be followed up according to Kerry's vision. This will be easier. The other part will be profiled based on the existing information, but how far we can go and the probability of success is not very good. Grasp it. It requires everyone's joint efforts. But this is not correct from a scientific point of view, and it can only be used as a reference and not as a basis." The news from the side proves that the assumption is wrong, and we have other profiles to narrow the encirclement and buy time." Kou Lei first agreed after listening to Emily's words.Everyone also said that even if there are fewer clues now, the success of profiling is not great, but it is better than sitting and waiting.
Just do it, and several people from the practical group took out the previous materials and homework prepared by themselves. Emily admired what everyone had prepared. Although they were not professionals, they were all prepared. They deserved to be elites, and they never fought unprepared battles.Very good, at least everyone has a certain understanding of profiling, and it is not troublesome to explain it, and the chance of success will be greater if it is actually operated.
Emily first explained the basic definition to everyone, and some of her own experience, and also shared the serial murder case she once solved with her teammates, as a textbook for laymen who are doing profiling for the first time.
Profile is also a term that has emerged in the United States in the last 30 years, just like serial killers.It has never been in the ascendant, that is, for a short period of time. To paraphrase Robert K. Ressler, it is not a science but an art, although it has begun to mature and has its own set The theoretical system is still very immature, and psychology has only flourished for half a century.
Listening to Emily's explanation, everyone was seriously taking notes. Only Zhang Chao was completely silent, and seemed to be completely immersed in Emily's case. He didn't come back to his senses until Emily's explanation came to an end.
"It's really wonderful. It's the first time I know that the case can still be solved like this. If it can be fully implemented, it will save a lot of manpower and material resources, and it can solve the case as soon as possible and reduce the number of victims."
"It's still very difficult to implement, at least there is a big problem with the staffing. How can there be so many psychologists sitting in the town? There are few people, and even fewer people study criminal psychology. It's really whimsical." Kou Lei looked at Zhang Chao with contempt and said.
"Hehe, Zhang Chao's wish is good. Don't always discourage his enthusiasm. It will affect his growth. And he has been doing field work all the time. Maybe he doesn't understand these things, so don't blame him. Yes." Seeing that Kou Lei and Zhang Chao were about to quarrel again, Yan Bin immediately smoothed things over.
Emily looked at Zhang Chao and Kou Lei, and intuitively thought that there was a problem between these two people.Kou Lei always seems to be looking for troubles for Zhang Chao, and Zhang Chao will sometimes refute, but most of the time he is acquiescing or conniving. Psychologists are curious about everything and study all interesting phenomena. The spring of continuous development of psychology, but members of bau cannot profile each other, which will affect the cooperation between members. Emily had to give up her interest and not explore this phenomenon.
It's not just emily who is curious about this, other people are also curious.Although it is impossible to ask clearly in person, this does not prevent everyone from gossiping behind their backs. Who says men don't gossip, men gossip the most.Because men are intuitive creatures, they not only know how to gossip, but also put them into action. This is why gossip reporters are mostly men. They can satisfy the nature of men’s gossip, and they can also vent their excess curiosity and hormones.
Kerry once wanted to study it, but Emily found out and stopped him, so now it's just on the level of gossip, and no one knows the reason.No, maybe Zhang Zhiguo knew.Everyone's thoughts were surprisingly similar, and they all looked at Zhang Zhiguo, only to see Zhang Zhiguo remained expressionless and continued to study the case.This further affirmed everyone's thoughts, Zhang Zhiguo must know something.It's just that now is not the time, so I have to suppress my curiosity and put all my thoughts on solving the case.
"Okay, Emily has explained it a bit, and if you have any thoughts on the case, please let me know." Zhang Zhiguo packed up his notes and looked at everyone and said.
"Well, let's talk about it first. Emily and I both study criminal psychology. If we say something, it will seriously affect everyone's thinking. Let's talk about it last." Kerry discussed with Emily and felt that it would be better It is better for others to speak first, and brainstorming is much better than respecting one person's ideas.
Zhang Zhiguo thought about it and thought it made sense, so he agreed.What we are facing now is that three laymen are going to start their first profile in life, and everyone is very nervous.After all, Yan Bin is a person who has experienced big scenes. Although he was very nervous, he still spoke calmly, "Then I'll throw bricks and attract jade. This is my first time. If it's not good, please don't hit me too hard."
Emily was amused by Yan Bin's tone, and said with a smile: "No, you can follow your own thinking, profiling is a subjective guess, although it is supported by theories, it is still a profiler thoughts." With Emily's reassurance, Yan Bin began to speak out his thoughts boldly.
Zhang Zhiguo invited everyone to sit together, "Everyone understands the situation of this case, the most important thing now is to narrow the scope and catch the murderer as soon as possible, everyone is an elite in this field, if you have any ideas, please share them. "
"I went to the psychological counselor Zhou Guoping with Emily today. Although there was no breakthrough, there was a bold hypothesis." Kerry looked at Emily, and Emily nodded to him to encourage him to continue. "At the very beginning of the case, it was concluded that this was a premeditated murder, and now it has been confirmed that someone was doing hypnotic murder experiments. The murderer did not choose the victim at random, so how did he choose the victim? Now suppose the murderer is from the In Zhou Guoping's consultation room, if the victims were selected from the visitors, the scope of the murderer would be greatly narrowed. What is missing now is the news from Zhou Guoping's side. Once it is confirmed that these victims are all from that consultation room, then arrest It's easy to stop the murderer."
"The assumption is good. The problem is that there is no evidence to prove that the person is in Zhou Guoping's consulting room. If we wait for Zhou Guoping's news, once this assumption is proved to be wrong and we are still analyzing it, I am afraid that there will be more victims. who." Zhang Chao raised a question.For a while, everyone was lost in thought. "I have an idea, everyone can think about it." Emily broke the silence.
"Now we can divide our forces into two groups. One part will be followed up according to Kerry's vision. This will be easier. The other part will be profiled based on the existing information, but how far we can go and the probability of success is not very good. Grasp it. It requires everyone's joint efforts. But this is not correct from a scientific point of view, and it can only be used as a reference and not as a basis." The news from the side proves that the assumption is wrong, and we have other profiles to narrow the encirclement and buy time." Kou Lei first agreed after listening to Emily's words.Everyone also said that even if there are fewer clues now, the success of profiling is not great, but it is better than sitting and waiting.
Just do it, and several people from the practical group took out the previous materials and homework prepared by themselves. Emily admired what everyone had prepared. Although they were not professionals, they were all prepared. They deserved to be elites, and they never fought unprepared battles.Very good, at least everyone has a certain understanding of profiling, and it is not troublesome to explain it, and the chance of success will be greater if it is actually operated.
Emily first explained the basic definition to everyone, and some of her own experience, and also shared the serial murder case she once solved with her teammates, as a textbook for laymen who are doing profiling for the first time.
Profile is also a term that has emerged in the United States in the last 30 years, just like serial killers.It has never been in the ascendant, that is, for a short period of time. To paraphrase Robert K. Ressler, it is not a science but an art, although it has begun to mature and has its own set The theoretical system is still very immature, and psychology has only flourished for half a century.
Listening to Emily's explanation, everyone was seriously taking notes. Only Zhang Chao was completely silent, and seemed to be completely immersed in Emily's case. He didn't come back to his senses until Emily's explanation came to an end.
"It's really wonderful. It's the first time I know that the case can still be solved like this. If it can be fully implemented, it will save a lot of manpower and material resources, and it can solve the case as soon as possible and reduce the number of victims."
"It's still very difficult to implement, at least there is a big problem with the staffing. How can there be so many psychologists sitting in the town? There are few people, and even fewer people study criminal psychology. It's really whimsical." Kou Lei looked at Zhang Chao with contempt and said.
"Hehe, Zhang Chao's wish is good. Don't always discourage his enthusiasm. It will affect his growth. And he has been doing field work all the time. Maybe he doesn't understand these things, so don't blame him. Yes." Seeing that Kou Lei and Zhang Chao were about to quarrel again, Yan Bin immediately smoothed things over.
Emily looked at Zhang Chao and Kou Lei, and intuitively thought that there was a problem between these two people.Kou Lei always seems to be looking for troubles for Zhang Chao, and Zhang Chao will sometimes refute, but most of the time he is acquiescing or conniving. Psychologists are curious about everything and study all interesting phenomena. The spring of continuous development of psychology, but members of bau cannot profile each other, which will affect the cooperation between members. Emily had to give up her interest and not explore this phenomenon.
It's not just emily who is curious about this, other people are also curious.Although it is impossible to ask clearly in person, this does not prevent everyone from gossiping behind their backs. Who says men don't gossip, men gossip the most.Because men are intuitive creatures, they not only know how to gossip, but also put them into action. This is why gossip reporters are mostly men. They can satisfy the nature of men’s gossip, and they can also vent their excess curiosity and hormones.
Kerry once wanted to study it, but Emily found out and stopped him, so now it's just on the level of gossip, and no one knows the reason.No, maybe Zhang Zhiguo knew.Everyone's thoughts were surprisingly similar, and they all looked at Zhang Zhiguo, only to see Zhang Zhiguo remained expressionless and continued to study the case.This further affirmed everyone's thoughts, Zhang Zhiguo must know something.It's just that now is not the time, so I have to suppress my curiosity and put all my thoughts on solving the case.
"Okay, Emily has explained it a bit, and if you have any thoughts on the case, please let me know." Zhang Zhiguo packed up his notes and looked at everyone and said.
"Well, let's talk about it first. Emily and I both study criminal psychology. If we say something, it will seriously affect everyone's thinking. Let's talk about it last." Kerry discussed with Emily and felt that it would be better It is better for others to speak first, and brainstorming is much better than respecting one person's ideas.
Zhang Zhiguo thought about it and thought it made sense, so he agreed.What we are facing now is that three laymen are going to start their first profile in life, and everyone is very nervous.After all, Yan Bin is a person who has experienced big scenes. Although he was very nervous, he still spoke calmly, "Then I'll throw bricks and attract jade. This is my first time. If it's not good, please don't hit me too hard."
Emily was amused by Yan Bin's tone, and said with a smile: "No, you can follow your own thinking, profiling is a subjective guess, although it is supported by theories, it is still a profiler thoughts." With Emily's reassurance, Yan Bin began to speak out his thoughts boldly.
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