2050 superpower

Chapter 16 India: We will copy everything in China (5)
Although the Cold War is over, the law of the jungle that preys on the weak has become the law of the human world, and the civilized world is no longer civilized.Therefore, in Asia, it is better to "turn hostility into friendship" and form alliances with each other to win the respect of the world, rather than desperately fighting among weak countries and letting the strong countries "fishermen benefit".

Nixon held Mao Zedong's hand and said: "Together we can change the world." Today, we can say: India and China together can change the world.These words are not false. On December 2009, 12, the World Climate Change Conference was held in Copenhagen, Denmark.As the only strong force in the world, the United States naturally wants to take the lead, but it did not expect that the third world countries will join hands this time. The most important thing is that China and India will join hands to catch the United States by surprise.At this conference, the United States arrogantly demanded that China's emission reduction must be subject to international inspection.Regarding this unreasonable request from the United States, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, who personally participated in the World Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen, believed that this was extreme discrimination against China, so he twice refused to participate in the conference attended by Obama.Wen Jiabao's absence finally made Obama understand that without China's support, the conference would come to an end without a problem, and it would be difficult for him to face the pressure from the domestic public.Therefore, when Obama learned that Wen Jiabao was meeting with the leaders of India, South Africa, and Brazil to coordinate positions, Obama ignored the most basic diplomatic etiquette and rushed straight to the meeting, and finally the United States made concessions.Since then, the United States has kept this hatred in mind and waited for an opportunity to retaliate against China.And those third world countries that joined forces to fight against the United States and Western developed countries, after the meeting ended, the music ended and they entered a state of non-alignment again.

"Never forgetting the past is the guide for the future." As long as India abandons the "non-alignment" policy and makes friends widely, then the "dream of a great power" is not impossible, but very likely to be realized.

§§§Section [-] China can do it, why can't India?
Many observers believe that the United States will remain the sole superpower in the world for some time to come.This statement is true.However, American scholars further said that in the process of global governance, apart from the United States, no other countries and organizations have been able to exert extensive and lasting influence.This sentence is a bit blind, ignoring the facts.If it is really what this scholar said, then it will be impossible for developing countries to play an effective role in future international politics and global governance.

Now the more fashionable words are "unipolar world", "unilateral world", and even "unilateral world order", which sounds scary, as if only the United States is the master of the world, and other countries are slaves of the United States .

In fact, there can be unilateral hegemony in the world, but there cannot be a unilateral world.The so-called unipolar world is only a transient phenomenon in the historical transition and cannot become a steady state.Although the United States is now in its prime, not all countries are obsessed with it: former allies have begun to say "no" to the United States; Asia, which was at the mercy of others in the past, is not a place where the United States willfully rampage and exert its power. In the joint military exercise between the United States and South Korea, the United States has to consider China's feelings about the scale of the exercise, especially the scale of the exercise in the Yellow Sea.Although the United States has threatened North Korea with military force, former President Carter has no choice but to go to North Korea in the face of his country's nationals being detained by North Korea. In the name of the United States government, he apologized for the illegal entry of American citizens into North Korea and promised that similar incidents will not happen again. And it's over.Although the United States lost face, it still insisted that Carter was a "private, humanitarian, and unofficial trip with the sole purpose of bringing back Gomez."

The current situation is very clear. After the United States withdrew its troops from Iraq, it swung its sword to Asia.Faced with such a situation, whether China and India will continue to fight each other or jointly confront the enemy is the key for Southeast Asia to avoid the mistakes of the Middle East.To be precise, it depends on India's attitude and policies.

India, like China, is both an ancient civilization and a developing country, as well as a neighboring country.Historically, India, like China, has a history of being invaded and humiliated by Western powers.Chinese culture is imbued with Indian culture, such as "Dagan World", "Installation", "Mantra", "Three Lives and Fortunes" in Chinese vocabulary, etc., all come from Indian Buddhist terms.China and India have a traditional close relationship and should work together to seek common development.But things backfired.With the growth of India's economy, its national power has gradually increased, and India's "dream of a great power" has become more inflated. It has created a "China threat theory" and imagined China as an enemy; , build aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines, etc., and serve as pawns for Europe and the United States to check and balance China.

In recent years, the international academic community has compared China and India from different angles. In the comparison, while admitting that China's development is indeed a miracle, they have turned their attention to the development of another world power, India.Scholars in India are not getting carried away with narcissism and self-love in the face of the US and Europe's flattery, but are reflecting.

The famous Indian geopolitician M. D．Professor Narapat once said: "I must admit that, as some Chinese scholars have pointed out, Indians have mixed feelings about China. In the 20s, China's economic aggregate was only half of India's. In the 70s, In the 20s, India’s economy was half that of China’s. Some people were not happy about it. But India’s not growing fast enough is not because China’s growing fast, and we should learn from history.”

Concerning the US media's prediction that "a major event in the next 10 years is that China and India will form a dragon-elephant alliance", Professor Narapat said: "I told my Chinese friends five years ago that China India and India should join hands to negotiate the prices of energy and materials with the world."

Regarding the relationship between China and the Asian Union, Professor Narapat said: "At present, there are two voices in the world, one believes that an Asian Union should be established that excludes China, and the other believes that China should be included, such as Southeast Asia. And Central Asian countries. My opinion is that if China can continue to develop at the current speed for 10 years, after 10 years, it is impossible for any Asian complex to exclude China." India's "Business Standard" published on May 2010, 5 A columnist article, in which the author said that when India’s industrial production capacity is far from meeting domestic demand, blindly relying on Chinese companies is a practice of drinking poison to quench thirst. We can only learn from China with an open mind, improve industrial support policies, protect and develop Only domestic industries can ensure long-term development; the easiest and feasible way for India to improve its domestic industry support policies is to learn from China.

China can do it, why can't India?This question makes India very angry.First of all, there are many political forces in India, which restrict each other and form an internal system of checks and balances.Such "checks and balances" make India's development encounter domestic resistance from time to time.In stark contrast, the Chinese government's policies and implementation have shown unity of will.Secondly, although the Indian navy has an aircraft carrier, and the air force has the most advanced MiG fighters, it can be said that the Indian army is already one of the most sophisticated troops in Asia, and its military influence extends beyond China's borders. outside, but the West is not worried.The reason for this is that Pakistan is in crisis, exposing the pressure to exacerbate the threat India faces: Nepal is also in separatist turmoil; and Sri Lanka is embroiled in a civil war with the Tamil Tigers.All of these allow India to focus on neighboring countries and regions, and will not pose a threat to Western countries.In the end, the United States, the European Union, and Japan support India, hoping that India will become a bridgehead for them to check and balance China, and achieve the balanced world they want while doing nothing.Therefore, although India is proud, it needs the support of Western countries and the United States and Russia, so it is in great pain and is swayed by others.China is not the case. Although Western countries are terrified of China’s rise, they chased and intercepted China, intending to subdue China, but China did not succumb to this. As the world’s second largest economy, Western countries dare not go too far. China's blockade of China has been tightened and loosened.

The current state of India's culture has also affected its development.Although China, like India, is also a multi-ethnic country, all ethnic groups are under the leadership of Chinese culture, with a relatively strong national consciousness and more national cohesion than India.India is not the case. Although there is a single traditional culture now, the population structure of India is mainly divided by language, religion and caste system.

Sovereignty disputes between India and neighboring countries have become an inextricable rope around its neck.Originally in the territorial dispute, China should be India's biggest enemy, and the world also sees it this way.However, India can't even handle Pakistan, and it has become more and more passive, and has no time to take care of China.Pakistan's GDP is less than one-tenth of India's, but he dares to fight with India.When India claimed that the entire Kashmir was Indian territory, the two wars against Kashmir severely damaged India's vitality, but they still gained nothing. Instead, Kashmir was forced to clamor to belong to Pakistan, which made India lose face.What's more, for a period of time, at least seven states in India were clamoring for independence.Seeing these scenes, it is not difficult for us to imagine its chaotic procedures.Nothing like this has ever happened in China. Even in China’s past civil wars, the opposing KMT and the Communist Party fought bloody rivers of blood, and even though the Kuomintang was shrunk to Taiwan, both sides insisted on the position of only one China.

Although India is a high-tech economic country compared to China, its computer software industry is world-renowned.However, such a high-tech economic country actually has a much lower level of technology than China.At the same time, politically, he claims to be the largest democratic country in the world, but democracy has not brought him any benefits, but has suffered greatly from it.Therefore, Lee Kuan Yew, who has always adhered to the "good government theory", said that Indians claim to be the largest democratic country in the world, and they can cater to the tastes of Westerners, but they don't care what benefits it brings to them.In this kind of democracy, India has been betrayed time and time again by the West. First, there was the India-Pakistan nuclear conflict in 1988, and then there was the joint construction of nuclear reactors between the United States and India, and the joint manufacturing and purchase of aerospace technology and aircraft from Russia. They have been tricked countless times.China, on the other hand, has the foundation of independence and self-reliance in the past, and it is difficult to be restrained by foreign countries.

When Indians think of China, which is developing faster than themselves, they are very jealous.Although he is an ancient civilization like China, has a glorious past, and is also known as one of the "BRIC countries" by the world like China, Indians are happy no matter what.India always believes that "whatever China has, India must have; what China does not have, India must have".When hearing the world's admiration for China, India felt very uncomfortable, so in the sour atmosphere, it published an article titled "Towards China" in India's "Daily News and Analysis" on June 2009, 6. The hype is too high," the article said: "People in deep despair seize on the silver lining. This may help explain the ecstasy that even the slightest sign of economic recovery triggers when the world is hit hard by economic crisis. If this gloomy hope is amplified by the 'China factor', as is often the case in a world that looks to China to carry the burden, it can be blown into the air."

China's attitude towards India is completely opposite. It has never made irresponsible remarks to India, and has made great efforts to make friends with India.For China's generosity, can India do it?If you can't do it, then you can know - China can do it, why can't India.

(End of this chapter)