Thunder Strikes Back

Chapter 69 Confused
The latest reconnaissance satellite photos were quickly sent to the intelligence analysis center in western China. Lin Huaisheng is now in charge of part of the intelligence analysis work. After he handed over the analysis and judgment of his team's comprehensive intelligence, there was no news as before, maybe The senior military officers didn't pay much attention to these snowflake-like analysis reports.Thinking of this really chilled him.

It has been almost half a month, and Lin Huaisheng's teacher, Major General Xu Jingzhe, still hasn't appeared, but Lin Huaisheng received a call from the major general.The major general only said a few words on the phone, the first thing was to tell him to guard against arrogance and impetuosity, Lin Huaisheng said it in a daze, he thought that he had been cautious all his life, how had he ever had the two problems of arrogance and impetuosity?The second point, the major general told him to be prepared and ready to go south for research at any time.However, it did not say where to investigate.Southern Tibet?Aksai Chin?Or go back to Pakistan?Before he could ask any further questions, the phone hung up.This phone call was different from the best result Lin Huaisheng expected, and the worst result predicted. It seemed to be a brief nonsense, but at least the content was generally positive.

In early May, everyone in the world guessed that there would be a ground conflict between India and Pakistan this month.What's more, many people even circled the scale and location of Pakistan.If you put most of the judgments of international observers on a map, you can find that there is a great overlap between the various viewpoints.First of all, most of them think that Pakistan will lose a piece of land of 5 to 10 square kilometers because of this conflict, that is to say, the territory that can be controlled by a few highlands or a mountain.Second, they believe that this area is in the south or north of the actual control line in Kashmir.The opinions of the analysts yield a little analysis from this.One thinks that the location of the attack will be in the northern part of Kasur, judging from the situation. In the last conflict, India gained a piece of new territory in this area, but it also created a salient area. If India takes action in this area, it can be wiped out. The salient part of the peace control line is very reasonable from a military point of view.But some critics say that such an attack will pay a very high price in the face of heavy troops in Lahore.

Another view is that India will obviously start from the Siachen Glacier in the north to completely capture the entire glacier. This is the commanding height of the entire Kashmir Line of Control, which benefits the most in the long run, and so far, most of the Air Force firefights are in that area.But there are also opponents who believe that it is too close to China, and India will not mess around in that area without considering political factors.

In any case, the last two views were reconciled in the end, and most people tend to judge that India will attack in two or three directions at the same time, pass the assessment, and finally make a key breakthrough in a certain area that is more feasible militarily, and then, Just like the previous conflicts, stop when enough is enough.

Lin Huaisheng reads these comments every day.He acknowledged that the so-called offense would likely be one of those versions if Pasade remained as Army chief of staff.Of course, various inconspicuous predictions are pouring in all over the world. Even financial commentators who don’t know much about military affairs dare to judge on TV that the conflict will lead to the relationship between South Asia and the Indian Ocean. The tension will definitely be eased in June, at that time, the international precious metal prices will inevitably fall, while the crude oil price will not be greatly affected.

Is that really the case?Lin Huaisheng asked himself this question at least twenty times a day.He was very worried that his professional analysis ability was not as good as that of a futures analyst in the end.But sometimes, the so-called analysis is a gamble, which is very close to buying big and buying small. In particular, Admiral Pasade is still vigorously patrolling various fronts and talking and taking photos with officers at all levels. old guy.

What puzzled Lin Huaisheng was that in recent days new intelligence (mainly satellite photos) revealed a high level of confusion, with complex movements of Indian troops on every front, including at the Dwarka naval base. The marines were assembled.Is this false intimidation, or diversion of attention?The mobilization of the three Indian armored divisions has been identified, and they are all heading north. At least the positions of the division headquarters that have been detected are all in the north of Punjab.In the desert area of ​​the entire central region, the Indian Army has also stepped up its vigilance and added some second-line motorized troops and paramilitary personnel, but it is relatively quiet and there is no sign of attack.

Lin Huaisheng didn't know that a few days ago, an Indian lieutenant general accurately predicted that these true and false transfers would make the staff who interpreted the intelligence at a loss. Now, these complicated appearances are making Lin Huaisheng's head bigger and bigger. .

"The situation is really complicated, isn't it? What's the real intention?" Staff Officer Ding appeared beside him and asked for advice.

"That's right, behind the dazzling transfer, there must be a purpose."

"Do you still think that India will launch a ground attack in an unexpected direction?"

"It's not an unexpected place. I think this place is about to qualify. In a few days, I can show you this place on the map."

"Oh?"

"In the past two days, India's new bombing operation on the Jhelum Dam has been going on. As far as I know, they dispatched elite Su-30s from the remote Bareilly base to cover them. These planes have been withdrawn for this purpose. In the Siachen Glacier dispatch, this is abnormal. In addition, at least 3 squadrons of MiG 27 participated in the bombing. These attacks are obviously strategic. On the surface, it is just a tactical attack by the Air Force, but it is really waiting for the dam It must be the Indian Army that breaks."

"But to this day, the dam is still rock solid."

"It's riddled with holes, and Pakistan has gradually given up on defense. It will soon be clear."

"Do you think this is a sign that the Indian Army is attacking from somewhere in the south?"

"Hey, that's right." Lin Huaisheng said with a sigh.

"Could it be that the Pakistani staff cannot interpret it? I think they understand the actual situation better?" Staff Ding carefully negated Lin Huaisheng. In his opinion, although Lin Huaisheng knew these areas very well, in fact, his extreme views had made It became a lonely family.

"Of course they can see part of India's intentions, but they just made a completely wrong interpretation?"

"Tell me."

Lin Huaisheng sat up straight and began to explain his views: "From the current situation, Pakistan obviously already knows that the purpose of the Indian Air Force's sabotage of the dam is to destroy Pakistan's road network from south to north. This section is in a low-lying area and will be divided into many sections by the east-west direction of the flood, so they have also taken action."

"Yeah, it just seems that they are speeding up the transfer of troops from the south to the north. It's just the opposite of your analysis."

"You are right. Obviously, what they are worried about now is that after the road is cut off by the flood, they will lose the ability to maneuver north and south, so they mobilized troops from Karachi in advance." Lin Huaisheng said.

"However, they seem to be right in their judgment? This is not always the case in previous wars. So the disputed areas are all in the north."

(End of this chapter)