psychochemist

Chapter 103 The Prisoner's Dilemma
Yu Fan was still very surprised by the man with the glasses who opened his mouth. Generally, in such a stressful environment, few suspects would act like this.This man with glasses is a typical dominant personality, wanting to take the initiative in any situation, especially in objectively unfavorable situations, this personality will be exposed more obviously.

Yu Fan ignored him, walked to his stool, dragged it out, sat down, slowly opened his notebook, tapped the pen on the table, and said, "Then let's start."

The man with glasses intentionally made a very relaxed expression, and said, "Leader, I think there must be some misunderstanding between us, do you think it's true?" While talking, he shook the handcuffs on his hands.

Yu Fan was unmoved: "Tell me, what do you know, tell me everything you know."

The man with glasses still had an innocent expression on his face: "Comrade, I'm just a salesperson, I really don't know anything, what exactly do you want me to say?"

Yu Fan: "Who ordered you to come here to engage in this scam?"

The man with glasses: "I really don't know that this is a trick to deceive people. I am also very innocent. I just follow the procedure."

Yu Fan: "Who ordered it?"

Glasses man: "Boss."

Yu Fan: "Who is the boss?"

The man with glasses: "Jiang Ran hydrocarbon."

Yu Fan: "How old are you, and what are your characteristics?"

Man with glasses: "About 60 years old? You can't tell, because he has a big beard, so he can't tell his age."

Yu Fan was surprised, this feature was very similar to Chen Taizhou.Yu Fan took out a photo of Chen Taizhou and asked the man in glasses, "Take a closer look to see if it's him?"

The man with glasses: "The figure is about the same, but the face can't be seen clearly. I haven't met our boss a few times, and he is usually mysterious."

Yu Fan: "Where is your boss now?"

The man with glasses: "It should be in LZ City now."

Yu Fan: "Aren't you from XA?"

Man with glasses: "How do you know we came from XA?"

Yu Fan: "Don't ask so many questions, I'm asking you now! Fraud of public or private property, if the amount is relatively large, shall be sentenced to fixed-term imprisonment of not more than three years, short-term detention or public surveillance, and shall also be fined; if the amount is huge or there are other serious If the amount involved is particularly huge or there are other particularly serious circumstances, the sentence is to be not less than ten years or life imprisonment and a fine or confiscation of property. It is already well known, and it depends on your cooperation level, and then your sentencing will be determined. If you can perform crimes and perform meritorious service, the matter will not be so serious."

The expression of the man with glasses was no longer so relaxed, he asked: "Our matter is not so serious, is it?"

Yu Fan: "Whether the sentence is severe depends on your performance, and it also depends on the performance of your companion."

The man with glasses began to look a little anxious: "Why do you want to see my companion's performance?"

Yu Fan: "We are based on the principle of being frank and lenient and resisting strictness. If you three are the first to recruit everything, whoever can get the maximum reduction in sentence, relatively, the person who recruits late will get the maximum punishment." Full prison time because your information is worthless."

After listening to Yu Fan's explanation, the man with glasses began to lower his head. From his expression, it could be seen that he was hesitating. He was thinking about whether his other two accomplices would confess in advance?If you confess in advance, you will lose a lot.But if none of the three of them confessed, Yu Fan and the others would not be able to ask anything, and they should not be able to convict serious crimes.

In fact, in the other two rooms at the same time, Chen Xingyang and Guo Na also said the same thing to the other two suspects. At this moment, the three suspects were struggling with how to choose in three different rooms.How will the partner choose.

This is the classic mental model - the prisoner's dilemma!
The prisoner's dilemma refers to a special game between two captured prisoners, illustrating why it is difficult to maintain cooperation even when cooperation is beneficial to both parties.The Prisoner's Dilemma is a representative example of a non-zero-sum game in game theory, reflecting that the individual's best choice is not the group's best choice.Although the predicament itself is only a model, similar situations frequently occur in reality in terms of price competition, environmental protection, and interpersonal relationships.

In 1950, Merrill Flood and Melvin Dresher of the Rand Corporation of the United States formulated the theory of related dilemmas, which was later developed by the consultant Albert Tucker in a prisoner way. Elaborated, and named "Prisoner's Dilemma".Two people who conspired in the crime were put in prison and could not communicate with each other.If neither person denounces the other, each will be imprisoned for one year due to uncertain evidence; if one denounces and the other remains silent, the informer will be released immediately for meritorious service, and the silent one will be imprisoned for ten years for non-cooperation; If they expose each other, both of them will be sentenced to eight years in prison because of the solid evidence.Since the prisoners cannot trust each other, they tend to denounce each other rather than keep silent.

The same psychological conclusion is also reflected in the trio of men with glasses, and it takes only a short thought for the three of them to actively expose each other.

In Yu Fan's interrogation room, the man in glasses explained everything about them.

The man with glasses: "Originally, I was an XA training company, specializing in training for enterprises. By chance, I learned about their water purifier project, so I went to apply for their salesman. In fact, we knew it was a scam at first. The teacher who trained us is our boss Jiang Rantan. At first we set up a stall in the family area of ​​XA urban area, but after the crackdown, we moved to the surrounding urban villages and county towns. Later, these places slowly The land is also under strict control, so we came to LZ to explore the market with Boss Jiang. In fact, Boss Jiang seems to have a partner, but we have never met. When we came to LZ, we kept a low-key attitude and first Start the promotion from the surrounding villages and towns, encircle the cities from the countryside, it’s almost done, we will develop agents here, and then we will continue to withdraw XA.”

Yu Fan asked, "So your Boss Jiang is also in LZ City now?"

The man with glasses nodded: "Yes, he's been in LZ City recently, because in a few days we're going to hold a distributor business promotion conference in LZ City, and the conference will be quite large, so he'll have to stay here in person for a while. "

Then the man with glasses gave the contact information of their boss, Jiang Rantan, and the address of LZ City.

The man with glasses begged with a humble attitude: "Comrade policeman, that's all I know. Do you think I can be a crime and meritorious service?"

After Yu Fan lowered his head and sorted out the information, he stood up and prepared to leave, and said, "As for whether the information you provided is true, we still need to verify it before making a decision on your performance. Besides, I am not a policeman."

The man with glasses was puzzled: "Then you are?"

Yu Fan raised his head and smiled slightly: "I am a psychochemist."

　For the person who bullies you, don't hate him for being so shameless and devoid of conscience.What I really need to think about is why I am so weak that I am bullied by these people!Strengthen yourself! - ferrous hydroxide
　　
　
(End of this chapter)