Chapter 12 Humanity's last chance to dig gold (5)
在手机上购物,将是人类生活习惯的最大的改变。2011年全球移动支付金额为70亿美元,其中银行占65亿美元;2013年全球移动支付额预计将达到170亿美元,其中银行将占153亿美元。[50]
The development of mobile phone Taobao[51]
In March 2013, Mobile Taobao released the "Wireless Taobao 3 Annual E-Commerce Data Report". According to the data, as of the end of 2012, the cumulative number of users of Wireless Taobao has exceeded 2012 million, which means that 3% of my country's population has successfully Immigration to the mobile Internet, and this number is already equivalent to the total population of the world's third most populous country - the United States (22 million).Statistics show that at the end of 3.15, there were only 2010 million mobile Taobao users, and by the end of 1000, the cumulative number of wireless Taobao users had exceeded 2012 million. That is to say, in just two years, the number of mobile Taobao users has increased by a full 3 times. .

According to the data released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China, as of the end of November 2012, the number of mobile Internet users in my country has grown to 11 million, and the cumulative number of mobile Taobao users has accounted for 7.5% of China's mobile Internet users.

Among the users who visit mobile Taobao, 5700 million users have made purchases, accounting for 19% of the total users, and more than 22 items are sold through mobile Taobao every hour; an average of 928 million people search on mobile Taobao every day Commodities, the number of searches per capita reached 13.6 times. In 2012, the average monthly and daily year-on-year growth rate of mobile Taobao’s Alipay transactions exceeded 600%.

On November 2012, 11, Mobile Taobao created the annual peak of the daily Alipay transaction amount: 11 million yuan.At the same time, the number of unique visiting users on that day reached 9.4 million. For every three Taobao members who visit PC Taobao, one member uses mobile Taobao.

On November 2013, 11, the overall transaction volume of mobile Taobao Alipay reached 11 billion, which was 53.5 times that of 2012. The daily active users reached 5.6 million, and the number of single-day transactions reached 1.27 million, accounting for 3590% of the total. %.

Case
Future devices are coming

1. Samsung Galaxy Gear
Function introduction: Samsung Galaxy Gear was launched in September 2013, with a selling price of US$9, equivalent to RMB 299. Galaxy Gear uses a 1830-inch Super AMOLED screen with a resolution of 1.63×320. It can provide Internet access, send or receive calls, E-mail and messaging, storing and transmitting data information, and tracking or managing personal information, as well as functions such as calls and games.

2. Sony SmartWatch 2
功能介绍:索尼SmartWatch 2于2013年10月在美国发售,售价为199.95美元,折合人民币1220元。SmartWatch 2是1.6寸220×176屏幕,采用了可拆式表带设计(官方提供彩色表带),支持蓝牙3.0和NFC功能,具备防水功能(等级为IP57)。SmartWatch 2不支持通话功能,用户可以通过它来查看与之连接手机中的短信、日程安排、Gmail等。

3. Apple's iWatch
Function introduction: The Apple iWatch is expected to be released in 2014 and will use a flexible OLED screen.It is predicted that the iWatch will provide calling functions, built-in maps, pedometers, and health indicator sensors. At the same time, it can also display emails, IMs, and other data by connecting to a smartphone. The terminal may be equipped with an iOS system, and its battery life is 4-5 days.

4. Misfit Shine Button Sports Tracker

Function introduction: Misfit Shine is a coin-sized sports tracker, which can help you track running, swimming, cycling and other sports, and know the amount of daily exercise anytime, anywhere.Just put it on the smartphone (supports iOS5 and Android 4.0), and the data synchronization can be completed.

5. Concept phone for visual, speech and deaf people
Function introduction: The concept mobile phone for the deaf with vision and voice is to use the mobile phone as a voice-to-text converter. Whenever a deaf person receives a call, the conversation will be converted into text and displayed on a transparent screen. [52]
How to live forever in the "mobile phone"?

The mobile phone is the ultimate tool of human civilization, and we will live forever in the "mobile phone". There are two forms of this immortality:

One is that the mobile phone enters the human body, and each person's body is a mobile mobile phone that communicates with his own brain and thinking.

The second is to copy people's thinking in software, and strip them from their bodies and put them into a machine to become an immortal mobile phone man: the time is 2045.

In the early 21s, Martin Cooper, the inventor of the mobile phone, was very optimistic that before 2020, the mobile phone would be a device under the skin.

In fact, at the beginning of the 21st century, Professor Wang Zhonglin from the Georgia Institute of Technology in the United States has already proposed the possibility of nano-generators. Around 2050, using the human body to generate electricity will become a reality, and mobile phones will have an opportunity to be implanted in the human body.The mobile phone will eventually become a part of the human body, become one of the most important senses of human beings, and become one with the human body.

Case
brain liberation

The American technology website LiveScience wrote that in the near future, users can command smartphones to publish applications, send emails or adjust the volume as long as they use their thoughts.Samsung is currently experimenting with how the brain interacts with a tablet using a head-mounted EEG sensor. [53]
One day in late June 2013, scientists from Harvard and MIT, engineers from technology giants such as Google, top technologists and futurists, and some robots gathered at Lincoln Center in New York.What they want to discuss is how to liberate human beings from the bondage of the body.First of all, determine how to transplant the brain and consciousness from the body so that it can survive in the machine double, and finally determine how to upload thoughts and consciousness to the computer.

Not only this group of scientific madmen, governments of various countries have also begun to extend their "hands" into human brains. In early 2013, the European Union approved a 10 billion euro (about 13 billion U.S. dollars) 10-year human brain project, the purpose of which is to simulate the human brain on a supercomputer.U.S. President Barack Obama also announced a $54 million investment plan to fund the Human Brain Activity Mapping project to map the complex network of nerve cells and groups of nerve cells in the human brain. [[-]]
Brain in the Cloud: A Billionaire's Dream of Immortality[55]
The 32-year-old Dmitry Itskov is one of the initiators of the "2045 Future World Conference". In order to realize the dream of "immortality" in the brain, the Russian rich man launched the "2045" plan.This plan is divided into four phases: first, a human robot replica is remotely controlled through brain-computer interface technology; in the second phase, the brain is transplanted after a person's life is terminated; then, an "artificial brain" is developed, which It can store all the personality, memory and experience of a person. After a person dies, the robot avatar with an "artificial brain" will continue the individual's life.Finally, create a virtual person, which has human thinking, consciousness and emotions, but without a holographic image of a physical body, and will theoretically become an "immortal person".

Coincidentally, the year of immortality planned by Itskov also happens to be the year of the "singularity" predicted by futurist Ray Kurzweil. "By 2045, humans will reach the technological singularity and gain immortality." The chief engineer of Google explained that the so-called "singularity" is the moment when human intelligence and computer intelligence merge.Kurzweil said that in the same way that we tap the screen to look up information on our smartphones, the future brain will be able to access information collected in the cloud.For example, "downloading" the helicopter pilot manual into the brain as in "The Matrix", "technology will essentially extend the neocortex of the brain infinitely."

What's more, it won't just be the privilege of the rich.The development of mobile phones is a good proof of this point: the price of mobile phones has been reduced by more than half in 10 years, and only the rich had mobile phones at the earliest, and the functions of mobile phones were extremely limited at that time."Only the rich have the money to use immature technology," Kurzweil said with a slight sarcasm.

In Itskoff's discussion of immortality -- he's talking about digital immortality, where the brain either lives in a robotic double or is uploaded to a computer chip.

A mobile person is a mobile phone: when a person is born in the future, a "mobile phone" will be put in his mind.Thoughts and thoughts control the world, and the flowers bloom with a flash of thought, and the world is destroyed with a flash of thought.The highest state of the future - think and do it.Because the flow of thought is directly commanded through the mobile phone, without making any changes.A mobile person may have the function of a mobile phone. This view of the integration of man and machine is acceptable and understandable, but can you imagine the future: is a mobile "mobile phone" a person?
Case
Experiments in progress

USC bioengineer and neuroscientist Theodore Berger and his team have successfully replaced the hippocampus—the neural structure in the brain responsible for memory formation—with a chip in the brains of mice.It turns out that transplanted mice can have memory without the protist component.

In 2012, Israeli student Tirosh Shapira used a functional magnetic resonance imaging scanner (FMRI) in Israel to successfully control a robot at the Beziers Institute of Technology in France using his brain consciousness.Not only can the robot turn forward or backward, but it can also place a teapot at a specific location in the room.

When I told the musician Xiao Ke about these ongoing experiments, his comment was: "Scientists are crazier than artists!" In any case, in this era, mobile phones will be the latest angle for us to examine our future. are you ready?
________________________________________
[1] Financial report data of the three major operators in the first quarter of 2013.

[2] 黄龙中:《微信用户达到2.7亿,预计明年1月初突破3亿》,爱范儿网,2012年12月7日。

[3] You Wuyang: "Analysis of the Reasons Why the Number of Mobile Phone Subscribers Exceeds Fixed Lines", "People's Post and Telegraph", November 2003, 11.

[4] You Wuyang: "Analysis of the Reasons Why the Number of Mobile Phone Subscribers Exceeds Fixed Lines", "People's Post and Telegraph", November 2003, 11.

[5] 《2013年2月份通信业经济运行情况》,工业和信息化部,2013年3月21日。

[6] "Internet" is here, "Letter" is gone, will the letter leave us? ", Guangxi News Network, November 2004.

[7] "India Sends "Last Telegram", "Beijing Evening News", July 2013, 7.

[8] Liu Qi: "Samsung's First Optical Zoom Camera Phone Threatens to Replace Digital Cameras", People's Daily Online, July 2004, 7.

[9] "1600-megapixel Samsung Galaxy S4 Zoom Mobile Phone Exposure", Phoenix Technology, May 2013, 5.

[10] Camera sales data released by the Camera and Imaging Products Association (CIPA) in March 2012.

[11] "Meibaota Records Bankruptcy", "Economic Daily", February 2004, 2.

[12] "HMV's Bankruptcy Watching Records Crisis Says Goodbye to the Old Era, Survival of the Fittest", "Beijing Times", January 2013, 1.

[13] Wang Jun: "The "Life-saving Straw" of CRBT Pop Music? ", "Sichuan Daily", March 2006, 3.

[14] Xiao Ke: "Canadian government publications will all be transformed into digital versions", "China Press and Publishing News", May 2012, 5.

[15] "Philadelphia Newspapers Files for Bankruptcy Protection", Xinhua Net, February 2009, 2.

[16] "Three Influential German Newspapers Declare Bankruptcy in Succession", China News Network, December 2012, 12.

[17] Dong Wensheng: "Nearly 2012% of physical bookstores are closed, business innovation is imperative", "China Securities Journal", March 3, 9.

[18] "Comments on the Development of Digital Printing under the Situation of Shrinking Traditional Printing Industry", China Industry Research Network, September 2009, 9.

[19] Pan Xiaodong: "What Manroland Filed for Bankruptcy Protection Tells Us", "China Press and Publication News", December 2011, 12.

[20] 《2013年全球印刷业发展形势探讨分析》,中国行业研究网,2013年4月24日。

[21] Zhou Jiangong: "Chinese Paper Media Are Ushering in a Period of At least Three Years of Pain", Forbes Chinese Network, October 2013, 10.

[22] Yang Xin: "Will Tablet Computers Completely Replace Paper Textbooks?" ", People's Post and Telegraph, October 2012, 10.

[23] The first quarter SMS volume released by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

[24] PC computer sales data released by IDC on April 2013, 4.

[25] Wu Jun: "Top of the Wave", Electronic Industry Press, 2012 edition.

[26] 联想2012/2013财报,以及《第一财经日报》2013年5月14日的文章《运营商助力联想手机增长3.6倍》,作者赵楠。

[27] Clay Shirky: "Cognitive Surplus", China People's Publishing House, 2011 edition.

[28] Luo Junpeng: "Video Websites Become Competitors of TV Stations, and the Ratings of Webcasts Are Low", "Oriental Morning Post", February 2011, 2.

[29] 祖薇:《142国家4500万iPhone用户可用手机收看央视春晚》,《北京青年报》,2010年2月29日。

[30] 赵媛:《英国4G之战正式上演》,《人民邮电报》,2013年9月4日。

[31] Li Xiaofei: "iPhone 5's Sales in Korea Lost to Samsung Galaxy Note 2", World Wide Web Technology, January 2013, 1.

[32] The first quarter of 2013 smartphone sales statistics report released by Strategy Analytics, a market research organization for the communications industry and consumer technology.

[33] 宋成锋:《三星Galaxy S4手机全球销量破千万》,新华网,2013年5月23日。

[34] "2012 National Library Statistical Yearbook".

[35] "Google Influences the "E-book Explosion", "Beijing News", December 2010, 12.

[36] Statistical Yearbook published on the official website of the National Library of China.

[37] "Baidu's daily search volume reaches 50 billion times, surpassing Google", Pacific Internet, March 2013, 3.

[38] 《百度移动搜索日活跃用户量超1亿》,搜狐IT,2013年4月26日。

[39] "Internet 2012 in numbers", Pingdom, January 2013, 1.

[40] Li Xue: "iTunes annual revenue will exceed the sum of Yahoo + Facebook + Netflix", i US Stocks, May 2013, 5.

[41] Li Jianbin: "Sing it: Small applications can also develop into big industries", "Beijing Business Daily", January 2013, 1.

[42] The 31st Statistical Report on Internet Development in China released by China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC).

[43] 周璞:《腾讯:微信月活跃用户1.9亿 手机QQ达5亿》,中关村在线,2013年5月7日。

[44] 王亚菲:《宝马1系可通过手机实现短距离遥控驾驶》,《新京报》,2011年1月10日。

[45] "August Smart Door Lock: Open the Door Through Mobile App", Sina Technology, May 2013, 5.

[46] "Mobile phone can also perform iris identity authentication", "Shenzhen Business Daily", November 2006, 11.

[47] Hu Qinghua: "Handan, Hebei: The first two-dimensional code food traceability system is favored by consumers", Guangming.com, December 2012.

[48] ​​"A supermarket in Kunming scans the QR code on the traceability system of vegetables and fruits to know how many times it has applied pesticides", "Kunming Daily", May 2013, 5.

[49] 丁伟峰:《银联与中移动两巨头联手推动手机钱包大规模商用》,36氪,2013年6月13日。

[50] World Payments Report, Capgemini, 2013.

[51] 卢林嘉:《淘宝:2012年手机用户突破3亿 交易额年增长翻六倍》,DoNews,2013年3月12日。

[52] Ken Xu, "Visual Sound Mobile Phone Concept Design", Hardware sphere.
[53] "Brain control technology ushers in a spring of development: "Mind reading" may come true", Sina Science and Technology Channel, May 2013, 5.

[54] 《2045的世界什么样?》,虎嗅网,2013年6月26日。

[55] "Attention, the U.S. government is "fucking" your brain!" ", "Vista Sees the World", Issue 2013, 19.

(End of this chapter)

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