These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 19: The Shipment Market Runs Early
Step 80: Analyzing the Symptoms of Peak Shipments
When the stock price continues to rise for a period of time, it enters a crazy period, and there are more and more profit-making chips in the market, and profit-taking selling will continue to increase, and it will encounter the opposite force. When the head is formed.But before the top is formed, the range of stock price retracement caused by this kind of taking is limited.In an uptrend, the gradual increase in trading volume is very important. Once the trading volume cannot keep up, more and more profit-making orders will be thrown out, thus causing the stock price to retreat and organize. Within a certain limit, the mentality of the investing public can still maintain a state of "buying on dips".If there is a large drop in the stock price, it will awaken the risk awareness of some investors, causing them to have the idea of ​​​​closing positions at a profit and pocketing peace of mind, and this idea will inevitably lead to further pressure on the stock price, thus awakening more investors. Investors, such a cycle of public mentality can be changed, the market will peak.Therefore, staying awake at all times and calmly looking at the fluctuations of stock prices will help you see the signs of peaking in time, so as to avoid risks and keep profits.

According to trading experience, the market when the rising trend is about to peak has the following characteristics:

1.out of value

The stock price has risen too much, and the stock price of individual stocks has doubled, even reaching ten times or dozens of times. The price has obviously deviated from its intrinsic value, and the future value has been seriously overdrawn.The trading volume has increased significantly, and even sky-high volumes have appeared, but the trading volume of individual stocks has begun to shrink.With these phenomena, it means that it will not be too far from the head, and the hype ideas of retail investors should mainly focus on shipments and lightening positions.

2. K line big Yin

During the uptrend, the market is very popular, and everyone is willing to chase up and buy. Once the stock price falls back and becomes slightly cheaper, it will naturally be taken over by the market entrants who are snapping up.Therefore, during the continuation of the upward trend, there will generally not be a large negative line. If there is a large negative line on the K-line chart for one day, it means that people in the market have changed, and the power of buying and selling is forming a new contrast.Therefore, the appearance of the big Yinxian indicates that the market is not going to last long.

3.Increased amplitude

The stock price fluctuated sharply up and down. At the top of the upward trend, where the regular forces of the long and the short sides meet, the bulls have not lost their courage to buy, and the bears are busy selling in large quantities.Therefore, it will inevitably cause the stock price to fluctuate violently up and down, and the high point and low point of this fluctuation are constantly decreasing. This state has created many good short-term opportunities.However, because it is in the top area, this kind of short-term risk should also be paid attention to.

4.breakdown support

A major support level has been pierced.Generally speaking, the major support level referred to here is the price at which the total increase has fallen by 3%. As long as this important position is broken down, or even as long as the lower shadow line of the daily K-line passes through this position, it is enough to show that the investment in the market Public confidence has been shaken.Therefore, after a big rise, as long as the stock price has the strength to penetrate the support level downward, it often means that there has been a problem with the trend.

5.target achieved

The achievement of the target means that the stock price has reached the target price of the dealer. This should belong to the business secret of the dealer. It is impossible for ordinary investors to know, but investors can roughly infer based on the increase in the stock price.Simply put, when we buy a stock and use several different analysis and calculation methods to obtain a certain point, then this point is the target price.Therefore, when the stock price is close to or exceeds the predicted target position, it is time for the dealer to ship.

6.Should it go up or not?

When the technical and fundamental aspects are improving, the stock price does not rise, which is a precursor to shipments.Moreover, no matter under what circumstances, as long as the volume does not rise, it can be basically confirmed that the dealer is preparing to ship.However, sometimes the reduction in trading volume is also an obvious sign that the stock price is near the top, but the second and fourth wave adjustments in the upward trend will also cause a substantial reduction in trading volume.Therefore, the decline in trading volume is not the absolute basis for judging the formation of the top, and it must be combined with other factors for comprehensive analysis.

7.more news

There are more righteous news, more news on newspapers, TV, radio and the Internet, and it is time to prepare for shipment.During the rising process, there is generally not much news in the media, but if the positive publicity starts to increase, it means that the market maker has already started to withdraw and is about to ship.The rise of most stocks is silent, which baffles investors, but when the stock price is high, there are frequent news of good news, such as major asset restructuring or replacement, excellent distribution plan, substantial growth in performance, or transformation to high-tech.why?There is only one purpose, to cooperate with the dealer to make money.In addition, serious differences in market public opinion are also market signs of shipments.Market public opinion is a reflection of investor confidence. If there are serious differences in confidence in the market, it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend for a long time.Therefore, serious differences in public opinion are also a major feature of the market at the top.

In actual combat, if there are these signs, once the stock price falls below the key price, no matter whether the trading volume is enlarged or not, you should consider shipping.Because for many bookmakers, the early stage of shipment does not require trading volume.

As shown in the figure below, the stock price of 600469 made a huge breakthrough on September 2007, 9. In theory, there should be a rising market.As a result, it did not rise, and the stock price fell from a high level the next day, and then it did continue to plummet.This means that the form requires a rise, but the result does not rise. These are the precursors of shipments.

Move 81: Analyzing the means of the main high position distribution
The high-price area is the most ideal distribution area for dealers. After the dealers have raised the stock price, they try their best to create an optimistic atmosphere and stimulate market sentiment. Taking advantage of the active influx of retail investors, dealers continue to secretly sell goods, causing the stock price to fall. .Then, the dealer stopped selling, backhanded to go long, created a strong rebound market, and designed a beautiful technical trap. The market remained very optimistic and induced buyers to intervene, so that the dealer could continue to distribute at a higher price.At this time, the trading volume increased greatly, and most of the bargaining chips were concentrated in this area to cash out. The trading volume was very active, forming a transaction-intensive area, and setting a recent or even historical high volume.When the dealer basically completes the distribution task, the stock price enters a downward path of no return, forming a double-top pattern on the daily K-line chart.

The intention of the market maker: Due to the sharp rise in the stock price, retail investors are immersed in the joy of making profits. At this time, the market maker quietly sells, causing the stock price to stagflate and fall.When the stock price fell back to a certain position, the market makers found that there were many buyers involved, so they pulled up the stock price again.At this time, retail investors found that the stock price had risen again, and they stepped in to do long one after another. As the buying orders continued to increase and the market was very active, the dealer's bargaining chips could be cashed out at a high level.

As shown in the figure below, after the stock price of 600189 has been greatly increased, the popularity has been fully activated, and the dealer has made huge profits.Soon, the dealer quickly raised the stock price and hit a new high. With the increase of follow-up orders, the dealer took the opportunity to ship at a high level.

Move 82: Analyzing the Means of Distribution of Main Players
The median distribution stage can be divided into two types: pre-peak distribution and post-peak distribution.

1. Distribution before the peak
In the process of pulling up, the dealer will pull and send while the stock price has not yet peaked.Bankers have much more advantages than retail investors, and can understand many situations on the market. When they feel that the stock price continues to be under heavy upward pressure, they will distribute at any time to reduce their positions; or when the stock price is about to reach the target price, they will implement the distribution plan in advance.Therefore, many false appearances were created technically, such as upward breakthroughs, heavy positive lines, golden crosses, etc. The stock price did not show a sustained rise, but only kept the disk active and maintained the market atmosphere.

Because the chips in the hands of the dealer are relatively concentrated, there is no guarantee that all of them can be distributed at a high position, or because there are many unstable factors in the market, the dealer sometimes cannot complete the predetermined goal, so the dealer will gradually reduce the position in advance during the promotion process, so that As soon as possible when unexpected factors strike

Polish up all the leftover goods in the warehouse to reduce the risk of being a dealer.

2. Post-peak distribution
After the high-level distribution, the dealer still has a lot of bargaining chips in his hands. At this time, the stock price has fallen by one or several steps. At this time, the dealer will make a good form again to attract investors who intervene at high positions to cover and invest funds outside the market. field.Technically, to stabilize the important technical threshold, on the one hand, stop selling; on the other hand, actively protect the market, so that investors feel that the stock price has stopped falling, and at the same time make some typical box-shaped and arc-shaped trends, misleading investors into thinking that the stock price After the adjustment is over, another round of upward trend is about to start, so as to blindly enter, so that the dealer's distribution activities can continue.

After the previous sharp rise in the stock price, it has attracted a lot of follow-up orders, the market sentiment is high, and the market is more active.At this time, the dealer stopped raising the stock price and quietly shipped out, causing the stock price to fall.Since the dealer has a large number of chips and has not yet distributed all of them, the stock price has been blocked from falling sharply, and the stock price has been maintained at a high level to build a new technical graph.Many retail investors think that the technical form is intact and continue to hold shares, or continue to buy and do long.Unknowingly, the market makers let the stock price fall after basically completing the shipment task, causing the stock price to appear in a bear market trend.

As shown in the figure below, the stock price of 000728 peaked and fell after speculation, and then maintained a sideways trend, technically creating the illusion that it is ready to go, allowing retail investors to actively intervene, and as long as there is a market maker, the goods will be delivered.When the shipment is coming to an end, they give up protecting the market, and even deliberately smash down the market to lock retail investors at a high position.

Move 83: Analyzing the Main Low-Position Distribution Means
If the chips in the hands of the dealer are very concentrated, after the distribution of the high and middle stages, there is still a small part of the chips in the hands. Some warehouse stocks were sold at a high price regardless of the cost, in order to cash out the funds as soon as possible.

Judging from the market, the characteristics of shipments are very obvious, blatantly shown by large-scale selling orders, the stock price fell very fast, and sometimes even sold at a low price in the form of a limit-down.Sometimes the dealer uses the last bargaining chip in his hand to try his best to lower the stock price, bring the stock price back to its original shape, and prepare for the next comeback.

The purpose of the dealer to raise the stock price is to ship at a high level in order to maximize profits.Then why does the dealer distribute at a low position?The reasons may be: due to the weak strength of the banker, it is difficult to maintain the stock price trend at a high level, and the stock price has to be lowered; or the trading technique is rude, and the retail investors are noticed when they ship at a high level, which alarms the retail investors and makes the retail investors out of the market before the banker. ; or due to changes in external factors, the stock price fell.It should be noted that the "low level" mentioned here is relative to the position of the stock price at that time. When the stock price really bottomed out, this position is the middle to high level.

As shown in the figure below, after 002101 completed the post-peak distribution at the top, after several waves of declines, the stock price has fallen beyond recognition, from 30.87 yuan to 13 yuan, a drop of more than 50%, which is miserable enough.Just when retail investors intervened on "hundred dips", the market maker continued to ship out goods here, and the stock price began to fall from more than 13 yuan to more than 5 yuan before it stabilized.It can be said that "the stock price has no bottom".

Move 84: Analyze the characteristics of K-line handicap on the peak day

After the stock price has soared, it continues to rise and encounters huge resistance. At the same time, it has accumulated huge profits, and the stock price will peak and fall.Common daily K-line market opening: Opening, often opening with a limit down, and closing the market throughout the day, or continuously jumping sharply and opening low, and the gaps will not be filled in the near future, and the stock price will go down wave after wave during trading, straight up Near the lower limit price, intraday bargaining chips were loose, and the upward pressure increased significantly.In the intraday session, after a wave of upward movement in the stock price, it was soon suppressed by selling orders. The stock price showed a downward trend, basically running below the closing price of the previous day, and the rebound of the stock price was obviously suppressed by the average price of the day.At the close, the stock price tends to close at the lowest point or sub-low point, and the downward momentum is very strong.The daily K-line often appears "one" shape, "up" shape or big Yin line.Stocks with weak market makers and low degree of market control will quickly leave the bottom and enter a downward channel; stocks with strong market makers and high degree of market control will show a market head trend, forming a compound head.

Move 85: Analyzing the Handicap Characteristics of Time-sharing Trend Chart of Shipment

The characteristics of the time-sharing trend chart of shipments:
(1) Break the whole into zero.A patient dealer only sells 2000-8000 shares each time, no more than 1 shares at all. Almost all software will not count such small trading volumes as dealer shipments.

(2) Sell more and buy less.The trader sells 99 lots and buys 100 lot at the same time. When it is displayed, it means that [-] lots have been sold, and the deal is based on the buying price. Generally, software will count it as the amount of active buying.This is the dealer using red arrows and green arrows to deceive investors.

(3) A sharp drop.The dealer lowers the stock price to a low point, and then ships at this price.For example, if the current price is 11 yuan, some traders will suddenly use a huge amount to drop the stock price to 0 yuan, and then the stock price will stabilize and then rise slowly. Those who bought thought they had picked a bargain, and those who did not buy thought they could pick a bargain, so Actively place a buy order around 10 yuan, and then the trader can sell a large number of stocks again.Since the stock price dropped suddenly, there were many buyers, and the trader could ship more. In fact, 10 yuan was his predetermined shipping price.

(4) Eat first and then vomit.Traders first raise the stock price to 5% to 0% above the target profit line, and release a large amount at the high level, showing the buying volume. Most people think that the dealer is buying, and the risk is not big, so they follow the trend and buy.Then, the dealers began to ship, and the stock price gradually fell.Here, what the dealer buys at a high level may indeed be a firm offer, but then he can sell a lot of goods near the target shipping price, which is very cost-effective.

(5) The lower limit is opened.At the opening of the market, a huge amount was directly sealed at the lower limit, and then the market maker bought in a huge amount. Many people saw that the stock price was about to open the lower limit, and followed up one after another for fear that they would not be able to buy the stock.The judgment of this method is: if it is not for shipment, the stock price will often recover immediately, and it is impossible for you to buy it.If you actually buy a lot calmly near the limit, you may not be able to eat and walk away in the future.

(6) Daily limit shipments.The dealer raises the stock price to near the daily limit, and then deliberately places hundreds of thousands or millions of his own buy orders on the daily limit, waiting for those who chase the rise to place buy orders, and sometimes eat some by himself.When there are many retail investors' buying orders piled up in the market, the dealer gradually withdraws his own buying orders and puts them at the bottom (according to the principle of time priority, the ones that are put up first will be sold first).Then put up a sell order and stuff the chips all over the retail investors. If they are not sold out, in order to lure the retail investors to buy, the dealer will place a huge buy order at the limit price, so that repeated operations can naturally achieve the purpose of high-priced shipments.Therefore, if a stock has a relatively large trading volume on the daily limit board, it is a sign of shipment.Therefore, retail investors must not blindly chase ups and downs, so as not to be fooled.The wise way is to carefully observe the market opening, whether the door is closed quickly after the price limit, the size of the transaction volume, and the turnover rate, and then decide the direction of operation.

(7) Advance the purchase order.This is a relatively common market phenomenon. Traders place tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of buying orders at each buying price, causing the stock price to gradually rise. There will always be people who are impatient and brave to buy. The above buying orders are all the dealers' own, because the position holders want to sell at the highest price, so if you buy in, it will almost fall.Note: Most people think that pushing up big orders is a way for dealers to pull up, but in fact it is a way of shipping.

(8) The tail market pulls up.On the time-sharing chart, the stock price has been in a flat trend in the previous market, but within half an hour or less before the market closes, there is a sudden surge in heavy volume, and a big Yang line with heavy volume rises appears on the K-line chart. At this time, the market showed no obvious signs of change.However, the stock opened low and moved low the next day, and it also showed obvious signs of weakening for several consecutive trading days, which is puzzling.So, what is the disk significance of this trend?

This kind of trend generally occurs when the market is weak, and it is in the middle or near the platform of individual stock graphs. At this time, the rise in the tail market is obviously deceptive, and it is often the prelude to the escape of the dealer. The main purpose of the rise is to attract investors. Follow the trend, followed by a continuous decline inevitably.If this kind of trend appears in the platform consolidation area of ​​individual stocks, it is very likely that the platform will break down in the market outlook, and shareholders should quickly stop losses and get out.If the above situation appears in the high area of ​​the graph, it is an extremely dangerous signal, indicating that the stock is already in the head area.

(9) BUY TRAY.In the case of some individual stocks with a relatively large cumulative increase, another abnormal situation will appear in the intraday order. When the stock price fluctuates and falls after the market opens, when it falls to a certain level, there will be a large purchase order at the position of the buy position, as if there is a dealer. Absorption, the stock price cannot continue to fall.However, when the stock price rebounds at this position, it is obvious that there is no limit, and judging from the transaction details, there are more active selling (internal trading), and the selling is active when the stock price falls again.Although there is strong buying support at a certain price, the overall downward trend of the stock price is likely to be the harbinger of the dealer's shipment.The reason is obvious. If it is just to protect the market, you should not place a symbolic order at a low level. On the one hand, the buying is very strong, and on the other hand, the rebound is immeasurable, which itself is contradictory.Therefore, investors must be careful when seeing this situation in the market, and get out of the game first.

(End of this chapter)