These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 21: The Shipment Market Runs Early

Chapter 21: The Shipment Market Runs Early
The K-line combination forms that often appear in the shipping stage are: tombstone-shaped K-line, counterattack Yang line, pregnant star line, piercing head and feet, dark cloud cover, dying cross, three crows, falling trilogy, flat top, and dusk Crosses, hanging necks, shooting stars, abandoned babies at the top, the enemy is now, three stars at the top, gaps, etc. are all signals for stock prices to peak.

92 How to judge the top of the arc

The characteristics and operation strategy of the round top:
①The formation of the round top is carried out in a gentle and gradual transition process from an upward trend to a downward trend, without obvious head feeling. The positions of these tops are similar, and there is no obvious distinction between primary and secondary.This form is to a large extent the product of market makers speculating on the stock market. They have enough bargaining chips. If they sell too much at once, the stock price will fall too fast. Throwing, constantly seesawing back and forth, until the stock in hand is almost sold out, it will be suppressed sharply, and the stock price will be suppressed to a deep position in one fell swoop.

②In terms of trading volume, there are generally more at both ends and less in the middle, that is, "big, small, and large".In the early stage, the trading volume is relatively large; in the top area, there are fewer orders received, and the trading volume shrinks; in the final stage, the selling pressure increases, the trading volume gradually increases, and the price decline increases.However, if the dealer ships more at the top, and the bulls retreat and break through downwards, the trading volume does not necessarily need to be enlarged.

③The round top is an important reversal pattern, which can appear at the local high points of large, medium and small markets, forming a short-term or long-term top. The longer it takes for the round top to form, the greater the decline in the future big.

④ In terms of operation, when the stock price quickly breaks through the round top form, it is the last time to ship.However, if it can be observed that an obvious round top is about to be formed, it is still better to ship on the right side of the round top, that is, when it is slowly falling; not to ship prematurely is to prevent losses caused by changes in the shape.

Chapter 93 How to judge the latent roof

The latent top is mainly when the stock price rises for a period of time, moves very slowly and slightly in a certain area with little change, and becomes almost a horizontal and straight line as time goes by, and then suddenly breaks down to form a latent top.

The characteristics and operation strategy of the latent top: the latent top is a reversal pattern, and its formation must rely on a fundamental point, that is, an extremely optimistic market atmosphere.The latent top can appear at the local high point of the big, medium and small market, forming a short-term or long-term top, and the size of the graph depends on the size of the effect.The transaction volume of the latent top is small, and the transaction volume is enlarged when it breaks through, and the direction of the breakthrough is downward.It generally appears in the trend of blue-chip stocks. The reason is that the mentality of the holders of such stocks is relatively stable and they are not in a hurry to change their views. Run away first.

From a practical point of view, the latent top can be understood as a "flat top", that is, the stock price breaks down after a long-term platform. If the right side sinks slightly, it can be operated as a circular top.It is better for investors to sell when the stock price suddenly breaks down, and this is also the last opportunity.Do not ship prematurely to prevent loss due to changes in form.

94 How to judge the steeple
Spiky tops often appear in Chinese stock markets.The reversal of the market trend represented is sudden, violent, occurs almost without warning, and moves rapidly downward in the direction of the new trend.It often occurs when the stock price continues to rise all the way, with few or only minor adjustments, and it is usually in a market where the stock price continues to rise or jumps in a gap.There are two necessary conditions for its formation:

1. The stock price is running in a strong upward trend.

2. The share price has risen considerably.The formation time of the pointed top is generally short, and it is difficult to distinguish. Once formed, its lethality is extremely great.The operation strategy is as follows: ① During the rise of the stock price, sell the stocks in batches in batches in a pagoda-like manner at the second top to prevent accidents.Often at this time, the popularity is the most prosperous, the short squeeze is intensified, and the dark horse is running wildly. It is safer to adopt the strategy of reducing weight on rallies. ②Once peaking and falling back, a strong man should cut his wrist and end with pain.

Therefore, it is necessary to set up a stop loss point in advance, and do not take chances. Once it reaches the peak, it is necessary to resolutely stop the loss and get out of the game, so as to keep reliable funds so as to facilitate another battle.

As shown in the figure below, 000753 touched 2006 yuan in May 2007 after experiencing the big bull market in 5. It also reached the highest point at this time, and then fell in a sharp reversal pattern, forming a sharp inverted V shape top.

Move 95: How to Judge a Double Top

M top is also called double top.It usually appears at the end of the bull market, and sometimes it appears in the consolidation stage between the upward trend and the decline.Generally speaking, if the time between the two peaks (usually about one month) is far apart, the possibility of reversal is greater.On the contrary, if the distance is relatively close, it is more likely to be a mid-level consolidation. After the consolidation is completed, it will continue to move towards the original direction.Before the left peak appears, the stock price often has a considerable increase from the starting point.The price of the right peak is not necessarily equal to that of the left peak, but it is almost the same.In terms of trading volume, usually the right peak is significantly less than the left peak.

As far as dealer stocks are concerned, dealers hold a lot of funds and the market is generally upward during this period, so dealers may ship in two large-scale shipments.Because there are too many chips, you can't finish it at one time, and it's not worth it if you pay too low.Due to the upward trend of the market, the last shipment was regarded as an adjustment by retail investors.Therefore, some retail investors are willing to chase after the second time when they spend a small amount of money to pull up.The second shipment will sell all the chips in hand, so the stock price will fall below the neckline in the later stage.

Chapter 96 How to judge the inverted N top

The inverted N top is a variation of the double top (M head).After a round of continuous rise in the stock price, the early low-position holders began to sell goods for arbitrage, the stock price fell back, forming a top, and the trading volume gradually decreased.When the stock price falls to a certain point (support level or line), the dealer stops suppressing shipments, and the stock price stabilizes.At this time, the covering market and short-term market intervened, and the stock price started to rebound, but the trading volume decreased significantly, and the stock price quickly fell back, and easily broke through the previous low point, forming an inverted N shape.We call an inverted N-shaped wave in which one wave is lower than one wave a downtrend.A falling tide includes "falling-rising-falling". When the stock price falls below the turning low point of the inverted N-shaped wave, it is a complete downward inverted N-shaped pattern.A large inverted-N wave can contain many small inverted-N-shaped waves.

The characteristics and operation strategy of inverted N form:
① When the stock price breaks through the neckline downwards, the closing price is generally more than 3% lower than the previous low point, and the inverted "N" shape is successfully confirmed.Sometimes there may be a short-term reverse draw after a breakthrough. Based on the closing price, as long as it does not break through the neckline for more than 3 days, it can still be considered as a reverse draw, and the market outlook should be bearish.When the stock price falls below the previous low point, there is no need for the cooperation of large trading volume. ② There is no standard for the length of time for the formation of the "N" shape. It can take one or two days, weeks or months.In the real market, the formation time is short, but the short-term decline is strong; the formation time is long, the greater the decline in the market outlook, the more obvious the bearish signal. ③Measurement of decline: Measure the vertical distance from the high point of the first rebound to the neckline, and then measure the equal distance from the point of breaking through the neckline, which is the minimum measurement of decline.In general, the actual decline is much larger than the measured one. ④Business strategy: When the stock price breaks through the neckline or withdraws successfully from the neckline, the stockholders resolutely sell, and the currency holders wait and see.

Move 97 How to Judge Variation Triple Top

Usually, investors are familiar with traditional double tops and triple tops. Here we will focus on the analysis of variant triple tops.Introducing the old and bringing forth the new is always the development rule of the market. After years of development in my country's stock market, some new trend patterns have emerged. As a variation of the traditional double top and triple top, the variant triple top is still a relatively clear sell signal.In terms of market performance, market makers often create the illusion of attacking the previous highs and breaking through again, so as to cover up their real shipments and intentions.The market background of this situation is that when the market is relatively frenzied, due to the large number of investors who are optimistic about the market outlook, the market makers are not in a hurry to ship, and distribute slowly at high positions.After the first fall, the market makers took advantage of the enthusiastic atmosphere in the market to push up the stock price again, creating the illusion that the first fall was only a correction. They used the market's reluctance to sell to make the market mistakenly believe that there was a potential for new highs, and alleviated the pressure when pushing up. Pressure, continue to distribute during the push up.Such a back-and-forth shock makes market investors think that the shock is washing the market and paralyzes investors' vigilance. At the end of the distribution, since the market maker already holds fewer stocks, there is no need to continue to maintain a good trend of the stock, and the market will increase. The strength of the selling, near the previous high, because the market makers no longer continue to put on the tray, the increase in selling pressure caused the stock price to plummet, and the variation triple top was formed.

Of course, there are certain space requirements for the emergence of the variation triple top: ①The stock price has accumulated a considerable increase. ②The three high points that appear have the characteristics of sloping upwards in turn, almost in a straight line, which is more deceptive. ③When the pattern is completed, a big negative line often appears, completing the process of building the pattern of the variation triple top, and the stock price enters the stage of plummeting.

Move 98 How to judge the top of the head and shoulders

The head and shoulders pattern is the most common pattern in the stock market, and it is also the most famous and reliable trend reversal breakout pattern.

The characteristics and operation strategy of the head and shoulders top:
(1) In terms of trading volume, the trading volume of the second peak (head) is smaller than that of the left shoulder, and the most important trading volume signal occurs at the third peak (right shoulder). The volume at the peak is significantly reduced.When the stock price falls below the neckline, the trading volume increases.When the stock price reversed, the trading volume decreased again.Then, the stock price fell again, and the trading volume increased again.

(2) There are two calculation methods for measuring the decline: one is to measure the vertical distance from the head to the neckline first, and then measure the equal distance downwards from the breakthrough point, which is the target price of the decline; the other is to measure first Find out the length of the first wave in the downward operation, and then measure the equal multiple distance downward from the breakthrough point, which is the target price of the decline.

Operation strategy: Generally speaking, it is better for short-term investors to ship when the right shoulder is formed, and of course it is best to ship at the top, but it is possible to earn less price difference when it is not in the form of head and shoulders.Medium- and long-term investors should take the formation of a large head and shoulders top and ship when the stock price effectively falls below the neckline as the last opportunity to ship. If it is foreseen that the head and shoulders top will be completed, it is still better to ship on the left shoulder.When the form has been formed and the stock price rebounds to near the neckline again after falling below the neckline, it is the last opportunity to clear positions.

As shown in the figure below, 000559 formed the left shoulder of a huge head-and-shoulders top in the 2007 slump in 5.30. On August 2007, 8, it touched 30 yuan, formed a head and then fell, and then formed in the rebound in December 16.93 The right shoulder, the right shoulder here is the last chance to escape.

Tip 99: How to sell at a short-term good price

The stock proverb goes: "The one who can buy is the apprentice, and the one who can sell is the master." This reveals the knowledge and difficulty of selling stocks, so when should the stocks be sold?According to years of trading experience, the following methods can help short-term masters sell the stock price at a relatively high price.

(1) The stock price has rebounded after falling from a high level. If the 5-day moving average has not been recovered for three consecutive days, the safe approach is to come out and wait and see.Or, when the stock price rebound has not reached the previous high point or the transaction volume has reached the previous high point, it is not appropriate to keep the stock.

(2) When the stock price breaks the 20-day and 60-day moving averages or the 20-day semi-annual line and the 250-day annual line, which are known as lifelines, there will generally still be a 8% to 5% decline. It is better to exit and wait and see.Of course, if the funds are not used in a hurry, it is not a bad idea, but it is necessary to fully estimate the variables that may occur in all aspects in the future.

(3) When a large negative line suddenly appears on the 13 K-line chart and breaks through an important platform, regardless of whether there is a rebound the next day, the goods in hand should be sold.Or, after the stock price has a large room to rise, when the daily K-line shows a cross star or an inverted hammer-shaped positive or negative line with a long upper shadow, it is the key to selling the stock.After rising for a period of time, a cross star appears on the daily K-line at a high level, reflecting that buyers and sellers are equal, and the situation will change from a buyer's market to a seller's market, just like driving a car and encountering a red light at a crossroad El, reflecting a turning point in the market.After the stock price rose sharply, an inverted hammer-shaped negative line with a long shadow line appeared, reflecting that there were many sellers on that day, and if the trading volume on the day was large, it was a signal of peaking.When many individual stocks form a high-level doji or an inverted hammer-shaped long upper shadow line, the probability of forming a big head is extremely high, and they should be sold decisively.

(4)新股上市尽量在早上交易时间的l0:30~11:20卖出,收益较为客观。

(5) About a week before major festivals, start to adjust the chips in your hands, or even clear out the stocks, and wait and see.

(6) It is right when the avalanche-style stocks come out. When the market continues to fall, if the stocks in your hands do not fall or drop slightly, you must keep your spirits up. There is always a time for such stocks to make up for the decline and catch up with the bottom.

(7) After the stock price rises sharply, shareholders generally make profits. Once there is a large selling order during the rising process, especially if there is a large active selling order, it reflects that the dealer is selling, which is a strong signal to sell.Although there are still many investors buying at this time, buying is still active, which is easy to confuse investors with poor market reading experience.

(8) After the stock price has risen sharply, the trading volume has greatly enlarged, reaching the maximum value in the near future. It is difficult for retail investors to push up the stock price.At the end of the rise, the trading volume hit a record high, which is the previous signal for the formation of a large head area.

(9) After the stock price rises sharply, around the ex-right date is the key time to sell stocks.Listed companies implement distribution plans at the end of the year or in the middle of the year. After the stock price rises sharply, around the equity registration date or the ex-right date, there will often be a rush to sell the market. Once the market situation of selling 10,000+ shares in a row on that day, you should sell decisively. , reflecting the dealer's shipment, it is not suitable to hold the stock for a long time.

The 100th move to pursue the highest state of short-term trading

Short-term trading has its own defects-it is not convenient for large funds to enter and exit, but for investors with funds of less than 1000 million yuan, there are basically no transaction obstacles.Mid-line trading is not without disadvantages. Generally, mid-line traders have relatively weak risk awareness, and it is easy to go from shallow to deep - this is related to the high expectations of mid-line traders and their stubbornness in seeing problems.In fact, the success of mid-term trading and short-term trading depends on the depth of investors' attainments in various aspects.

The biggest advantage of short-term trading is that short-term traders have a strong sense of risk - they will immediately close their positions and wait and see as soon as there is any trouble in the stock market.

Some people say that the biggest risk of short-term trading comes from the operation of chasing high.Not necessarily so.It is the norm in the stock market that the strong stay strong—whether it is a strong market or a weak market.Comparing some leading stocks with continuous trading limit with other stocks shows that if the market falls sharply, the former will fall by one point, and the latter will fall by at least five points.Therefore, chasing up such stocks is the safest.

So the problem is not chasing high, but not chasing randomly.The highest level of short-term trading is short positions-short positions can not only avoid the risk of market decline, but also wait until the most powerful leading stocks in the market appear.

(End of this chapter)

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