African Entrepreneurship Records

Chapter 1334 The third most populous country in the world (two in one)

Mbeya City.

The current round of census work in East Africa is much more difficult and workload than it was ten years ago.

Ten years ago, it was still in the era of complete planned economy. At that time, East Africa's population mobility was weak, and the direction of population movement was very clear and clear. Due to policy restrictions, traveling to other regions required various procedures.

Since the opening of the market, East Africa's population control has been greatly reduced. Under the economic market, the mobility of people has increased, and the regularity is not strong. After all, at this time, population mobility is completely driven by money. Where can you earn more? Money and population will naturally flow there.

The ways to make money are diversified and unpredictable at all, so this makes the population flow in East Africa completely chaotic.

Town of Ortwis.

This is a town under the jurisdiction of Mbeya City. In order to investigate the regional population situation, staff from the Mbeya City Statistics Bureau had to go deep into the rural grassroots.

Now Wundt and Rhine, staff members of the Mbeya Municipal Bureau of Statistics, are conducting surveys in the village of Amforst under the town of Otwis.

Both Wundt and Rhine were young people. At this time, they were talking to the village chief Dill at the village committee of Amforst village.

Wundt took a document and said to the village chief of Dill: "Mr. Dill, the document in my hand is a summary of the household registration records of the town of Ottervis. According to the archives of the town of Ottervis, The village of Amforst under its jurisdiction, that is, your registered population here, has a total of 3,208 people. After our verification, the current actual resident population of this village is 2,097 people. "

"We want to know the specific whereabouts of the 1,111 people who are not in the village. We also want to know the recent births and deaths in the village. Do you know anything about this?"

Facing two public officials who came from above, the village chief of Dier said with a smile: "The current population of our village is roughly the same as the data. Although I don't remember the specific number of villagers in our village, it is more than three thousand. Definitely."

"As for those who are not in the village, I don't know the specific whereabouts. In the past, if everyone wanted to leave the village and needed a letter of introduction or other documents, they would ask me, the village chief, to get it stamped."

"However, since 1910, the country no longer restricts the normal flow of the population. If villagers leave the village, they no longer need to go through the review process. They may go to other places because of a random idea."

"With the opening up of policies in recent years, many people have chosen to work in other places to subsidize their families, especially during slack seasons. Some people even stay away from home all year round, and some have already moved their household registration to other places."

With the passing of the era of completely planned economies, people in East Africa now have much greater freedom of travel, and the village of Amfoorst is a typical example. Almost half of the village's population is outside, and this is obviously not all.

For example, in some families, couples may go out to work together, and there is a high probability that they may give birth outside the home. This may cause the child to have no time to return to the village to register his household registration.

In addition, in the early days of East Africa's economic opening up, social order was relatively turbulent and social security issues were chaotic. It is possible that some people disappeared due to accidents, but their household registrations were still in Amforst Village, or other factors distorted the population data. This All require verification by the East African government.

In the following days, Wundt and Rhine, as well as the grassroots cadres of Amforst Village, began to focus on these detailed issues through inspections, visits, phone calls, etc., to confirm that Amforst Village the actual population situation.

And just from the situation in the village of Armforst, we can see the difficulty of the census work. In the village of Armforst alone, the phone calls are almost smoking in order to check the population.

Therefore, it is difficult to complete the census work solely by relying on the East African Bureau of Statistics. Other departments of the East African government have also joined in or actively cooperated with the census work.

But even so, in the end, the East African government cannot guarantee the complete accuracy of statistical data. In fact, even in the 21st century, an era of highly developed information, it is difficult to ensure complete accuracy in census work.

…

Although the census work is progressing slowly, the East African government still obtained the approximate population data of East Africa.

This is actually normal. East African citizens are bound to their household registration. Except for some who have not yet had time to register their population, or who have not had time to update due to unexpected events (such as disappearances and deaths) or who have illegal households, the household registration situation of the vast majority of East African residents is normal. .

Therefore, the East African government only needs to conduct preliminary statistical compilation and summary of the national household registration to obtain the general population situation of the country. This is also the "preliminary verification". As for other unexpected situations, the data distortion and error caused by it will actually have an overall impact. Very little, especially for a country as populous as East Africa.

After all, East Africa was a large country with a population of over 100 million as early as ten years ago. For a family, losing one person would definitely be a big deal. But for a country with a large population like East Africa, unless it is caused by war, plague, etc. Except for large-scale population extinction, some details are less important.

Rhine city.

Director of the East African National Bureau of Statistics Langfurter and Minister of Civil Affairs Wollnitz and other departments reported the preliminary population statistics of East Africa to Ernst.

"Your Majesty, based on the preliminary compilation of domestic household registration data, without considering interference from other factors, as of the end of 1918, our country's total population reached 163 million, and the urban population accounted for more than 34%. That is about 55.4 million, and the rural population is about 107 million. "

"That is to say, the current population size of our country is probably the same as that of Tsarist Russia before the war. However, considering the significant shrinkage of Russia's land area, the current Russian civil war, and the previous war between Russia and the Allies."

"Russia's population is definitely not increasing but declining, which means that without considering colonies, our country has officially replaced Russia and become the world's third most populous country, a step further than the last time we counted."

Before World War I, Russia's population fluctuated between two values: 160 million to 180 million. This was based on the last census data of Russia in the last century and the birth and death rates of the Russian population. .

The last official census of Tsarist Russia was in the 1990s, when Russia advertised a population of more than 130 million.

Moreover, at that time, Tsarist Russia was in the sunset and occupied a large amount of land such as Ukraine and Poland. However, after the Russian Labor Party came to power, it lost a large amount of land, and Russia's land area shrank from more than 20 million square kilometers to nearly 20 million square kilometers. .

The areas lost by Russia are all densely populated areas in Europe or along the Black Sea coast. Coupled with the brutal civil war in Russia today, Russia's population may even fall below 100 million.

And even if Russia might regain lost territory in the future, it would not be able to surpass East Africa in terms of population. After all, according to data from previous lives, after the Russian Civil War, even though the Allies were defeated, Russia took back the land in the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, but later Official Soviet data shows that Russia's population is still declining significantly.

According to preliminary population data, East Africa has officially replaced Russia as the third most populous country in the world, followed by the Far Eastern Empire and the United Kingdom. The United Kingdom's population ranks second in the world mainly because of India. Therefore, whether the United Kingdom is calculated or India is compared separately, it will not affect East Africa's status as the third most populous country in the world.

This data does not include the colonial population in East Africa. After all, East Africa does not care about or pay attention to the specific population of the colonies. The colonial population has always been relatively rough, and the East African government will not seriously verify it.

After all, the local population verification work alone is already overwhelming the East African government departments, and it also consumes a lot of manpower, material and financial resources. If the colonial population is being verified, it will be too difficult for the East African government staff.

Generally, the census work in the East African colonies is handled and reported by the colonial government itself. The East African government only needs to have a general understanding. For the East African government, as long as the colonial population is larger, the better. After all, the colony was built by Ernst. The future East African population reservoir will be used to deal with future issues such as the aging of the local population.

Therefore, as long as it can be confirmed that the colonial population has been increasing, Ernst's psychological expectations can be met. In fact, it is difficult for the colonial population in East Africa not to increase. This does not require a lot of support from the East African government.

After all, the fertility level of the population that can immigrate to the East African colonies will not be lower than that of the natives, even if the living standards of the colonies are far different from those of the native East Africans.

Compared with the colonial population, the native population data was obviously more meaningful to Ernst, and Ernst was indeed very happy after learning that the population of East Africa exceeded 160 million.

Although this data is only the preliminary result of statistics based on household registration records and is not necessarily accurate, the final population data of East Africa should be quite different from this data.

At this population size, even if there are a few million more or a few million less people, the impact on East Africa will be very weak.

However, there is a high probability that the final data will be higher than the preliminary results, so 160 million is only a conservative number.

Read the error-free version at 69 Book Bar! 6=9+Book_Bar debuts this novel.

Ernst said: "Our country's population has exceeded 160 million, which also confirms the fact that our country has become the third most populous country in the world, and population represents productivity."

"The urban population has exceeded 50 million. I am afraid that only the United States can reach this level in the world. Our urban population is even larger than that of France or the United Kingdom."

In 1918, the population of the United States was close to 100 million people, but the urbanization level in the United States was higher than that in East Africa, and may even be close to 50%. This means that the urban population in the United States is likely to be as well. Around 50 million.

Of course, this means that the urban population of East Africa is only about five million more than that of the United States, which is obviously unreasonable. After all, East Africa has replaced the United States as the world's largest industrial country, and the quality of East Africa's industrial development is slightly inferior to that of the United States.

In other words, the industrial profits in the United States are higher than those in East Africa at the same volume. What's more, the service industry and financial industry in the United States are more developed than those in East Africa. These industries can also support the development of cities.

Therefore, taking into account all factors, if the urban population of East Africa is only five million more than that of the United States, then it would be unreasonable for East Africa's industrial output to surpass the United States and become the world's largest. After all, the quality of industrial development in East Africa is not as good as that of the United States.

Soon, Ernst realized this problem. He said to Langfurter, director of the National Bureau of Statistics: "Our country's urban population should be more than this! After all, our industrial production capacity has surpassed that of the United States a few years ago, becoming The world’s largest industrial country.”

Langfurter, director of the National Bureau of Statistics, said: "We are actually very aware of His Majesty's doubts, but this is not a mistake in our work, but a normal phenomenon."

"This time we only collected preliminary data on urban household registration, so we finally came up with a value of 34% of the urban population. However, many years ago, my country's urbanization level exceeded 3%. ten."

"In recent years, East Africa's economic and industrial development has been accelerated by the impact of war, so the 34% figure seems a bit unreasonable at first glance."

"But we cannot ignore that the current urban population structure in East Africa has changed. In the era of planned economy, my country's urban household registration population basically conforms to the overall urban population data."

"But since 1910, when my country opened up a series of policies and relaxed restrictions on freedoms, the value of household registration has been greatly reduced in East Africa."

"Many people with non-urban registered residence are pouring into cities. Many of them have not become urban residents, but still retain rural registered residence, but these people are indeed living in cities."

"Therefore, the current permanent population in my country's cities is definitely much higher than the 34% ratio. According to our estimates, if the permanent population with non-urban household registration is included, the proportion of urban residents nationwide may exceed 34%. forty."

"However, the accurate data ultimately depends on the final accounting data at the end of the year, and the preliminary calculation is only suitable for a rough reference."

As Langfult explained, Ernst and other high-level officials in East Africa suddenly realized that this was the difference between the registered population and the permanent population.

Ernst was deeply touched by this in his previous life. In his previous life, the Far Eastern Empire had many residents with non-urban registered permanent residence living in the city. Take the capital of the Far Eastern Empire as an example. Its registered population is only over 10 million, and when counting the permanent population, it can Reaching more than 20 million, it will only be even more exaggerated if some floating populations are included.

Therefore, the urban population in East Africa, if calculated in terms of permanent population, is very likely to exceed 60 million or even higher.

In this case, the resident population in rural areas of East Africa may not reach the level of more than 100 million. Of course, this is a good thing for East Africa. With development to this day, unless East African society stops progressing, the rural population will inevitably decline. To be gradually reduced.

For the time being, the urbanization level in East Africa is estimated to be 40%, which is already a very good result for East Africa.

After all, the more populous a country is, the more difficult it is to industrialize. If it wants to further support the industrial development of East Africa, it can only steal food from the established imperialist powers.

The tens of millions of extra industrial people in East Africa have ruined many people's jobs. After all, the growth rate of the world market is far slower than the expansion rate of industrial production capacity. This is also the case since the mid-to-late 19th century, when the world economic crisis became concentrated. Causes of violent and frequent occurrence.

Of course, this also shows that from the 19th century to the beginning of the 20th century, countries around the world were at the forefront of whether they could achieve success in one fell swoop. If they grasped this opportunity, they could quickly become industrial countries and become members of imperialist countries.

In the mid-19th century alone, there were five emerging industrial countries: Germany, Russia, the United States, East Africa, and Japan. This era was a truly diversified era. As long as the contradictions between major powers were well utilized, one could profit from it.

Under unipolar hegemony, the mobility of technology, knowledge, and talents is the worst. Just like in the 21st century, the world order was almost stagnant. Even if many countries worked hard enough, they eventually fell on the eve of victory and became the hegemon of the United States. harvested leeks.

(End of chapter)