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Twenty-one works have entered the sprint stage of the Oscars. This is a ridiculous thing, but this is the reality of the current awards season. The ten nominations for the best picture have messed up the whole awards season. Continuing the hustle and bustle of awards seasons over the past four years. It's no wonder that everyone said that Tom Sherac faced an extremely difficult challenge as soon as he took office.

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Of course, the twenty-one works are also divided into strengths and weaknesses. There is also an order of sitting and eating fruit. "Avatar" and "In the Clouds" lead all competitors, followed by "Inglourious Basterds", "Flying House Travels", and "Cherish Love", walking steadily towards the first group. If the nomination seats for the best picture are still five, then except for "Flying House", which is subject to discussion due to its animation properties, the remaining four finalists are estimated to be the final nomination lineup. As for the fifth seat, it will be A little more intense.

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In the second group, seven works including "Serious Men", "District 9", "Star Trek", "It Happens to People", "Ponyo on the Cliff", "Growth Education" and "White Ribbon" are not Fen Xuanlin; "Nine", "One Day", "Weakness", "Wild Heart", "Five Hundred Days with Summer" are the constituents of the third group; "Last Station", "Single Man" , "Ghost Mom" ​​and "Hangover" constitute the final upset army.

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Strictly speaking, since there are as many as ten nomination seats, any work may be reversed at the last moment. The gap between the third group and the fourth group's self-built is very small, which is mainly based on the results of the entire awards season. of.

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By the end of the Golden Globes ceremony, "On the Cloud" won the National Critics Association Award, the North American Broadcasting Film Critics Association Award and six Film Critics Association Awards, and undoubtedly occupies the top seed of the awards season. This work is the favorite of film critics in the whole Z fierce year, and has won unanimous recommendation. Its momentum is almost unmatched. This is also a work that Evan Bell really wants to lead in the awards season since his debut.

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"Avatar" has been crushed "in the cloud" throughout the awards season, and it has missed two important towns successively. If it weren't for the excellent performance at the box office, James Cameron can be said to be unable to form a relationship with Evan Bell. Competitive, but fortunately, the record-breaking sturdy box office allowed it to conquer the Golden Globes, and with the support of the five film critics associations, "Avatar" and "In the Cloud" formed the Z fierce year awards season. Final two.

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Leaving aside the nomination list, the competition between the two works has become the opponent throughout the awards season, and the battle between the two is the biggest highlight of the 2009 awards season. From the current point of view, "On the Cloud" has won the support of film critics, the National Critics Association Award and the North American Broadcasting Film Critics Association Award, making it a well-deserved number one seed in the awards season, and it also proves that Evan- Bell won the Oscar for best director two years in a row by no means in vain. But the "King of the World" James Ten Mellon has never been ignored. No one will underestimate the competitiveness of "Avatar". The strong support of the Golden Globe Award is the most direct portrayal.

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Whether the nominations are ten or five, "In the Clouds" and "Avatar" will be the ultimate showdown!

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"Inglourious Basterds", which won the BAFTA, has become the best choice for the two frontrunners. In addition to the support of the three Film Critics Association Awards, including the important town of Los Angeles, the overall strength should not be underestimated. , this work is regarded as the masterpiece of Quentin Tarantino, and the praise is definitely not inferior to that of Evan Bell.

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Among the three major weather vanes and the 17-station Film Critics Association for the entire awards season, "In the Cloud" and "Avatar", plus an "Inglourious Basterd", these three works swept more than 85% of them. The trophy, the last three stations of the Film Critics Association Award, two stations supported "Cherish Love", and one station supported "Flying House". This also marks that the former, who is a sketch and the latter, who is an animation, has become the second group of seed players in this year's awards season.

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"Treasure" is the latest directorial work from "Dance of Death Row" producer Lee Daniels. It stood out from the Sundance Film Festival in early 2009 and was produced by Oprah Winfrey. It tells a similar story. It's the story of a black woman like Oprah Winfrey who was tortured while growing up, but stubbornly matured. In today's increasingly powerful studio, "Cherish Love", as an independent film produced and distributed by a non-Eleven studio, set off a wave of rave reviews in 2009. It can be said that the outstanding performance of "Cherish" in the awards season is also one of the signs that independent films are increasingly attracting attention in recent years.

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As for "Flying House", not to mention, as an animation, it is very likely to create the brilliance of "Ratatouille" and "Robot Wall-E" in the past two years, which can also be considered as the most brilliant this year. The biggest beneficiary of the best film alternate seats.

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It can be said that "Avatar", "In the Cloud", "Inglourious Basterds", "Cherish Love" and "Flying House" are currently the first group with the strongest nomination position. The final winners of all outpost battles throughout the awards season are Inseparable from these five works, this is the best proof.

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In addition, the final award distribution of the five trade unions of producers, directors, actors, screenwriters and editors also continues this rule. The final winners of these five trade unions in order are "Avatar" and "Inglourious Basterds". , "in the cloud", "cherished", "in the cloud", this is a result that coincides with other outpost battle results.

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In fact, strictly speaking, the dominance of these top five players is actually the strongest year. Compared with the previous years when at least six works earned five seats, it is relatively too much. "Flying House" entered the animation department, freeing up a seat for other works to compete. The whole pattern of this year is relatively clear. It can be seen from this that, according to the development track of Sid Ganis, the awards season in 2009 should be back to normal, but unfortunately, the expansion of the nomination seats has brought the original order back again. Pushed into chaos.

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But it is also officially because the strength of the top five players is too strong, so this also makes the move to expand the seats become tasteless, because the other top five finalists are obviously slightly inferior in overall strength. Of course, it is not ruled out that there are players who can upset the awards ceremony.

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Although it is said that the top five players have won the awards for the outpost battle, the reason why the situation is described as "chaotic" is because the nomination lists for each outpost battle are completely different, except for "Avatar" and "In the Cloud", which were first exceeded. Strong dominance, except that almost every station is shortlisted for nomination, all other works may not be able to guarantee nomination, which is the yardstick that distinguishes the second, third and fourth groups.

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Among the contestants of the follow-up group, "District 9", "Star Trek, and "Avatar" collided with the theme, and the prospects were suddenly dimmed; Types, it is estimated that it is difficult to make a breakthrough: "Growing Education", "Last Station", "White Ribbon" are all European works, and it is very likely that only one person can stand out in the end: "Serious Man", "Single Man", "Wild Heart" is a representative work of independent themes, and it has to compete with "Cherish" for seats; "Five Hundred Days with Summer" and "The Hangover" two comedy genre works collided with "In the Clouds", it is estimated that It is also very difficult to stand out.

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In the end, the musical "Nine" aroused a tsunami of crusades in the public opinion circle, but the golden lineup comparable to the Oscars was unpredictable: a love drama like "One Day" is very hopeful. Ji Li also won a lot of nominations, but Evan Bell seems to have a bad future when he has been praised "in the cloud".

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After such a calculation, on the contrary, Clint Eastwood's "It Happened" and Sandra Bullock's "Weakness" starring the two sports works, although the theme is the same, but in the top five. Among the players, there are no opponents in direct conflict, but the possibility of breaking through the siege is slightly higher.

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Of course, when there are ten nominated seats, although there are many candidates, it is not too much to choose anyone. The main reason is that except for the first group, other players have their own weaknesses~www.readwn.com~ Some focus on the direction of actors, some focus on directing, and some are screenwriters and pioneers. There are advantages and disadvantages in comprehensive evaluation, so although the scene is chaotic, when the final list of nominations is released, it will be much simpler than in previous years. It is estimated that No matter who is shortlisted, it is a normal result.

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From this perspective, in fact, the expansion of the nomination seats has also weakened the excitement of the survival of the fittest. In the past, people would get furious, argue, and scoff, grumble, and debate when the nominees came out because a good work didn't make it to the Best Picture competition -- like last year's "Wall-E-Robot" -- The speech is overwhelming. But now, after the big melee, there are ten candidates, but it seems a little dispensable.

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However, these audience reactions are only predictions, and the results will not be known until the nominations for the 82nd Academy Awards are announced.

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But one thing is certain, that is, the expansion of the best picture nomination seats makes the five best director seats more and more precious...because the general concept is that only works that win the best director nomination are There is hope for the final best picture, so of course, this makes the competition for best director more exciting than in previous years, which can be regarded as a surprise.

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The already fierce competition for the best director seat has entered an absolute white-hot this year!

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