My 1982

Li Zhongxin for the Meteorological Bureau on Jiangcheng, there is nothing more about too much, and there is no resentment.

Because Li Zhongxin is clear, like a local meteorological station on the side of Jiangcheng, it is already very good to report it is very good.

After all, there is an important region on the side of Jiangcheng. Not to mention that more than two or three years ago, the weather is not allowed, it is normal, that time is not so advanced now.

At that time, the weather forecast was as a reference, and the generous direction has to be a central meteorological station.

"Half-mountain, you said that the weather forecast is inaccurate, that is the time, the current technology is getting more and more developed, the weather forecast is also more and more accurate, like these people in the banquet today, that is all meteorologists They were engaged in weather forecast for decades, which is quite a powerful person.

And! Meteorological science belongs to predicting science, itself has certain uncertainty.

In addition, the monitoring outlet is not fine to each region, and the weather forecast is a probability forecast. For example, in the summer, strong convection weather, it is affected by factors such as terrain, there are many local precipitation, and the possibility of predicting errors at this time. Increase. Based on the current level of technology, the weather forecast cannot reach 100% accuracy, but the meteorological department will make each hundred percent efforts to improve the forecast accuracy.

This time, I also said that there were also experts in Jiangcheng New Area, ready to build a weather station and a meteorological forecast for the Jiangcheng New District TV Station. They will talk to the Meteorological Bureau of the Central Committee that when they come to our Jiangcheng New District, they are equipped with the latest equipment, equipped with some high-quality meteorological talents. "Li Zhongxin smiled and explained the seal halfway.

For the construction of a new weather station in Jiangcheng New Area, Li Zhongxin has a certain idea. The meteorological bureau on the Old Town, Jiangcheng, basically all local leaders and leadership their families plated, the people in that place It is the mixed calendar and mixed salary, and I hope that they will do this, it is not as good as they stove, and then invest in building a weather station.

It's like now, it is basically the five floods. It is only something that should have in the city, and the Jiangcheng New District is basically all.

Even the bus stop, the train station has, Li Zhongxin's ideas are very simple, Jiangcheng New District He has to build, if there is no too much accident, how much time does not use, Jiangcheng New District is equivalent to the main one of the black province One of the urban districts will farmitate in other cities other than the provincial capital in far away.

"With equipment and those professionals, this weather forecast can be more accurate? I still have a skeptical attitude, unless the meteorological bureau is building, it is accurate." Blocking half the mountain is still a mistake of the weather forecast.

"Half-mountain, this thing! We explain this with you, weather forecasts are predictive science, speaking from scientific laws, predicting science is impossible to completely accurate or always accurate, weather forecast is the same.

Weather forecast is a complex system engineering, which is based on atmospheric science theory. Based on various meteorological detection means, the numerical weather forecast is the core, and it is finally formed by the comprehensive judgment analysis of forecasters, each of which There are some uncertainties, and it is impossible to make each prediction result is actually consistent.

First of all, what we say that human understanding is not fully grasped for atmospheric understanding, and various weather produces and changes are caused by the continuous movement of the atmosphere.

Due to the complexity of atmospheric movement, despite the development of the science and technology, the awareness of the atmospheric detection means, the understanding of the objective law of the atmospheric movement continues to deepen, but scientists cannot really describe the fine structure of atmospheric motion.

Second! We now have no in place, although meteorological detection has developed into a three-dimensional observation system covering foundation, empty group, and heaven, a ground observatory, high-altitude observation station, an automatic weather station, radar observatory, meteorological Star constitutes a time monitoring of atmospheric movement and changes.

But this network will have omissions to the medium-scale weather system, just like the big net fish, it is easy to miss. Moreover, the observation data may have an error, such as wind direction, and wind speed observations are the average of two minutes of observations, which may have a certain error.

Also, the weather forecast is modeling, and the weather forecast model of these values ​​can evolve atmospheric changes, but it is not 100% accurate, and the weather is incompetent.

The weather changes is the result of the change of atmospheric movement around the earth, and atmospheric movement changes, physical compliance with fluid mechanics and thermodynamics, these laws can use mathematics language, write into mathematical equations.

People use high-performance computers to make weather forecasting problems into a mathematical equation. Such methods are called numerical weather forecasts, which is the core of modern weather forecast. However, any model is currently unable to simulate atmospheric evolution, just approximation, there is inevitable error.

Finally, the experience and level of the forecasts will make the results of the forecasts, the results of the numerical model calculated, can not be directly used as a forecast conclusion, and the forecasters should be interpreted and the application is revised according to the local situation.

Our weather forecast on Jiangcheng is not allowed. There are many reasons, these points have problems, so I am going to build a new weather station in Jiangcheng New District. "Li Zhongxin is very patient, explaining the inaccurate situation of the weather forecast he knows and seals.

"Loyalty, if you do it, will not cause dissatisfaction with the Meteorological Observatory on Jiangcheng, you have to know, I haven't heard of which city is coming out of the two weather stations." Blocking half the mountain does not entangle the accuracy of the weather forecast, directly asked directly Other things.

"Will not cause dissatisfaction between Jiangcheng, I don't know this matter, I don't want to deport.

Those things in our Jiangcheng New Area have a large part of the same as Jiangcheng, the railway station, bus station and the cultural palace, what is the library, our Jiangcheng New Area has anything, and has not seen the Jiangcheng not allowed. Or say some other things.

Our Jiangcheng New District is now white, just named Jiangcheng New District, which was originally developed from a township in Jiangcheng, and there is not much relationship with Jiangcheng now. "Li Zhongxin does not pay attention to the blocked halfway.

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