New Shun 1730

In the above terms, Dashun will promise to solve the British East India Company in India and cut off all trade exchanges with the British East India Company east of the Cape of Good Hope. Including but not limited to India, Persia, Turkey, and will directly seal up the East India Company's trading house in Songsu.

In addition, Dashun will also guarantee to send a squadron of five battleships to France to support the French Navy.

Five battleships certainly cannot change the balance of power between the British and French navies.

The crater-like coastline terrain of France and the reality that Gibraltar is in the hands of the British make it necessary for France to maintain two large fleets.

One is deployed in the Atlantic direction and the other in the Mediterranean direction.

Five battleships, not to say that they are a drop in the bucket, certainly cannot directly reverse the balance of power.

However, this is exactly the negotiation strategy of Dashun.

Gradually increase the stakes, and each increase will provide a certain amount of fleet support.

The next negotiation will be based on what has been negotiated last time.

In order to avoid asking for too much at one time, it sounds like a lion's mouth is too high, at least it is not easy to accept psychologically.

After all, this time, it involves Mauritius, India, French tariff issues, etc., which are only worth five battleships in Dashun's negotiations.

Duke Choiseul considered the proposals on the East India issue and the Eastern trade issue, and found that Dashun was very cunning.

Because Dashun offered a very disgusting price.

If this price is calculated in pure silver, it must be more than five battleships.

But the meaning here is that Dashun is of course happy to support France and send a larger fleet. However, before sending it, France must recognize this treaty before discussing future matters.

This makes the initiative always held by Dashun.

If it is recognized and signed, then if the subsequent talks fail, Dashun will just throw out five battleships with a pinch of the nose and fulfill the treaty.

If France really wants Dashun to participate in the war, it must endure Dashun's continued increase in the price after completing the first phase of negotiations.

However, Dashun still expressed considerable goodwill in this first phase of negotiations.

Obviously, the Cape of Good Hope is the boundary, and Dashun does not seek interests in the northwest, the Caribbean, and the east coast of North America.

The Duke of Choiseul represents the West Indian faction in French capital. And in terms of understanding the future, Choiseul believes that this century is the century of sugar.

However, Dashun believes that the last century was the era of sugar and spices, and the Dutch won the bet.

And this century is the era of textiles. Dashun bet the fate of trade on textiles and expects to win big like the Dutch in the last century.

The root cause of cooperation between China and France and the inability of China and Britain lies in the Indian issue. In the eyes of the Dashun ruling party, India is very valuable; in the eyes of the French ruling party, India is not valuable; in the eyes of the British ruling party, India is very valuable.

On this basis, the issues between China and France on the east of the Cape of Good Hope can be discussed.

But at the same time, Dashun also obviously gave France a completely different choice, that is, only agreeing to the first phase of negotiations.

Five battleships, of course, cannot influence the situation on the European sea.

However, if Dashun can fully control the east of the Cape of Good Hope, the help it actually provides to France is worth the price offered by Dashun.

The reason is simple.

France spends money on war.

Doesn't Britain spend money on war?

Theoretically, France still has strong tax potential. As long as it can complete fiscal reforms similar to the Single Whip Law and the unified taxation of gentry, France's theoretical tax revenue can be directly tripled, and the money owed is not a problem at all.

In fact, Britain has little tax potential. In other words, because Britain's tax efficiency and administrative efficiency are extremely high, Britain's tax "potential" has been exhausted.

Relying on this high efficiency of taxation and administration, Britain can compete with France.

But its tax potential has been exhausted. In this case, it can only rely on national debt.

Then the problem comes.

Why did so many people buy French government bonds last year, so that they sold 136 million livres casually, but only tens of millions can be sold this year?

The UK has to pay back its government bonds.

How to pay back?

What to pay back?

What does the UK rely on to make people believe that it can pay back? What to pay back?

Whether it is capitalists or ordinary people, they must believe that the government can pay back the money, and then they will buy government bonds.

For the British who have experienced the tulip bubble, the 20-year economic crisis and the South Sea bubble, it is already difficult to hype something up with empty words to make people invest money. Everyone is not stupid, and they have suffered losses twice in a row. Moreover, the people who suffered a big loss in 20 years have not died out, and everyone has not forgotten it.

At this time, no one believes that the government bonds will definitely be paid back in the future and the interest will definitely be paid.

So, in fact, the British government promised to use the consumption tax generated by luxury goods such as tea, coffee, oriental cotton cloth and sugar as interest repayment.

And with the victory of the Bengal Campaign, more people believe that the government can really pay back the debt.

Therefore, about 200,000 middle-class and asset families in Britain were tempted to buy government bonds, which also enabled Britain to pay a total of 150 million pounds for the war, which is about 450 million taels of silver.

You can have patriotic enthusiasm.

But you also have to pay interest.

The principal, it can be said that the country is in a time of crisis and trouble. Out of patriotic enthusiasm, this principal will not be run. But the interest must be paid, right?

In the end, before the end of the Seven Years' War in history, Britain even tried to directly attack Spain and kill neutral Spain by the way. Because before the end of the war, plus the previous stock, Britain had a total of 100 battleships.

If you have money, it's easy to do things.

If you don't have money, it's definitely not possible.

Since the British government promised to repay the interest with consumption taxes on luxury goods such as tea, coffee, oriental cotton cloth and sugar, if Dashun really cut off British trade east of the Cape of Good Hope and blocked the trade of consumer goods such as tea, cotton cloth and porcelain, there would be no consumption taxes and no interest could be paid.

So, in theory, Dashun showed a lot of sincerity on the issue east of the Cape of Good Hope, and it could indeed influence the final war situation to a certain extent. The only thing was that France needed to continue to hold on for a few years until the British finances collapsed.

Once the confidence of the middle class collapsed, the national debt would explode directly. As long as Dashun went to war, even if it did not cross the Cape of Good Hope, the East India Company would die. Once the confidence of more than 200,000 British middle-class families involved in the war collapsed, Britain would not be able to continue fighting.

Moreover, there was another serious problem.

That is, Dashun has not yet mined precious metals in San Francisco, Old Silver Mountain, Australia and South Africa. And Dashun's industry is developing rapidly, and the trade volume is increasing day by day. Therefore, Europe is actually gradually experiencing a currency appreciation, and the price revolution seems to be over. This is quite unfavorable for national debt interest.

Of course, these are only theoretically possible for France to win.

But at the same time, in theory, if France continues to hold on, it will not be able to reform its finances, and it is still unclear whether Britain or France will collapse first.

But this also reflects Dashun's sincerity.

France can actually choose this negotiation amount as the final solution and bargain from it - and if this solution is only the first step, then this solution cannot be bargained, and can only be bargained in subsequent terms.

And in theory, this first step can be used as the final solution; in theory, it can indeed allow France to...win a tragic victory at the cost of internal financial problems.

This is not an option that France cannot choose, because it is not the first time that France has defaulted on its debts. Counting John Law's bubble fraud with government endorsement, France has defaulted on its debts twice in just 30 years, and it seems that it may not be impossible to default on its debts again.

It just depends on whether France is willing to bear this price.

Moreover, the world is not static, but dynamic.

Therefore, in theory, if the final cooperation terms of this plan are finalized, it will also trigger another butterfly effect, that is, the attitude of Spain.

Spain's attitude is neutral at this time.

For France, the good news is that the Queen of Spain is dead, and the Queen of Spain is a Portuguese princess. At the same time, the King of Spain is heartbroken and is said to be dying.

Because the Queen is weak and sick, there are no children.

As for the succession order, the King of Sicily and the King of Naples are the half-brother of the King of Spain at this time.

This brother is quite disgusted and disgusted with Britain, because the British gave him a lot of obstacles on the issues of Naples and Sicily, which is purely a personal grudge.

Before the death of the current King of Spain, the thing that France feared most was that Britain would use Gibraltar to exchange Spain for Britain.

As long as cooperation is reached with Dashun, even if it is only the cooperation of "five battleships worth" as the final terms of the issue east of the Cape of Good Hope, then France's concerns can be completely eliminated, and there is no need to worry that Spain will turn to Britain.

As long as the current king of Spain dies, the little cousin of Naples who has a good personal relationship with Louis XV and hates Britain will take over.

If Dashun cuts off the trade east of the Cape of Good Hope, the Franco-Spanish alliance will be very, very easy to achieve. How can we not pick up the bargain?

In this way, it is not impossible to defeat Britain.

But the problem is that Spain is obviously more interested in Portugal. I am afraid that this kind of alliance is mostly a dream of the same bed with different thoughts.

At that time, Spain is thinking about asking France to help fight Portugal, and France is thinking about asking Spain to help fight Britain. Generally speaking, this kind of alliance with different thoughts is very risky and may be defeated one by one.

Dashun is different, because Dashun’s purpose of participating in the European war is obviously to go to Britain.

On the issue of who is France’s biggest enemy, an alliance with Dashun does not need to scare Portugal together with Spain, nor does it need to clean up the ass of Spain’s weak army. It is obviously more advantageous to ally with Dashun.

This is a question of choice.

How to choose is France’s business.

Anyway, the first phase of the plan has been given.

Either only discuss the first phase of the plan and bargain.

Or accept the first phase of the plan in its entirety, and Dashun will continue to increase the stakes and negotiate the final version of more than 30 battleship fleets and thousands of elite combat engineers to directly participate in the European battlefield.

Dashun's bottom line is to completely weaken Britain.

But this bottom line must not be revealed in negotiations, so Dashun's consistent "trade attitude" has also put a lot of pressure on France.

It seems that Dashun can negotiate with Dashun no matter who controls the sea power in Europe, as long as it continues trade with Dashun.

If China and France really break up, even if Dashun has just conquered India and eliminated all British forces east of the Cape of Good Hope, theoretically they can still cooperate with the United Kingdom - the Cape of Good Hope can be opened to trade and kicked away The Netherlands, the middleman of East-West trade in Europe, is you England, because you have the final say on the sea.

Mauritius is right there. If China and France are really going to break up, why buy it? Can't we just grab it? Fighting east of the Cape of Good Hope, Dashun really has no one to fear now.

The root cause is still the same problem, that is, the current people in power in France believe that it is still the century of cane sugar; while the people in power behind the trade and diplomacy in Dashun believe that this is the century of textiles.

These two differences in control and understanding of the future also force France to think about another question:

That is, what is the essence of this war?

If the fundamental conflict is not resolved, will we have to fight again next time?

Can France afford to fight again?

The root of the Austrian-French Alliance was the rise of Prussia. Once Prussia is defeated by Russia and Austria, Austria and Russia will probably turn around and form an alliance with Britain. By then, France's diplomatic environment will be ugly.

Because of two major contradictions.

The contradictions between the British and French sugar colonies and the Austrian-Prussian contradictions within the HRE contributed to this bizarre diplomatic situation and alliance status.

Only when these two major contradictions exist at the same time can there be a three-nation alliance of France, Austria and Russia.

Once these two major contradictions are resolved in batches and the Austro-Prussian contradiction is resolved, France will have to fight alone next time.

If Dashun only joins the war east of the Cape of Good Hope and cuts off Britain's eastern trade... for France, it may only be able to change to a pre-war peace situation. Not only will the war continue next time, I'm afraid that the next time it will be the traditional alliance of Britain, Russia, and Austria, and the French-Spanish alliance.

A country like Dashun that loves to find every possible opportunity and has been very keen to take sides since the Austrian Succession War. Next time, I am afraid that it will directly side with Russia, Austria, and Britain to grab the industrial and commercial dumping that the French think is more suitable for Dashun. South America and Luzon.

Therefore, France is more inclined to take advantage of this almost perfect diplomatic situation to resolve the Anglo-French colonial conflict first, leaving the Austro-Prussian conflict to play with later, so that France can handle it with ease next time.

This is a basic geopolitical inference: if the Austro-Prussian conflict is resolved, the Austrian-French conflict will rise to the main conflict; if the Austro-Prussian conflict is not resolved, and the colonial conflict between Britain and France is resolved, then France can gain hegemony on the European continent.

The only possible ally that doesn't care about the contradictions between Austro-Prussia and Russia-Prussia, but cares about Britain, is Dashun, who is trying to control the trade between the East and the West. France doesn't care, because France only spends 12% of its military expenditure on the navy. France's hegemony, as long as there is no troublemaker like Britain, can be achieved with only a huge army.

Therefore, this first part of the overall plan, which seemed very reliable and could theoretically be used as the final plan, was made without any bargaining between salons.

The Duke of Choiseul told Dashun very clearly: He personally, from the perspective of the French Minister of State, fully accepted the first phase of this plan. And look forward to Dashun's follow-up plan, and very much hope to see Dashun send at least thirty battleships and three thousand elite engineers to Europe.

However, this is just his attitude as a minister of state, so it still needs the final approval of the king. But he reiterated that he personally prefers not to engage in any form of bargaining and believes that it is very fair and reasonable.