New Shun 1730

And Dashun has come to this point, and in fact, it can no longer do "no movement" or "no tossing".

Because, what does the so-called no movement and no tossing mean?

Going back?

That is not called no movement and no tossing, it is called reaction.

Reaction is also movement.

And maintain the status quo?

But the world is constantly changing.

Maintaining the status quo, in Dashun at this time, means "the power of the emerging class is growing day by day and growing every day".

Because of the status quo, there is still a distance to specifically restrict the development of Dashun's productivity.

Maintaining the status quo is equivalent to allowing Dashun's emerging class to continue to develop.

Your body does not move.

But your internal organs are still moving.

Not moving is also moving.

This is the so-called not being able to do even no movement and no tossing.

If you want Dashun to be truly no movement and no tossing, you must go back in time and return to before going to Southeast Asia.

From that moment until the end of World War I, if Dashun chose to retreat in a reactionary way, it might still be able to retreat.

But World War I was over, and it was impossible to retreat.

Because... compared with the original self-sufficient small peasant economy, the capitalist system in the advanced regions was extremely fragile.

In the era of self-sufficient small peasant economy, unless there was a big silver shortage like the Thirty Years' War, things in Europe would not affect the empire much.

Even in countries close to us, such as Japan, Korea, and Vietnam, major events occurred internally, which basically did not affect the stable operation of the empire based on the small peasant economy.

Of course, in fact, when the Ming Dynasty completed the reform of silver currency taxation, the empire was already connected with the world and could not get away.

However, on the whole, it was still stable.

And the advanced regions of Dashun now include Songsu, Shandong, Jiaoliao, Guandong, and Nanyang. These places are more fragile than the small peasant economy in the past.

If there is a problem with soybeans in Guandong, it will directly affect the cotton fields in northern Jiangsu and the tobacco in Shandong.

If there is a problem in the situation in Europe, it will directly affect the various workshops, factories, factories and handicrafts in Songsu.

If something happens in Nanyang, it may directly lead to a famine in the capital.

If there is a problem with sorghum planting in the northeast, wheat plantations in Yezo, and rice exports in North Korea, it may directly lead to a major uprising in the Jiaodong and Luzhong regions.

This kind of fragility is not only reflected in those capitalists, factory owners, plantation owners, cargo ship owners, etc.

If only they are fragile, it is not a problem at all.

It is more reflected in the tens of millions of workers who were forcibly pulled into this by Liu Yu.

Take the "fake men farming and women weaving" in Nantong as an example. This form of men farming and women weaving is not the real sense of men farming and women weaving.

Men farm and grow cash crops.

Women weave, the buyers send Indian cotton yarn to them, and they weave it into cloth on the iron wheel looms specialized in their family handicrafts and then sell it.

Cash crops become money, and the weaving process of labor is also exchanged for money.

Then use the currency to buy all the basic survival guarantees needed for food, clothing, housing and transportation.

This is completely different from the "men farming and women weaving for the whole family" system, and it is not the same stability at all.

Once there is a problem with the trade system built by Liu Yu with the world market as the core, it will directly affect the lives of tens of millions of people.

A few decades ago, Liu Yu simply changed the foreign trade center from Guangdong to Songsu, which directly led to the unemployment of hundreds of thousands of people, Xijiang shipping, Wuling porters, and Guangdong embroidery women workers.

And now, there are more than hundreds of thousands involved?

Every day that time goes forward, there may be thousands of more people; every year that goes forward, there may be hundreds of thousands of people involved.

What's more terrifying is that Liu Yu greatly improved the fiscal revenue of Dashun.

Dashun's spending power is getting bigger and bigger, and the stalls are getting bigger and bigger.

And this money is not achieved by equalizing land, limiting land, equalizing taxes, and canceling preferential exemptions.

But it is basically supported by this new system.

Dashun has been tied up by Liu Yu, and it is not possible to move forward or retreat.

Even if they want to retreat, or even crazier, they can retreat by killing people everywhere...

Then, where does the money for the army come from?

How can the old financial system of Dashun afford so many field troops now?

Besides, the new school is developing rapidly, and hundreds of thousands of new school people are also tied to the development of world trade and industry and commerce.

If they really retreat, how can these people make a living?

These people's rebellion is different from ordinary peasant uprisings. These people have mastered the advanced productivity at that time.

Although, at this time, these people are still considered "marginal people" compared to the imperial examination system, and they can't even be considered as "scholars".

But, name is name, and profit is profit.

Although they are not famous now, they have reaped the benefits of the external expansion in recent years, and the benefits are still in hand.

In other words, although their status is not awkward now, they can make money, have things to do, and can also be officials in colonies and developed regions.

Although the policies of the Dashun court were not completely biased towards them, and were not very good to them, they were treated like "concubines", different from the "main wives" in the imperial examinations.

However, they could just make do with each other, and there was no need to divorce.

But if they really did the opposite, they would not only lose their "status", but also their real benefits.

Then we can only rebel.

So, if we rebel, after Liu Yu completed a series of reforms and fought a war under the guise of feudalism and strengthening the imperial power, we will die if we rebel.

Then, we should not rebel.

Do not move.

Or, can we follow the rules of Xiao and Cao?

Even if we do not consider that the power of the emerging class is growing every day and the current expansion of the external market has not yet reached the stage where it will hinder the development of productivity but will promote it.

These macro changes are not considered at all.

Then, we will consider some of the most basic problems, such as land annexation. Xiao and Cao will not work.

With the development of trade with Europe, the excavation of Fusang gold and silver mines, and the monopoly of trade rights in India and Persia, a large amount of silver flows into Dashun every year.

This provides conditions for Dashun to complete currency reform.

This currency reform is not a reform of abolishing the two yuan and changing to the yuan.

Instead, it is to directly solve the relationship between copper coins and silver, not the relationship between subsidiary currencies, but the relationship between local currency and foreign currency.

Moreover, Dashun must do this.

Because even if we do not consider the new school of thought.

Only those orthodox Confucian bureaucrats who came from the imperial examination system, they also realized the mess between copper coins and silver, and believed that this was one of the reasons for the poverty of the people.

Once the currency reform is completed, the so-called "Xiao Gui Cao Sui" will not be able to follow at all.

Because Liu Yu's current monetary policy actually hides extremely strong financial control.

It's a bit like "forced exchange settlement".

Dashun itself does not produce gold and silver.

Foreign trade is the bank that issues Dashun currency.

Foreign trade is also controlled.

Controlled foreign trade has caused a large amount of silver to enter the silver vault and issue equal amounts of paper money.

And these paper money are basically only circulated in the first-developed regions. If you want to trade domestically, you still have to settle in silver.

Small amounts can be exchanged at will.

If the amount is slightly larger, you have to make it clear what the money is used for.

Try to ensure that you don't go to the mainland to buy land.

Paper money has a circulation range, and exchange houses are only in developed areas. It is not easy to carry out land annexation in places far away from developed areas with paper money.

Although there will definitely be many loopholes, and loopholes can definitely be exploited.

But after all, it is troublesome, and finding loopholes is also a cost.

In addition, after the First World War, the yields of building railways, developing India, developing Fuso, and developing industry are temporarily very high, far from the stage of marginal benefits. The return on investment at this time is also higher than buying land and collecting rent.

Therefore, a large amount of currency is either in the investment field, or in the commercial transportation field, or surrendered to colonies or newly reclaimed areas.

At least, it is like this for the time being.

Once Dashun completes the currency reform...

Then, people in Songsu area can take money to buy land in Henan, right?

There were originally restrictions on copper coins, silver, paper bills, redemption, review, etc.

After the completion of the currency reform, financial supervision is equivalent to throwing it away directly, and money flows everywhere and is used throughout the country.

I won’t mention the benefits.

I will only talk about the disadvantages.

The speed of land annexation is so fast, isn't it?

With so much silver flowing in every year, why doesn't it just go to the land?

Industrial development has its limits. And the speed of accumulation is several times faster than before.

According to the previous accumulation speed, the dynasty cycle may have taken two or three hundred years.

But with the current accumulation speed and the silver flowing in, the speed of land annexation is so fast.

It was difficult to save tens of thousands of taels of silver as a businessman in the past.

It was even more difficult to get from tens of thousands of taels to thirty or fifty thousand taels.

Now, catch up with the trend and the opportunity, tens of thousands of taels of silver can be increased to thirty or fifty thousand taels, don't be too fast.

There is a lot of money.

Moreover, it can even be said that if the first-developed regions continue to do it and wait for Fusang's gold and silver to be almost mined, the first-developed regions will almost have 60% of the currency of the entire Dashun, or even more.

To put it bluntly, when the gold and silver in Fusang are almost mined, the gold and silver gathered in Songsu area can theoretically buy half of Dashun's arable land, driven by the previous low land price of Dashun under the policy of paying taxes and serving labor according to the acreage.

At that time, there will be a lot of things.

Things such as buying land causing land prices to soar, soaring land prices causing land to become an investment futures, more capital entering land transactions, more capital entering land transactions to continue to push up land prices... will definitely emerge in an endless stream.

These are all problems that Dashun has never faced before.

Xiao Gui Cao Sui... Xiao Gui Cao Sui's premise is the economic foundation and material conditions of society, which have basically not changed much in fifty or one hundred years.

Now, let alone other changes, just say that tens of millions of taels of silver flow in every year and the mining of Fusang's gold and silver mountains, such huge changes, let alone fifty or one hundred years, may change drastically in ten or twenty years.

How can we follow this?

At that time, if the bureaucracy and the emperor of Dashun had a little bit of brains, they would have prepared policies such as "limiting land" if they had only completed the currency reform.

And once such a policy is implemented, it will really be "fun".

This is just a problem caused by the currency reform; and the currency reform is one of the reforms that Dashun has completed or is about to complete in recent years; and Liu Yu has buried similar bombs in almost every reform.

Therefore, even if the policy of Xiao Gui Cao Sui is continued, it will still go wrong and end.

Reaction will be blown up.

If you don't move, you will be blown up.

Then, what about moving forward?

If you move forward, that's even more so, the explosion will be even more severe.

Because, moving forward...if this forward refers to "progress in the sense of bourgeois transformation".

Then, can the problem of the disintegration of the small peasant economy be solved by Dashun's poor organizational ability?

If we don't let the small peasants disintegrate, and continue to follow Liu Yu's model of relying on external accumulation to complete industrial development and relying on external markets to complete trade cycles, we will inevitably encounter the revolutionary transmission caused by a series of problems buried by Liu Yu, such as "European bourgeois revolution, Indian awakening, the application of spinning machines leading to the instant collapse of the Indian economy and the uprising, and the collapse of the external market".

So, moving forward, or death.

Moreover, the problem of the revolutionary transmission of the collapse of the external market caused by the awakening of Europe and India is only one of the many possibilities that will end, and there are many more possibilities that will end.

Going back is death.

Not moving is death.

Moving forward is still death.

No matter how you look at it, for the Dashun Dynasty, the situation set by Liu Yu was a dead end.

So, Liu Yu, who had decided not to care about the Yellow River anymore, give the credit to others, and even planned to run away, decided to go back to the capital.

The reason was of course his loyalty to the emperor and his patriotism. Such a great credit should be left to the next generation of assistants or successors selected by the emperor.

But in fact...

He was preparing to run away.

He also had a last chat with the emperor, the crown prince, and the princes.

To see if anyone among them could solve this dead end, at least with some ideas; and who was self-righteous, thinking that he was saving the Dashun Dynasty but actually preparing to accelerate the demise of the Dashun Dynasty.

After all, in theory, the most brilliant feudal rulers still had a theoretical possibility to solve this situation.