New Shun 1730

Hannibal agreed with this.

Although he had been in China for a long time, he did not have any pro-China sentiment.

However, he was afraid of China.

He had been living in the capital and only saw the bright side of Dashun, and did not see the huge contradictions within Dashun at all.

In the capital, high above, just looking at the data, Dashun was really terrible.

The world's highest annual income, efficient civil service system, absolute monarchy, nobles who were honest and had no power to resist, one-third of the world's population, terrifying logistics capabilities, the supremacy of imperial power...

Only look at the data in the capital, the world's first. Just don't look at the real countryside, Huanghuai, famine, land annexation and other issues.

Whether it is manpower, material resources, financial resources and tactical systems, Hannibal does not think that Russia has the possibility of defeating Dashun. And it is meaningless, those rotten lands at this time are not very attractive to Russia.

He had the experience of studying in France and building fortresses at the north bank of Heilongjiang River. In addition, he was afraid of the Chinese in Beijing, which only saw the bright side. All these made him agree with Elizabeth's words.

And Bestuyev thought more deeply.

"Your Majesty, if my guess just now is correct, then the war situation in Europe must take into account the influence of Dashun."

"Once Dashun really declares war on the Netherlands and the fact that the French army has captured Prague, we must consider the possibility of the failure of the State Edict Coalition... even the possibility of Austria being dismembered."

"France, Prussia, Dashun, Spain, Bavaria, Sicily, Naples, Sardinia... they are all allies. If nothing unexpected happens, if the alliance continues, Austria is very likely to be dismembered."

"We should take this opportunity to carefully choose our foreign policy, don't choose allies too early. "

"We should do our best to deal with the Swedish war at this time, realize Peter the Great's dream, seize Finland, and make the Gulf of Finland an inland sea of ​​Russia."

"If the war in Central Europe continues to develop, we'd better remain neutral. If necessary, we can send some mercenaries to support Britain, but Britain needs to give high gold and silver subsidies. But if someone pulls us to declare war on China, this is absolutely unacceptable."

Bestuev keenly realized what impact Dashun would have if it declared war on the Netherlands, which would mean that Austria would have no allies available.

Especially when Britain was still caught in the Jenkins Ear War with Spain, the gold coin support of the Netherlands was almost the last hope for Austria to turn the tables.

He also agreed very much with Elizabeth's idea not to go to war with Dashun. If the Netherlands could give 10 million pounds, that is, 30 million taels of silver, it could be considered, but the question is whether the Netherlands could afford this price?

Before that, Osterman signed the Northwest Boundary Treaty with China, and Russia also went to the Western Regions for inspection. Basically, one thing has been determined, that is, the Junggar tribe in the Western Regions is temporarily unable to rebel.

On the one hand, with the Dashun marching into the Western Regions, the war disintegrated the military power of the Junggars, and also brought another terrible thing to the Junggars.

Smallpox.

A large number of retired soldiers who migrated to the Yili area to cultivate and build cities; large-scale population movements in several battles; merchants who roamed back and forth...

All these caused this terrible disease to break out uncontrollably in the Western Regions.

People in the Central Plains have a strong immunity to smallpox, but they have been tortured for too many years. The Junggar tribe, which has been nomadic, is not like the Torghut tribe, who often follows the Tsarist Russia to fight in Europe. They have very poor resistance to smallpox.

Over the years, the tribes suffered heavy casualties and the population has dropped sharply.

On the other hand, Dashun adopted a policy similar to that of dealing with the Mongols in the south of the desert and the Khalkha Mongols, restricting migration and dividing into small pieces.

At the same time, a terrible lock was added.

Bastion.

The construction of several important places has been completed. Relying on the Hancheng composed of the population that migrated there, equipped with a bastion system, cannons and flintlock bayonets, even if there was no smallpox, the Junggar tribe would not have the ability to resist.

And after being divided into small tribes, whoever resists will die, and the grassland tribe will belong to others.

Encourage reporting and exposing.

Split and disintegrate. If you do well, you can go to Beijing to live a good life. If you don’t do well, you will have to herd sheep here.

If there is a rebellion, Dashun will send artillery and infantry, and the rest of the tribes will send cavalry. If you win, you will divide the grassland and population.

After a set of combined punches, those who have the heart to resist will also have to weigh themselves.

In this case, Russia actually has no threat to Dashun.

Historically, after Russia decided to move westward, it instigated a rebellion by Dawachi Choros and others in Junggar; it received news of a sudden fire in the Ottoman capital that burned for two days and one night, and a large-scale anti-Turkish uprising broke out in Egypt and Baghdad; it learned that the Afshar dynasty fell into civil strife after the destruction of Safavid Persia, and the feudal lords fought endlessly.

Ensuring that there were no worries, it finally strengthened its determination to move westward.

And now, Dashun's rule over the Western Regions has gradually stabilized.

In recent years, the emperor of Dashun is still quite rich. On the one hand, there are profits from Mongolian trade, and on the other hand, there are incomes from Japanese trade. These internal treasury incomes can be spent as much as possible.

The 200,000 immigrants and seven cities in the Western Regions, as well as more than 20 bastion chains, which were bought with money, are all important bargaining chips for the final signing of the Northwest Boundary Treaty.

The iron must be strong before it can be forged. Even with the advantages of the external environment and the European war situation, if there is no stability in the internal rule, this boundary treaty is not so easy to sign.

At the same time, Bestuyev was also quite afraid of Dashun's consistent practice of "being good at seizing opportunities" in recent years.

Not only is it meaningless to go to war with Dashun, but it is also possible to destroy the fur trade and rhubarb trade. These are important treasury incomes for Russia.

In addition, Bestuyev seriously suspected that Liu Yu, who could even turn a coup into a one-stop service, could not fail to use the Torghut tribe.

Since the three people all agreed that declaring war on China was unacceptable, the overall tone was set.

The starting points of the three people were different, but the conclusions were the same.

After summarizing, Bestuyev put forward an opinion.

"Your Majesty, there is no trust between us and Dashun, and our westward advance and their southward advance are the basis of our trust."

"Only when we trust each other can we advance westward and they advance southward."

"And conversely, only when they advance southward and we advance westward can this trust be achieved."

"But now, the initiative of this trust is in the hands of Dashun. We should advocate that they show us sincerity first."

"They can promote an alliance between Turkey, Sweden, France, and China at any time. They can also incite the rebellion of the Torghut tribe at any time. But we have no way to take corresponding countermeasures."

"Since he wants us to advance westward, they should show sincerity first. Of course, I support advancing westward, but now we have to consider the attitude of the powerful empire in the east."

Hannibal and Elizabeth also agreed with this, mainly because Liu Yu had done too much diplomatic fraud against Russia before.

The initial Sino-French alliance and then sending Swedish prisoners of war back, it can be said that Dashun really has no sincerity in the eyes of the Russians.

As Bestuyev said, Dashun controls the initiative. The so-called sincerity means that Dashun should take the initiative to move south and take the lead in expressing trust in Russia.

Or... during the talks, Russia can hint at Liu Yu and mention the matter of moving south to see what Liu Yu's attitude is.

Queen Elizabeth thought for a moment and said, "I will invite him to the summer palace for hunting before the coronation ceremony. In private, I will talk to him about the trust between the two sides."

"He wants to sign the Sino-Russian non-aggression treaty and urge us to move westward. He always needs to let us know what the trust basis of this treaty is. We do not invade each other and let Russia move westward. Will they, Dashun, not move and not take advantage of this era of expansion to seize territory?"

Hannibal thought about what Dashun had done in the past few years and nodded, "Yes, Dashun can't just sit still. In a short period of time, they have fought three wars."

"Against us, against Dzungar, and against Japan."

"These three wars were all small-scale wars for them, and they reaped great benefits. Their war potential has not only not decreased, but has greatly increased."

"They can't just sit still."

Bestuev sighed and thought that the future situation in Europe and Russia's diplomatic strategy would have to consider Dashun's attitude.

The current situation in Europe is almost doomed. Austria is doomed, especially after it is speculated that Dashun may go south to declare war on the Netherlands.

However, almost is almost after all.

The world is chaotic, and things are universally connected.

The situation of the European war and the subsequent diplomatic issues are far more complicated than Bestuyev thought at this time. Bestuyev has not yet considered the biggest variable, Prussia's midway defection.

Because he still doesn't know what kind of person this monarch who just wrote "Anti-Machiavelli" last year, opposed unjust wars, and opposed perfidy, is.

In the originally chaotic system, once the weird variable of Dashun is added, no one can guess the direction of the world pattern in the future.

While Elizabeth and others were discussing what Liu Yu wanted, Liu Yu was also thinking about how to lay the foundation for the subsequent diplomacy to promote the tripartite alliance of China, France and Russia.

This time, through the Russian coup, Dashun made a beautiful appearance in Europe, and finally had the opportunity to intervene in European affairs, and what he said would not be regarded as fart by Europeans.

But the appearance only obtained the qualification to take the "diplomatic" exam.

What really needs to be done is to promote the ultimate goal in the subsequent complex diplomatic revolution.

Especially around Russia's attitude, how can we get involved in the "palace fight" between diplomats and spies from Britain, Prussia, France and Austria in the Petersburg court to achieve the interests of Dashun.

Liu Yu is sure that before the coronation ceremony of Queen Elizabeth, Elizabeth will choose to meet with him and discuss some things in secret.

This is obvious.

And this meeting will lay a good foundation for future diplomacy.

Liu Yu's overall goal has not changed, that is, to fight against Britain, take over India, open up the European and American markets, and get ways to smuggle or ship goods.

Letting Russia go west actually has nothing to do with the Netherlands.

The Netherlands, a little trash, does not need Russia to come west to help, and it can't help much.

Although Russian monarchs often have idiots and fools, idiots also have to have a material basis for doing things.

Peter III could do something stupid and withdraw the army in Prussia, but he didn't have the ability to order 100,000 Russian troops to cross the Siberian wilderness to fight against Dashun.

Dashun's logistics consumption for fighting Junggar was in the order of tens of millions of taels. Russia was so poor, how could it support an army that could threaten Dashun?

If he knew what Bestuyev said, "Russia's westward advance and Dashun's southward advance are the basis of mutual trust between the two sides", he would definitely laugh at Bestuyev for "taking himself too seriously".