Rebirth 2008: I Can Make Money Reading
Vol 2 Chapter 307: NCMS one.zero
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(The content of this chapter is a bit messy, sorry, if you are not interested in technology, you can not order it)
These new energy vehicle lithium battery technologies searched by Muyang include lithium iron phosphate (lfp) batteries, ternary lithium batteries (mainly ncm), lithium manganate batteries, and lithium titanate batteries.
Among them, ternary lithium and lithium iron phosphate (lfp) have the most technologies, and Mu Yang probably took a look.
Through the introduction, he estimated that the advanced level of these battery technologies has reached the situation in 2023, and now various auto factories have begun to study new energy vehicles. Only YD entered the industry earlier, and launched the plug-in YD in 2008. f3dm, the earliest pure electric vehicle was the Yadi e6 launched in 2010.
In fact, in 2014, new energy vehicles only started. In the first half of the year, the domestic sales of new energy vehicles were 20,477, while the total national car sales in the first half of the year were 11.68 million, which means that the sales of new energy vehicles accounted for less than 0.2%!
In September, sales began to increase significantly due to favorable policies such as the exemption of purchase tax for new energy vehicles.
For example, in this year, the original price of the BYD Qin (plug-in) launched in 2012 was 189,800 yuan. After enjoying financial subsidies, the car price dropped to 123,300 yuan.
However, it will not start to break out until 2020 with the increase in sales of public charging piles. Especially in 2022, oil prices will skyrocket, the battery life of new energy vehicles will increase, and the market share will skyrocket.
Muyang is now entering new energy vehicle batteries. If new energy vehicles can be launched before 2014, sales will definitely not be very good.
Of course, this is the layout of Xinghai Group. Muyang did not give up entering the battery industry because of low sales. In a few years, he will be blocked by Yadi and Ningde Times Card.
Between ternary lithium and lithium iron phosphate, Muyang first plans to develop ternary lithium batteries.
Ningde Times was established on December 16, 2011, and it is estimated that the company is currently in preparation.
In 2021, Ningde Times is already a behemoth with a market value of 1.6 trillion yuan.
If Muyang enters into new energy vehicle batteries, if the two parties do not cooperate, there will definitely be business conflicts with Ningde Times and Yadi in the future.
These two companies are admired by Muyang, but Xinghai Group is the only way to enter the battery industry, and will not give up entering the battery industry because of loyalty issues.
Technology shares in two companies?
Now that the market value of BYD is very high, it is unlikely that it will become a shareholder; and the Ningde era has not yet been established, Xinghai Group still has the opportunity to even acquire it.
Of course, cooperation is also possible, not necessarily conflict.
For example, Xinghai Group only provides technical solutions and production lines, and cooperates with two companies to produce new energy vehicle batteries. Xinghai Group does not need to spend too much money to compete for lithium resources.
Competing for lithium resources requires a lot of capital, and there is a backlog of funds. It is best to set up a listed company and use other people's money to hoard lithium resources, so as not to be stuck with raw materials.
With technology and production lines as shares, Muyang does not need to spend too much time on it in the future, as long as it has the right to speak in this new and new energy industry.
At present, Xinghai Group has cooperated with various automobile factories to sell aluminum alloy automobile plates. If they build their own cars, the automobile factories will definitely not be happy. There is a conflict in strategic cooperation, unless the cooperative automobile factories are allowed to take shares in Xinghai Group's new energy vehicles. company.
Of course, you can also play your own, buy lithium resources, and provide lithium batteries for various auto factories.
There are a variety of cooperation options, and Muyang can't think of which one is suitable for Xinghai Group.
It is better to develop lithium batteries first. As long as you have advanced lithium battery technology, you will have an advantage in negotiating with various companies.
After reading the introduction of new energy vehicle battery technology, Mu Yang already had a choice in his heart.
"An advanced ternary lithium battery"
[Introduction: The use of new battery pack structure technology can improve the utilization of space and improve the specific energy. The ternary high nickel can reach 260wh/kg, which can enable pure electric vehicles to achieve 1000 kilometers of battery life with less attenuation. The use of new electrolysis The liquid lithium hexafluorophosphate technology makes the battery safer... 】
[nbsp;s1.0, international top level, price: 100 achievement points]
There are many subject requirements, mainly chemical chemistry, which is a subject that Muyang rarely learns, such as electrochemistry level 7 and inorganic materials level 6.
After reading the introduction, Mu Yang found exactly what he needed and the most suitable lithium battery technology for new energy vehicles. No more advanced lithium battery technology could be found.
Light up the subjects that are not lighted up.
Then, buy!
It hurts to lose 100 achievement points all of a sudden.
A long time ago, he knew that there are many achievements in new energy vehicle battery technology, and he has been reluctant to buy it.
absorb knowledge points,
Suddenly, his head swelled, and he felt that a lot of knowledge and memory about new energy vehicle battery technology flooded into his mind, mainly the knowledge of ternary lithium batteries, the molecular formula of ncm, solid-phase method, liquid-phase method, Battery pack technology, how to improve energy density, knowledge of salt lake lithium, ore lithium and clay lithium... The ratio and manufacturing of electrolytes also include the principles, design drawings, design instructions, and calculation books of battery packs, not just design , as well as its manufacturing process and supporting process equipment, the proposed plant size, how to plan... and the final assembly process.
A few minutes later, Muyang had a very deep understanding of new energy vehicle batteries.
For example, in terms of lithium resources, the global lithium resources are mainly dominated by salt lake lithium, ore lithium and clay lithium.
Lithium resources in salt lake brine account for about 80% of the world's total reserves. my country's lithium resources are mainly concentrated in salt lake brine in Tibet and Qinghai, spodumene in Sichuan (Ganzi and Aba) and lepidolite in Jiangxi.
Salt lake brine is mainly distributed in the ecologically fragile areas of Qinghai Plateau, with inconvenient transportation and underdevelopment, and is mainly dominated by spodumene.
For example, the core competitiveness of electrolytes lies in process control and formulation, while the solute is the core of electrolytes. Lithium hexafluorophosphate is currently the most widely used lithium salt in commercial applications, and it is also one of the fields with high entry barriers in electrolytes and even lithium-ion battery materials. .
The main problem of lithium hexafluorophosphate as an electrolyte is its poor thermal stability and moisture stability, which is also one of the keys to solving battery safety.
Mu Yang also knew that the meaning of "kwh", which is commonly known as the battery capacity of one kilowatt hour.
Later generations often heard people say that your battery is 70 kWh or 100 kWh. Muyang used to be vague about this concept.
Muyang is more concerned about the manufacturing cost of ternary lithium batteries and how high its profits are.
Now, he probably knows that the cost of ternary lithium battery is roughly composed of = cathode material cost 51% (ie positive electrode: lithium nickel cobalt Meng) + manufacturing and depreciation cost 24% + anode 12% (negative electrode, natural or synthetic graphite) + diaphragm 7 % + electrolyte 4% (the main solute is lithium hexafluorophosphate, and the main solvent is carbonate) + 3% of other materials such as shell.
If ternary is used, taking the LG product used by Tesla as an example, the material can be decomposed, 51.75kwh. According to the disassembly, the weight of the battery cell is 201.68kg.
Among them, the weight of the positive electrode material is 80kg, the corresponding weight of nickel is 65.57kg, and the weight of cobalt is 4.8kg.
If according to the current market situation in August 2011, according to the price of 100,000 yuan per ton (100 yuan/kg), the price of nickel is 6,550 yuan, and the price of cobalt is 350,000 yuan (350 yuan/kg) per ton, and the corresponding price is 1,679 yuan. Yuan, the total is about 8229 yuan~www.readwn.com~ For example, the solute lithium hexafluorophosphate in the electrolyte was domestically produced last year, but the price is not cheap, about 100,000 yuan per ton.
The price of lithium carbonate required for lithium iron phosphate batteries is also very expensive, about 180,000 yuan per ton and so on.
Therefore, a set of ternary lithium battery pack with 51 kWh of electricity costs about 20,000 yuan.
In 2021, the cost of replacing the battery for consumers: 1100-850 yuan/kwh, according to Tesla's battery pack, that is, a set of battery pack replacement requires 40,000-55,000 yuan.
Of course, that is the case in 2021!
Before 2012, in order to recover the cost of research and development as soon as possible, the battery premium was many times, so the newly launched electric vehicle was very expensive. For example, the Yadi e6, which was launched in 2010, has a guide price of 369,800 yuan, and the battery power is 57 kWh. The theoretical battery life 300 km.
And it is still a compact mpv, the length of the car is 4560, and the motor is only 122 horsepower. In ten years, any car that costs hundreds of thousands will hoist it.
Muyang purchased the ternary lithium battery technology, and spent another 20 achievement points to purchase the corresponding battery charging technology.
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