The rise of nanometers

Eastern Time in North America, overnight.

Americans who have just woken up from their sleepy eyes are like domestic pigs who have no worries about eating and drinking, repeating a beautiful day.

New York.

Inside an ordinary small apartment.

A piercing alarm sounded in the small alarm clock on the bedside table. A furry hand stretched out from the quilt, and the alarm stopped suddenly.

"Robert, if you don't get up, you will be late."

Hearing the sound outside the door, the young man in bed had to leave his beloved bed and return to the troubled world of the human world.

Dragging heavy steps, he brushed his teeth, washed his face and shaved listlessly. Looking at himself in the mirror, there was a trace of disgust in Robert's dead eyes.

After washing and dressing up, he grabbed a sandwich and a bottle of yogurt and walked slowly outside. His back looked like a walking zombie or a dull mechanical puppet.

Walking through the streets, the high-rise buildings made of reinforced concrete look like a steel jungle or an endless iron cage.

When Robert got off the subway station, a familiar smell of urine hit his face. He had long been accustomed to this smell and sat numbly in his seat.

Opposite him was a middle-aged man with distracted eyes. His eyes were always wandering, and he would smile strangely from time to time, or murmur to himself some nonsensical words.

At first glance, you can tell that he has taken too much and is hallucinating. Such addicts are everywhere in New York.

To his left was an old man with a beard wearing strange clothes. The man was flipping through the New York Times: "Oh, what? The Eastern Iron Curtain? We are heading for decline..."

The old man seemed to be a redneck, and he began to curse while reading the newspaper.

Robert glanced at the newspaper from the corner of his eye. It was the newspaper that had just been published by the New York Times in the morning. On the first page of the first page, there was a shocking headline - "The Iron Curtain is coming to the East, but we are declining." 》

The old man saw Robert and handed the newspaper over: "I've finished reading it. Young man, do you need it?"

"Thanks!"

Robert took the newspaper and read its contents with an indifferent expression. Soon he learned that the New York Times was talking about the Iron Curtain. The Chinese had invented a very powerful defense system that claimed to be able to defend 100% against missile attacks. .

Although he felt that the New York Times was bragging, when he thought about the bragging made by the Chinese in the past few years, it seemed that all the bragging had become facts.

But he quickly put this matter behind him. Although the decline of the United States may have made him feel a little hesitant, what did the rise of China have to do with him?

Robert had no interest in the Eastern world, but he was even more disgusted with the arms dealers who continued to wage war and the vampires on Wall Street.

When the subway arrived, he left the newspaper on his seat.

At around 9:30, he opened the company door and said hello to several colleagues.

"Robert, please do an analysis of the recent international crude oil market. Erin, you are also involved in this matter. I will report it this afternoon." The bald director held a cigar in his mouth and breathed out a stench.

"OK." Erin stood up and made a gesture.

Robert nodded, then turned around and opened his office computer to read recent international news and various market research reports.

The House Financial Investment Company where he works is just an inconspicuous financial shrimp in the international metropolis of New York.

Robert, who worked as an intern analyst for Goldman Sachs, was actually a very powerful financial analyst. But for some unknown reason, he refused Goldman Sachs' offer to stay and resolutely chose such an inconspicuous small company.

After looking through the information on the computer for a long time, the blonde Erin came over with some information: "Robert, this is the information you want. I found this information from OPEC, Aramco, Mobil and other crude oil producers."

"Thank you." Robert continued to look through the information, extracting some data from time to time and recording it in his notebook.

More than half an hour later, he looked at the data he had compiled and fell into deep thought.

32.71 million tons!

This is the amount of crude oil that China has purchased from various crude oil producers around the world at a mark-up price in the past two months.

As China has increased its crude oil purchases and OPEC has cut production, international oil prices have soared to a peak of 137.6 yuan.

But after reading all the information, Robert had an ominous premonition in his heart. He counted China's crude oil import purchases in the past 10 years. If the development trend is followed, their crude oil consumption this year should not be so urgent.

"Increase reserves to ensure the stability of domestic crude oil supply?"

This reason seemed reasonable, but after in-depth analysis, Robert discovered something unusual.

For example, gas vehicles are being vigorously promoted. If the promotion goes smoothly, China's fuel consumption should decrease year by year.

Turning his chair, he twirled his ballpoint pen and shouted, "Eileen."

"Robert, what's the matter?"

"Help me check the quantity of refined oil products exported by China, as well as the export status of crude oil from Lucia and Central Asia."

"no problem."

Robert's hand stopped turning the pen, then recalled the phone numbers of several Chinese classmates, picked up the phone and dialed them.

Toot…

"Hello?"

"Bruce Lee, it's me, Robert Haas."

"Oh! Long time no see. How are you lately?"

The two chatted for a few minutes before Robert revealed his purpose: "Bruce, I am currently doing market analysis for a natural gas company. I heard that you are promoting gas vehicles there. I hope you can help me do a market survey on the price." 5,000 yuan.”

The person on the other end of the phone hesitated for a moment: "...Robert, tell me what you are investigating first, otherwise I won't dare agree to it."

"It's very simple. Please help me investigate 10 random gas stations. How many cars fill up with gas a day? It's best to have gas stations in different cities. Our company needs to evaluate the future gas vehicle market."

"So simple?"

"That's it, I'll send you the money later."

"OK."

The two hung up the phone, and Robert remitted 2,000 yuan to the other party. He then called two other classmates and asked them to collect information for him at the same price.

The three people didn't pay too much attention. They each posted a request for help online, offered a reward of 1,000 yuan, and collected the daily gas refueling volume of dozens of gas stations.

When this data came to Robert across the ocean, he transferred the remaining money.

In the dead of night, like a night owl, Robert was analyzing these data in front of the computer in his room.

After a series of comparisons, he found that the growth rate of gas vehicles in China was very high and not as low as various public data.

If the current growth rate of gas vehicles is followed, the overall proportion of gas vehicles in China will increase to about 34% to 36% around 2015.

Together with the thermoelectric power generation system and solar panels, it can save about half of the fuel.

Robert discovered a very scary fact, that is, China's demand for crude oil will decrease year by year in the next 10 years.

And the rate of decline will be very sharp, from consumption of 450 million tons in 2010 to 320 million tons in 2015.

To reduce the consumption of crude oil by 130 million tons, we must know that China's own crude oil production is about 200 million tons per year, which means that the part of the decrease is most likely the imported part.

Robert frowned. Crude oil consumption will decrease year by year, but this year China's two oil companies purchased large quantities of crude oil in the international market and stopped exporting refined oil.

One round at a time is equivalent to more than 60 million tons of crude oil reserves, and looking at this pace, the two barrels of oil have no intention of stopping.

"Is it just for reserves that they buy so much crude oil? If it is just for reserves, there is no need to be so anxious, right?"

Questions emerged in Robert's mind, leaving him puzzled.

On the scratch paper, he listed a series of possible reasons and then eliminated them, while Robert was lost in thought.

Suddenly an idea flashed in his mind, and he remembered the contents of the New York Times on the subway the day before yesterday.

"If all this is to completely get rid of the control of international crude oil producers, then..." He took out a new piece of scratch paper and started writing on it.

Soon, several data were calculated on the draft paper. Looking at these data, Robert estimated a timetable.

"If they want to completely get rid of the control of international crude oil suppliers, they must reserve 180 million tons of crude oil, and at the same time increase the proportion of gas vehicles to 50%. Finally, they will force fuel vehicles to turn into gas vehicles. The fastest time is February 2013. .”

Robert seemed to see clearly the future context.

But he didn't know that he had missed two things, that is, technological advances in coal-to-liquid and shale oil would lead to a further increase in China's own crude oil production.

This calculation error is absolutely fatal to financial speculators.

Although he didn't want to cooperate with those vampires, Robert still had some love for this country in his heart. He compiled the results of his analysis into a report and sent it to an old acquaintance of Goldman Sachs.

the next morning.

Goldman Sachs headquarters.

Green Stout, the chief analyst of the market analysis department, saw Robert's research report. After reading it carefully, his face became solemn and he hurried to the president's office.

"President Lord, I think you need to take a look at this research report."

Seeing the serious Green, Lauder put other things aside and opened the document. His expression did not change.

"It seems that our Eastern friends are doing something dangerous."

Green asked cautiously: "Mr. President, what do we need to do?"

"Go and invite this Mr. Robert to come work at Goldman Sachs and make him forget about this matter." Lauder ordered calmly.

Green, who was a little embarrassed, shook his head and replied: "Mr. President, this may be a bit difficult. He has rejected several invitations from major investment banks before. I'm not sure."

"Give it a try. If it doesn't work, I'll think of another way." There was a ruthless chill in the depths of Lauder's eyes.

Green remained silent and immediately left the president's office.

Watching Green's leaving figure, Lauder tapped the research report with his fingers, and took one last look at the name: I hope you are a smart person.

Half an hour later, several senior executives from Goldman Sachs appeared in the president's office.

"What suggestions do you have?"

Barron, the vice president in charge of international crude oil futures, has deep-set eye sockets with white circles after long-term tanning, like an evil ghost rising from hell. He said with a smile:

"The other party has purchased more than 30 million tons of crude oil. If I guess correctly, the 180 million tons reserve is just the bottom line. To ensure rapid development, they should reserve more than 240 million tons. This will not be possible until the beginning of 2014. Reserve work.”

"Barron, are you going to vote?" Another vice president asked with a smile.

"Why not?" Barron stood up, spread his hands and smiled: "This is a good opportunity. Domestic shale oil production is not small. We can take advantage of the high price and sell part of it to the other party. As long as it is completed before the end of this year During delivery, you can also go long on crude oil futures.”

After hearing Barron's plan, Lauder also laughed: "Then let this document be made public next year, but Barron, you have to control the quantity sold and don't let the other party's crude oil reserves exceed 80 million tons."

"clear."

This research report is in the hands of Goldman Sachs, and they naturally have to make good use of it. If they don't take advantage of it, then they are not Goldman Sachs.

Once this research report is made public, it will instantly arouse the vigilance of oil-producing countries around the world. In order to prevent the fat sheep from breaking out of control, they will inevitably join forces to cut off the supply of crude oil.

Even Lucia would probably turn her back on him.

While making money, they can isolate and attack China. At the same time, they can make a lot of money again through the futures market.

The little calculations of Lord, Barron and others are clattering, and the greed of the capitalists is vividly demonstrated. The appetite that can never be satisfied is like the black hole trying to swallow everything.

afternoon.

Goldman Sachs' management completed internal communication and began to arrange various tasks, preparing to reap a severe blow.

Barron, who is in charge of international crude oil, personally went to Texas to talk to those shale oil producers.

This side.

Robert also made a decision.

Inside Lord's office.

"Mr. President, Robert agreed to come and work, but he has conditions. He hopes to resign from the company after the document is released." Green reported nervously.

The corners of Laalder's mouth rose: "He is a smart man. I agree. When the matter is completed, I will give him a bonus of 10 million."

"No problem, I'll inform him right away."

Laald expected Robert's choice. He had worked at Goldman Sachs, so he should know the power of capital.

Knowing this kind of secret, apart from joining a big investment bank like Goldman Sachs and collaborating, the other options are either to be run over by an unexpected truck or to be targeted by a psychotic gunman.

With the entry of Goldman Sachs, the situation in the international crude oil market has become even more bizarre.

Barron took a plane to Texas and immediately obtained a large amount of shale oil from local shale oil producers. He also contacted shale oil producers in other regions through Mobil Oil.

Then, through the relationship with Samba, the shale oil was transferred to two barrels of oil through a backdoor. In less than a week, Goldman Sachs, as a middleman, made hundreds of millions of dollars.

Although they know that they are playing with fire, Goldman Sachs, with its bold talents, believes that as long as the global supply this year is controlled at around 80 million tons, there will be no problem.

In January next year, they will release that research report, which will kill three birds with one stone.

It's a pity that they don't know the serious consequences of their misjudgment. This consequence is like that domino. Once it falls, it will be difficult to stop.

This misjudgment was actually caused by the smoke bomb of the Domestic Energy Alliance.

Such as shale oil exploitation and coal-to-liquid refining process, these are confidential data. Various domestic oil fields are increasing their power in mining, but not many people know about it.

After production, the shale oil of Southern Petrochemical and Northern Petrochemical and the coal-to-liquids of various coal groups were sealed up and not sold on the market.

As a result, many real situations are unknown to the outside world.