The Son of Finance of the Great Age
Chapter 889: Arrogant Deutsche Bank
Chapter 889 Arrogant German Bank
You must know that if you can know the news about the implementation of QE in Europe in advance, for a financial giant like Zhongshi, the benefits you can get can hardly be measured by numbers.
Not to mention anything else, the change in the exchange rate after the implementation of QE alone can increase Zhongshi's wealth by as much as 50%. Based on his current net worth of nearly 400 billion U.S. dollars, this part of his wealth has reached as much as 200 billion U.S. dollars.
Not to mention the benefits of the capital market, interest rate market, and derivatives markets.
It is no exaggeration to say that if the female prime minister confirms the news to Zhong Shi so that he can make arrangements in advance, then Zhong Shi's wealth is likely to more than double in the next few years.
It is not impossible for the first trillion-dollar millionaire to appear in the entire history of mankind!
And these wealth are basically taken from the pockets of Europeans.
So even though she was very shocked in her heart, the female prime minister still resisted the violent shock in her heart, and tried her best to make a curious and inquiring gesture, just to confuse Zhong Shi at this time.
"Well..."
While thinking about his speech, he secretly observed the expression of the female prime minister, but to Zhong Shi's disappointment, there was no expression change on the female prime minister's face at all, not even a tiny muscle twitch, which was exactly what he expected The situation is quite different. Immediately, he could only say honestly, "I made my judgment based on the data and the economic situation."
"After the U.S. QE policy has come to an end, although the recent economic data is not good, it is unlikely to restart the QE policy again. The Fed is caught in a dilemma between preventing inflation and economic growth, so it is very likely to continue to implement ultra-low interest rates in the short term. Policy, this cycle may last as long as two to three years. In Japan, the long-term deflation has led them to implement a policy of low interest rates and excessive currency issuance, but even so, their economic growth is still pitiful. In the case of sluggish economic growth, the possibility of them implementing negative interest rates or even QE cannot be ruled out."
"Huaxia has also implemented a proactive fiscal policy and invested huge sums of money in infrastructure construction. Such measures will at least ensure that they will maintain high-speed economic growth in the next two or three years, and will even become the engine of the entire world economy. And Europe, which is still in the midst of a debt crisis, is in a slightly embarrassing situation compared to several other major economies."
"On the one hand, it is weak economic growth, and on the other hand, it is the ultra-high unemployment rate. The increase in unemployment benefits will lead to financial deterioration. In order to make up for this income, the whole of Europe must introduce a strong economic stimulus policy. It can ensure that the debt crisis does not spread and worsen. Because countries have lost their monetary policies, if they only stimulate their own economic policies, they can only choose fiscal policies, but in the current situation, they can only use small-scale Domestic economic stimulus, because if the fiscal deficit is too large, it is likely to cause international speculators to attack them, and make them fall into the debt crisis. However, the effect of small-scale fiscal stimulus policies to finally revive the economy may not be very effective. optimistic."
"As the central government of the European Union, it should be under a lot of pressure during this period. On the one hand, how to choose the formulation of monetary policy in the face of the uneven economic development of various countries; on the other hand, under the pressure of rescue, it needs to Loans must be recovered within the stipulated time, and the economic development of the rescue country must be guaranteed. For France and Germany, there is inflationary pressure, so the game of monetary policy should be the key issue of European countries recently.”
"Exactly as you said!"
Regarding Zhong Shi’s analysis, the female prime minister did not deny at all, “According to your analysis, what will the European monetary policy look like next?”
As Zhong Shi predicted, during this period of time, the European Union is engaged in a fierce game on monetary policy. Several countries that are deeply in debt crisis strongly request the European Central Bank to implement a monetary policy that releases water, that is, to invest a large amount of funds in the market to solve debts. crisis. For France and Germany, they worry that too much money injection will lead to inflation in their countries. The two sides have been quarreling over this issue for several months, and so far there has been no way to reach a compromise.
The female prime minister had an idea, and wanted to see if Zhong Shi, an outsider, had a better solution.
"In fact, the whole thing has no possibility of returning to normal, unless Europe abandons the policy of monetary integration!"
It is a pity that Zhong Shi directly poured cold water on her, "From the perspective of France and Germany, there is nothing wrong with their resistance to the policy of easy money, because their fiscal revenue is enough to support their economic stimulus policy, and they They are not in debt crisis either. But for other countries, it is only a matter of time before they are in debt crisis.”
"If you are not willing to make sacrifices, then the ultimate monetary decision is to cut interest rates first, and even implement a policy of negative interest rates on institutions at some point, in the hope that they will lend out all the positions they have on hand. But if these tricks fail In the end, Europe can only choose the policy of QE. Although France and Germany will not agree very willingly, if they want to maintain European integration, they must make sacrifices."
Zhong Shi spread his hands at the end, and said clearly, "There is no way to do this. But in my opinion, it is better to directly implement the QE policy, which saves a lot of time and can recover the European economy as soon as possible; another On the one hand, it can also let other countries see Germany's determination to maintain European integration."
“Political stuff is complicated!”
The female prime minister couldn't help but waved her hand after a while, and said to Zhong Shi, "Many times what I say doesn't count, and what they say doesn't count. A balance can only be achieved through complex games. Perhaps this balance is not the best , but certainly the most acceptable."
"Whether QE will be implemented in Europe is related to another matter!"
Although they were discussing the economic situation in Europe, the female prime minister did not relax her vigilance against Zhong Shi at all, and she did not reveal a word, which made Zhong Shi secretly admire while being disappointed. However, he failed and made another plan, "That is, what I wanted to promise you at the beginning, if I deal a heavy blow to the speculators all over the world. If you can give me a clear answer, then I can arrange it now This is the plan."
"What kind of plan is this?"
The female prime minister was still not fooled, and just asked plainly, "Don't expect to inquire about this level of secrets. Tell your plan first and see if it is possible to implement it. If the time is right, I will naturally tell you yours."
"Is such that…"
The other party’s tone was so strict, Zhong Shi felt helpless, he had no choice but to tell the female prime minister the whole plan, “In this way, the funds from all over the world may pour in, and then we will catch them by surprise and guarantee Let them spit out all the previous earnings."
"Is this appropriate?"
After listening to Zhong Shi's narration, the female prime minister showed a rare dignified face, pondered for a while, and then said, "If this is the case, the whole matter will be too big, and I am afraid that the other party will not cooperate. !"
"But what if I bring Huaxia in?"
Zhong Shi smiled strangely, and continued, "Germany is implementing Industrialization 4.0 to eliminate the current industrial system. I think even these outdated equipment have a broad market in China. If we can reach an agreement on this If so, I think the Huaxia government doesn't mind helping them. In this way, wouldn't it be a win-win situation for all three parties?"
"this…"
The expression of the female prime minister finally changed, and she was silent for a long time before she said, "At least so far, Europe has no plans for QE, so your plan cannot be realized for the time being. But if the time comes, I will I hope you are ready for everything."
This sentence is basically equivalent to giving Zhong Shi a guarantee, and he immediately nodded overjoyed.
…
Frankfurt, the headquarters of Deutsche Bank.
After the talks with the Prime Minister in Berlin, Zhong Shi, Ivana and others rushed to Frankfurt, where they will discuss LIBOR with the top German officials.
Founded in 1870, Deutsche Bank is one of the largest banks in the world. This is a commercial bank, as well as an investment bank, engaged in two kinds of banking business all over the world. At present, this bank has branches all over the world, and its total assets exceed 1.5 trillion euros, making it a real giant.
The current Deutsche Bank is listed in Paris, Vienna, Geneva, London, Frankfurt and other places, and its shareholding is very dispersed. This listing method is to prevent the risk of being acquired.
The current chairman of Deutsche Bank is Joseph Ackermann, a German born in Switzerland.
"Hey, hey, what are you doing?"
When Zhong Shi and others walked into the entrance of the Deutsche Bank Building, a burly security guard came over, pointed at the three of them and shouted in German, "This is not a public place, people who are idle are not allowed to enter, you know ?"
"Don't worry, let me do it!"
Zhong Shi and the others were stunned for a moment. At this time, Ivana took the initiative to ask Ying, "I'll communicate with him." After she finished speaking, she took the initiative to greet him and began to talk with the security guard in German.
"Before that, didn't you call and tell them we were coming?"
Zhong Shi felt very strange, because according to business etiquette, the senior executives of Deutsche Bank should greet them at the door. Although Tianyu Fund is nothing more than a little guy in front of Deutsche Bank, no financial institution in the world would dare to underestimate this "little guy".
"Of course I informed them!"
Jiang Shan couldn't help feeling a little aggrieved, and quickly replied, "I called their chairman's office directly, and a female secretary received them. I told them the exact time and reason. God knows how this happened. !"
"Maybe they were negligent!"
Now, Zhong Shi has no way to blame anyone, so he can only comfort himself, "Although this situation is rare, it doesn't mean it won't happen. If it is the case, let's wait and see!"
"Damn it, they won't let us in!"
While the two were waiting, Ivana came back angrily, and she swears at the first sentence, "These security guards actually said that they had not received relevant notices. Moreover, they confirmed with the chairman's office that there is no There is no such thing as us coming to visit! Damn it, these guys look down on people."
"If it was in my department, I would definitely want them to look good!" She said fiercely secretly, obviously very angry.
"what?"
Zhong Shi was taken aback, and couldn't help but glance at Jiang Shan again. This glance made Jiang Shan sweat profusely, and he quickly took out his cell phone and started calling.
"Does it mean that people from Deutsche Bank don't plan to meet us?"
Here, Ivana was still angry, and kept complaining, "Damn it, they are just a bank, and they put on such a big air. Don't they know that we are saving them?"
"At this point, it's still unclear what's going on, so don't draw conclusions for now!"
Zhong Shi said lightly, but there was already a hint of ruthlessness in his eyes, "We'll see what's going on when their people show up!"
He is a little upset!
Thanks to book friends Xingyu Wang, Oliver Zhuangzhu, and cpower for voting monthly tickets! Thanks to Li Gezi for the chapter praise! Thank you very much for the strong support of all book friends. This book has finally recovered from the downturn. I hope that the results of this book will improve completely. I look forward to gaining the support of more book friends. Thank you very much~
(end of this chapter)
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