Three Kingdoms: My Strategy Simulator.

Sima Yi's words also garnered the approval of many disciples.

The treacherous villain, 'Family Slave with Three Surnames,' even had both of his adoptive fathers die at his hands. Would such a person abide by an alliance?

Xu Shu's deduction might be the best decision Yuan Shu could make now: using 'Nanyang Commandery' as a condition to ally with Lü Bu, sharing the pressure from Liu Bei through Lü Bu, and then having the opportunity for the two Yuans to meet in兖Zhou.

But Lü Bu is a fickle person, and considering things from Lü Bu's perspective, how could he willingly do something that benefits others?

It is true that Liu Bei is powerful, but precisely because Liu Bei is powerful, Lü Bu may not be willing to fight Liu Bei to the death even if he gets Nanyang Commandery.

On the contrary, after getting Nanyang Commandery, he might tear up the alliance and tacitly join forces with Liu Bei to divide Yuan Shu, lest Lü Bu, who suffers losses after the Yuan family grows stronger, be reduced to fish meat at the mercy of the Yuan family. This is the most beneficial approach for Lü Bu.

And if the two families divide Yuan Shu equally, even if Yu Province is taken by Liu Bei, Lü Bu will still hold Si隸, Nanyang Commandery, and Yan Province, not necessarily lacking the strength to fight Liu Bei.

Thus, the dispute arose.

Xu Shu believes that Yuan Shu would not be a fool. If he gives Nanyang Commandery to Lü Bu for alliance, he must have a way to prevent Lü Bu from turning around and biting him.

However, Sima Yi judged that no matter how they allied, Lü Bu would not choose to fight Liu Bei to the death after getting Nanyang Commandery, but would instead turn around and bite Yuan Shu to seize Yan Province.

As a result, the situations deduced by Xu Shu and Sima Yi from different standpoints naturally conflicted.

In essence, this is a debate about whether Lü Bu will violate the alliance and whether Yuan Shu dares to trust Lü Bu's alliance.

Li Ji had also made relevant guesses regarding the deductions of Xu Shu and Sima Yi.

Lü Bu's reputation is too great. Anyone who wants to ally with him must weigh the consequences of Dong Zhuo and Ding Yuan's fates.

However, after Li Ji nodded slightly, he turned his gaze to Pang Tong and said.

"Pang Tong, what is your judgment?"

Pang Tong stood up, saluted, then flicked his somewhat messy hair, revealing a kind of unrestrained ugliness, and then spoke.

"Teacher, in the Central Plains situation, apart from Tao Qian, the only one who influences the overall situation is Cao Mengde of Qing Province."

"And Cao Mengde, this person, seems loyal, but is actually an ambitious and treacherous villain, whose ambition may also lie in the world."

"In Xu Shu's deduction, considering Cao Mengde as an assistant to control the Yuan family's control of Yan Province, I cannot agree with it."

Li Ji did not interrupt Pang Tong, but continued listening.

If it were a year ago, perhaps many people would have thought that Cao Cao was a loyal person.

However, as Cao Cao spared no expense to quell the Yellow Turban Rebellion in Qing Province, and then controlled the entire Qing Province with many bloody methods, even proclaiming himself the governor of Qing Province, he showed the demeanor of a hero.

"If Yuan Shu gets Yan Province, Cao Cao can only shrink in Qing Province. But to tear face with the Yuan family and fight for Yan Province, Cao Cao, who has just settled Qing Province, may not have the strength."

"And Qing Province has only two ways out: Yan Province or Xu Province! In my opinion, Cao Cao will definitely attack Xu Province, and even join forces with Yuan Shu to take Xu Province, so as to break one arm of the Imperial Uncle Liu."

This deduction is somewhat novel.

Li Ji asked.

"However, with only Cao Cao and Yuan Shu, they will certainly not be able to take Xu Province. If Tao Qian is attacked, the lord will definitely save him, whether by directly sending troops to support or directly attacking Yu Province, they can relieve the siege of Xu Province. What should we do then?"

Although Tao Qian's courage and ability are no longer what they used to be as he gets older, Xu Province's strength is not weak. Even if they just defend the city, it cannot be captured in a short time.

Moreover, with Liu Bei as an ally, the difficulty of capturing Xu Province is unimaginable.

"Teacher, what if Yuan Shu gives Nanyang Commandery to Lü Bu in exchange for Lü Bu sending troops to attack Jing Province?"

After a pause, Pang Tong said.

"Lü Bu also knows the threat of Imperial Uncle Liu, and also knows that Yuan Shu cannot be allowed to take Yan Province and become stronger. But if Yuan Shu does not choose to take Yan Province to the north, it is entirely possible to maintain a delicate alliance to weaken Imperial Uncle Liu."

Li Ji also felt a sense of freshness after hearing this.

Pang Tong's deduction is completely unconventional, but it is not without feasibility.

The situation is often that one move affects the whole body.

Lü Bu may not accept working for Yuan Shu to contain Liu Bei, but Yuan Shu and Cao Cao attacking Xu Province is also indirectly containing Liu Bei.

Liu Bei will not turn a blind eye to the predicament of Xu Province, and will definitely send troops to relieve Tao Qian.

In this way, Liu Bei will have to fight on two fronts, and Lü Bu, Yuan Shu, and Cao Cao all have the opportunity to benefit.

Sima Yi retorted.

"Have you forgotten that Lü Bu can also choose not to entangle with Imperial Uncle Liu, but instead take the opportunity to fully attack Yan Province?"

"No!" Pang Tong said.

"What makes you so sure?"

"Lü Bu can indeed make such a choice, but if Imperial Uncle Liu chooses between assisting Xu Province and seizing Nanyang Commandery, which is short of troops, what will he choose?"

Pang Tong argued.

"If Lü Bu does not attack Yan Province, then the three families will each gain benefits by resisting Imperial Uncle Liu; if Lü Bu attacks Yan Province, Yuan Shu and Cao Cao can also turn around and attack Lü Bu while Imperial Uncle Liu seizes Nanyang Commandery."

"In this way, Lü Bu will face enemies on both sides."

"Even if Lü Bu is unwise, how could Chen Gongtai and Chen Changwen not see this situation? No one taking Yan Province is the key to maintaining this delicate alliance, and Lü Bu will not rashly break it."

Sima Yi retorted. "You simply don't understand people's hearts. Lü Bu will definitely not let go of the benefit of taking Yan Province."

Xu Shu also shook his head and said.

"In my opinion, Yuan Shu may not be so considerate of the overall situation, willing to sacrifice Nanyang Commandery to attack Xu Province with Cao Cao. He should still try to go north to Yan Province."

Seeing that the disciples led by the three seemed to be arguing again, Li Ji had to knock on the table with his folding fan to quiet them down for the time being.

It must be said that the three all have their own reasons.

Then, Li Ji looked at Zhuge Liang and asked.

"Liang'er, what are your thoughts, considering the lord?"

Zhuge Liang cupped his hands and replied.

"Respond to all changes with constancy. No matter how Yuan Shu, Lü Bu, and Cao Cao plot, as long as there is a flaw in Yu Province or Nanyang Commandery, attack it with all your strength, and you can open the door to the Northern Expedition to the Central Plains."

Li Ji couldn't help but show a look of satisfaction in his eyes after hearing this.

In fact, Li Ji had considered what Sima Yi, Pang Tong, and Xu Shu said, but without sufficient intelligence and unclear trends, Li Ji also could not be sure.

And Li Ji's approach is basically the same as Zhuge Liang's idea: respond to all changes with constancy.

From this point of view, Zhuge Liang, Sima Yi, Pang Tong, and Xu Shu have obviously made considerable progress in just over a year.

At least, among a group of disciples with outstanding talents, the four of them are already far ahead.

The different environment has made their progress too fast.

I am afraid that it will not be long before they continue to be kept in the academy for free-range education, and the help they can provide will gradually appear limited.

Immediately, Li Ji did not judge who was right or wrong in their deductions, but pondered for a moment and said.

"Zhuge Liang, Sima Yi, Pang Tong, Xu Shu, the four of you are very good."

"Thank you for your praise, teacher."

The four quickly responded in unison.

"No matter how the situation in the Central Plains changes, the lord's ambition to launch a Northern Expedition to the Central Plains to restore the Han Dynasty will not waver, and the opportunity for the Northern Expedition to the Central Plains may come soon..."

Speaking of this, Li Ji showed a smile on his face and said.

"You must not slack off on weekdays. When the Northern Expedition to the Central Plains comes, I can let you serve as staff officers around the army, how about that?"

The four couldn't help but show ecstasy on their faces and quickly agreed.

PS: Asking for monthly tickets, foster fathers, it's the end of the month ~ ~ ~