Warhammer Throne
Chapter 539: , Behavioral Economics
Theresa's sudden desire to let all the knights in the tent focus on her body. The warlock holding the violet staff, she said seriously: "Is it possible that Chaos and the undead have reached a fragile alliance?"
"There is such a possibility." Ryan first affirmed Theresa's view, which made the female warlock somewhat ecstatic, but the lake **** witch Mogina immediately retorted: "I have no intention to target you, Trey. Ms. Sha, but the alliance between the undead and the chaos? Does it make any sense? "
"What's the point?" Theresa took the conversation naturally, and she glanced quietly at Ryan's expression.
There was a little curiosity and interest in Ryan ’s face, which gave Teresa great encouragement. The female warlock ignored the somewhat unpleasant eyes of the dozen holy grail knights and more than 20 big noble knights in the tent. Let's go on: "Of course it is because of the pressure. The huge pressure forces the undead and the chaos to unite together."
After speaking, Theresa stretched out a hand wrapped in white lace gloves and clicked on the map: "Look, before, the Spire Palace has fallen, and according to the news, the army of North Raun has also surrounded Richard De Castle, if I were the venomous snake of Musilon, then at this time I must be able to realize that the undead are in a desperate situation. "
"At this time, the undead had already suffered huge losses when attacking the Spire Palace, and they also lost a lot of blood knights and black holy knights. The last horrified beast also died under the sword of Ryan. Then, at this time, Mu Xilong's The viper also gave up on recovering the Spire Palace and immediately went north to rescue Richard Castle. He was facing great pressure on his troops. At this time, this viper should be forced to seek allies, because if they cannot quickly break Raun and his Knightly army, then wait for our army to gather, attack on both sides, the viper is definitely unable to deal with it, he can only retreat to Mu Xilong. "Teresa continued:" If this is the case, we can do a good job of besieging Mu for a long time. Silon's preparation, we are fully prepared this time. "
"Therefore, under desperation, Matthew Bard and Chaos reached an agreement to form a coalition. The Chaos Demon Army destroyed the Spire Palace and relieved the pressure on Musilon's south." This is Teresa's last general feeling. After the woman warlock finished speaking, she looked at Ryan expectantly, waiting for his evaluation.
"Oh!" Who knows that Ryan hasn't spoken yet, Mogi Anna sneered. The beautiful face of the Lake God witch is full of majesty and coldness. She said in a deep voice: "Ms. Theresa, yes, from logic Above, there is no problem with your judgment, but I want to ask you, if this is the case, what can Chaos get? What reason do they have to help the undead? "
"In order to destroy and kill?" Theresa tried to remain as elegant as possible: "Undead must reach an agreement with Chaos ..."
"No, it's unlikely." Ryan interrupted Theresa's words, and he motioned to Mogianna to hear him say: "The purpose of the undead is to rule, whether it is Mathewbad or the Lich King Akhan, their The goal is to build a kingdom of the dead, in this land that the goddess has given us, and for chaos, all they want is ... "
"... destruction, complete destruction." Mogiana stared at Theresa: "The undead wants conquest and domination, and the chaos wants destruction. The two parties cannot reach agreement unless it is extreme, but the current situation For Musilon ’s venomous snakes, it was far from that level. There were once dark elf pirates and northern barbarians who could form alliances to fight against the Empire and the Britannia when they were looting south, but the other side was a chaotic magic army. "
The Chaos Demon Army is a subspace creature. Even with the full support of the Evil God, it is impossible for the Chaos Demon Army to stay in the world for a long time before the Great Guardian and the Maelstrom do not fail.
"Well ... we still have too little information." Ryan shook his head in distress. He motioned to Mogiana and Theresa not to get entangled in this kind of thing. The earl said aloud: "We are temporarily in the Sharon Forest Resting within the camp, I have written to Lord François and Bermondmund for support. When their army arrives, we will discuss it separately. Please keep in mind that the combat power of the Chaos Demon Army is extraordinary. Can be matched, and must not take the initiative to attack because of the fever of the mind! "
Everyone in the powerful Chaos Magic Army knows that it is impossible to defeat this evil army led by Carlos, the first demon destiny weaver under the evil monster, without a real army.
"Yes!" The crowd disagreed. Because of the unfavorable warfare, the knights were also somewhat depressed. They slowly left the big tent and went back to their tents to rest.
"Fedmond, Gerald, you stay." Ryan motioned for both Fredmond and Gerald to stay.
Five people were quickly left within the big tent. Five of them, Ryan, Theresa, Mogianna, and Fedmond and Jerod sat on the table and looked at the map.
There seemed to be light rain outside the tent. The night in early spring was very cold. Even though there was a brazier in the tent, the cold wind was still blowing.
The five people in the tent were not afraid of cold. After sitting down, Ryan first arranged for everyone to have dinner together. Today ’s dinner is grilled steak and lamb chops, stewed broccoli and corn chowder, and the staple food is good cream bread, with The wine is a low-degree sweet cider.
Affected by the defeat, several people were a little silent. Mogiana and Theresa did n’t eat much meat. They just ate some vegetables and thick soup to deal with. Ryan and Fredmond and Gerald did n’t care so much. , Eat and drink.
Historically, the Cavaliers can eat this is the performance of playing.
It wasn't until after eating that Ryan spoke: "Actually, I also agree with Theresa's point of view."
The sorceress's expression suddenly lightened up. She lowered the spoon, and her face was excited and complained: "Why didn't you just ..."
"Ms. Theresa." Gerald reached out and warned the warlock to be restless, the Paladin whispered: "Because that was not the right time, this defeat has left the morale of the army ... if Ryan is here again. Surely the undead has united with Chaos ... "
"It will have a huge impact on the morale of the army." Federmond added that the Holy Grail Knight also frowned: "We who have participated in the Holy Grail expedition, all know the power of the Chaos Demon, unless it is Perchmond No one can deal with Chaos Daemons, such as Lord De, Lord Francois, or Lord Lane, nor can the ordinary Knights of the Holy Grail. "
The sorceress had a sullen face, and she bowed her head unwillingly.
"It's not to blame you, Theresa." Ryan reached out and patted gently on the sorceress's hand, beckoning her not to mind: "You are my courtier, all you have to do is say your ideas, and I am the one to consider the impact in this regard "
"I still question the union of undead and chaos." Mogiana shook her head, and the lake **** witch said to Ryan: "Ryan, why do you think Matthew Bard would be allied with Chaos?"
"The reason is simple." Ryan nodded and smiled. "In short, this is called behavioral economics."
"Behavior Economics?" The Lake God witch motioned Ryan to continue.
"An example." Ryan nodded, and he took out ten gold kronor and placed it on the table.
"Assume that I am an imperial merchant and I want to transport a batch of food to Kurona for sale."
"Now I have two choices. First, I can walk through Montfort ’s axe pass. Because I have a strong guard, I can almost guarantee 100% safety through the axe pass, but due to high tariffs, I go This time you can only earn a thousand kronor. "
“Alternatively, I can choose to take the Palawan ’s gray lady ’s road. This road is quite dangerous. Only 50% of me may be able to pass safely, but if I pass successfully, I only need to pay low tariffs, so I can earn three thousand gold Kronor even four thousand gold kronor. "
"In this case, how would you choose?"
Ryan's words just fell, and Gerald and Fedmond said without hesitation: "Of course it is a safe and safe choice to choose the axe to bite the pass."
Theresa also agrees to take the axe to bite the pass, but only Mogianna said disdainfully: "If it were me, I would follow the path of Ms. Grey, and I don't believe any enemy can hurt me."
"Mogianna, you are willing to go to the Ms. Grey Mountains because you have great strength." Lane smiled and shook his head bitterly. "And let you go with you, not to mention two thousand kronor, it would be good for the merchants to earn five hundred kronor. "
"So what exactly do you want to say?" Mogiana's golden eyebrows frowned.
"Listen to me first." Ryan shook his head. He said, "Now let's assume that if we take the path of Ms. Gray, we encounter the Green Skin tribe, and the food is robbed by half. Now we are facing two more Choices. "
"First of all, we can choose to return the same way immediately. Obviously half of the goods we lost will certainly not come back, but at least half of the goods and people survived."
"Alternatively, we can take people to chase the Lupi tribe in the depths of the mountains, assuming that we have a 50% chance of recovering our goods, and 50% of us may not only fail to recover the goods, but also connect the remaining half of the goods. Even take your lives together, in this case, how would you choose? "
At this point, both Fredmond and Gerrod realized what they were. Federmond pondered for a while, or said to me: "I think I will choose to pursue the Greenskin tribe."
"Me too." Both Gerald and Mogianna believed that the goods had to be recovered. At this time, only the sorceress chose to give up: "My life is the most important. I will not take my life to take risks."
"Very good." Lane smiled. He collected ten gold crowns and said with a smile: "This is called behavioral economics."
"Mortal people have a nature that prevents him from being completely rational when dealing with gains and losses."
"When faced with benefits, mortals hate risk, and they prefer guaranteed income. Even if the income is lower, mortals can accept it."
国 幺 赽 蹽 奇奇 novel fiction | w ~ w ~ w.
"And in the face of losses, mortals always prefer to take risks. At this time, they will in turn hate the losses that have been determined, but instead hope to recover their losses by taking risks, even if they may suffer more. If we think about the big loss, we will know that it is unlikely that we will actually pursue the Green Leather Tribe to take back the goods, but many people still choose this way. "
"Because mortals are more sensitive to losses than to gains." Ryan crossed his hands, his back pressed against his nose, and his elbows were supported on the table: "With the choice, most mortals hope to risk The risk comes 'turning the book'. "
"Of course, there will be a small number of people who choose to stop loss. I am talking about most people, not everyone."
After listening, everyone thought about it.
This problem is actually very similar to a problem often faced by Ryan in his previous life, that is, the choice of "100% get one million and 50% get five million, 50% get nothing", even if everyone knows the second choice Expect the benefits to be greater than the first choice, most people will still choose the first one, because it steadily gets a million.
But if you want to change to "100% loss of one million and 50% loss of five million, 50% without loss", most people will choose the second one, they know that the second one expects a greater loss, but still like it Choose the second one, because there is no loss in case of winning?
It should be emphasized here that Ryan here refers to most people but not everyone, except for Jing Jing and sensible people.
"You mean that Mathewbad would choose to compromise with Chaos because he also wanted to turn the book, and the loss of the Spire Palace was a determined loss?" Mogiana reluctantly accepted Ryan's opinion, the Lake God Witch said Nodded comprehendingly: "Compromise to Chaos, or you can recover the Spire Palace, or the situation is worse, but he is willing to take risks []."
"That's right." Ryan nodded: "Moreover, the gain is not only to recover the Spire Palace, the Chaos Demon Army can resist our offensive, so that Mathewade has the energy to concentrate on dealing with Raun and his army, that is to say Whether the Trolls succeed or not, at least they all helped Matthew Hudd against us, this is a stable gain. "
"So, to sum up, it's not surprising that the undead will compromise with chaos in the predicament." After Ryan summed up: "Therefore half of the problem is solved, and I can be sure that the undead will compromise with chaos."
After Ryan's analysis, the remaining four people in the tent were all convinced. Gerald and Federmond nodded and agreed, and even Mogiana, who was determined to this, was shaken: "If you follow Ryan, The undead may indeed have compromised. "
"Then the question is coming. Undead can compromise with Chaos. Why would Chaos be willing to lend a helping hand to Undead?" Theresa was very pleased to see her opinion recognized by Ryan, and the warlock ignored the warning look of Mogiana. , Immediately said: "First of all, we can be sure that chaos is not to destroy, then there is only one possibility left."
"Chaos is looking for something."
"What are the evil monsters looking for?"
After listening to Ryan's words, everyone fell into deep contemplation.
Just then ~ www.ltnovel.com ~ Several bats suddenly flew from outside the tent into the tent. Did a vampire lord suddenly appear in the tent, press the button! He has a big bald head, deep eye sockets, and a pale face without a trace of blood: "It is looking for a relic!"
"Who?" Everyone in the room immediately pulled out his weapon and pointed directly at the vampire lord.
Who knows this vampire sneer sneered, he threw his weapon on the ground, then knelt down on his knees, raised his hand, and surrendered: "Dear Lord Ryan Makado, I am the vampire baron, Hal-Harry Si, from the von Kastein family, I came here and surrendered to you, I hope you can forgive my sins! "
"The tree world is coming !!" There was hatred between Mogianna's beautiful green eyes. The Lake Witch raised her head, and the thick branches immediately bound the vampire baron firmly: "Undead! What conspiracy do you have ?! "
Hal Harris allowed himself to be sealed, and the dark eyes of the vampire baron stared at Ryan: "I said, I came to surrender. For some compelling reason, I can only surrender to you, Ryan Macado , I have no choice. "
"You know I never forgive vampires." Ryan stood up. "Why do you think I will accept your surrender?"
"Yes, I know." Hal Harris still kept kneeling: "But I have no choice."
After that, the vampire of the von Kastein family raised his head: "Because I discovered an amazing secret! The great blood ancestor Vlad von Kastein is on! Damn Mashuba Germany, he gave up the glory of the midnight nobility and succumbed to chaos! "
"He, he is not worthy of being our leader!"
"Only you can defeat him! Ryan Makado!"
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