"Anyway, 1 and 10 are a pair of jumping magicians, witches have poison in their hands to verify their identity. Whoever wants to give 10 directly is not a good person's mentality. At that time, I suspected that you were a wolf who wanted to take advantage of the situation to push the magician of 10. , now it seems that it is true, today we beat us 11 and 12 are two wolves, logic, no logic, just rely on feeling to say that I am a wolf with identity, and 11 and 12 are two wolves?"

"In addition, I will talk to you 3 and 4. If you want to stand on the side 7, then you have to be wolves, because I am a hunter, 5 and 8 pairs of golden water, 2 is a witch, 6 is silver water, you dare to trade silver Is it water self-knife? If you dare, when I didn't say it, if you can't make it, hang the ticket on 8."

"Actually, from the beginning to the end, only the witch stood on the opposite side. He voted for 11 under the police, and the type of vote also shows that he does not believe that 1 is a magician, which means that he believes that 11 is a prophet. At this time, I need you. The witch has come to say two words for the prophet, I am afraid that the 5 will be confused at the end."

12 chatted and talked and did not forget to flatter Witch No. 2, saying that he was the only one who stood on the opposite side of the whole process, which made him feel a sense of pride, so that 2 would more believe that 11 was a prophet, after all, he always stood Side 11, now that I don't stand side 11, is it not living up to 12's praise.

"One more thing, there are only 2 and 8 under the police, 2 is a witch, and the identity of player No. 8 is questionable. Because of the wolf king's board, the Wolves generally leave one to vote under the police, barb or charge depending on the situation. , the pattern of four wolves on the police is rare."

"Player No. 5, although you received the police badge, I want to tell you that No. 7 is trying to put you in the front to attract the firepower of good people, and let Player No. 8 hide behind and watch the fire from the other side. After all, you have a police badge in your hand, good people. The first target must be you, but 8 is too much like a wolf, so we will say 8 today, understand?"

"I don't want you to understand. Anyway, that's it. My vote will definitely be on 8. Players No. 3 and No. 4 should also vote 8. They have no choice unless they recognize the wolf. This is four votes. , out-position witch or magician, as long as there is one who can listen to me and player 11, we will win this game."

"Well, that's it, I've talked about everything I can talk about, and the logic is clear and clear. If you can't go back, there's nothing you can do. It's over."

Chapter [*] is to bring the rhythm to resist the golden water

[Player No. 2 please speak]

"12 jump hunter, um, he is a very credible hunter, because I don't think wolves will jump hunter fiercely at this time, after all, there are so many people behind, if anyone comes out to shoot him, it must be the first Out of him, because he is on the side 11, there is only one wolf on the field, it is the best to shoot him out, but he still jumps, from this point 12 should be a real hunter."

"But you 11 and 12 seem to have overlooked a very important piece of information. 10 said that last night, 2 and 12 were exchanged. You checked 11 and 12 as golden water, which is equivalent to testing my golden water. As a result, you are treating 12 as golden water all the time. Pan, you are a prophet, how could you make such a serious mistake?"

"To be honest, I feel that you have opened your eyes to 11. During the day, you know that 12 is a good person, so you ignored the replacement information reported in the front position of 10. You sent 12 Jinshui for two purposes. One is to pull him. This vote, the second is to use Jinshui to dirty 12's identity, let us think that you are protecting 12."

Player 2 remembers clearly, the magician said in the front position that 2 and 12 were interchanged last night, and 11 said that the 12 tested last night was golden water, which is equivalent to testing him as golden water, but 11 did not realize himself during the whole process. The gold water is not 12, which makes 2 feel that 11 has a problem.

In this board, the prophet should pay special attention to the magician's replacement information, so as to avoid the situation that Jinshui is not Jinshui, and killing is not killing, and 10 is in the front position just after the exchange of 2 and 12, 11 is unconscious. To the fact that his gold water is not 12, this is definitely not a logical loophole that a prophet should appear.

And what's interesting is that 12 didn't even think about this problem. After taking over Jinshui, he shot the hunter and wanted to stand on the side 11. He said that the wolf pit was uneven. It doesn't seem to be possible, even if his trump card is a hunter, the outside position is not good enough. There are two unknown identities, 3 and 4. Who knows if 3 and 4 are two wolves.

“11号玩家,诚如你所言,1、4、11、12不能做成四狼,但1、3、4、12是有可能做成四狼的,为什么你的视野里消失了3号玩家呢,盘他是狼盘不动吗?”

"You must know that 3 is always on the side of 7. The police badge tickets and the speeches of the police all recognize that 7 is a prophet, and the number 4 player who you all abstained from the vote is a wolf, but no 3 is a wolf. This is a bit Something is wrong, do you dare to say that 3 is a wolf, or 3 is your wolf teammate, you subconsciously ignored him?"

"I prefer the latter. You 3 and 11 may be two wolves, 1, 3, 4, and 11 are four wolves, and 12 is chosen by the hunters. I advise you not to be tough on 12, and you will be 11, 12 in the outer position. It's not a hard fight. To be honest, when I saw that you voted for 9, and combined with the information of the 7 last night, even I began to suspect that you 11 and 12 are two wolves. It's normal to think that way."

"If 11 is a prophet, wouldn't there be only one wolf left on the field? Wolf knives are always not enough, why don't we play 3 and 4 first to add to the fun, I suggest to play No. 4 today, and keep 11 for another day's inspection. , just go to check 8, so that 8 is not a wolf, and 5 is the identity of the wolf."

"Of course, this is from the perspective of your 11 as a prophet, and from the perspective of us good people with closed eyes, what if 1, 3, 4, and 11 are four wolves? For the sake of safety, let's Get player No. 4 out first, then even if 11 is a wolf, we still have room for manoeuvre."

"If we play 8 today, if 11 is a wolf, we will lose, so if we can't play 8 today, we will play player number 4. I, a witch, have decided to vote here. If your card is a good person, don't abstain from voting. 4 Player No., if you are a good person, feel wronged, I am also helpless, I hope you can understand."

It can be heard that witch No. 2 doesn't really believe that 11 is a prophet. After all, no matter how good your logic is, no matter how reasonable you are, it can't be worth the fact that 7 was killed by a knife last night, and 11 ignored the magician. The replacement information of , this burst point made him doubt the identity of 11. For the sake of safety, 2 should push player No. 4 out of the game.

Even if the 4 trump card is a good guy, there is only one wolf left on the field, and there are still four gods and three people in a good person. No matter how the wolf knife can't come through, it is a waste of time at most, but it doesn't matter, they have time and patience.

"But one thing I think you talked about 11 is very reasonable. If 1 and 11 were two wolves, when I was leading the team to play No. 9, there was no need for 1 to come out and jump. Magician said that 9 and 11 would be interchanged. , is completely meaningless, from this point of view, you 1 and 11 really can’t be two wolves, more like 1, 9 wolves, 1 is trying your best to get No. 9 player.”

"But I don't know why, I always feel that something is wrong. I know player No. 1. I usually play very calmly with wolves, and I don't make magic tricks for no reason, especially when the wolf teammates have been killed. ."

"So I suspect that you guys 1 and 11 are playing the game when they set up Shuangwolves. The reason why 1 is jumping magician has nothing to do with me jumping witch or not. He jumping magician is something in the plan."

As soon as these words came out, Li Yiran couldn't help but glance up at player No. 2, my good guy, I guessed it accurately enough to think that it has nothing to do with the jumping magician 1 and the jumping witch leading the team to make 9. This is really amazing, ordinary people How can you imagine this logic.

However, when I think about it, this logic is too unbelievable. 2 just mentioned it casually, and did not talk about it in depth. After all, these are all events with extremely small probability. Normally, 1 and 11 are not coexisting. He didn't want to play an 8 today, he just wanted to play more steadily, so as not to be exploited by the wolf.

"That's it, I still say that, no matter if your 4 card is a good person or a wolf, cooperate and get out, you are a good person, our rounds are enough, let 11 go to check 8 at night to see if it is killing or killing. Jin Shui, after all, the identity of 7 self-knife, it may also be the identity of 5."

"Oh yes, if a hunter jumps out to shoot 12 in the back position, then we will shoot 12 first and let 12 shoot, if not, forget it."

[Player No. 3 please speak]

"I'm a good person, I'll take my identity when I get to this point. The trump card is a commoner. I think there should be no problem with 12 jump hunters. If I think 7 is a prophet, 5 and 8 are golden water, 6 is silver water, 1, 4, 11. Three wolves, there is still a wolf that cannot be found in the outer position, unless the set 6 is from the sword wolf, or the set 9, 11 wolf steps on the wolf, but it is impossible for the 9, 11 wolf to step on the wolf.”

"11 is the wolf king jumping fiercely, 9 is the little wolf, and there is a good player No. 10 in the middle. How could he play the routine of the wolf stepping on the wolf."

"So if I want to recognize 7 as a prophet, I have to play 6 as a self-knife, but I never play a self-knife, especially in this high-end face-to-face killing game, a self-knife is a bit pricey, although a self-knife is also a It's a tactic, but I think as a 6, you should be disdainful of killing yourself."

"Since 6 is not a wolf from the sword, and I can't find all the wolf pits, I can only stand by player number 11, 9 is to kill, 1 is the wolf that the jumping magician caught 9, 7 is the wolf that was self-made last night, and finally A wolf can only be driven in 5 or 8."

"We have already heard 8's speech just now. He firmly believes that 7 is a prophet who eats knives. Today, he will be selected from 4 and 12. From beginning to end, he has never played 11's prophets, including yesterday. He didn't talk about the logic and reasons for voting for 7 in two consecutive rounds, as if he should stand by 7, everything is so logical, this state is not like a suspicious and closed-eyed good person."

Li Yiran got up and ordered all the wolf pits, including Pan 9 and 11, the wolf stepped on the wolf, and Pan 6, which is from the sword wolf. In the end, both possibilities were denied. In this way, the wolf pits were uneven, and he could only recognize it. 11 is the prophet, 7 is the identity of the wolf teammate.

Moreover, Li Yiran pointed the wolf who was identified as player No. 8. After all, 8 is a villain in the eyes of good people. If 7 is a prophet, he is Jinshui, of course, he will not move, but if Pan 11 is a prophet, It's easy to hit 8.

"The most important thing is that player No. 8 was a bit of a gangster yesterday. He wanted to force 10 magicians. At that time, I also recognized 1 as a magician and 10 as a fierce jump, but no matter what, he could not show 10. Because witches have poison in their hands to verify their identity, in the case of standing on the side of 7, either a 5 or a 4 is the correct order."

“正是因为7在末置位归票了4号玩家,我才一票投在了4身上,如果7听了8的话去归票10,那我这一票也就挂在9身上了,这是我昨天投4不投9的原因和心路历程。”

"Just now the No. 2 witch plate 1, 3, 4, and 11 may be four wolves, not to mention that 1 and 11 can't be two wolves, please think back to yesterday's ticket type. I raised the ticket for player No. 4, police me. We also ordered 4, we obviously don't meet, how can we become two wolves?"

· · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · ·????

"You can't insert needles in the Panlang Pit, just make two people who can't share the same side as wolves at the same time, 1 and 11 can't be established as double wolves at all, and similarly, we 3 and 4 can't be established as double wolves. , speech can deceive people, but the type of vote must not deceive people.”

"So, I won't listen to your witch's vote today. I think 11 is a prophet, and the last wolf must be in 5 and 8. At present, 8 has a great face, and I have a high probability of 8 , I can't control other people, and now I have no other choice but to stand side 11, if I stand side 7, I have to beat myself into a wolf, which is a bit ridiculous."

Li Yiran didn't intend to listen to Witch No. 2's vote. If today he agreed to play No. 4 player first, he could push the 4th resistance out of the game, but 12's identity would be completely exposed. You can only change from a slaughter god to a butcher.

Because the trump card of 4 must be a civilian, he can't afford a hunter, how can a hunter speak up, and even abstain when the sheriff votes, only civilians do this.

4 and 9 two civilians are out, 5 should also be civilians, hunters open in 6, 8, if their butchers do not have the knife, but the knife is on the hunter, it will be embarrassing, so if you can save a 4, first The anti-push player No. 8 is the best, when the rounds are not enough, you can also take 4 to top.

And if player No. 8 is out, if he can't fire a gun, 6 is a hunter, and they can go to the butcher with peace of mind. Three wolves and two knives end the game, even if there is a magician, it is useless.

 …  

"Today, my vote should be on player No. 8. I won't vote 4 out when I know that 4 is a good guy. Although my cards are civilians, but now I don't even have 11 in the wolf pit. , it is equivalent to opening the eyes of the sky, if you are in my position, you can understand why I talk like this,"

"I can actually understand the idea that the witches 1, 3, 4, and 11 are the four wolves, but I know that I must be a good person. This logic does not hold, and neither does 1 and 11 the two wolves. Under the circumstance that they can successfully resist the push of 9, 1 As a wolf, why do you come out and get 9 good people? You can only play 1 or 9 wolves, but less than 1 or 11 wolves."

"3 and 4 can't be double wolves. First of all, my cards are not wolves. Secondly, my ticket type means that I don't know 4. I was on the wrong side before, and now I have to turn back, um, that's it, out of 8 , I passed."

What Li Yiran said here is not only inciting good people to vote for player No. 8, but also implying that his two wolf teammates, player No. 11 and player No. 12, don't follow the vote for witch No. 2 today. Pushing the 8 out of the game in one go, if you can't resist pushing the 8 today, you won't be able to move the 8 tomorrow.

As long as the 8 resistance can be pushed out of the game, it doesn't matter even if the 8 is a hunter who shoots a gun with a 12, and then they can slaughter the gods generously. As for the 10 magician, if he can change people, let him change, Li Yiran is confident, 10 A bet on a knife must not bet against him, and what 10 said today should be the truth. He changed it between 2 and 12 last night, and he can no longer move the No. 2 witch.

In this case, if they choose knife 2, then 2 will die. However, things are not as simple as they seem.

On this night, 10 had two choices.

The first is to not operate, wait until the next night to operate to protect yourself from death, so that good people can still win.

The second is manipulation. The wolf may do the opposite and run over to kill him first. If he doesn't manipulate himself at this time, he will lose his cards, but then again, if he manipulates himself, the wolf team will If he didn't kill him, but went to kill the witch, then he could only wait to die the next night.

To put it bluntly, it is a bet on the knife, 10 has to bet with Li Yiran and the others, where is the reason for this knife, and in the same way, Li Yiran and the others also have to guess whether 10 will manipulate themselves or not. Magicians, still bet 10 to operate themselves, they will kill the witch first.

If the bet is right, needless to say, the wolf will definitely win this round. If the bet is wrong, the wolf will not necessarily lose, because there is still player No. 4 who can be used to resist pushes. 4 and 10 are interchangeable.

In a word, if there are hunters today, wolves have a considerable advantage. If there are no hunters, 8 is a civilian who is resisted, then the butchers, and they will surely win.

Chapter [*] So here comes the question, what about the wolf king?

[Player No. 4 please speak]

"My trump card is not a wolf. I can't help it. Now I can only stand on the side 11. If Pan 7 is a prophet who eats knives, I have to beat myself into a wolf to be able to play the wolf pit. This definitely does not exist."

"Moreover, player No. 1 is not a magician, so I don't meet 1 and 11 here. You have already talked about the front position. If 1 and 11 are established as two wolves, the No. 2 witch has already led the team to produce good people. 1 has to come out from a positive perspective and make his wolf teammates into steel jumpers, which is not logical at all, so 1 and 11 must be opposites, 1 is a wolf, and 11 must be a prophet."

Player No. 4 got up and showed his attitude. Undoubtedly, he recognized 11 as a prophet. Now he doesn't have to use logic, he can only stand on the side of 11, and there is no second choice.

However, he still has to try his best to tell the logic of why 11 is a prophet and why he is not a wolf to the good people in the outer position, so that they can recognize themselves. Only in this way, the good people will vote for the No. 8 player today, otherwise he It is inevitable to be pushed out of the game.

"In the front position, someone played 1, 4, 11, and 12 as the four wolves. As a result, 12 shot a gun, and the wolf pit immediately collapsed. Then you played 1, 3, 4, and 11 as the four wolves. I was puzzled, why can't I climb out of this wolf pit? What gangsters did I do? Yesterday, 7 was voted for me, and today there are so many people who want to beat me, my card is a good person, not a wolf."

"Can you please recall the speech of the No. 3 police officer? When I got up, I said that I didn't hear well, maybe it was a wolf, good guy, we 3 and 4 set up as two wolves, and 3 beat his teammates like this? It's not realistic, right? ?"

"If you say you can deceive people by speaking, you can't deceive people by vote type? Yesterday, 7 went to me. Player 3's vote did not go to 9. He voted for me. You told me that 3 and 4 were two wolves? is it possible?"

"Besides, can player No. 1 and I be teammates of the wolf? The police came to 1, but I spoke out at 3 o'clock. Both 1 and 3 said that I was a gangster. Haha, do my wolf teammates have an opinion on me? Are you all rushing to hit me?"

"Obviously, I don't meet 1 and 3, or even opposites. 1 is a wolf, so I have to be a good person. Why should I be a wolf teammate with him, and it's ridiculous to be placed in the wolf pit at the same time."

"Besides, when the sheriff votes, I abstain from voting. Will a wolf abstain from voting? No, those who dare to abstain must be good people. They are not afraid of attracting attention. The wolf will not let himself become the audience in this way. focus."

"In a word, whether it is from the common border relationship or from my personal behavior, I can't be a wolf, I don't know anyone, you must be wrong when you point me into the wolf pit of 11. It is precisely because 11 lacks me, his wolf pit will be uneven, in this case, he must be a prophet, at least for me, he must be a prophet, can you understand everyone?"

Player No. 4 doesn't intend to listen to the witch's words, cooperate and get out of the game, just joking, he is a good person, he has found the prophet, the wolf pit is locked in 5 and 8, and the high probability is 8, the game may be over when he is out, Why should he cooperate and get out? Don't even think about it.

"I can be sure now that the last wolf is between 5 and 8. We have already heard the speech of player No. 8. To be honest, he has a lot of explosive points. First of all, yesterday, he had to forcibly return the vote to 10. This sentence Speaking of which, he won't be able to afford good people anymore."

"Although player No. 1 was more like a magician at the time, and 10 was like a fierce jump, it couldn't be fixed with a single hammer. The most correct way is to ask the witch with poison to check the truth and false, but in the end, 8 has to be 10 directly, killing the heart. It's very heavy, do you think a good person has this mentality? Obviously not, only a wolf can."

“这一轮8起身就说7一定是吃刀的预言家,凭啥啊?7是不能自刀还是不会自刀?你有什么逻辑点支撑你说出7一定是预言家这句话的?你自己是好人,你能保证5也是吗?万一5就是7做身份的狼队友呢?”

"Can you explain why 1 and 11 double wolves, when the witch wants to lead the team out of 9, 1 wants the magician to make his wolf teammate into a jump? What is the benefit? What is the meaning? You can't explain it. , you can only play 1, 9 wolves, 1 is catching 9, you can't play 1, 11 wolves, and in the case of completely unreasonable logic, you have to try your best to say that 7 is a prophet."

"I guess you are afraid that after you can't become a prophet, good people think you are a wolf, so you desperately insist that you are a prophet who eats knives. Only in this way can you be safe, otherwise, you lose, right?"

Player 4 is very hostile to 8, because he has already subconsciously decided that 8 is a wolf, so he will think badly about all of 8's words and actions. The more he thinks about it, the more he thinks that 8 is a wolf and vicious. cycle.

The so-called rhythm is like this. Let you first think that he is a wolf. Having this precondition is completely different from analyzing a person's speech and behavior without any senses.

In the same words, the same behavior, it is very likely that the former will judge you as a wolf, while the latter will not think that you are a wolf.

"Let's do it, I'll come up with the logic of why I'm not a wolf, why I don't meet 1, 3, why 1, 11 can't be two wolves, 8's breaking point, and the logic that 1, 3, 4, and 11 can't be four wolves. Now, if after listening to it, you still think that 11 is a fierce jump, and I am a wolf, then you can vote me, but my vote will definitely be 5 or 8, and I will vote 8 with a high probability.

[Player No. 5 please speak]

"First of all, I said that my hole card is not a hunter. The hunter 12 should be credible. Of course, it does not rule out that there are hunters in 6 and 8, but we can't think about it right now. In the case of temporarily recognizing that 12 is a hunter, Set 11 is a fierce jump, and none of the four wolf pits 1, 3, 4, and 11 can run."

"I just said 3 and 4 that I am not a wolf, they can only choose player number 11 on the side. I can understand your thoughts, including the logic of your game, and there is really no big problem. For example, 1. 11 You don’t share sides, you guys 1, 3, and 4 don’t share sides, it all makes sense, but the problem is that 7 fell with a knife and didn’t shoot at night, what about the wolf king?”

"Don't tell me 1 is the wolf king jumping magician, it doesn't exist, unless he doesn't want to shoot, as long as he is a jumping magician, there is a 1% chance of eating poison, is the wolf king so unthinkable? Are you so daring? I don't believe it, so [*] must not be the wolf king, but only the little wolf, there is no problem with this logic."

"Player No. 9 was pushed out of the game, and he didn't shoot. He can't be the wolf king. Don't say that 9 may press the gun. What kind of gun is there? The witch and magician are naked on the table. You tell me he pressed the gun, then Isn't it bullshit?"

"As for 7, to be honest, if he were the wolf king, he would not choose to kill himself at all. A wolf king would kill himself at this time unless he is crazy."

"1, 7, and 9 are not the wolf king, so the question is, what about the wolf king?"

Player No. 5 admitted that Li Yiran and the others' logic made sense and they were all tenable, but everyone ignored a very important question, where did the wolf king go?

Normally, either 11 is the wolf king, or 7 is the wolf king. Except for the two of them, no one should be able to get the wolf king card.

Going back 7 steps, Pan 9 is not a prophet. His wolf teammate 9 was killed, but he didn't jump on the spot. Only the wolf king dared to come out to fish for 7. Why did [*] come out to fish for him as a little wolf.

Therefore, in this calculation, the most likely to become the wolf king is 11. Since 11 is the wolf king, 7 must be the prophet. Who will be out today?Naturally, there is less than 8, and only the 4th player can be played. Look back and see if anyone comes out to shoot 12. If there is no one, 3 is a wolf. If someone jumps the gun, then 12 is a wolf.

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