When I write a bug it becomes the core gameplay.

Chapter 523 Precision Fishing
The official has requirements for the minimum probability. It is impossible for Against the Heaven to fail to comply with relevant laws and regulations and create a card drawing system that does not produce any results.

However, the adjustment of the order of Europe and Africa will cause a big change in the mentality of players.

This is the difference between "three in the morning and four in the evening" and "four in the morning and three in the evening".

For monkeys, they can accept four fruits in the morning and three fruits in the afternoon, but they cannot accept three fruits in the morning and four fruits in the afternoon.

As for those who play games with high payout ratios, it is just the opposite. Most of them can accept leaving Africa and joining the EU, but cannot accept leaving the EU and joining Africa.

When the products started to ship out, players were happy, but not particularly happy.

But when the goods are not delivered later on, many players’ negative emotions will double when they think about their good luck in the beginning.

On the other hand, if there are not many items delivered at the beginning, the players will be very depressed, but later on, items will be delivered quickly, and the players will be left with a happy feeling.

Gu Fan’s method is to take advantage of the players’ psychology, create an illusion at the beginning, and raise their psychological expectations.

Once players start to feel good about themselves and are ready to sell everything they have to rush into the 648 pool to show their talents, reality will ruthlessly shatter their expectations.

The more you draw, the worse your luck gets. The more you draw, the worse your luck gets.

The negative emotion value generated at this time will inevitably rise rapidly.

In Lilith's opinion, from the perspective of the principle of generating negative emotions, this approach is correct, and it can indeed gain more negative emotion values ​​from players than the conventional card drawing mechanism.

"But...even so, the players will eventually find out, right?" Lilith raised a new question.

It is not difficult to deceive players with this system in the early stages.

However, players will gradually feel that something is wrong. They may not be able to directly view the background code because this is an online game and the relevant data of card drawing is stored in the server, but it is not ruled out that some rich guys can do experiments.

By counting the changes in probability of drawing cards thousands of times, players will sooner or later realize this mechanism.

Gu Fan spread his hands and said, "Of course the players will find out, but so what?
"At least in the first few months, players couldn't find out. Even if they suspected it, it would be difficult to have sufficient resources to verify it.

“The negative emotions that players have developed during this period are real.

“As long as our influence is big enough in the early stage and enough players enter, the negative emotions we can harvest will be considerable.

“What if the players find out a few months later?

"After all the calculations, they could only come to two conclusions: Conclusion 1, our game continuously lowers the probability based on a cycle of 1000 draws, and the probability gets lower as you draw more; Conclusion 2, the overall probability of our card drawing mechanism is lower than that of other games on the market.

“The comprehensive extraction probability of other games is generally between 1.6% and 3%, while our comprehensive extraction probability is only 1.5%, and the basic extraction probability is only 0.5%, which only reaches the minimum limit required by the official.

"Boss Li, do you think players will have any positive emotions when they come to these two conclusions?

"If players don't have positive emotions, then what does it matter even if it's exposed? We've already made a lot of money."

Lilith thought about it carefully, then nodded slowly: "Well, that makes sense! Even if the true probability is discovered, it won't overturn. On the contrary, it may make the players even more angry.

“After all, the overall probability of winning in our game is really low.

“Okay, then this will be the card drawing system for now. I’ve got it in mind.

"The others?"

Gu Fan hurriedly said, "Wait a minute, President Li, I haven't finished talking yet.

“To better match this card drawing system, we have to consider one issue clearly, which is the currency output in the game.

“That is, the question is how much a player can save for draws each month without spending money or in-game purchases.

“This data will also affect the experience that the card drawing system brings to players.

“Let me give you a simple example.

"According to our current tentative data, the comprehensive delivery rate of 1000 draws is 1.5%, which means that 1000 golds will be drawn in 15 draws. We calculate that 40% of the odd characters are permanent, which means that 1000 characters in the current UP pool will be drawn in 9 draws.

"Since the probability is decreasing, it will probably be:
“前300抽出了5个UP角色，中间300抽出了3个UP角色，而最后的400抽才出了1个UP角色。

“Since it is a pay-to-win game, there must be a concept of ‘star upgrades’, which means that when players repeatedly draw the same character, they can upgrade the original character’s star to make it more powerful.

“Currently, some games have 4 stars and some have 6 stars.

"Boss Li, you are wise and powerful. You must have figured out that the specific number of full stars, as well as how much game currency players can obtain and how many draw points they can exchange through the normal mechanism in the game every month, will most likely affect the actual experience of players drawing cards.

“To give an extreme example, if we have a full four-star character, and players can get 300 draws every month through the game, that means players can get a full-star UP pool character for free every month, and they have almost no reason to recharge and spend money. This character is equivalent to being given away for free, and the probability we set before is meaningless.

"Can something given for free still cause him to have any negative emotions?"

Lilith suddenly realized: "Yeah, that's right! It seems that the value of the full star should also be considered.

"Forget it. I won't think about it anymore. Just tell me the answer and I'll judge whether it makes sense or not."

Obviously, Lilith's brain was overloaded at this time, and she was a little unable to think more. Gu Fan continued: "The answer is very simple.

“We allow players to get about 100 draws in the game every month.

“At the same time, we set the maximum number of stars for all characters to be ‘five stars’, which means that players need to draw six identical characters to make the character reach the ‘full star’ status.

“Based on a 1.5% overall delivery rate and a 60% non-distortion rate, players will need about 666 draws to get six characters.

“But it should be noted that the higher the draw rate is, the more you go forward, so in the 100 draws we give to players for free, there is a high probability that two characters will appear, which means that the characters will become ‘one-star’ status.

“Our star rating arrangement is very clear:

“One star, we give a relatively basic numerical improvement.

“Two stars, we’ll give it a relatively large value increase.

“Samsung, we have made a special mechanism change, which may greatly optimize the character’s feel, or greatly improve the comfort, or unlock more team combinations.

“For four stars, we’ll still give a more basic numerical improvement.

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"With five full stars, we will give you a special mechanism change."

Lilith's eyes lit up: "Huh? This is a great arrangement! It's like a carrot on a stick!"

This star-level arrangement is obviously a deliberate attempt to fish for fish.

In the best case scenario, players enter the new card pool from scratch with 100 free draws given by the game.

After the draw, the delivery rate is very high. On average, you can get a UP pool character in 50 draws or even less, not counting the crooked permanent five-star ones.

At this moment, he looked at the 1-star character that was given to him for free, and then looked at the upgrade of the character's star rating:
One star is a negligible improvement.

However, the two-star version has a huge improvement, and the three-star version can have a significant change in mechanism.

At this time, he is still immersed in the feeling that he is lucky, so there is a high probability that he will make the following decision:
At least take out Samsung, right?

Just get two more!

According to previous experience, you can get 100 with 2 draws, which, converted into money, is about 2 648 for 100 draws.

Many rich guys may be ready to make a move.

Then after you recharge the money, you can draw the lottery, one by one, without making a sound.

When the rich guys actually recharged 3 or even 4 648 before they got the Samsung, some rational rich guys stopped.

But there are also some rich guys who will look at the huge improvement of five stars and fall into deep thought again.

The 200 draws I made with krypton gold seemed to have bad luck. But it can't always be bad, right?
I have to say, this five-star upgrade is really tempting, and from three stars to five stars, there are only two characters left.

Or, charge it more?

What if the law of conservation of Europe and Africa is true, and my luck improves again?
Then a few rich guys started to get carried away and recharged 648 with all their might, but they were withdrawn without a single word.

This time I think I’ll need 5, 6 or even more 648s to get the last two.

When Fu Ge finished smoking and looked back, he felt like vomiting blood.

Didn’t these negative emotions come in a snap?
In fact, according to the normal card drawing mechanism, similar regretful situations are not uncommon.

But the system proposed by Gu Fan obviously further aggravated this regretful situation.

This is a scam! A complete scam!
Of course, there are also undesirable situations, such as the player has already drawn 200 or 300 times before entering the card pool.

Then no matter he recharges or not, his luck will obviously get worse.

Although the 100 draws are given for free, players also enter the card pool with the expectation of "drawing 2 UP characters."

In the end, I only drew one, or even none.

This is also infuriating!

If you top up your account with money, it will be even more frustrating.

But at this moment, Lilith raised a new question.

"Huh? Wait.

"What if the player simply transforms into a Tun Tun rat?
“According to current expectations, it will take about 666 draws to get a full-star character. What if players wait half a year before drawing?
"This seems to be very common in pay-to-win card-drawing games, right?"

(End of this chapter)