Yanei of Rebirth

Liu Jun was not angry, but just gave a wry smile, and said, "Consultant He, you really guessed wrong this time. I will not discuss this kind of matter with the old man at home. Even if we discuss it, it doesn't mean that it is The final decision." Wang Mengmeng's complexion suddenly changed, and she grinned - showing a disappointed expression.

Probably she also saw that what Liu Jun was telling was the truth, and he was not deceiving each other with lies.And there is no need for Liu Jun to deceive her.At Liu Jun's level, it is very difficult to make him "deceive".

But Wang Mengmeng rolled her eyes, and immediately asked again: "Okay, then Governor Liu, what is your opinion on this matter? Don't worry, it's purely a technical discussion, and it doesn't mean to spy on state secrets."

Liu Jun shook his head with a smile, and said, "You...then let me ask you, what do you think about the appreciation of the renminbi?"

"RMB appreciation" is one of the hottest topics in the global financial circles recently.It is also a topic that some domestic financial experts will talk about in their mouths. It seems that if they don't talk about this topic, financial experts will "depreciate". "I think, the RMB will definitely appreciate. [

Seeing Liu Jun asking, Wang Mengmeng's eyes lit up, knowing that "Youmen" is not humble at the moment, so she said it with certainty.Regardless of whether it is true or not, as long as Liu Jun is willing to continue "discussing" on this topic, something useful must be dug out of his mouth. "?"

It was not Governor Liu who asked this question, but Advisor He.Obviously, He Mengying is also interested in this topic.It's not that Miss He still values ​​Jin Cheng so much, discussing such topics is also He Mengying's hobby.Status dictates.

"You see, the RMB exchange rate has not been adjusted for ten years from 90 to now. Some authoritative international institutions and trading partners have always believed that the RMB is undervalued to varying degrees; according to the theory of international economics Excessive foreign exchange surplus itself indicates that the foreign currency is priced too high, the local currency is priced too low, and the local currency has appreciation pressure..." Wang Mengmeng seems to be "replenishing" financial theory knowledge for a while, and the first opening is full of "technical terms". Wang Xunxun, who seemed to be knowledgeable, saw that everyone was listening intently. He couldn't help but feel very proud, and then said: "Since [-], all major currencies in the world, including the currencies of Southeast Asian countries, have appreciated significantly against the US dollar. Only The exchange rate of the RMB against the U.S. dollar has not been adjusted. In other words, the RMB has actually followed the U.S. dollar to depreciate significantly against other currencies. Not to mention that the RMB did not depreciate excessively or be priced too low in the [-]s, but only the currencies of other countries in recent years The exchange rate against the U.S. dollar has greatly appreciated, and only the exchange rate of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar has not moved. From this alone, it can be judged that the value of the renminbi against the U.S. dollar may be underestimated." In this way, even Qiu Qingchuan showed a slightly surprised expression on his face.

Wang Mengmeng raised the corner of her mouth, a little proud and a little dissatisfied—do you think that Miss Wang is still the old Wuxia Ameng?

Liu Jun smiled and said: "This is an economic reason, what about political reasons?"

Wang Mengmeng said: "Why, Governor Liu wants to test me? Well, the little girl will risk her life to accompany the gentleman, and fight in front of two financial experts...Political"; Ten, {. ;Simple, in recent years, Western countries, especially the United States and Japan, have made ten to ten manufacturing industries. . ;. 1 Second, they think that the main reason is that the large amount of cheap products exported from our country has caused them to pass ;;”;!people. , we should take corresponding responsibilities in the world economy.Speaking of it, it is not unreasonable at all. my country's foreign exchange reserves are too high. After joining WD0, there has been no increase in imports, but the trade surplus has increased significantly.There is no doubt that we are exporting more and more things, and we have robbed others of their jobs, no wonder they are not convinced..."

He Mengying sneered and said, "How much money can we make by processing some small products and selling them to them? Why are they not convinced?"

Liu Jun smiled and said: "But a considerable part of the votes of other people are held in the hands of blue-collar workers, and they must shout." In this situation, it is the United States and Japan who are shouting, and must appreciate the appreciation of our country's currency. s reason.

To put it simply, there is not a single product produced in the United States. In the past, it was sold to Americans for one dollar and sold to my country for eight dollars. Now it is still sold to Americans for one dollar, but it is cheaper to sell to my country, only seven yuan. .This means that American goods are getting cheaper and cheaper for our country. Of course we want to buy more, so we will import more.The sharp increase in imports will make American factories happy, and they can desperately produce on a large scale. The appreciation of the renminbi means that my country's market demand has increased. Therefore, the more the renminbi appreciates, the more imports will increase.In the same way, a commodity was sold in the United States for one dollar in the past, which was equivalent to eight yuan. Now that the renminbi has appreciated, for Americans, the price of this commodity has risen, so they don't want to buy more.

The ebb and flow of one can stimulate the development of manufacturing industries in Western countries such as the United States.In an elected country, votes are very important.

Recently, some members of the U.S. Congress are doing everything possible to put pressure on President Bush, asking the government to use diplomatic means and commercial sanctions to force the appreciation of the renminbi in order to "save" the declining manufacturing industry in the United States and increase employment opportunities.

Li Jianan said: "In my opinion, the possibility of passing this bill is not very high. The current economy of the United States is also heavily dependent on us. Many super large companies have established branches in our country. For these companies , The appreciation of the renminbi may cause more damage to them than the damage caused by no appreciation... The Asian divisions of many American companies are the main body of profit.”

Li Jian'an is the head of the Overseas Futures Department of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and a bureau-level cadre. He naturally has a more accurate view of these international financial trends.Whether it is within the yamen circle or within the system, the principle of carrying people on bridal sedan chairs is universal.

Seeing that Liu Jun was younger than himself, he was already the governor, and his position surpassed that of the boss.Moreover, brother-in-law Qiu Qingchuan will soon be a minister, and it must be a lie to say that Li Jianan has no thoughts at all.But this matter, there is no rush, it has to be done step by step, and it depends on the opportunity.Right now, if you want to show your performance in front of Liu Jun, Liu Jun will be able to show him when you meet the scene.this point is very important.

No matter if you are the princelings or the third generation of the red family, someone has to speak for you. If Liu Jun, the third generation leader of the Yanliu family who does not seem to have a deep relationship with his old Li family, comes, the effect will be even more ideal.It proves that Li Jian'an is really capable, and even Liu Jun can catch his eye.Liu Jun nodded with a smile, and Qiu Qingchuan gave him an encouraging look.Li Jian'an knew that he had made the right move, and was a little excited.

But He Mengying frowned and said, "Liu Jun, I don't think this matter can be taken lightly. After you go home, you should make a suggestion to the old man that the RMB cannot be appreciated. This has a great impact on us. Now many coastal All enterprises are labor-intensive industries, and the only competitive advantage is cheap labor. This appreciation, lower selling prices, higher labor costs, and other costs such as water, electricity, oil, and transportation follow along. Rising, squeezed at both ends, less and less profits, coupled with unsalable exports of products, insufficient supply of working capital, many factories will find it difficult to maintain, and will close down or reduce production. This will hit our coastal provinces very hard. Caused a large number of migrant workers to lose their jobs. How to arrange this group of people is a big problem. Social problem!" Miss He put away her idle character and said solemnly, her face was rarely serious.

Just because of this matter, it will indeed have a far-reaching impact.At present, the country is carrying out macro-control, and the coastal provinces are already clamoring that the macro-control policies have affected their economic growth. If this happens again, everyone will have even more reason to disobey the central government's adjustments.He Mengying is very clear about how much pressure Liu's father and son are under now.This time to promote the appreciation of the renminbi, suspected to be worse.

Wang Mengmeng kept silent, but a look of disappointment appeared on her face.To be honest, the overall situation of the country is not in the eyes of Miss Wang, she just wants to make more money.If the renminbi does not appreciate, her plan to make a fortune in the foreign exchange market will be completely defeated.Miss Wang's ideological awareness has not yet reached the height of worrying about the country and the people.

Li Jian'an said again: "Yes, the real estate prices in the capital, the Pearl, the South, and Province B have something to do with this." Wang Mengmeng asked in surprise: "Why is real estate related to the exchange rate? "[

Just this one sentence shows timidity.After all, it is the financial knowledge of "half-way monks", which is still far behind.

Li Jianan said: "There is an internal connection. When the industry is not easy to do, some adults will change the direction of investment. Think about it, if the RMB appreciates, or it may appreciate, the prospect of starting a business is getting worse and worse. Who will do it?" Investing prophecy in the industry? It’s thankless. It must be in an industry that is easier and more profitable. Investing in real estate at this time is not only conforming to the general economic trend, but also conforming to the political trend. Just like stock trading ten years ago, it is basically a steady profit without losing money, who wouldn't want to f?"

When Wang Mengmeng heard this, her eyes suddenly lit up, as if she saw new hope.However, Wang Mengmeng was not so convinced by Li Jianan's analysis.In the eyes of ordinary people, Li Jian'an can also be called a financial expert, but now that Liu Jun and Qiu Qingchuan are here, it is safer to ask these two for advice. "Governor Liu, is that so?" Liu Junying smiled and said, "You'd better ask your cousin about this.