The Three Kingdoms: The Cold Gate World

Chapter 261 Nine Earths Nine Heavens
Guo Ye doesn't like to ask his elders about everything. He likes to think for himself. He will naturally ask his subordinates for knowledge that he doesn't understand. If he can sort out his thoughts by himself, he will never let others reveal the answer for him.

The pattering autumn rain lasted for several days. Jia Xu, who was wearing a robe with loose sleeves, looked at the scene of dripping water from the eaves, with a calm expression, not knowing what was going on in his heart.

Guo Ye stood beside him and said softly: "Sir, I have been thinking about the reactions of Yuan Shao and Cao Cao these days. Yuan Shao is still the world's attention prince within two years. He can be defiant, and with his strength, he can divide his troops into two groups, one against Cao Cao and the other against his father. In this case, Yuan Shao will have a perfect plan. When he fights Cao Cao in the future, Bingzhou will definitely have his garrison. Beware of Cong Han The father who sent troops from Guguan. Cao Cao is far from Yuan Shao in terms of military strength. If the decisive battle comes, he will not be able to divide his troops to guard against his father. Even Liu Biao in the south, Sun Ce in Jiangdong, and Lu Bu in Xuzhou will all have the opportunity to give Cao Cao a bottom line at that time. So, it doesn't matter whether Cao Cao will be paralyzed by his father or not."

This opinion was thought up by Guo Ye himself. The best way to predict the enemy is to compare your heart with your heart, stand in the opponent's position, and assume that you have the opponent's conditions, how will you react? This method, Guo Ye Jia was instilled in Guo Ye a long time ago.

Jia Xu looked at the foggy sky, the autumn rain was continuous, delicate and silent, showing a faint smile.

"Young Master Ye, if I were Cao Cao and I had 30 soldiers, and you were Yuan Shao and you had [-], and you wanted to fight me, how many troops would you have on the battlefield?"

Guo Ye thought about it seriously, and after a moment of silence, he replied: "Yuan Shao sought Jizhou and swallowed Hebei, and his momentum was like a rainbow all the way, but he sent an army of 20 to attack Guanzhong, but he was wiped out. In terms of military combat ability, Yuan Shao and Cao Cao The distance is far away, therefore, if I were Yuan Shao, I would put all these 30 soldiers and horses into the battlefield in order to secure the victory."

"Okay, let me ask you again, if I have 20 soldiers and you have 60, how many troops will you invest in the decisive battle?"

Jia Xu then asked.

This time, Guo Ye fell into a longer thinking time.

It sounds like the comparison between 30 and 20 troops, and 60 and [-] troops, is three times the opponent's strength, but wars cannot be compared with such data.

应该用这样的表达才能真正清楚实力差，30万比10万人多了20万，60万比20万多了40万！
Guo Ye fell into deep thought. With evenly matched troops, regardless of the time, place and people's strategy, the odds of winning may be five or five, but if one hundred thousand faces three hundred thousand, the chance of winning is less than 30%, and if two hundred thousand faces six hundred thousand, the odds of winning are less than 20%. It has fallen by less than 60%.

From ancient times to the present, under the circumstances of such a disparity in military strength, it is rare to hand over the victory to the weak side.

Even if Cao Cao had reached the pinnacle of military strategy, he might not be able to defeat Yuan Shao with such a disparity in military strength.

Today's Cao Cao only has Yanzhou and Yuzhou, plus a small part of Sizhou's land. It is difficult for him to compete with Yuan Shao who owns Hebei. At least [-]% of the people in the world think that Yuan is strong and Cao is weak. It must be Yuan Shao.

When Jia Xu asked Guo Ye, he was not asking about the outcome of this decisive battle in the future, but what attitude Yuan Shao would use to face this decisive battle. In Jia Xu's eyes, the number of winners and losers is not absolute, even if the chance of winning is not enough. Ten percent, and may eventually win.

After all, Guo Ye was not deeply involved in the world. If he faced such a situation with the art of war he had learned, he would probably choose to be safe instead of taking risks.

"If I were Yuan Shao, with 60 troops, 50 would be sent to the battlefield, and another [-] would be kept at Kansai to prevent my father from waiting for an opportunity to leave."

Guo Ye's answer made Jia Xu couldn't help laughing, and asked back: "Young Master Ye, you are Yuan Shao now. If you defeat Cao Cao and annex Yanzhou, Yuzhou, and Sizhou that borders Bingzhou. You know, this Does a victory mean anything?"

Guo Ye was shocked. He only considered the war, but ignored the overall situation. At this moment, he came to his senses and blurted out: "The world!"

If Yuan Shao is not only the overlord of Hebei, but also annexes the Central Plains, then the surrounding princes can surrender almost immediately. Lu Bu, Sun Ce, Liu Biao, they can't resist Yuan Shao who is sitting in the land of seven states.

In other words, as long as Yuan Shao defeats Cao Cao, he will not only own Hebei and the Central Plains, Xuzhou, Jingzhou, and Yangzhou will all be in his pocket. In this way, even if Guo Jia conquers Liangzhou at the same time, he will only own Guanzhong, Yizhou, and Liangzhou are less than the territory of the three states. If this situation continues, it will be almost impossible for Guo Jia to compete with Yuan Shao.

Jia Xu stretched out his hand to feel the coolness of the raindrops, and said lightly: "Yuan Shao will fight Cao Cao decisively, he will come out with all his strength. There are two reasons. First, Yuan Shao suffered a disastrous defeat in Guanzhong, and he will not be confident because of his superior military strength. , Cao Cao is better at fighting than him. Yuan Shao must know this self-knowledge, so he has to put all his advantages into this decisive battle. He will invest as many soldiers as he has. One obstacle is the lord, the lord is gradually becoming stronger, Yuan Shao can't sit idly by, it doesn't matter when Gongsun Zan dies, if he wants to be strong in Hebei, he has only one way to go south, so he wants to defeat Cao Cao with a thunderbolt."

Guo Ye nodded frequently, but soon frowned again, and asked, "Sir, if Yuan Shao wins, father will be in a precarious situation. At this time, why does father paralyze Yuan Shao and Cao Cao, why doesn't he join forces with Cao Cao to fight?" What about Yuan Shao? Even if we don't meet each other on the battlefield, Yuan Shao will not dare to send his troops south, but it can delay time, so that father can gain more time to develop in Guanzhong."

At this moment, Jia Xu looked at Guo Ye differently, turned his head and gave him a look of admiration, Jia Xu smiled and said: "Master Ye can think of this, my lord must be very pleased when he finds out."

Guo Ye has a calm personality, even if it is Jia Xu's appreciation, he will not be moved.

"There are still two reasons. My lord united with Cao Cao, and the two benefited. My lord has more time to develop Guanzhong, and Cao Cao also has more time to wipe out the weak forces around me. But in the long run, my lord hopes that there will be one fewer princes in the world. There is only one less. Ten years ago, there were countless forces from all sides, big and small. Today, there are no more than ten heroes in the world, and one less hero means one less opponent. In the eyes of the lord, Yuan Shao and Cao Cao are obviously better than Yuan Shao It is even more frightening. It is better to wipe out Cao Cao as soon as possible than to let him sit on the throne. The second reason is that Yuan Shao can't wait. Yuan Shao is nearly fifty years old. As long as he can ensure that there will be no further changes in Hebei, he will be impatient. Going south, he can play games with the princes, but he can't fight with the destiny, his death may be 20 years later, maybe ten years later, but how can Yuan Shao have the confidence to discover the will of heaven?"

Annoyed look appeared on Guo Ye's face.

He didn't take into account too many factors.

Yuan Shao's age, how long he can live, this is an obvious thing, why can't he think of it?
Cao Cao is younger than Yuan Shao, and Cao Cao is more cunning than Yuan Shao, which he ignored.

Turning his head, Jia Xu lovingly stroked Guo Ye's head, and said softly: "Actually, Mr. Ye's previous speculation was half right. My lord is building a navy, and I really want to attack Jingzhou. But it depends on the timing, especially when Yuan Shao and Yuan Shao are involved." In Cao Cao's decisive battle, if Guanzhong does not regain its vitality and the lord misses the opportunity to send troops to the Central Plains, then after Yuan Shao defeats Cao Cao, the lord will immediately swallow Jingzhou, and then form a friendship with Jiangdong, rejecting Yuan Shao together."

Guo Ye raised his head, looked at Jia Xu and asked puzzledly, "Jiangdong Sun Ce is only in the six counties, why didn't he take Jiangdong together?"

Jia Xu shook his head and said with a smile: "It will not be easy to attack Jingzhou if we make close friends. If Jingzhou starts to fight, Jiangdong must take strict precautions. It will be difficult to swallow the south of the Yangtze River in one go."

No matter whether Jia Xu and Guo Ye have any basis for their discussion and speculation, at least Jia Xu is right in his words.

Historically, Cao Cao won the Battle of Guandu, but now, Guo Jia dare not make preparations based on history alone.

What if Cao Cao is defeated?

Therefore, Guo Jia must be prepared to deal with it. If he can't control the battle of Guandu and benefit from it, Yizhou's navy will at least surprise Jingzhou with both land and water when Yuan Shao wins.

Take Jingzhou, form an alliance with Jiangdong, and jointly deal with Yuan Shao.

This is a measure to prevent Yuan Shao from winning the Battle of Guandu. Guo Jia cannot joke about his wealth and life. Unification has been achieved.

Guo Ye smiled wryly, and said, "I can't even guess what my father is thinking."

What he thinks of fighting Jingzhou is completely different from what Guo Jia thinks of fighting Jingzhou.

If Guo Jia attacked Jingzhou without a decisive battle between Yuan Shao and Cao Cao, the teacher came out of no name, and he violated the principles of courtiers, he and Liu Biao were both Han officials. Besides, there is no reason to attack Jingzhou.

But once Yuan Shao defeats Cao Cao, the background will be different, God, it has changed!

Cao Cao coerced the emperor to order the princes, Yuan Shao attacked Cao Cao, he called Cao Cao a Cao thief one moment ago, as long as he wins, he will become a Yuan thief the next second!
At that time, Guo Jia fought Jingzhou, and there were too many names that could be used. Xu Du fell, and Liu Biao did not save it. That was the reason. Yuan Shao invaded the Central Plains and wanted to change the dynasty. , Liu Biao's obstruction is the reason!
At that time, the current situation will be in turmoil, and the people of the world will be in panic. Guo Jia can do a lot of things to take advantage of the chaos. Even if the attack on Jingzhou will be criticized, it will not be too violent.

Jia Xu suddenly looked down at Guo Ye very solemnly, and said seriously: "Master Ye, you are very clear about the temper of the lord, but you have to study hard to learn the style of the lord. Do the aftermath well, and you will be able to accept all the results. A good defender hides his troops under the Nine Grounds, and a good attacker moves above the Nine Heavens. Every time the Lord makes an attack, you must remember every bit of it with your heart , often seemingly ordinary actions may have far-reaching implications.”

(End of this chapter)