2050 superpower

Chapter 1 Preface
Most of Nostradamus's great prophecies have not come true, but his prophecy books have sold tens of millions of copies around the world, and even today, they are still prominently placed in bookstores.

Because human beings have a natural curiosity about the future, even if the prophecy cannot be realized, it is nothing, because the process of prophecy itself is very interesting.

100 years ago, no one could predict that the United States would become a superpower that would shake the earth; 50 years ago, no one dared to predict the sudden collapse of the domineering Soviet Union; 30 years ago, no one could predict the strong rise of China's economy.

So, looking ahead 40 years, who will rule the planet?Who will be the seeds for the 2050 superpower?
The answer is there - the BRICs: China, Russia, India and Brazil.

In 2050, there are only these four countries that have the potential to challenge the global hegemony of the United States and become superpowers that can shake the world. No other country has the favorable conditions that these four countries have.

Because superpowers are not something anyone can do if they want to. There are no minimum conditions, and they don't even have the qualifications to dream.

Looking back at the history of several hundred years in modern times, all superpowers actually have one thing in common: a vast territory, abundant resources, a huge population, a large-scale economic strength, and comprehensive national strength that is on the rise.

Moreover, these conditions are all necessary conditions, and they are indispensable. With these conditions, it is possible to become a superpower. Without these conditions, there is no hope of becoming a superpower.Whether in the past, present or future, no major country can be an exception.

Britain in the 19th century was a superpower sweeping the globe.In the era when the UK became a superpower, the British colonies spread all over the world, the population controlled by the UK exceeded one-tenth of the earth, the economic strength of the UK ranked first in the world, and the comprehensive national strength of the UK was proud of the world.

The Soviet Union in the 20th century was a superpower. The territory of the Soviet Union exceeded the sum of the United States and China. The population of the Soviet Union ranked second in the world. In its heyday, the economic strength of the Soviet Union was second only to the United States.

The United States today is a superpower. The territory of the United States ranks fourth in the world, and the population of the United States ranks third in the world. The economic strength of the United States exceeds the sum of the two countries behind it.

And when these superpowers are rampant in the world, there are many challengers similar to them, trying to challenge their status, but these challengers seem to be eliminated without exception.

These challengers are France, Germany, Italy, Japan.The typical representatives are Germany and Japan.Although there are many factors for the failure of Germany and Japan, one fundamental factor is that they did not have the basic conditions to become a superpower.

They do not have a vast land as a resource reserve and room for strategic maneuvering, and they do not have a huge population to support the vast power base of the empire. Although their economic strength and military strength are strong, their inherent disadvantages have greatly affected these advantages. And Later, it became an unfavorable factor restricting the economic and military development.

Germany occupied millions of square kilometers of the Soviet Union, and the Soviet Union continued to produce aircraft and artillery.Japan invaded China for 1 years, but could not make China yield and surrender.But when the Allied forces entered the border of Germany, and when the Allied planes appeared in the sky of Tokyo, everyone knew that Germany and Japan could not escape the fate of failure.

But the conditions of the BRIC countries today are completely different from those of Germany and Japan. Almost all of them have excellent endowments to become superpowers.Perhaps they may be slightly inferior in a certain aspect, but it is only a difference in ranking, and it is definitely not a difference in grade. For any single indicator, their ranking is basically in the top ten in the world. far behind.

In terms of territory and resources, China, Russia, India, and Pakistan rank first, third, fifth, and seventh in the world respectively. Even India, which ranks seventh in the world, has an area larger than that of Germany and Japan. together several times.

In terms of population, the four countries rank first, second, fifth and ninth in the world respectively. Even the population of Russia, which ranks ninth in the world, is still equivalent to the combined population of the United Kingdom, France and Australia.And China, the most populous country, has more people than Europe and the United States combined.

In terms of economic strength, in the 2010 global GDP ranking, these four countries can all enter the top 1 in the world. If calculated by purchasing power evaluation, this position will be further improved.What's even more remarkable is that in the past ten years, these four countries have all achieved excellent economic development results, and their economies have maintained long-term high-speed development.

In terms of international influence, these four countries are all regional powers and global powers, and nothing in the world can do without the cooperation of these four countries.In resolving global disputes, even today's boss, the United States, dare not ignore the existence of the four countries.

So looking to the future, where will the four countries go? In 2050, can the four countries achieve the prominent status of superpowers?

We will analyze them one by one in this book.

(End of this chapter)