2050 superpower

Chapter 36 Who Will Rule the World (3)
§§§Fourth Super Tournament - A Long Elimination Match

In the history of the world, we often see some countries fall from a strong country or rise from a weak country almost overnight. Just the moment of a volcanic eruption.In the hegemony competition between big powers, the undercurrent has always been a long process. Only the contestants can appreciate it, and the audience only sees the result.

Not all countries can participate in the world power competition, it needs to be qualified.

First, certain geographical conditions must be met.A superpower must have vast land or sea areas.

The vast land allows a country to be self-sufficient and live independently.In the military, the vast territory is the guarantee of the depth of a country's strategy.When attacked by foreign powers, the army can calmly advance and retreat, reorganize, preserve its strength, and launch counterattacks in ground nuclear warfare or land warfare in the traditional sense.At the same time, the vast territory allows national military facilities, such as radars and missile launch vehicles, to have good mobility and concealment.If a country's territory is too small, it will lose its strategic depth. No matter how rich the country is and how powerful its military is, if the living space is too small in the face of the attack of a big country, it will be in danger of extinction.For example, France and Poland in "World War II", due to their small land area, faced with the powerful military power of Germany, they had nowhere to hide and no room for advance and retreat, so they eventually perished.Although the United Kingdom has a small land area, it has the English Channel as a barrier to prevent the invasion of the German army.On the other hand, due to the vast territory of the Soviet Union, even if its army was defeated by the German army, it could preserve its strength in a large and deep maneuver, and eventually Germany defeated Moscow.

Second, to participate in the World Power Contest, one must have sufficient economic strength.The soldiers and horses did not move, but the food and grass went first.Economic strength consists of three parts.One is material resources. Without one's own resources, one will be passive.For example, in World War II, although Japan was the military overlord in Asia, its material resources were mainly obtained through imports, so it adopted the method of plundering resources from other countries through war to support the continuation of the war.However, low-end resources can be obtained from Asia, and high-end resources, such as steel and oil, can only be obtained from non-occupied countries through trade.After the global anti-fascist alliance was formed, countries around the world imposed a trade blockade on Japan, cutting off its resources. Therefore, in terms of resources, Japan will undoubtedly lose in World War II.Second, the level of productivity.Without enough vitality, it is impossible to produce enough products to support the hegemony.Third, financial aggregates.In a capitalist country, the economy runs on finance.Without financial support, not only the social economy cannot function, but even the state machinery cannot function.For example, in Russia after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, due to extreme economic difficulties, not to mention conducting military exercises, even normal air patrols by fighter planes and ocean patrols by ships cannot be guaranteed due to lack of funds.There are many military facilities that have no money to maintain, and some can only be eliminated.Offices of state agencies and military departments often default on electricity bills.It can be seen that the size of the financial aggregate plays an extremely important role in the struggle of great powers for hegemony.

Third, there must be a certain national quality and political quality.Generally speaking, in poor countries, the general quality of citizens is low, and the national cohesion is extremely weak.For example, in China in the past, the people were like a pan of loose sand. During the Qing Dynasty, the "Eight-Power Allied Forces" with a force of less than [-] troops marched straight from Tanggu, Tianjin, directly to Beijing, the capital of the Qing Dynasty, and made the huge China sign a shameful contract. Treaty, while the vast majority of ordinary people in China "live and work in peace and contentment" on their own in numbness. In "World War II", the small country of Japan entered China, but China continued the civil war "without fear". After the outbreak of the Sino-Japanese War, a united anti-Japanese front was formed, but the internal strife has not stopped.Therefore, national quality and political quality are the basis for a strong country to strive for hegemony.

Fourth, to participate in the competition of world powers, one must have strong military capabilities.Only with strong military strength can we be able to prevent foreign aggression, break the blockade of external forces, and at the same time put pressure on the opponent to counter the blockade.Generally, people are very concerned about military issues and have a deep understanding of the stakes involved, so I won't say more here.

Fifth, to participate in the competition of world powers, domestic politics must be stable.In the history of mankind, in all previous competitions of great powers, many countries were not directly knocked down by their opponents, but were defeated by themselves.

For example, the disintegration of the Soviet Union was not the result of the US military attack, but its internal coup.So is Iraq.After the U.S. troops entered Iraq, the Iraqi army dispersed after hearing the news. It is ridiculous that many Iraqi planes and tanks were buried underground, and many Iraqi citizens even welcomed the arrival of the U.S. troops.It can be said that in the Iraq War, Saddam's government troops did not pose a greater threat to the U.S. military than the "terrorist organizations" after the war. Otherwise, the U.S. would not give up this opportunity to station troops in the Middle East.Visible, the importance of political stability.

The world after the end of the Cold War is considered to be a unipolar world, and the United States has become the only superpower in the world.However, although the current Russia is difficult to compare with the Soviet Union in the past, it has inherited most of the strength of the Soviet Union and maintains the characteristics of a superpower.It can be said that the United States dares to attack any country in the world, but it does not dare to attack Russia.Now Russia has recovered from the sinking. Although the body is not yet strong, it still has muscles.Russia has a large number of nuclear weapons, second only to the United States in number.Russia has a powerful "deep blue" military strength, a destructive force that can fight thousands of miles away, and a space system that overlooks the world. All of these make the United States dare not list Russia as a real enemy, and only conduct a strong defense.The Soviet Union has fallen, Russia has stood up, and the competition between the United States and Russia will continue for a long time.

China has become the real enemy of the United States.Although China is now very fat and weak, its huge body cannot be swallowed by the United States in one bite.As the world's second largest economy, the United States will not completely break with China. China's economic prosperity is beneficial to the United States. It is only afraid that China will gain a strong position in the world.Although the United States is wielding its guns in the waters surrounding China, its purpose is not to have a direct conflict with China, but to make China submit to its despotic power.Therefore, China is a special enemy of the United States.Under such circumstances, the competition between China and the United States can only go on for a long time in the "Tai Chi Magic", to see who can't support it and fall to the ground first.

In addition to China, the United States, and Russia, there is also a dumbfounding India.Both India and China are ancient civilizations, but he is different from China.China is already a China that has taken off its coat and long gown, while India is a strange combination of wearing Western-style leather shoes, wearing "Gulda" and "Sikh" turban on the head.India is not the enemy of the United States now, but if China collapses, India will become the second "China" of the United States.Another difference between India and China is that China hides its strength and bides its time, while India shows its sharpness.India has announced to the world the goal of being a world superpower, but sadly, no country has accepted his challenge.The reason why India ended up in such a boring and embarrassing situation is because no one believes that India can become a world superpower.Therefore, India can only wait for a long and lonely time in the competition of great powers.

The four countries of China, the United States, Russia, and India are impressively in the arena, while some other countries are engaged in secret battles off the stage.The reason why these countries have resorted to secret warfare to steal the position of a powerful country is because they do not have the conditions to compete in the ring.Once a country can't bear it anymore and forcibly stands out, other countries can unite and destroy it casually.

In the competition of great powers, in addition to the contest of power and strength, there is also a contest of the soft knife of culture.During the Cold War period, only the cultures of the United States, the Soviet Union, and Europe were able to enter the world stage.Chinese culture, in particular, has sprung up after the end of the Cold War, gradually showing its face on the world stage and influencing the world.Now, in various developed and developing countries in the world, in addition to products printed with "Made in China", you can also see Chinese elements permeating everywhere.

In the past, only foreigners came to China to preach and preach, but now China has established Confucius schools abroad to spread Confucian culture and expand the influence of Chinese characters in the world.Chinese characters not only spread in the world, but also become a scene of tattoo designs on Westerners.This spectacular scene even exclaimed to the US, which has always been strong and arrogant, that China has begun to "peacefully evolve" towards them.In fact, today's Chinese have many things in common with Americans, such as optimism and self-confidence.Now is an era of great cultural integration, and it is hard to tell who has invaded whom culturally.

Some people say that it is easy to judge whether a country has become a world superpower: as long as countries in the world show great concern for a country's national conditions, it means that this country is already a world superpower.Although this statement is not comprehensive, it makes sense.For example, in the Soviet Union during the Cold War, every domestic move received the attention of the world, and so did the United States, so we call it a superpower.After the Cold War, every domestic move of the United States has attracted the attention of the whole world, while other powers are much inferior, so the United States is a well-deserved world hegemony.

Just because superpowers are so concerned by the world, being a superpower is not a happy thing.Because with power comes not only more development space and resources, but also great responsibilities to the world, and at the same time, one must carefully avoid the suspicion of other countries.It seems that being the world's super hegemon is still easy, but being the hegemon requires strong economic strength to support it, and not just any country can afford it.

Therefore, here we are very emphatic and solemn to remind everyone that the world superpower is different from the world superhegemon.A superpower obtains dominance over the world in a peaceful manner; a superhegemon uses coercive power to make the world submit to its feet.In peace, the competition of great powers is always a long knockout match.

§§§ Section 2050 Who will dominate the world in [-]
Yesterday, it has passed away in a sense of loss; tomorrow, it is difficult to have any extravagant hopes for new ideas.Today's world is in a daze of "who will I go to", so we can only "relax" and imagine the future 2050 indulgently. Although 2050 is far away from us, our sustenance is very close.In today's ever-changing world, we still entrust the pursuit of a thousand years of change. For the pursuit of a better world, as long as we fail to realize the vision of a better world, we must continue to work hard. "Globalization" has added more hope to our pursuit of beauty; the emergence of "global village" has made our communication independent of distance.However, what makes the world depressed is that all of these can't conflict with the barrier between hearts. Who will dominate the earth in 2050 will affect our fragile hearts.

No one wants the United States to continue to dominate the world, because it wants to enslave the world; and few people want the European Union to dominate the world, because the EU is so old that it is almost stubborn, making people worry that it will still be able to eat; important task.The future world is destined to be a "new new world". Only those countries that have no grievances, but still have historical sadness, and are determined to abandon the past to build the future, are the best candidates for the world leader.When people are in a dilemma, they flip through the resumes of other seed players, and the "Golden Four Kingdoms" jumps into people's eyes.

(End of this chapter)