These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 10 Opening short-term trading and market-watching skills (4)
30) New shares are not suitable for short-term trading. From April to May 2008, the market was volatile in a standard bear market. According to the traditional concept, a large amount of funds will pour into new stocks.However, judging from the 4 newly listed stocks in the past two months, only two stocks were able to make a profit on the second day, and the loss rate was as high as 5%.IPOs are not suitable for short-term trading. First, because the purpose of listing IPOs is to distribute them, and if there is a lack of orders, they will fall; It is because the main force is unwilling to raise the bargaining chip, unless the big market is imminent; the fourth is because new shares are often issued during the boom period of the stock market, and the price-earnings ratio is too high, and it is easy to fall into a continuous decline.At the same time, it should also be noted that new shares sponsored by small brokerages are often prone to changes in performance, which will lead shareholders into a quagmire of losses.

Note that the above experience has a certain timeliness, and traders should not blindly copy it.

No. 35 Tips for Watching the Market in the End of the Market

If a short-term trader starts to enter the market in the early trading, he will face 3 to 4 hours of selling variables, and sometimes he will be powerless to watch his profits turn into more and more losses. Become a trader's worst enemy.However, if a trader buys within 1 minute of the end of the market, the risk he bears is only 1 minute, and the variables are often not very large.As a result, tail market trading has also become a spectacle in the stock market, but this is also a market phenomenon, and the so-called existence is reasonable.

The opening is the prologue, the intraday is the process, and the closing is the conclusion.Theoretically speaking, the end of the day is a summary of the one-day struggle between the long and the short, so the closing index and closing price have always been valued by traders; There are many manifestations, some are the manifestations of the main force starting to go long after the day's deliberate suppression, some are the manifestation of high-level platforms being snapped up by retail investors after finishing, and some are the main force deliberately pulling up to prepare for tomorrow's high opening shipments, Some are just the main force deliberately making the K-line chart of the day.It can be seen that it is not an easy task to conduct speculative transactions in the late market.

But everything will not appear for no reason, especially the main funds will not do inexplicable things.According to the statistics of "short-term trading in the late market", the short-term trading in the late market has the following rules (assuming that the market has a pull-up movement or a phenomenon of oscillating higher at the end of the day):
1) After individual stocks are sorted out on a high-level platform, they pull up their daily limit within half an hour of the end of the market.If the sector to which individual stocks belong continues to strengthen on the second day or the market strengthens on the second day, the participants have a chance to get out of the market smoothly, but most of the profits are not high because there are a large number of retail investors following up.

2) After being gradually pushed obliquely to a high level, individual stocks were pulled to the daily limit in the late market.If the sector to which individual stocks belong continues to strengthen on the second day or the market strengthens on the second day, the participants have a chance to get out of the game smoothly, but most of the profits are not high because more retail investors follow up.

3) Individual stocks fell sharply in the second half after finishing platform consolidation at a high level, and did not pull back to the platform position until the last few minutes.Most of these situations belong to the action of the main force to protect the market, and whether it will rise tomorrow depends on the quality of the market.

4) Individual stocks have been consolidating in the ±2% range in the first half, but suddenly rose sharply in the late market.Most of this situation is the main behavior (retail investors will only pay attention to stocks with a high order of more than 5%).If the time to pull up is earlier, it means that the main force is not afraid of selling, and the market on the second day is worth looking forward to.

5) Individual stocks have been finishing downwards in the first half, even falling by more than 5%, but they began to rise sharply in the late market.This kind of situation shows that the main force has finished washing the market and started to go long backhandedly, but it may also be that retail investors copy and rebound, or the main force is making K-line charts to continue shipping tomorrow.The answer depends on whether the trading volume of the decline is large or not, and whether the pull-up time is advanced, etc.

6) In the first half of the market, individual stocks have been finishing below 5%, but they have begun to rise sharply in the late market.This situation shows that a large number of sell-offs have been eliminated, and the bulls have begun to actively counterattack. The market outlook is beneficial to many parties, and the market on the second day is worth looking forward to.

7) Special attention should be paid to the fact that if the market closes on the Yin line on the second day, then the individual stocks that rose in the late market of the previous day usually have no chance to make a profit out of the market, and things that are mixed with fish and dragons cannot stand the test.Therefore, traders who enter the market at the end of the market must first predict the rise and fall of the market on the second day.

8) Usually when it is impossible to predict the trend of the market on the second day, or when the trend of the market on the second day has been predicted, a large number of short-term masters will concentrate their shipments in the late market. If the trading volume is too large at this time, they will open lower the next day The probability of going low is higher.

9) The later a stock rises, the less operational value it will be.One is that there is no opportunity to enter, the other is that the strength of the main force is very weak, and the third is that the main force may be doing the candlestick chart.On the contrary, individual stocks that are pulled up earlier and whose trading volume is also enlarged at the same time are more valuable.

[-]) In a downtrend, there is often a slight pull-up in late trading, and in an upward trend, there is often a slight pullback in late trading. This phenomenon of correcting late trading is meaningless.

11) If good news suddenly spreads to the stock market at the end of the market, you should immediately open a position to buy, and you can look at the high line tomorrow.However, if it is confirmed to be a rumor after the market closes, most of the stock market will fall sharply the next day and should be out immediately.

12) When intervening in the late market to do short-term, you must make preparations in advance for being out the next morning.As long as it is determined that the market cannot close the Zhongyang line, as long as the hot sector cannot be sustained, as long as the good news proves to be rumors or has no substantial positive news, it should be out in time.

The 36th stroke summarizes the short-term buying point

Summary of short-term buying points

The analysis sequence for short-term operations is:

1) Judging the current volatility of the market, so as to determine whether to adopt short-term trading methods;

2) Determine whether to intervene according to the concentration of intraday hot spots and the follow-up status of the sector;

3) Determine which stock has a better reward/risk ratio to intervene according to the K-line shape of individual stocks;

4) Determine the specific entry timing according to the time-sharing trend chart of individual stocks, and obtain the best entry position.

Specifically, when trading intraday, pay attention to the following buying opportunities:
1) For individual stocks with important good news, if the opening price limit appears for the first time when the stock price is low, as long as the market is not extremely weak, you can bid for it at 9:20, and wait until the end of the market, and it may be possible to trade in the middle.After the unlimited daily limit appears, most of the first daily limit is not the end of the market, but the beginning of the rising market, and there will often be a process of hitting the daily limit the next day.However, if the turnover rate on that day exceeds 7%, the situation on the second day is mostly bad, and it is best to keep the turnover rate within 2%.

2) Focus on individual stocks that open more than 5% higher. If there are major theme cooperation, collective start of the sector, K-line chart meets the requirements, etc., it is likely to be blocked on the daily limit within 10 minutes of the opening.When placing an order, the order should be placed directly towards the limit price, but the actual transaction will not be so high, because the low price sell order is quoted first.For such individual stocks, it is not necessary to rush to buy at the opening. If there is a tendency to open the daily limit midway and there is a tendency to be vigorously closed, it is the best point of intervention, because the main force washes away those who are not determined by opening the daily limit. , the later increase is worth looking forward to.However, if the turnover rate on the day exceeds 7%, the situation on the second day is mostly bad, and it is best to keep the turnover rate within 3%.

3) If you cannot find a suitable opportunity to enter the market before 10:13, it is best to wait until 00:14-45:7 to trade.As long as the market is really optimistic, a large amount of hot money will directly stop some stocks that have been sorted out on high platforms in the afternoon.And because plate movements are often formed at this time, there is still a chance to make a profit on the second day.However, if the turnover rate on that day exceeds 4%, the situation on the second day is mostly bad, and it is best to keep the turnover rate within [-]%.

4) Pay attention to the stocks with a one-line daily limit at the bottom, analyze the root cause of its continuous daily limit and possible room for growth, analyze the extent of the increase and the upcoming resistance level, and at the same time, according to the size of the circulation plate, price-earnings ratio, high and low prices and major transactions The sales department, to determine the nature of the main force, and then wait for an opportunity to intervene when the second inline daily limit is opened and is about to be closed strongly, or when the high opening is about to be closed strongly.But be careful not to rush to enter at the opening; at the same time, if the estimated trading volume of the day is more than 7%, be cautious.It is best not to enter the third limit, and would rather wait for the callback and consolidation, because if the main force is not optimistic about individual stocks, there will be a sharp drop, and if they are optimistic about individual stocks, they must release the selling pressure.There are three conditions for chasing the third daily limit: that is, the individual stocks must release the pressure on the day, at the same time, there are not many large selling orders and the trading volume is not huge, and the time to close again is relatively early.

5) Pay attention to individual stocks with a recent continuous increase of about 20%. There are often three possibilities for the subsequent trend: first, continue to rise rapidly after a short-term change of hands; second, go up again after a periodical sideways arrangement; third, Periodic peaks and declines.If it is found to be the first two, analyze the resistance position and the nature of the main force that it is about to face, and intervene when it makes a strong breakthrough.These strong bull stocks can be fully promoted by the main force, there must be reasons unknown to ordinary traders, and their huge funds are obviously not used for fun.As for the trading volume, it should be viewed in combination with the resistance level and the total previous trading volume to see where a large number of selling comes from and whether it is reasonable.

The 37th stroke sums up the short-term selling point

Whether you will buy or not, it will be empty after all.There is also a saying: the one who can buy is the apprentice, and the one who can sell is the master.It can be seen that selling stocks is not an easy task, it is directly related to the profit and loss of traders.Generally speaking, selling stocks tends to be done within 10 minutes of the opening of the market, or during the intraday session.Briefly discussed below.

1 minutes after opening

If traders buy stocks on the same day, they should pay attention to the time when individual stocks soared or the time of daily limit, the size of the cover order, the size of the trading volume, the intensive trading KK, its price, the nature of the main force, etc. after the market closes, and at the same time Predict the continued rise of individual stocks, resistance levels, tomorrow's trend of the market, and the continuation of hot spots, etc., and prepare for the point of selling stocks and the maximum tolerable drop.

Generally speaking, the stocks that have risen sharply yesterday will have the following three situations:
1) Gap high the next day
It is normal for stocks that closed earlier yesterday and had a turnover rate of less than 3% to rise sharply at the bottom for the first time. It is normal to open 5% higher today, and it is also normal to open 3% higher than the situation.If there is a large order to buy immediately after opening higher or a large order to buy after a slight pullback, the stock can be held to rise; however, if it reaches about 7% or 0%, there will be a large number of selling orders pouring out. It is best to ship in time.Because the main force often sells goods after rushing high, or the main force may not be able to withstand it.If individual stocks open higher than 7%, usually the stock price will fall immediately, either because the main force opens higher and sells goods, or the selling pressure of retail investors is too large.Traders can also sell the stock first, and then see if there is a process of shrinking and finishing and rising vigorously again after gaining support at a certain support level. If so, it is not too late to follow up.

2) Open flat the next day
If a high opening means the main force is actively doing more, and a low opening means that the main force is secretly washing the market, then a flat opening is an extremely dull market. It first reveals that the main force has no intention of doing more and may not even have a signal of the main force.For such individual stocks, if traders judge that the market is not good that day, or the same sector is about to pull back, they can choose to get out immediately; When situations such as excessive selling pressure and sparse transactions occur, traders should wait for the opportunity to get out, so as to avoid wasting funds, time and opportunities on other stocks.

3) Gap and open low the next day
This phenomenon often occurs in individual stocks whose daily limit has been opened many times yesterday, the trading volume is too large, the daily limit order is small, and the closing time is too late.After being familiar with yesterday's market conditions, traders should have predicted such an opening situation.Traders who are not optimistic about the market or the same sector today can get out immediately; traders who are optimistic should make a stop loss position in advance, and once the market shows the largest decline they plan to bear, they should be out immediately.Generally speaking, only from a technical point of view, if the opening low or the drop exceeds 3%, it means that the signs of individual stock adjustment are more obvious; Then traders can hold shares cautiously, because this may be the action of the main force to wash the market first and then pull up.

4) Other selling experience

Before selling, traders should know the resistance level of the stocks in their hands. Seeing that the pressure here is really high, they should go up first, even if it is only 9:32 at this time; It is also facing the pressure of profit-making selling, so it should be stopped when it is stopped; if the stock bought is stopped after 10 o'clock, if the turnover rate of the day is relatively large, and if the news of the day has no substantial impact, If the resistance to opening higher the next day is relatively large, if there are more profit-making orders in the early stage, and if the market is not ideal on the second day...then the most ideal selling point is before 9:35 the next day; when selling later, The trading volume of the whole day can be estimated first, and the method is: the trading volume of the opening 10 minutes × 24 (because the trading volume is four hours a day, that is, 240 minutes).If it is estimated that the trading volume of individual stocks on the day is abnormally large, and the daily limit cannot be closed for a long time, there is suspicion of the main force to ship, or there is a concern that all long positions will be consumed, and short-term traders should get out of the game as soon as possible.However, it should be noted that for active varieties, the trading volume in the first 10 minutes of trading is generally very large, so this estimation method often deviates from reality, and it may be more appropriate to use the trading volume in the opening 10 minutes × 8.

Note that if there is no special explanation, "seal the limit" in the book specifically refers to "seal the daily limit", and "pull the limit" specifically refers to "pull to the daily limit".

2.intraday selling point
After the previous tense minutes, the subsequent selling behavior depends on the intraday time-sharing chart.The general requirement is: the selling point can be expected, but it cannot be sold as expected, but should be handled flexibly according to the actual situation in the day.But you can only make upward flexible changes when the market is favorable, and when the market is unfavorable, you must resolutely exit as expected.

1) For jerk:

There is often a higher point after the high point, and the market generally does not go straight up and down. There will often be an M head, and the second head is the selling point.

2) For sideways:
Sideways trading is not a sign of lightening up positions, but once the stock price falls below the support line or moving average with volume, it means that there is a sell-off and it is an opportunity to sell.

3) For the downline:
The market in the descending channel is a sign of the main force to short or reduce positions, otherwise the market should follow the broader market, and when it rebounds, it is a selling opportunity.

4) For diving:
A drop in volume shortly after the opening of the market, and a drop at the sight of the market is a diving market. Sell quickly. If it is too late, you can wait for a rebound before selling.

The above selling timing is based on the time-sharing chart of the day, but the premise is that the trader is sure that it should be sold on this day.If the trader did not expect the consolidation and there is a consolidation, he must be out of the game resolutely; if the trader has expected the consolidation and has a certain psychological preparation and set a stop loss point, then the transaction can be carried out as planned.

(End of this chapter)