These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 11 Panning for gold with the trend, stepping in at the right time (1)
The 38th short-term bull market stock selection strategy
In the bull market, many investors think that the big situation has come, so they buy stocks desperately, thinking that making money is so simple.But the following interesting statistics show that although the bull market has been established, crazy investors may not be able to achieve ideal investment performance.

If you compare who earns more, there are already too many cases of great joy and sorrow in the stock market, and many influential figures in the stock market a few years ago have already disappeared in the market, before the bull market formed.And who survives longer means that the longer you survive, the more opportunities you will get from the market. 2006 was a relatively good year for China's stock market in recent years. There were too many temptations in the bull market, and many investors didn't know what to buy and what to buy.Here are some suggestions for investors, you might as well pay attention to the short-term stock selection strategy.

1.The increase is higher

The high growth rate includes three meanings that are not contradictory: one is that the absolute growth rate must be high. If the stock price starts from the bottom by more than 50%, it should be a matter of course to enter the main rising wave; It should be optimistic, and it cannot break through or linger at the previous top, and there is a possibility of returning without success; the third is a new high, and the stock price has reached a record high, indicating that the value has been rediscovered and the price has been repositioned. line.

2.The degree of main capital intervention should be high

It's not that Zhuanggu is good. The key is that the status of retail investors determines that it is impossible for them to study the company's fundamentals too deeply.Most of the main funds have strong research strength, and the stocks that they dare to take heavy positions in have good prospects.Retail investors cannot study the fundamentals of the company, but they can study the degree of entry of mainstream funds through the K-line.We give up on those whose main force has only a small amount of experience; we appreciate those whose main force is weak;Of course, there is a difference between a high degree of main force capital involvement and holding Zhuang shares. If the main force has made the stock a new main stock, it means that the risk is greater than the return.
3. The response of the plate should be high

Under the concept of value investment, the main capital has shifted from individual stock mining to industry mining.Stocks with sector echoes indicate that the industry has a good development prospect, is a natural hot spot or a potential hot spot, and has development potential.Even if it is a temporary hotspot, the high degree of response of the sector also determines that it is unlikely to be caught, because the repeated performance of the hotspot will create opportunities for unwinding and making profits many times.

No. 39 Bear Market Against the Market Gold Rush Strategy
Nine out of ten investors who invest in a bear market will lose money. If they lose less, they will win, let alone make money.However, in such a passive situation, there are still some stockholders who can freely shuttle in the rain of bullets in a weak market and earn real money.This can't help but make some investors extremely jealous.

Stock selection in a bear market is far more difficult than in a bull market and a consolidation market, because the market is constantly falling, and the trend of most individual stocks is also gradually declining, with only a few stocks bucking the trend and rising.It is a bit like finding a needle in a haystack to select bull stocks in a bear market from among many individual stocks, so investors who do not have certain professional knowledge and experience are better off knowing the difficulties.Although it is very difficult to choose stocks in a bear market, there are still market opportunities in a downtrend, and there are still rules to follow.

1.Select stocks whose fundamentals have changed significantly and whose performance is expected to rise sharply

This kind of individual stocks, whether in a bull market or a bear market, are all popular objects.Due to the major improvement in the fundamentals, it must be reflected in the stock market sooner or later.Of course, we must also pay attention to the timing of intervention, and don't wait for the stock price to rise to the sky before buying.

2.Choose stocks with good long-term development prospects

Companies with good development prospects are the goals that most people pursue when choosing stocks.This kind of company has stable operation and bright development prospects, and is favored by many people. In the bull market, the stock price may be high, and the performance may be advanced in advance.However, in a bear market, it may fall sharply with the market, especially when it plummets, which provides investors with an excellent buying opportunity, allowing you to get a high-quality stock at a very low price and get an unexpected surprise.Of course, the choice of such individual stocks should be based on the medium and long-term, and one cannot expect high profits in the short term.

3.Pick Individual Stocks That Slump in Late Bear Markets
In the later stage of the bear market, after the sharp drop, the short side allocation was excessively released, causing the stock price to move away from the average cost. Since the stock price has a tendency to move closer to the average cost, the greater the distance away from the moving average, the greater the possibility and strength of its return, so it plummeted There will often be a larger rebound afterwards, which is a short-term buying opportunity.The slump of individual stocks is sometimes against the background of the market slump. At this time, you can choose the stocks with Youzhuang settled in to intervene, because the stocks with Youzhuang have a stronger rebound.There are two main reasons for the collapse of individual stocks: sudden factors and dealer shipments.The slump caused by unexpected events may have a strong rebound, but the slump caused by the dealer's shipment will not rebound.

4.Select the individual stocks that the main institutions intervene

The main institutions in the stock market are powerful, not comparable to ordinary small and medium investors, but they also have the weakness of inflexibility in entry and exit. Once they get involved in a stock, they have to hold it for a long time, especially in a bear market. We must take advantage of every rebound opportunity and wait for the opportunity to pull up individual stocks.As long as the timing of intervention is right for small and medium-sized retail investors, the cost price is lower than or equal to that of the dealer, and they don't be greedy for excessive profits, the probability of profit is still very high.

In short, remember that when choosing stocks in a bear market, you must pay attention to the trend of the broader market, understand intraday hot spots, and policy changes.

Chapter 40 There is a chance under the plunge

It is a normal phenomenon in the stock market to go up and down, but sometimes due to the impact of sudden news or internal reasons of listed companies, the stock price of individual stocks will drop rapidly and sharply.Investors call this drop a plunge.Individual stocks that are in a plunge often make the market value of investors' funds shrink sharply. Therefore, investors often turn pale when talking about plummeting stocks, avoid them for fear, and are unwilling to study, judge or invest in such stocks.Facts have proved that plummeting stocks contain rich investment opportunities. Plunging stocks will bring substantial losses to shareholders who hold shares during their decline, but they will also bring investors who dare to buy at low prices during their revenge | rebound process. Big profits.When the market is in an environment of deep downward adjustment and accelerated stock price decline, the first thing investors need to do is to keep a clear head and calm consciousness, not to be affected by the panic atmosphere caused by the sharp drop, let alone get confused at this time We must actively look for sectors that contain short-term investment opportunities, and obtain huge profits from the sharp drop.

The advantages of plummeting stocks are:
①Because the plummeting stocks are far away from the locked-in intensive area, the upward resistance is small, and the rebound is strong when it occurs.

②The stock price is also close to the bottom area due to serious oversold, and the security is good.

③The plunge can release the short-selling kinetic energy of individual stocks on a large scale. Once the market stabilizes, such individual stocks are often the first to stop the decline and rebound.

Therefore, plummeting stocks are the key preferred varieties when grabbing a rebound.But investors must first distinguish the nature of the plunge when choosing stocks.

①If the market crashes, we should focus on the following types of stocks:
Individual stocks that reacted extremely to the collapse of the broader market;

The ascending channel is still intact, maverick individual stocks;

Individual stocks with strong market support;

If the market is in a downward channel, you can only choose light stocks;
If the market is in an upward channel, you can choose light stocks, heavy stocks, short-term stocks, and long-term stocks;

If there is the last sharp drop before the market bottoms out, you can choose heavy stocks, medium and long-term stocks, and long-term stocks.

②If individual stocks plummet, you should choose the following stocks:

The last consecutive plunge in the stock price at the bottom;
Due to temporary bad news;
Due to the news of the first loss;
Seriously oversold, the bigger the range, the better;

After the first surge, there was a rapid decline;
The return to the old ground after the first heavy volume rise.

Experienced investors choose valuable stocks that are seriously oversold in a plummeting market.Because at this time, many stocks that were originally "boutique shopping mall prices" will suddenly become "street stall prices" stocks, and there are still opportunities to pick up bargains, and this is an opportunity to make a lot of money.

However, the premise must be: when you are at the top of the band and the market is optimistic, you can retire with success.Only in this way can we have enough funds to buy the bottom price at the bottom, and have excellent patience. I believe it will definitely rise in the future.

As shown in the figure below, during the big market crash on July 2009, 7, 29 fell below the 002180-day moving average during the intraday period. It should be possible to judge that when the market crashed that day, it released a concentrated release of risks after a long period of rise. However, 60 is stagnant relative to the broader market, so the intraday plunge of 002180 is irrational and can be used as a short-term buying point. In the subsequent 002180-day rebound, it can be sold for more than 3 yuan, and short-term experts can make a profit of more than 18%.

Move 41
The rebound market refers to the rising market that cannot form an upward trend, and most of them reflect the rebound against the market in the process of falling.Many investors are good at grasping the market rebound and have repeatedly speculated to the bottom, but they have made very little profit. Some even made an index and lost money. The problem lies in the wrong "target".For long-term investment, there is no doubt that you should choose blue chip stocks with low price-earnings ratio, high growth potential and low risk.But the rebound market is a short-term speculative market. Most investors put oil on their soles and run away with one shot. How to choose stocks is very particular.

1.Choose stocks that fall fast and fall deeply

The general situation is not good. Most third-tier stocks lack performance support. Shareholders are panicked and short of breath. They often sell at a low price and fall the worst.

2.Select stocks that have been hit by bad news and whose stock prices have fallen sharply
Affected by the bad news, holders of such stocks sold a large number of stocks, and the stock price was severely suppressed by the short side, and the decline was terrible.Nevertheless, this kind of stock can still be favored by investors and become one of the fastest rising stocks.Therefore, when the bad news distorts the stock price and the negative influence disappears, it is a good opportunity to take advantage of the low price, and the stock price will return to its original color and restore its reasonable price.

3.Choose stocks with the care of market makers

Because some stocks are favored by market makers, they do not fall due to the market downturn, or the decline is very small.Once the market picks up, the market makers will try their best to push it up, and there will be many followers, so the rebound will be fast.However, it should be noted that such stocks should "get off the sedan chair" in time, so as not to become a scapegoat.

4.Breeding stocks with positive rumors but dragged down by the market

Some stocks should have risen due to favorable rumors, but they were dragged down by the market and did not rise. Once the market rebounds, they will surely stand out.

5.Select newly listed stocks

Old stocks have a lot of bargaining chips, and when they rebound, there are many people who will unwind, and there are many resistances.On the other hand, newly listed stocks have less bargaining chips, less pressure to unwind when they rebound, and are often favored by large investors and major institutions, often outperforming the market.

6.Choose third-tier stocks with low absolute prices
A rebound is a short-term speculative behavior. Speculative stock selection does not need to consider the company's performance, and the stocks suitable for a short-term rebound are generally third-tier stocks with poor performance and relatively low prices.The reason is obvious. These speculative stocks are low in price, have the characteristics of large fluctuations and low transaction fees, and their circulating chips are generally relatively small, which is easy to speculate.

No. 42 Adjust the gold rush strategy in the market

It is normal for a strong adjustment to occur in a rising market.Strong adjustments are divided into passive strong adjustments and active strong adjustments.Passive strong adjustment refers to the adjustment that occurs when the stock index has reached a serious overbought area, and there is an obvious peak signal, or has encountered some kind of bad news; active strong adjustment refers to when the stock index is only close to the overbought area, The peak signal is not obvious, and the adjustment occurs when the bad news has not been fully revealed.

In the active strong adjustment, the key point of investors' stock selection direction is to choose stocks with sufficient momentum. Such potential stocks with sufficient momentum can often run faster than the index and other individual stocks in the rising market.There are five specific stock selection methods as follows:
1.Choose stocks with broad upside potential
Choose individual stocks whose current stock price has not risen much, and the absolute stock price is not high, but contains certain investment value and speculative value, and has certain room for growth and potential in the market outlook.

2.Choose stocks with good performance

Through the comprehensive comparison of financial statements, select listed companies with excellent performance as the focus of attention.

In the process of selecting potential stocks, it is necessary to combine the trends of the current mainstream hot spots in the market, and try to choose sectors and individual stocks that are similar to the hot spots in the market.And we should try our best to choose individual stocks with multiple concepts, so that we can have both sides in the conversion of hot market conditions and strive to maximize profits.

3.Choose stocks with relatively solid and reliable bottom patterns

It requires a long time to build the bottom form, and the specific forms are mainly relatively solid forms such as arc bottoms, head-shoulders bottoms, and multiple bottoms.

4.Select individual stocks with significant new capital intervention
Pay special attention to stocks that have enlarged trading volume, but not excessively, and are still in a moderately heavy volume state, indicating that mainstream funds are actively building positions in a planned and step-by-step manner.

5.Choose individual stocks with sufficient stock price adjustments in the previous period

If the stock price has been seriously oversold, the average market cost of individual stocks is basically concentrated around the current price, the momentum of stock price decline has been fully released, and individual stocks that have bottomed out at an important support level can be focused on.

43. Balance the gold rush strategy in the market

A balanced market means that the index does not show a rising or falling trend, but shows a horizontal movement; sometimes the market fluctuates repeatedly within the interval of two parallel lines, such as the box movement formed.At this time, the key is to closely follow the hot spots and change the thinking of stock selection. The key points are as follows:

1.Stock selection should choose substantive theme stocks
Stocks with substantive themes tend to be sought after by more people, and are repeatedly strengthened along with the continuous enlargement of trading volume.

This reflects from one aspect that major changes have taken place in the stock selection criteria of the main funds in the market. The value investment concept formed for a long time is being given a new understanding by the market. The growth of listed companies is becoming an important factor when the main funds choose to build positions. Reference.

2.Stock selection should be based on performance

Although there are hot spots one after another in the balanced market, and the plate rotation seems to be chaotic, there is always a main line around it, that is, the main line of "performance".Therefore, investors need to firmly grasp the main line of the market in stock selection. For stocks with better performance but not very satisfactory performance at present, they may wish to take the initiative to buy them when their stock prices are low.This method is more effective, safer, and more profitable than chasing hot spots that have already risen desperately.

3.Don't Blindly Chase Overvalued Blue Chip Stocks

Blue chip stocks have been the focus of investment in the market in recent years, but the scope of blue chip stocks is relatively large, including many individual stocks, and investors must subdivide this sector.Judging from the market situation in recent years, the stock prices of some blue chip stocks have risen too fast, and some stocks have even doubled in a short period of time.

The fundamental development of the blue chip market lies in the discovery of its investment value. Once the value is overestimated, it will lose the fundamental motivation to continue to rise.Therefore, it is inevitable that blue-chip stocks will diverge in the relay-type volatile market, and some overvalued blue-chip stocks will fall back. Investors must carefully identify blue-chip stocks when choosing them, and do not blindly chase the rise.

4.Stay away from marginalized stocks

In stark contrast to the continuous development of blue chip stocks, some Zhuanggu stocks and ST stocks that are about to be delisted have fallen again and again, and some stocks have even been seriously oversold, and the stock prices have repeatedly hit new lows. There will be another round of selling.This shows that the concept of investors has matured, and the stock market is also developing towards maturity.Fundamental changes are taking place in the market price system, structural adjustment will be further deepened, and the polarization of stock prices will become increasingly prominent.Under such circumstances, investors must not be greedy for temporary cheapness, and should avoid the stocks that are being marginalized, including Zhuanggu, ST stocks that are about to be delisted, and poor performance stocks.

In addition, in a balanced market, stock selection should be carried out according to different operation methods:

1.band operation

The most important form of arbitrage in a balanced market is the band operation of selling high and buying low. As for the high and low standards, refer to the three technical indicators of the Bollinger Band indicator, the central axis indicator, and the top and bottom positions of the box movement.

Stock selection for band operation: mainly select stocks that have heavy volume during the bottoming stage and have obvious box movement rules.

When the stock index falls below the central axis indicator, reaches the bottom of the box, and is supported by the lower track of the Bollinger Band, investors can gradually build positions in batches; when the stock index crosses the central axis indicator, reaches the top of the box, and encounters the Bollinger Band. When on the track line, investors should decisively sell at one time.

2.long-term holding

Although the market shows obvious box movement rules, a small number of strong stocks still maintain their strong trend. When the market rises, such stocks lead the rise; when the market falls, such stocks can also maintain their strength.Investors who hold such strong stocks in their hands should put aside the influence of the market box movement and hold them for a long time with an attitude of light index and heavy individual stocks.

Stock selection for long-term holding: Investors must not choose defensive stocks with market makers for a long time, but should focus on choosing blue-chip stocks with investment value and high-quality blue chips that are in line with market trends.

3.continue waiting

The box movement in the balanced market is not the only option for the stock market, and a breakthrough will be the ultimate inevitable result.No matter which direction the market breaks through, it will produce a certain explosive power and new market hotspots.Steady investors can adopt the method of waiting, patiently waiting for the market to make a choice, and then carry out stock selection operations according to the market conditions at that time.

No. 44 Gold Panning Strategy in Shocking Markets

(End of this chapter)