These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 15
After the dealer enters the stock, the rise is inevitable, and it is also the most exciting moment, which is the tireless pursuit of almost every stockholder.As mentioned earlier, stock prices must have momentum to rise, that is to say, only stocks with momentum can rise, and stocks without momentum cannot be expected to rise.So, what is the momentum of the stock reflected?Relying on persistence, this is one of the important factors for the stock price to rise.The willingness of the market maker to do more is reflected in the continuous rise. The real rise of the stock must have a continuous rise.In the real market, some stocks can continue to rise, and investors have profit opportunities; some stocks are not sustainable, such as "seeing light" stocks, and investors are locked in after following up.Therefore, studying the continuity of stock price rise can improve investors' ability to watch the market and grasp profit opportunities.Its main features:

(1) The stock price rise must be continuous, not a short-term rise of one or two days.

(2) The stock price rises rapidly. On the K-line chart, there are long yang and short yin, big rise and small return, two yang and one yin, etc. The stock price rises rapidly close to the 5-day or 0-day moving average, and the angle is greater than 45 degrees.

(3) The rise must have a certain range, generally more than 30% in one band.In the band, generally there is no gap, the stock price rises wave by wave in small bands, the rise and fall are orderly, and the buying and selling points are clear.

(4) The rise in the stock price is because someone is deliberately "pull", which is the deliberate behavior of the dealer, with a clear purpose and intention of raising the price. If it rises just because everyone is optimistic about the looting, the stock price will soon fall silent.

(5) There is no distribution action during the rise. This kind of rise is a way to push up the stock price.

As shown in the figure below, the dealers of 600712 adopted the "downward suction path" to take all the chips. In November 2008, they suppressed the stock price to a minimum of 11 yuan (both ex-rights prices), and then stabilized and rebounded. The stock price continued to strengthen, and the trading volume was moderately released. .The stock price has risen sharply, the K-line has long yang and short yin, and the small yin line or cross star is used instead of the wash adjustment. The stock price is close to the moving average and rises steadily. There is no gap in the rising market, and there is no daily limit. The stock price remains at a price of more than 3 degrees. in the ascending channel.From the perspective of the market, the stock price rises with momentum and strength. When breaking through the previous highs and transaction-intensive areas, the actions are swift, and the market makers are determined to be long, and they will not be disturbed by external factors.The stock ushered in a big bull market. The stock price started from around 08 yuan, broke through many resistances, and rose to 45 yuan in 3.08 months, with a cumulative increase of more than 8%.Followers are very profitable.

62. Judging whether the trend is extreme
The stock price has reached the limit endpoint along the direction of rising or falling, and the market has undergone an irrational operation stage and evolved into an extreme market.Extreme market conditions often appear in the stock market. This is what people often say that the strong will always be strong, the weak will always be weak, the inertia will rise, and the inertia will fall.The rise of stock prices is exciting, especially the continuous rise, which arouses people's crazy pursuit, and the market is extremely active. At this time, investors often lose their rational investment; the decline of stock prices is sad, especially the continuous decline. People are crazily falling, and market trading is extremely sluggish. At this time, investors often lose their rational investment.The extreme market in the pull-up phase has the following main characteristics:

(1) The stock price rise must be continuous, not a short-term rise of one or two days, and the rise is unbelievable.The more frightening it is, the more the stock price will rise.

(2) Most of the technical indicators are invalid, and technical masters are at a loss. KDJ, RSl, DMl, w%R and other technical indicators are seriously passivated, MACD, WVAD, SRI and other technical indicators deviate from the trend, BOLL, MIK and other technical indicators lose pressure.Only volume price technologies such as VOL, OBV, and SRAR are ideal.

(3) The trading volume continues to increase, rather than a sharp increase in a day or two, and the volume-price coordination is ideal.

(4) The popularity is extremely strong, the exchange is full of people, and the number of new account openings has increased sharply; if it is a stock market, the stock price will rise sharply in a short period of time, and the name of the stock is well known, becoming a star stock for a while.

(5) The emergence of extreme market conditions is often the last madness, the sprint before the end, and the stock price will soon peak and fall. Investors should be prepared to close as soon as it is good.

Move 63
No matter what kind of dealer it is, after entering the market to collect a certain amount of chips and undergoing different degrees of washing (not necessary, it can be completed during the promotion), it will eventually increase the stock price through certain means to achieve the future. The ultimate goal of distributing profits at a high level.Specific to different market makers and different individual stocks, there will be differences in their promotion methods, and it is difficult to accurately grasp the extent of the promotion.However, since this is a critical stage that the dealer must complete, there is no exception when looking at China and abroad.This is also a group of short-term masters who spotted the dealer, kept up with the pace, and enjoyed the highest level of happiness.

(1) Estimate the lift height of the dealer.Before explaining this problem, it is necessary to distinguish the profit requirements of different types of market makers: ① Due to the relatively small chips collected by short-term market makers, they generally do not raise the stock price too high, usually at 10%-20%, exceeding 30% If there is more than 80%, there must be major good news for a stock or the strong cooperation of the market. ② The pull-up of the middle-line market maker is obviously required to be larger due to high control, long time, large investment, and high cost, generally 00% to 200%, and there are many strong stocks or potential stocks that exceed 300% or 100%. For example. ③Long-term market makers require higher profits than mid-line market makers, and the increase rate is larger, but they are often divided into several large bands, each band has a larger profit zone, and the general increase is more than [-]%.

After the dealer enters a stock, he will generally not retreat without making a profit.As a banker, there is no 30% net profit between entry and exit, and generally it will not do it.In Chapter 3, we calculated the dealer’s holding cost, plus 30% of the net profit, plus financing costs, transaction costs, promotion costs, cleaning costs and other factors. In the end, there is no 50% profit margin, and the dealer can’t get out of the game Yes, with this minimum goal as a reference, we will not say "goodbye" to the dealer prematurely.

(2) Intervene at the initial stage of the pull-up.There is almost no need to wait to intervene at this time, and there will be book profits immediately. Follow-up at this time requires courage, because the stock price has left the bottom area and has risen by a large margin.It is advisable that the follow-up price should not exceed 30% of the dealer's cost, and for stronger dealers, it can be raised to 50%.Note that this refers to the cost of the dealer, not the lowest price of the stock price in this round.The focus of follow-up at this time is to accurately judge whether it is a pull-up or a continuation of the wash.Sometimes, some dealers are not strong enough, and they repeatedly make swings in the 50% space.At this time, if you make a mistake, you may buy a top of the band.This emphasizes the reason why it is not appropriate to chase high too much when following up in the early stage of the pull-up.

(3) Sell in the middle and late stages of the pull-up.The typical characteristics at this time are that the stock price rises more and more, the rising angle becomes steeper, the trading volume becomes bigger and bigger, and the trading temperature is hot.At this point, the sharp rise phase is coming to an end.Because once the follow-up funds for buying are used up, the selling pressure will pour down.The appearance of this phenomenon indicates that the rising trend is about to end, the rising force is weak, and the rising force is exhausted, and there is a suspicion of a trend reversal.Therefore, the trading strategy in the later stage of this stage is to resolutely not purchase, if you have chips in hand, you should always wait for an opportunity to ship.

(4) Different pulling methods adopt different operation strategies.For the majority of retail investors, there is no stock that is more willing to hold than a straight-up rise.Due to the huge short-term rise of this type of stock, and the indomitable trend in the rising process, short-term customers can easily make profits, which greatly satisfies the mentality of most investors who are eager for quick success and instant profits, and is very popular among retail investors.It is easy to find the trend of such individual stocks in highly speculative individual stocks, and with the development of the market, some main players have gradually begun to abandon this short-term operation behavior and gradually adopt long-term investment strategies.

For the step-up, the step-by-step increase will not be too large for each step. The 30-day and 60-day moving averages form a long-term support for the stock price trend. The stock price is not far from the moving average, and rarely forms an acceleration. In the short-term trend, investors have limited profits in the short term, so that there is little upward pressure for market makers to operate.And once the market is unstable, the correction of such stocks is also limited, and they often stop falling at the 30-day and 60-day moving averages.Usually, such individual stocks are rarely in the forefront of the market's growth rate, and are basically not concerned by the market, and the trading volume will not show a more obvious state of enlargement, and often rise slowly in the form of shrinking volume. The process of pushing up was completed in a sense.

In fact, it is not the most difficult thing to find the dealer, it is the most difficult thing to dare to follow the dealer and finally win the game.In particular, the test of friends who insist on watching the market every day is beyond words. After buying, they are worried that the dealer will continue to suppress and have no money to cover their positions;It is hard work to follow the banker, but friends who insist on operating in this way will eventually succeed.

Move 64

Pulling up and trial trading are two completely different stages (here only for upward trial trading), but sometimes the two are easily confused, or even reversed.When the dealer was testing the market, he mistakenly thought that the rising market was coming, and chased after a lot of it. As a result, he was stuck at the top and was exhausted by the dealer.When the dealer really got promoted, he mistakenly thought that the dealer was just testing the market, so he was out of the game with a small profit. In the end, he saw the fat in his mouth being taken away, and stomped his feet angrily.Here is a summary of some operating experience for reference:
(1) The maintenance time is different.The duration of the test disk is relatively short, even for several hours.The pull-up lasts for at least three trading days.

(2) The shapes of the K-lines are different.The upper and lower shadows on the K-line during the trial market are longer, and the real part is shorter.When pulling up, the upper and lower shadow lines are relatively short, often appear bald and barefoot positive lines, and the real part is longer.

(3) The trading volume is different.During the trial market, the trading volume came suddenly and lasted for a short time, and a single long red column often appeared on the market.When it is pulled up, it shows a regular magnification trend, and it lasts for a long time, showing a crimson on the disk.

(4) Popularity and willingness are different.At the time of the test, the market sentiment had just recovered from the panic, and there were lingering fears, and the long and short sides had not yet fully formed a consensus.When the market is rising, the market sentiment has been activated, and the psychology of making money is getting hotter. The hall of the exchange is crowded with people, and there is a willingness to chase the rise.

(5) The form of the disk is different.During the trial market, the market oscillated very strongly, and the dealer's deliberate behavior was obvious.Although the lifting methods are different, they should go up regularly to attract more power to lift the sedan chair.

(6) The timing of operation is different.During the trial market, the signal of major technical indicators turning stronger was not obvious, and some were even in a downward channel or weak pattern, and the buying signal was not strong.When pulling up, the main technical indicators have shown the characteristics of bulls, and the long-term trend is obvious, and the buying signal is very strong.

As shown in the figure below, the uptrend of 002180 in January 2009 lasted for at least three trading days. The upper and lower shadow lines of the K-line are relatively short, and the real part is relatively long. .However, the duration of the test trading action is short, only one trading day, the upper and lower shadow lines of the K line during the test trading are longer, the real part is shorter, the trading volume comes suddenly, and a single long line appears on the market. column.

Move 65

The stock market is complicated and confusing, the dealers are cunning, and retail investors are hard to distinguish.In actual combat, many people can't distinguish the difference between a pull up and a first rise, and mistakenly operate the pull up as the first rise, but only catch a handful of hairs on the big bull stocks, and regret it; Sheng treats him, but he is stuck at the peak of the stage, and complains to Zhuang.So, what is the difference between pulling up and starting up?Here are a few points for reference only:
(1) Except for a few strong dealers at the beginning of the rise, there is no gap left in the market.Except for a few weak dealers or controlling dealers, most of the main risers have gaps in upward jumps, and the gaps will not be filled in the near future.

(2) At the beginning of the rise, the moving averages of most stocks have just formed a golden cross or flattened or risen. The buying signal is beginning to appear, but it is not strong. The BIAS index value is not large, and the difference between them is also very small.When the main rise occurs, the moving averages of most stocks have completely formed a long-term arrangement, and the buying signal is very strong. The BIAS index value continues to increase, and the difference between them also increases.

(3) The stock price has just left the cost zone when it first rose, and the stock price has basically not risen before.The stock price has basically successfully left the cost zone at the time of the main rise. There has generally been a period of upward trend before, and the "air refueling" or shock washing stage has often been completed.

(4) At the beginning of the rise, the market sentiment had just recovered from the panic, and the lingering fear was still there. There was a fear of "being bitten by a snake once, and fearing the well rope for ten years", and the long and short sides had not yet fully formed a consensus.At the time of the main rise, the market sentiment has been activated, the psychology of making money is getting hotter, and the hall of the exchange is crowded with people, and there is a willingness to chase the rise.

(5) The trading volume at the beginning of the rise is relatively moderate, which is a medium volume.When it is pulled up, the trading volume is enlarged sharply, and the trading is active.High turnover rate.And last longer.

Move 66

In the early stage of stock price rise, there is no obvious difference between luring more (also known as bull trap) and rising market, and it is easy to misjudge in actual combat, so it is also a common trading technique used by market makers.The main difference between the bull trap and the rising market:
(1) The location is different.The bull trap appears in the middle and high levels of the stock price; while the rising market appears in the middle and low levels of the stock price.

(2) The stages are different.The bull trap appears at the end of the rising market, and the stock price has experienced a large increase; while the rising market appears in the early stage of the rising market, and the stock price does not increase much.

(3) The methods are different.The real bull trap is fierce, the upward speed is fast, and the trend is relatively obvious; while the real rising market appears unconsciously, and the stock price slowly leaves the bottom area, and it does not accelerate until the end.

(4) The duration is different.The bull trap lasts for a short time, and quickly falls back and breaks through the rising point; while the rising market lasts for a long time, and generally receives technical support when it retreats.

Move 67 Grasp the characteristics of pulling up the K-line

The opening of the market is often opened with a daily limit, and the market is closed throughout the day, or it jumps sharply and opens continuously. Reduce upward pressure.After a wave of retracement in the intraday stock price, it was quickly pulled up with large orders, basically running above the closing price of the previous day, and the stock washing was completed on the same day.At the close, the stock price tends to close at the highest point or the second highest point, and the upward momentum is very strong.In the pull-up stage, the dealer often pulls the middle and big positive lines in the middle and high price areas. The positive lines appear more than or longer than the negative lines. Not covered.When the stock price rises, the K-line combination and the moving average system present a typical long arrangement.

According to the analysis of the K-line theory, the common K-line combinations at this stage include: Dayang Line, Red Three Soldiers, Rising Trilogy, Flying Pigeon Homing, Hammerhead, Pregnant Liujia, Gaps, "One" Shape, " T" shape etc.

As shown in the figure below, the K-line characteristics of 600612 in the main rising wave in December 2006 are as follows: daily limit closing, gapping and high opening, not filling the gap, pulling the middle and big positive lines continuously within a few trading days, and the daily K-line continues The stock price is rising steadily, and the strong form can be seen at a glance.

Step 68 Grasp the characteristics of the time-sharing trend chart when pulling up

Handicap phenomenon when pulling up:

(1) During the day's uptrend, large orders are often placed on the buying and selling positions at the same time, and the trading volume is released substantially, pushing up the buying and selling prices continuously.Individual stocks often push up along a slope of 45 degrees on the time-sharing chart.

(2) Judging from the time-sharing trend, the pull-up phenomenon is most likely to occur shortly after the market opens or a few minutes before the market closes.If it is pulled up to the daily limit within 30 minutes after the market opens, it will help the dealer to achieve the goal of raising with less capital.If it is not far from the bottom area, once the dealer pulls up and closes the daily limit, it will attract off-market short-term funds to intervene and reduce the cost of raising the dealer.This is mainly because small and medium retail investors do not know how much their stocks will rise and how much they will rise when the market just opens (and before the market closes), so there are fewer sell orders placed at this time.At these two moments, the dealer only needs to use a small amount of funds to eat up all the selling orders of retail investors, thus easily achieving the effect of pulling up.However, there are often deliberate elements in pulling up in the late market. The purpose is mainly to show the strength of the banker, attract the attention and follow suit of retail investors, or to make K-line (deception) diagrams and build (maintain) a good technical form.

(3) The powerful market makers pile up huge buying order trays at the buying position, sealing up the room for the stock price to fall, and forcing retail investors to help the charge. If they want to buy, they can only queue up in front of the market makers, and the market makers will advance the purchase orders again, every time The difference between the buying and selling prices is only a cent or two.At this time, if the stock price has just started to rise at the bottom, you can chase and intervene.But sometimes it is to attract off-market follow-up or reduce selling pressure, and it is suspected of being a bull trap, and the method is relatively old.

(End of this chapter)