These are the tricks for short-term stocks

Chapter 7 Opening short-term trading and market-watching skills (1)
The 24th stroke of opening short-term trading 4 stages
The operation of opening short-term trading is a process problem, generally there are four stages:

1) From 9:15 to 9:20, according to policy aspects, recent hotspot changes, and today's call auction situation, predict the morning and afternoon trends of the market, or whether the whole day will end up with a negative, positive or cross star. Still can't turn the market around.

2) From 9:20 to 9:25, according to the situation of today's call auction, predict which sectors will rise/fall the most today, and see if there is any linkage between the sectors. The strengths and weaknesses of the sectors are also very important.

3）9：25～9：30，按“67+enter”快速浏览涨幅靠前的个股，最好能看到涨幅为2％的位置。如果涨停的股票超过了10个，直接看涨幅为7％以下的股票。

When looking at the picture, mainly look at the following aspects:
①Press "ctrl+r" to check the sector to which a stock belongs (Tongdaxin Software as an example), to see what sector or concept is being launched, and what is the probability that these sectors or concepts will be successfully launched on the same day.

②Click "Information Landmines" to check whether there is any major information disclosure of individual stocks on the day, and respond to good news in a timely manner. High-level good news should especially arouse vigilance.

③ Look at the K-line chart and its moving average.

④Look at the data in the information column on the right such as "circulation, price-earnings ratio, and turnover rate".

⑤Look at the pending order at the top of the information column on the right, and the first transaction record below.

4）将看好的股票加入到“每日自选股”，方便9：30之后再次过滤或快速选择。记得每天9：15前先清空“每日自选股”，避免混淆。

The 25th move opening concept plate analysis

When doing short-term trading at the opening, the call auction at 9:15 is a very important point of analysis.Call auction is the first round of the battle between long and short sides. If traders can carefully analyze the call auction situation, they can enter the state early, perceive the trend information of the day's operation of the market, and at the same time find that the call auction is fleeting. Opportunity.

At 9:25, the call auction data for all stocks has come out.During the 9 minutes from 25:9 to 30:5, traders should quickly see six aspects of information on individual stocks based on the state of call auctions: concept plate, information radar, K-line chart, basic data, listing data, transaction data.The above order is sorted according to its importance, that is, the concept sector is the most important, and the transaction data is the second.Because the little article in the handicap, whether true or false, cannot compare to the previous K-line trend or intrinsic attributes.Discuss separately below.

1.What do you see in the concept section?
1) What concepts are at work?Is the concept new?The newer the better, new things cannot be valued in time and are easy to hype.

2) Is it the revival of old concepts?The plate that once had a large increase is active again, and it is often only a short-term rebound.

3) Does the concept have any substantive meaning?The so-called substantive significance refers to whether the concept can bring real performance growth, including major restructuring, performance improvement, discovery of new markets, etc.

4) Is it a mainstream theme or a non-mainstream theme?Is it a medium-term theme or a short-term theme?Different themes have different lifespans.

5) What is the reaction of the market?If it can quickly drive the market to rise in volume, it shows that the emergence of hot spots is at the right time and won the hearts of the people.

6) What is the texture of the plates related to the concept?The so-called quality refers to whether the listed companies behind the sector have good value as a whole, such as overall performance improvement, generally optimistic market prospects, and generally good corporate profits.

7) Does the sector have a linkage effect and a price comparison effect?For sectors that do not have linkage effects and price comparison effects, it is often difficult to form an influential leading sector.

8) Is the concept of the affected sector clear?Or clear historical laws?If it is not clear, the market public will not be able to recognize it in time, and it will be difficult to follow suit.

9) How many stocks are in the affected sector?If the number is less than 0, it is not easy to attract large funds to intervene as a whole, and the market is likely to die prematurely.

10) Is the average circulation of the affected sectors large?If the average circulation is too small (such as less than 5000 million shares) or too large (such as more than 10 billion yuan), it is not easy to attract the interest of large funds in the market.Of course, this is for a bear market.

11) Will the overall sector be hyped by funds or hot money?In a weak market, those speculated by funds tend not to increase much, while those speculated by hot money tend to have an astonishing short-term increase.

12) Do the major stocks in the same sector have the technical conditions for continuous strength?For example, whether there is obvious resistance to the upside of leading stocks and their similar stocks, whether they are at high levels, etc.

The 26th stroke opening K-line analysis

What do you look at on the opening K-line chart?
1) See if the current stock price trend is a bull market?Bull market pullback?High finishing?Sustained record highs?Or a bear market?Bear market rally?The bottom of history?Continue to record lows?
2) Look at which stage the main force is currently in: absorbing, suppressing, washing, pulling up, and shipping.

3) Look at the trading volume in the last year to judge whether the main force exists and whether it is out, etc.

4) Looking at the recent (such as within 2 months) stock price rise and fall and trading volume, specifically, will it continue to rise?Platform finishing?Or go up after a callback?
5) Look at the shape of yesterday's K-line, the phenomenon of the time-sharing chart, and the coordination of trading volume.Especially look at the time period when the time-sharing chart is rising, and at the same time pay attention to whether the transactions are sparse, and never buy stocks with sparse transactions.

6) Look at the arrangement, intersection, cohesion, divergence, etc. of the moving averages.

7) See if you will encounter the intensive trading area in the previous period after opening higher today. If so, you will encounter greater resistance if you continue to rise.

8) See if you will encounter profit-making sell-offs from the bottom after the continuous high opening today. If so, you don't have to rush into the market.

9) In short, the K-line charts worth following up are often not opened at a high level, and at the same time they look very aesthetic or ready to come out.

In the above point 7, the problem of the resistance zone is mentioned. Here, we will further elaborate on the resistance zone and vacuum zone of individual stocks.Generally speaking, the two most important elements of short-term trading are space and speed, that is, individual stocks must be able to obtain the greatest room for growth in the shortest period of time.However, these two factors are often hindered by the technical aspects of individual stocks.The reason why many promising individual stocks come to an abrupt end is often because their upward trend has encountered an important resistance zone; while the reason why some markets can rise unscrupulously and rapidly is often because they are currently in a vacuum zone.It can be seen that the two factors of resistance zone and vacuum zone are hindering the short-term development of individual stocks.Only when traders have a deep understanding of the concept of resistance zone and vacuum zone, can they have a forward-looking grasp of the price movement of the market and know when to enter and when to exit.

1) Resistance zones often include two areas:

① Intense transaction area.In the past intensive trading area, due to the large accumulated turnover rate, it means that there are more locked-in orders when some traders are out.Therefore, the larger the historical trading volume in which area, the greater the resistance when the stock price rises to the price in this area.Of course, the effectiveness of this area is closely related to the time factor. Generally speaking, the intensive trading area within two years will have an impact on the current stock price, and the more recent the intensive trading area, the greater the impact on the current trend of the stock price, because Many stakeholders in the area have not changed hands.

②The top and bottom of the band.When the market rebounds, the bottom formed in a certain period of time in the past will often become an influential resistance zone, and there will be many hold-ups; It may become a resistance zone for the current market, causing many traders to worry about whether the current market can pass.

When a stock is about to be suppressed by these resistance levels, traders must consider its risk; and when individual stocks try to break through these resistance levels, traders must consider the authenticity and effectiveness of the breakthrough.Generally speaking, breakthroughs in intensive trading areas often form effective breakthroughs, while breakthroughs in important band tops and bottoms often form false breakthroughs.Because when breaking through the dense transaction area, the turnover will be very large, and it is impossible to pass without a large amount of real money.

2) The so-called vacuum area is the area between the upper and lower resistance areas, which specifically exists in:

①The area between the upper and lower dense transaction areas.

②The area between the important top and bottom of the band.

③The area between the dense transaction area and the top/bottom of the band.

When the stock price is running in a vacuum zone, it is in a state of less resistance, which leads to "the trend always accelerates along the direction of least resistance".The existence of a relatively long vacuum zone is a favorable condition for the rise of short-term strong stocks, and it is also the key point to pay attention to when operating short-term individual stocks.But traders should also understand that the accelerated movement of individual stock patterns is usually in a vacuum zone, but the individual stock patterns in the vacuum zone may not necessarily produce accelerated movement.Because the accelerated operation of the market is determined by many factors, and the vacuum zone is only one of them.

The 27th stroke opening data analysis

1. What to look for in basic data

1) Look at the circulation tray.The circulation plate is preferably between 5000 million and 4 million shares. If it is too large, the main operating funds may not be enough.

2) Look at the price-earnings ratio.The price-earnings ratio indicator is ineffective for short-term hyped stocks, but a price-earnings ratio that is too high (such as above 300) or cannot be displayed (because of losses) will affect the continuous rise of stock prices in the later period.At the same time, from the price-earnings ratio index, the nature of the main force can also be distinguished at the first time. Generally speaking, those with a price-earnings ratio of less than 100 times are basically the holdings of funds and institutions, and those with a price-earnings ratio of more than 00 times and almost no one cares about them will be turned. To being hyped by hot money.But it should be noted that the overall price-earnings ratio is different in different market conditions.

3) Look at the turnover rate.The turnover rate of the first transaction is lower than 0. OlY00 or more than 2% is not ideal.

2. What do you look at in listing data?
1) Is there a lot of overall purchases?Is it more or less than the total sales order?It is a good thing that the total number of purchases exceeds the total number of sales, at least for now, but it may not be able to maintain this situation in the next step.

2) Is there a big order to buy a place, giving people a feeling of strength?If there is, it can reflect the determination of the main force to eat goods or the intention of topping the market, but it is necessary to prevent big selling orders from running out.

3) Is there a large order to protect the market between buy three and buy five?Having a backstop often means that the main force is prepared, but it also depends on whether the main force is a real backstop or a fake backstop.

4) Are all buying orders green or only one buying order is red?A large number of green buy orders indicates that today's price cannot keep up. Maybe the current rise is just an occasional big buy order, or it may be that the main force is making a negative line chart, which is especially dangerous.

5) Is there a big price gap between Buy [-] and Buy [-]?If it is large, it means that the follow-up is not active and the defense is not solid.

6) See whether there is a huge buy order (such as 5% of the circulating supply) relative to the circulating disk?Huge buying orders are often a manifestation of the strength of the main force, but their withdrawal should be prevented.

For the view of selling, the reverse is also true.

3. What do you look at in transaction data?
1) Is the lot size of the first transaction too small?For a stock with a circulation of 5000 million shares, if the first transaction does not have 200 lots (a turnover rate of 0%), it is not worth paying attention to. At most, there will only be a market where the main force eats goods and the stock price rises.For individual stocks with only a few dozens of hands in the first transaction, the follow-up result is often that the transaction is scarce on the day, and the negative line is closed (the main force does not rule out the behavior of deliberately doing the K line).

2) Is the lot size of the first transaction too much?If the number of transactions is huge, such as a 2% turnover rate, it means that there is a huge difference between the long and the short sides. Even if individual stocks are strong on the day, they will often decline because they consume most of the power of the bulls, or because of a large number of retail investors. Intervention leads to the post-finishing process.

The 28th move analyzes the nature of main funds
When doing short-term trading, traders must be able to judge the nature of the main funds, which is very helpful for grasping the later promotion space and selling timing of individual stocks.Here are some trading experiences:
1) Market participants are basically divided into three categories: one is the national team represented by funds, the other is the private team represented by hot money, and the third is retail investors.Their nature and characteristics are as follows:
The national team represented by funds includes public offering funds, sunshine private equity funds, QFIl, social security funds, insurance funds, trust funds, etc., which are characterized by strict monitoring by the management, and the trend of the holdings is relatively stable. It belongs to the kind of situation where a gentleman does something and doesn't.Such institutions usually only trade low-risk and valuable stocks. Junk stocks and loss-making stocks are all excluded. They can only make profits when the bull market comes. They are the kings in the bull market and the losers in the bear market.Therefore, in a bear market, it is best not to short-term buy the varieties held by fund institutions, unless there is a good sector concept.

Hot money is composed of some private equity funds, institutions, large investors, and senior investors. In a bear market, they are pure super short-term enthusiasts. As long as there is an opportunity to take advantage of it, they will operate it, and often come and go like the wind.Their style is: the bull market follows the trend, the shock market is very active, and the bear market is very bold.They do mid-line in a bull market, ultra-short-term in a volatile or bear market, loss-making stocks or stocks with high price-earnings ratios. These stocks that no one dares to touch are often the targets of their speculation.Their steering wheel is market news and market psychology, not stock value.In a bear market or a weak market, if the start is unfavorable, they will often be out of the market the next day. They are ruthless and disciplined.However, some private equity funds, institutions, and large investors prefer the mid-line style of funds. They claim to do great things, are gentlemen, etc., and dismiss super short-term.The trading style of this part of the object is between the fund and the hot money, and the selected varieties are also between the two.

Retail investors are nothing but scumbags. With the fluctuation of funds and hot money, there is no capital, technology and manpower to dominate the market. Most of them are small fish and meat in the market, and they are not concerned by the top two camps in the market.

2) In a bear market, there are few short-term opportunities for funds to do short-term, mainly hot money and fund-oriented institutions.However, in terms of operating methods, hot money and partial fund-style institutions are different, and the main performance is as follows:
Hot money dares to exclusively capture loss-making stocks or stocks with high price-earnings ratios; institutions with a partial fund style tend to avoid these stocks, but because most high-quality stocks are occupied by funds, and they cannot speculate in large-cap stocks, so the price-earnings ratio of 50-100 times The stocks and sub-new stocks are often the targets they choose.

Hot money often wanders between individual stocks, and the holding time is usually 1 to 5 days.When they first started to intervene in individual stocks, they had no bargaining chips. Due to the short operation cycle, they often built positions in the form of rapid rise or daily limit. The market characteristics of the stocks they held were skyrocketing and plummeting; Different, they often have a certain amount of chips in their hands, and can do both mid-term and short-term transactions. As long as the situation is good, they will raise the limit.

Hot money is short-term funds, and I don’t want to be caught by mistakes, so I often only eat the market without protecting the market, and will withdraw when the situation is not good. After buying a position, there are often no big orders; institutions with a partial fund style collect more chips in the early stage. After sorting out, the daily limit may be sealed at the opening of the market to prevent retail investors from intervening.If retail investors need to follow suit, they will often place a large order to protect the market after buying a position, showing to the market their intention to actively go long.

When the individual stocks held by the fund are not in the early stage, usually the first transaction makes the individual stocks rise by more than 2%, which is often a masterpiece of institutions with hot money and partial fund style. Is it the temporary intervention of hot money, or the sudden rise of fund-style institutions.The former lacks bargaining chips, and they will wait for the market to be sold during the rush. After the opening of the market, everyone has a chance, but individual stocks may rise and fall the next day; The main force has a lot of chips, so there is a lot of room for gains in the later stage, and participants can ship without haste.

In addition, if you want to distinguish them, there are three points for reference: first, if individual stocks are frequently disclosed, it may be that institutions have intervened in the early stage, and hot money will not go to boost the market; second, if the price-earnings ratio is between 50~ Within 100 times, it may be the product controlled by the institution, and there are almost no good stocks that can be snatched up by hot money; third, if there are large orders waiting for buy two to buy five in the market, it may be a reflection of the institution's support and long position , It also shows that it has a bargaining chip long ago, and now it needs someone to raise the bank.

The 29th move to open the short-term trading to find the law
Every morning, the daily limit of the stock market always exists, even when there are nearly 1000 daily limit in the market, it has not been eliminated.Therefore, the idea that the stock market can make profits every day is always hitting the minds of traders, prompting them to trade impulsively and casually.But traders should know that there are tens of thousands of smart traders in the market, and they will automatically correct the phenomenon of risk-free profits or huge profits. The method of buying in the early trading may not be a good time to intervene.For example, May 2008 was a standard shock period in a bear market, and it was a better time period for short-term operations.But after a month of short-term data statistics, the results are not satisfactory.The short-term statistical results and operating experience of the current month are as follows:
(End of this chapter)